{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"IPN Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"206701f8-b422-4363-a08c-1721c5d472cc","symbol":"IPN","name":"Ipsen S.A.","exchange":"VIE","country":"AT","asset_type":"equity","currency":"EUR","sector":"Healthcare","industry":"Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic"},"summary":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. Price has moved below the distribution zone after Market Dynamics weakened.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Strength versus the research benchmark, Acceleration, deceleration and rollover, Range pressure and compression, Range position and boundary pressure, Directional strength and control."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-14","observations":260,"displayedObservations":104,"assetType":"Equity","state":"Rotational","stateTone":"caution","summary":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. Price has moved below the distribution zone after Market Dynamics weakened.","evidenceAlignment":{"status":"Rollover warning","headline":"Price has moved below distribution as Market Dynamics weakened","summary":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. Price has moved below the distribution zone after Market Dynamics weakened.","take":"The prior extension has started to roll over. Further price weakness would confirm the downside transition; a recovery in both readings would remove the 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cautious, Market Dynamics positive","kind":"disagreement","expectedDirection":"higher","episodes":21,"completedEpisodes":21,"activeEpisodes":0,"medianExpectedMove":10.9,"averageExpectedMove":11.3,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":8.0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":21,"expectedCount":10,"expectedPercent":47.6,"averageReturn":0.6,"medianReturn":-1.0,"confidenceLow":28.3,"confidenceHigh":67.6,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":21,"expectedCount":16,"expectedPercent":76.2,"averageReturn":5.5,"medianReturn":6.4,"confidenceLow":54.9,"confidenceHigh":89.4,"confidence":"Historically consistent"},{"weeks":26,"sample":19,"expectedCount":13,"expectedPercent":68.4,"averageReturn":7.3,"medianReturn":7.1,"confidenceLow":46.0,"confidenceHigh":84.6,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":0.2,"sample":21},{"week":2,"averageReturn":1.1,"sample":21},{"week":3,"averageReturn":1.3,"sample":21},{"week":4,"averageReturn":0.6,"sample":21},{"week":5,"averageReturn":1.3,"sample":21},{"week":6,"averageReturn":1.9,"sample":21},{"week":7,"averageReturn":1.7,"sample":21},{"week":8,"averageReturn":3.2,"sample":21},{"week":9,"averageReturn":3.8,"sample":21},{"week":10,"averageReturn":4.8,"sample":21},{"week":11,"averageReturn":6.3,"sample":21},{"week":12,"averageReturn":5.5,"sample":21},{"week":13,"averageReturn":6.6,"sample":21},{"week":14,"averageReturn":6.4,"sample":21},{"week":15,"averageReturn":7.3,"sample":20},{"week":16,"averageReturn":8.2,"sample":20},{"week":17,"averageReturn":9.0,"sample":20},{"week":18,"averageReturn":8.5,"sample":20},{"week":19,"averageReturn":8.5,"sample":20},{"week":20,"averageReturn":7.5,"sample":20},{"week":21,"averageReturn":7.3,"sample":20},{"week":22,"averageReturn":8.2,"sample":19},{"week":23,"averageReturn":7.6,"sample":19},{"week":24,"averageReturn":6.8,"sample":19},{"week":25,"averageReturn":7.3,"sample":19},{"week":26,"averageReturn":7.3,"sample":19}]}},"pricePressureGap":{"label":"Price elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":2,"completedEpisodes":0,"activeEpisodes":2,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":1,"expectedCount":0,"expectedPercent":0.0,"averageReturn":0.2,"medianReturn":0.2,"confidenceLow":0.0,"confidenceHigh":79.3,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-4.8,"sample":2},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-8.0,"sample":2},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-6.8,"sample":1},{"week":4,"averageReturn":0.2,"sample":1},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-4.7,"sample":1},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-9.8,"sample":1},{"week":7,"sample":0},{"week":8,"sample":0},{"week":9,"sample":0},{"week":10,"sample":0},{"week":11,"sample":0},{"week":12,"sample":0},{"week":13,"sample":0},{"week":14,"sample":0},{"week":15,"sample":0},{"week":16,"sample":0},{"week":17,"sample":0},{"week":18,"sample":0},{"week":19,"sample":0},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Rollover warning","tone":"negative","headline":"Price has moved below distribution as Market Dynamics weakened","use":"The upward trend may still be visible, but this transition increases downside risk. Further price weakness would confirm the rollover.","confirm":"Further price weakness with weak Market Dynamics would confirm the rollover.","invalidate":"A recovery in both price and Market Dynamics would remove the rollover warning.","level":"negative","direction":"weakening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Price has moved down through distribution conditions as Market Dynamics contracted. The completed tape now carries a stronger continuation-risk warning.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"lower","percent":18.8,"averageReturn":5.4,"sample":16},"nowContext":{"label":"Easier this week","detail":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price has moved below distribution","detail":"Price left the upper zone as Market Dynamics weakened."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Divergence control","title":"Do not chase price while the underlying evidence lags","tone":"caution","approach":"Use the gap to review position size, protect gains and wait for either Market Dynamics to catch up or price to correct. The disagreement is a warning condition, not an automatic exit.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 18.8% of comparable cases moved lower after 12 weeks, with an average move of 5.4% across 16 cases.","watch":"A recovery in both price and Market Dynamics would remove the rollover warning."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 100.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 1 cases. Distinct visits lasted 2.0 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 4.5% across 16 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 4.5 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"distribution_rollovers":[{"date":"2026-04-17","price":159.994522},{"date":"2026-08-07","price":162.100006}],"price_pressure_gaps":[{"date":"2026-07-03","price":170.100006},{"date":"2026-07-31","price":170.399994}]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[105.7541,107.8258,107.6285,103.9784,110.6867,109.9961,112.0678,113.0543,114.5341,113.3503,111.4759,108.615,107.1353,108.3191,107.6285,106.2474,107.1353,104.8663,108.4177,112.1665,117.1977,122.1303,118.2829,117.8883,119.4667,110.2921,108.4177,108.911,108.5164,108.4177,109.0096,106.5434,103.2879,91.6963,90.4632,96.9249,102.5973,100.9202,100.8216,99.3418,102.4,104.0,103.2,101.6,103.1,102.7,107.0,106.8,111.4,103.0,105.4,112.9,117.5,116.8,119.7,119.4,115.3,111.7,115.4,117.8,114.2,121.6,122.0,123.2,130.6,126.3,125.5,123.4,121.3,119.7,119.8,117.7,127.7,135.6,136.2,138.2,135.5,152.7,157.3,163.5,163.1,155.1,149.7,157.5,162.2703,166.6239,159.9945,162.1713,164.0513,165.3376,165.0407,158.3125,153.4641,157.5,157.4,155.9,162.2,170.1,162.0,160.0,158.5,170.4,162.1,153.4],"consensus":[18.1082,33.541,0.0,-45.2624,49.7709,21.0114,53.4772,42.7158,50.1656,19.1819,-12.1348,-44.7491,-47.7733,0.0,-37.8766,-38.592,-9.508,-49.0393,32.9117,56.5428,73.8168,72.1301,12.9708,29.4607,49.5891,-58.3186,-49.6266,-30.6096,-40.2064,-23.7375,-13.8742,-36.9431,-63.1823,-84.1908,-69.4677,0.0,25.1427,-11.1196,0.0,-26.871,21.9144,27.7905,0.0,-14.3459,21.7082,0.0,50.3908,39.6275,63.6836,-38.2907,11.5014,67.3681,70.8691,37.8553,62.3038,32.9202,-14.4888,-34.3883,20.1253,34.5393,-19.5076,67.5535,44.1166,39.968,77.6116,0.0,13.9942,0.0,-27.548,-24.9334,-9.7389,-47.9646,63.7737,72.31,56.1717,60.4214,20.9022,84.6134,64.5807,81.5847,41.9651,8.3095,-22.1882,49.5223,53.1751,59.7934,0.0,47.0426,45.4238,17.3352,36.8256,-18.5259,-51.3413,13.7831,0.0,-18.3552,50.281,50.2824,-21.2729,0.0,-27.2125,53.8238,0.0,-60.0191],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[75.8676,30.5292,60.8192,24.9201,-14.8561,-30.9283,30.0375,46.3172,-21.2587,64.4455,42.7572,36.5086,81.3159,0.0,6.1903,0.0,-20.0508,-16.8857,-2.0475,-47.3169,59.2872,73.6672,55.6329,60.5292,11.3258,87.5242,62.1157,84.7535,31.8185,0.2545,-18.9394,64.5973,65.7008,61.5941,0.0,51.569,54.7225,22.0335,39.8212,-14.9025,-45.9211,32.4009,0.0,-14.6692,56.4276,51.8823,-31.7125,0.0,-22.2773,60.8208,0.0,-58.92],"force":[77.751,15.7248,60.5937,5.9946,-60.8056,-69.8517,21.9364,32.2365,-48.591,91.5017,36.1164,29.327,89.542,0.0,14.7055,0.0,-55.5938,-36.1325,-6.2962,-61.3513,95.4352,87.0414,50.4257,56.7902,11.8217,99.2477,55.7516,84.1706,12.3059,38.2547,-73.3169,59.9974,53.5645,54.8639,0.0,44.9676,41.9327,4.3207,26.841,-34.1437,-74.738,34.585,0.0,-17.5569,66.5594,48.6979,-59.4767,0.0,-41.1022,77.6185,0.0,-83.2057],"direction":[60.2411,62.0355,65.2219,61.2957,-19.0145,-13.0116,7.5035,22.7237,-3.2674,53.9998,51.3845,51.5222,64.8564,0.0,43.4128,0.0,-16.0834,-26.1315,-25.6681,-39.1429,46.2856,60.2364,60.8916,62.892,55.221,70.8337,73.7043,76.1162,74.7464,51.357,-10.6195,24.8115,38.5818,61.2566,0.0,43.3517,37.2903,27.4342,40.5338,-11.5115,-40.8238,22.353,0.0,-23.138,31.6288,49.5856,-17.9466,0.0,-22.9315,28.8311,0.0,-44.7132],"intensity":[86.5385,36.5385,57.6923,44.2308,75.0,67.3077,67.3077,61.5385,65.3846,88.4615,78.8462,50.0,88.4615,67.3077,26.9231,44.2308,32.6923,44.2308,42.3077,34.6154,98.0769,98.0769,61.5385,67.3077,38.4615,100.0,98.0769,75.0,75.0,86.5385,69.2308,84.6154,86.5385,82.6923,71.1538,59.6154,9.6154,76.9231,65.3846,94.2308,53.8462,44.2308,19.2308,5.7692,67.3077,90.3846,86.5385,51.9231,3.8462,96.1538,86.5385,86.5385],"confirmation":[90.8117,79.5509,87.9077,55.1691,32.7655,80.1378,51.6776,78.8029,53.1325,90.3943,81.8942,80.5182,93.1429,33.7386,6.8596,4.3875,77.7843,76.4426,26.2946,83.7665,89.4409,91.5675,85.808,87.2225,31.026,95.4779,88.4343,94.1376,80.6795,9.5857,33.6401,83.9367,84.837,86.9562,35.1677,82.9214,82.2875,51.0708,79.4342,74.4595,85.2249,32.1962,5.3127,73.9055,84.4924,84.0177,34.3078,48.4241,77.2065,85.8422,24.4556,87.9295],"persistence":[62.5,75.0,75.0,75.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,50.0,62.5,62.5,50.0,50.0,25.0,0.0,25.0,25.0,12.5,12.5,0.0,25.0,50.0,75.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,62.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,87.5,62.5,37.5,37.5,37.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0],"assessmentRisk":[10.7565,31.0044,18.7929,30.3902,17.8217,24.8094,48.4473,35.6349,2.7284,14.9254,25.1024,24.79,11.1796,40.2552,28.9015,1.7093,35.3516,34.5858,41.0675,22.1239,12.9485,13.7479,21.8676,19.7824,36.736,7.3613,17.6426,9.1919,29.0114,14.0737,29.9582,60.5578,32.911,17.6525,47.4805,7.0787,9.4608,18.5455,20.7642,22.8472,23.0298,52.582,47.1309,16.2377,23.4359,24.5121,47.5358,38.5363,20.1116,24.2157,3.3465,8.6226],"volumeParticipation":false,"latest":{"consensus":-60.0,"control":-58.9,"force":-83.2,"direction":-44.7,"confirmation":87.9,"persistence":0.0,"assessmentRisk":8.6,"intensity":86.5,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","headline":"The gauges support the downward view","summary":"The completed evidence gives the downward view the clearer support.","take":"Current assessment: downward pressure has the stronger support.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Market Dynamics","direction":"downward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Seller control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is strengthening","forceState":"Downward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is strengthening","directionState":"Downward follow-through","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Strong support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Elevated"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-60.0","detail":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-58.9","detail":"Seller control supports the view","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-83.2","detail":"Downward commitment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"-44.7","detail":"Downward follow-through","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"88/100","detail":"Strong support","tone":"positive"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Rotational","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"48.4","detail":"Negative","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"5.0%","detail":"Elevated","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"27.1","detail":"Directional","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Range position","value":"29%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility 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