{"ticker": {"uuid": "1e605312-31e5-4fb0-b9e7-d37a4857098f", "symbol": "ABG", "name": "Absa Group Limited", "exchange": "JNB", "asset_type": "equity"}, "latest_week": "2026-07-31", "summary": "ABG closed the latest completed week at 227.9 ZAC. The 4-week return is 2.6% and the 12-week return is -99.0%. The trend backdrop is inactive, with activity pressure at -1.22.", "description": "Absa Group Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides retail, business, corporate, investment banking, insurance, financial, and wealth management products and services in South Africa and internationally. The company offers life and non-life insurance products; residential property-related finance solutions; mortgages; vehicle and asset finance products and services; cash, debit, credit and prepaid cards; personal loans; corporate, relationship, and transactional banking services; mobile payments; and savings and investment products and services. It also provides insurance and financial advisory, stockbroking and portfolio management, and trust administrative services. In addition, the company offers trade and working capital, cash management, payment, and liquidity products and solutions; and investment banking, private equity and infrastructure investment, and commercial property financing services. Further, it provides broker-dealer trading in debt and equity securities; and solicitation, syndication, selling, and arranging of equity and debt products, as well as financial, leasing, and management services. The company was formerly known as Barclays Africa Group Limited and changed its name to Absa Group Limited in May 2018. Absa Group Limited was incorporated in 1986 and is based in Johannesburg, South Africa.", "setup_signature": "Risk-first tape", "composite_score": "28", "kpis": [{"label": "Latest Close", "value": "227.9 ZAC", "hint": "2026-07-31"}, {"label": "1W Return", "value": "3.9%", "tone": "positive", "hint": "latest completed week"}, {"label": "4W Return", "value": "2.6%", "tone": "positive", "hint": "short-term follow-through"}, {"label": "12W Return", "value": "-99.0%", "tone": "negative", "hint": "quarterly tape"}, {"label": "Trend Breadth", "value": "69.2%", "hint": "36 of 52 weeks active"}, {"label": "Volume Ratio", "value": "1.0x", "hint": "vs 13-week average"}], "classification": {"exchange": "JNB", "country": "ZA", "sector": "Financial Services", "industry": "Banks - Regional", "currency": "ZAC", "market_cap": "190.2B"}, "price": {"trend_line": "17,151 ZAC", "fair_value": "17,444 ZAC", "vs_trend": "-98.7%", "vs_fair_value": "-98.7%", "high_52": "27,802 ZAC", "low_52": "212.7 ZAC", "drawdown": "-99.2%", "range_position": "0.1%", "markers": [{"label": "Close", "value": 227.91, "value_label": "227.9", "position": 0.05512910338161494, "left": "0.1%", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "Trend", "value": 17151.073427, "value_label": "17,151", "position": 61.39364495552149, "left": "61.4%", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Fair", "value": 17444.380269, "value_label": "17,444", "position": 62.45674444369723, "left": "62.5%", "tone": "neutral"}], "insights": [{"label": "Range location", "value": "0.1%", "detail": "Shows where the latest close sits between the 52-week low and high.", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "Trend distance", "value": "-98.7%", "detail": "Price premium or discount versus the weekly Trend Line.", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "Fair-value gap", "value": "-98.7%", "detail": "Premium demand or model discount versus Sharemaestro Fair Value.", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "High-water gap", "value": "-99.2%", "detail": "Distance from the latest 52-week 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"volume": "8.7M"}, {"week": "17 Jul", "return": 0.5278510904292332, "return_label": "0.5%", "return_tone": "positive", "volume_height": 33.54648577044683, "volume": "10.2M"}, {"week": "24 Jul", "return": 1.0409469853991022, "return_label": "1.0%", "return_tone": "positive", "volume_height": 43.60957402022937, "volume": "13.2M"}, {"week": "31 Jul", "return": 3.892966221452337, "return_label": "3.9%", "return_tone": "positive", "volume_height": 32.40239837335986, "volume": "9.8M"}], "insights": [{"label": "Participation", "value": "1.0x", "detail": "Latest volume versus the 13-week average.", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Baseline", "value": "9.5M", "detail": "13-week average volume.", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "One-year base", "value": "12.1M", "detail": "52-week average volume.", "tone": "neutral"}]}, "risk": {"volatility_13": "26.6%", "volatility_52": "14.1%", "downside_weeks": 19, "upside_weeks": 33, "downside_breadth": "36.5%", "average_gain": "2.4%", "average_loss": "-7.8%", "distribution_scale": "100%", "return_callouts": [{"label": "Weeks higher", "value": "17 of 26", "detail": "9 weeks finished lower.", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Best week", "value": "+5.4%", "detail": "Week of 19 Jun.", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Worst week", "value": "-99.0%", "detail": "Week of 5 Jun.", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "Latest week", "value": "+3.9%", "detail": "Week of 31 Jul.", "tone": "positive"}], "buckets": [{"label": "Strong gains", "count": 2, "share": 7.6923076923076925, "share_label": "7.7%", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Modest gains", "count": 15, "share": 57.692307692307686, "share_label": "57.7%", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Flat weeks", "count": 0, "share": 0.0, "share_label": "0.0%", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Modest losses", "count": 4, "share": 15.384615384615385, "share_label": "15.4%", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "Sharp losses", "count": 5, "share": 19.230769230769234, "share_label": "19.2%", "tone": "negative"}], "insights": [{"label": "Recent vol", "value": "26.6%", "detail": "13-week weekly-return volatility.", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "Base vol", "value": "14.1%", "detail": "52-week weekly-return volatility.", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Up/down split", "value": "33/19", "detail": "Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Average skew", "value": "2.4% / -7.8%", "detail": "Average positive week versus average negative week.", "tone": "neutral"}]}, "signals": [{"label": "Trend backdrop", "value": "Inactive", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "Activity pressure", "value": "No fresh buy", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Price vs Trend", "value": "-98.7%", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "Volume", "value": "1.0x", "tone": "neutral"}], "opportunities": ["Next-week expectancy is positive at 55.78% based on similar historical setup states."], "risks": ["The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.", "Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.", "Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.", "Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.", "Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough."], "watch_points": ["Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.", "Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.", "A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move."], "recent_rows": [{"week": "2026-07-31", "close": "227.9 ZAC", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "17,151 ZAC", "fair_value": "17,444 ZAC", "activity_pressure": "-1.22", "relative_leadership": "-98.74", "volume": "9.8M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-07-24", "close": "219.4 ZAC", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "17,944 ZAC", "fair_value": "17,560 ZAC", "activity_pressure": "-1.17", "relative_leadership": "-98.79", "volume": "13.2M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-07-17", "close": "217.1 ZAC", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "18,726 ZAC", "fair_value": "17,679 ZAC", "activity_pressure": "-1.27", "relative_leadership": "-98.83", "volume": "10.2M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-07-10", "close": "216.0 ZAC", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "19,511 ZAC", "fair_value": "17,793 ZAC", "activity_pressure": "-1.33", "relative_leadership": "-98.87", "volume": "8.7M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-07-03", "close": "222.2 ZAC", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "20,263 ZAC", "fair_value": "17,906 ZAC", "activity_pressure": "-1.38", "relative_leadership": "-98.87", "volume": "21.3M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-06-26", "close": "242.2 ZAC", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "20,978 ZAC", "fair_value": "18,013 ZAC", "activity_pressure": "-1.51", "relative_leadership": "-98.77", "volume": "1.4M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-06-19", "close": "252.9 ZAC", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "21,664 ZAC", "fair_value": "18,119 ZAC", "activity_pressure": "-1.39", "relative_leadership": "-98.77", "volume": "4.8M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-06-12", "close": "240.0 ZAC", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "22,350 ZAC", "fair_value": "18,220 ZAC", "activity_pressure": "-1.27", "relative_leadership": "-98.86", "volume": "2.6M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-06-05", "close": "233.2 ZAC", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "23,032 ZAC", "fair_value": "18,326 ZAC", "activity_pressure": "-1.09", "relative_leadership": "-98.90", "volume": "3.0M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-29", "close": "23,714 ZAC", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "23,680 ZAC", "fair_value": "18,429 ZAC", "activity_pressure": "-0.95", "relative_leadership": "7.04", "volume": "8.7M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-22", "close": "23,412 ZAC", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "23,536 ZAC", "fair_value": "18,377 ZAC", "activity_pressure": "-0.96", "relative_leadership": "7.25", "volume": "9.9M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-15", "close": "23,018 ZAC", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "23,401 ZAC", "fair_value": "18,329 ZAC", "activity_pressure": "-0.96", "relative_leadership": "4.51", "volume": "17.1M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-08", "close": "23,044 ZAC", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "23,273 ZAC", "fair_value": "18,283 ZAC", "activity_pressure": "-0.94", "relative_leadership": "1.83", "volume": "12.8M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-01", "close": "23,302 ZAC", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "23,153 ZAC", "fair_value": "18,236 ZAC", "activity_pressure": "-0.87", "relative_leadership": "5.55", "volume": "7.2M", "trend_backdrop": null}], "intelligence": {"rating": "Caution", "rating_tone": "negative", "overall_score": "42", "primary_driver": {"label": "Next-Week Expectancy", "score": 77.8877, "score_label": "78", "tone": "positive", "summary": "Next-week expectancy is positive with a 55.78% historical one-week setup read.", "detail": "Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership.", "metric": "Positive 55.78%", "url": "/terminal/1e605312-31e5-4fb0-b9e7-d37a4857098f/", "available": true, "weight": 1.05}, "primary_conflict": {"label": "Indicator analysis", "score": 15.83333333333333, "score_label": "16", "tone": "negative", "summary": "Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 3/12.", "detail": "Activity pressure 0.15; No reversal markers", "metric": "16/100", "url": "/terminal/1e605312-31e5-4fb0-b9e7-d37a4857098f/", "available": true, "weight": 1.45}, "options_tone": "neutral", "options": null, "evidence": [{"label": "Weekly tape", "score": 32.95738167197455, "score_label": "33", "tone": "negative", "summary": "Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 33/100 tape read.", "detail": "", "metric": "33/100", "url": "/terminal/1e605312-31e5-4fb0-b9e7-d37a4857098f/", "available": true, "weight": 1.6}, {"label": "Indicator analysis", "score": 15.83333333333333, "score_label": "16", "tone": "negative", "summary": "Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 3/12.", "detail": "Activity pressure 0.15; No reversal markers", "metric": "16/100", "url": "/terminal/1e605312-31e5-4fb0-b9e7-d37a4857098f/", "available": true, "weight": 1.45}, {"label": "Next-Week Expectancy", "score": 77.8877, "score_label": "78", "tone": "positive", "summary": "Next-week expectancy is positive with a 55.78% historical one-week setup read.", "detail": "Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership.", "metric": "Positive 55.78%", "url": "/terminal/1e605312-31e5-4fb0-b9e7-d37a4857098f/", "available": true, "weight": 1.05}, {"label": "Factors", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No published factor snapshot is available yet.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/factors/", "available": false, "weight": 0}, {"label": "Patient Capital", "score": 48.0, "score_label": "48", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.", "detail": "No recent buy signal", "metric": "Quiet", "url": "/patient-capital/", "available": true, "weight": 1}, {"label": "Sentiment", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Weighted news tone is neutral across 0 relevant articles.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/sentiment/1e605312-31e5-4fb0-b9e7-d37a4857098f/", "available": true, "weight": 0.95}, {"label": "Insiders", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/insider-activity/", "available": false, "weight": 0}, {"label": "Earnings", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/earnings-calendar/", "available": false, "weight": 0}], "positives": [{"label": "Next-Week Expectancy", "score": 77.8877, "score_label": "78", "tone": "positive", "summary": "Next-week expectancy is positive with a 55.78% historical one-week setup read.", "detail": "Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership.", "metric": "Positive 55.78%", "url": "/terminal/1e605312-31e5-4fb0-b9e7-d37a4857098f/", "available": true, "weight": 1.05}], "negatives": [{"label": "Indicator analysis", "score": 15.83333333333333, "score_label": "16", "tone": "negative", "summary": "Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 3/12.", "detail": "Activity pressure 0.15; No reversal markers", "metric": "16/100", "url": "/terminal/1e605312-31e5-4fb0-b9e7-d37a4857098f/", "available": true, "weight": 1.45}, {"label": "Weekly tape", "score": 32.95738167197455, "score_label": "33", "tone": "negative", "summary": "Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 33/100 tape read.", "detail": "", "metric": "33/100", "url": "/terminal/1e605312-31e5-4fb0-b9e7-d37a4857098f/", "available": true, "weight": 1.6}], "conclusion": ["The strongest supporting evidence is next-week expectancy: Next-week expectancy is positive with a 55.78% historical one-week setup read.", "The main constraint is indicator analysis: Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 3/12.", "The combined read is defensive, so risk control and evidence of stabilization matter more than headline upside."], "weekly_changes": [{"label": "Price follow-through", "value": "3.9%", "detail": "Latest completed week; four-week move 2.6%.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/1e605312-31e5-4fb0-b9e7-d37a4857098f/"}, {"label": "Indicator stack", "value": "38/29", "detail": "Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.", "tone": "negative", "url": "/terminal/1e605312-31e5-4fb0-b9e7-d37a4857098f/"}, {"label": "Trend backdrop", "value": "Active", "detail": "The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/1e605312-31e5-4fb0-b9e7-d37a4857098f/"}, {"label": "Patient Capital", "value": "Quiet", "detail": "Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/patient-capital/"}, {"label": "Next-Week Expectancy", "value": "Positive 55.78%", "detail": "Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/1e605312-31e5-4fb0-b9e7-d37a4857098f/"}, {"label": "News sentiment", "value": "50/100", "detail": "0 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/sentiment/1e605312-31e5-4fb0-b9e7-d37a4857098f/"}]}, "investor_view": {"stance": "Mixed setup", "stance_tone": "neutral", "setup_score": "28", "bottom_line": "The weekly trend is not active. Price is -98.7% below the Trend Line and sits at 0.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.9%, after a 2.6% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.", "price_summary": "The weekly trend is not active. Price is -98.7% below the Trend Line and sits at 0.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.9%, after a 2.6% four-week move.", "volume_summary": "Latest weekly volume is 1.0x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.", "momentum_summary": "Performance is 2.6% over four weeks, -99.0% over 12 weeks, and -98.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.", "fundamentals": {"available": false, "summary": "A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.", "rank_scores": [], "groups": []}, "weekly_change": [{"label": "Price follow-through", "value": "3.9%", "detail": "Latest completed week; four-week move 2.6%.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/1e605312-31e5-4fb0-b9e7-d37a4857098f/"}, {"label": "Indicator stack", "value": "38/29", "detail": "Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.", "tone": "negative", "url": "/terminal/1e605312-31e5-4fb0-b9e7-d37a4857098f/"}, {"label": "Trend backdrop", "value": "Active", "detail": "The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/1e605312-31e5-4fb0-b9e7-d37a4857098f/"}, {"label": "Patient Capital", "value": "Quiet", "detail": "Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/patient-capital/"}, {"label": "Next-Week Expectancy", "value": "Positive 55.78%", "detail": "Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/1e605312-31e5-4fb0-b9e7-d37a4857098f/"}, {"label": "News sentiment", "value": "50/100", "detail": "0 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/sentiment/1e605312-31e5-4fb0-b9e7-d37a4857098f/"}], "strengths": ["Next-week expectancy is positive at 55.78% based on similar historical setup states."], "risks": ["The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.", "Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.", "Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.", "Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup."], "watch_points": ["Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.", "Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.", "A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move."], "evidence": {"weekly_tape": {"label": "Weekly tape", "score": 32.95738167197455, "score_label": "33", "tone": "negative", "summary": "Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 33/100 tape read.", "detail": "", "metric": "33/100", "url": "/terminal/1e605312-31e5-4fb0-b9e7-d37a4857098f/", "available": true, "weight": 1.6}, "indicator_analysis": {"label": "Indicator analysis", "score": 15.83333333333333, "score_label": "16", "tone": "negative", "summary": "Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 3/12.", "detail": "Activity pressure 0.15; No reversal markers", "metric": "16/100", "url": "/terminal/1e605312-31e5-4fb0-b9e7-d37a4857098f/", "available": true, "weight": 1.45}, "next-week_expectancy": {"label": "Next-Week Expectancy", "score": 77.8877, "score_label": "78", "tone": "positive", "summary": "Next-week expectancy is positive with a 55.78% historical one-week setup read.", "detail": "Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership.", "metric": "Positive 55.78%", "url": "/terminal/1e605312-31e5-4fb0-b9e7-d37a4857098f/", "available": true, "weight": 1.05}, "factors": {"label": "Factors", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No published factor snapshot is available yet.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/factors/", "available": false, "weight": 0}, "patient_capital": {"label": "Patient Capital", "score": 48.0, "score_label": "48", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.", "detail": "No recent buy signal", "metric": "Quiet", "url": "/patient-capital/", "available": true, "weight": 1}, "sentiment": {"label": "Sentiment", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Weighted news tone is neutral across 0 relevant articles.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/sentiment/1e605312-31e5-4fb0-b9e7-d37a4857098f/", "available": true, "weight": 0.95}, "insiders": {"label": "Insiders", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/insider-activity/", "available": false, "weight": 0}, "earnings": {"label": "Earnings", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/earnings-calendar/", "available": false, "weight": 0}}, "section_nav": [{"id": "overview", "label": "Overview"}, {"id": "price-action", "label": "Price"}, {"id": "volume-demand", "label": "Volume"}, {"id": "momentum", "label": "Momentum"}, {"id": "fundamentals", "label": "Fundamentals"}, {"id": "ownership-flow", "label": "Ownership & Flow"}, {"id": "catalysts-risk", "label": "Catalysts & Risk"}, {"id": "peer-context", "label": "Peer Context"}, {"id": "weekly-data", "label": "Weekly Data"}]}, "chart_url": "/terminal/1e605312-31e5-4fb0-b9e7-d37a4857098f/", "api_path": "/terminal/1e605312-31e5-4fb0-b9e7-d37a4857098f/report/api/"}