{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"CONSTI Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"2180c7d1-fdfa-4bdf-8c42-165a728b42ba","symbol":"CONSTI","name":"Consti Oyj","exchange":"HEL","country":"FI","asset_type":"equity","currency":"EUR","sector":"Industrials","industry":"Engineering & Construction"},"summary":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero. Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path. 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cautious, Market Dynamics positive","kind":"disagreement","expectedDirection":"higher","episodes":18,"completedEpisodes":18,"activeEpisodes":0,"medianExpectedMove":4.0,"averageExpectedMove":5.3,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":6.7,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":18,"expectedCount":8,"expectedPercent":44.4,"averageReturn":-1.2,"medianReturn":-0.2,"confidenceLow":24.6,"confidenceHigh":66.3,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":18,"expectedCount":10,"expectedPercent":55.6,"averageReturn":0.2,"medianReturn":0.9,"confidenceLow":33.7,"confidenceHigh":75.4,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":15,"expectedCount":12,"expectedPercent":80.0,"averageReturn":5.8,"medianReturn":6.6,"confidenceLow":54.8,"confidenceHigh":93.0,"confidence":"Historically consistent"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":0.4,"sample":18},{"week":2,"averageReturn":0.1,"sample":18},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-1.7,"sample":18},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-1.2,"sample":18},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-1.1,"sample":18},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-0.6,"sample":18},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-0.4,"sample":18},{"week":8,"averageReturn":0.2,"sample":18},{"week":9,"averageReturn":1.5,"sample":18},{"week":10,"averageReturn":1.2,"sample":18},{"week":11,"averageReturn":0.6,"sample":18},{"week":12,"averageReturn":0.2,"sample":18},{"week":13,"averageReturn":1.6,"sample":18},{"week":14,"averageReturn":1.3,"sample":18},{"week":15,"averageReturn":2.2,"sample":18},{"week":16,"averageReturn":2.9,"sample":18},{"week":17,"averageReturn":2.2,"sample":18},{"week":18,"averageReturn":3.6,"sample":17},{"week":19,"averageReturn":3.9,"sample":17},{"week":20,"averageReturn":3.2,"sample":17},{"week":21,"averageReturn":3.4,"sample":16},{"week":22,"averageReturn":3.7,"sample":16},{"week":23,"averageReturn":4.5,"sample":16},{"week":24,"averageReturn":4.5,"sample":16},{"week":25,"averageReturn":5.5,"sample":15},{"week":26,"averageReturn":5.8,"sample":15}]}},"pricePressureGap":{"label":"Price elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":2,"completedEpisodes":2,"activeEpisodes":0,"medianExpectedMove":7.5,"averageExpectedMove":7.5,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":8.5,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":2,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":50.0,"averageReturn":-3.2,"medianReturn":-3.2,"confidenceLow":9.5,"confidenceHigh":90.5,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":2,"expectedCount":2,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-4.1,"medianReturn":-4.1,"confidenceLow":34.2,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":1.1,"sample":2},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-3.0,"sample":2},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-1.7,"sample":2},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-3.2,"sample":2},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-2.3,"sample":2},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-5.4,"sample":2},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-7.1,"sample":2},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-5.4,"sample":2},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-5.2,"sample":2},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-5.4,"sample":2},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-5.2,"sample":2},{"week":12,"averageReturn":-4.1,"sample":2},{"week":13,"averageReturn":-3.9,"sample":2},{"week":14,"averageReturn":-3.2,"sample":2},{"week":15,"averageReturn":-3.6,"sample":2},{"week":16,"averageReturn":-5.1,"sample":2},{"week":17,"averageReturn":-2.5,"sample":1},{"week":18,"averageReturn":-2.1,"sample":1},{"week":19,"averageReturn":-5.6,"sample":1},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Repair in progress","tone":"caution","headline":"Market Dynamics is repairing while price remains rotational","use":"The repair is constructive, but price has not yet established a clear response.","confirm":"Treat the repair as constructive context until price confirms it.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"negative","direction":"strengthening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Market Dynamics remains below zero, but it has improved across the recent completed path. This is an early repair watch until price confirms it.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"sample":0},"nowContext":{"label":"Stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Strengthened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price has no clear direction","detail":"Price remains rotational while the Market Dynamics condition develops."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 60.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 5 cases. Distinct visits lasted 5.6 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 7.4% across 21 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 6.2 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"distribution_rollovers":[{"date":"2026-03-06","price":11.105062},{"date":"2026-04-17","price":10.95},{"date":"2026-05-15","price":11.15}],"price_pressure_gaps":[{"date":"2026-04-03","price":11.541506},{"date":"2026-04-24","price":11.6}]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[8.9747,9.1073,9.2399,9.2841,9.5936,9.6378,9.7262,10.0357,10.3894,10.3045,10.0775,9.5782,9.3966,9.1697,9.3058,9.3966,9.4874,9.2604,9.442,9.5328,9.3966,9.5328,9.3058,9.3966,9.2151,9.0789,9.0244,9.0244,9.3058,9.442,9.3512,10.1229,9.3859,9.3108,9.4328,9.5736,9.8552,9.7144,9.949,9.8082,9.8082,10.1368,10.1368,9.8552,10.1368,10.2306,10.0898,10.1368,10.4183,10.2775,9.996,10.1368,9.949,10.0429,9.996,9.8082,9.8552,9.6205,9.9021,10.1837,9.8552,10.0382,10.3292,9.9897,9.9897,10.2322,10.2807,10.1837,10.1837,10.1352,10.1837,10.4262,10.2807,10.3777,11.1051,11.5415,11.687,11.2505,11.1051,11.493,11.1051,11.299,11.1051,11.1051,11.5415,11.8,10.95,11.6,11.6,11.5,11.15,10.8,11.1,10.75,10.7,10.8,11.2,11.2,11.15,11.0,11.05,11.25,11.3,10.9],"consensus":[0.0,29.2767,37.7593,25.9531,55.7979,41.0932,43.1408,68.4841,69.3262,27.1591,13.2296,-44.75,-33.5795,-46.0137,0.0,0.0,0.0,-24.8959,13.4909,13.3899,-14.2605,18.1091,-27.3027,8.0964,-29.6046,-38.3562,-28.0461,-25.0261,27.5809,30.098,0.0,71.0512,-33.5112,0.0,0.0,0.0,42.2485,0.0,36.1664,0.0,0.0,48.6134,14.3315,-15.7082,43.6163,28.2052,0.0,12.8444,41.9581,0.0,-24.0764,11.9342,-32.3057,0.0,0.0,-37.5369,0.0,-44.867,23.1091,40.9218,-36.7871,27.5939,51.9381,-35.9493,0.0,28.2191,9.3753,0.0,0.0,0.0,14.5429,40.4857,0.0,23.9942,69.3098,54.5598,56.896,0.0,0.0,50.6685,-24.4074,29.5552,-13.0305,0.0,50.1263,46.5399,-45.2657,55.2495,21.9537,0.0,-21.1251,-44.4375,10.699,-29.5761,-37.6279,-15.3884,12.4569,8.1288,0.0,-8.4616,0.0,21.6302,17.7516,-36.516],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[-24.3692,0.0,0.0,-39.0275,0.0,-44.4149,31.6044,39.7126,-36.6739,16.9698,47.7469,-34.2443,0.0,25.8432,10.2685,0.0,0.0,0.0,26.3104,39.8458,0.0,22.492,62.6497,40.9082,57.1232,0.0,0.0,64.714,-21.8422,34.0598,-19.2755,0.0,44.8893,41.9002,-43.6475,52.7711,26.4401,0.0,-29.6937,-31.4729,25.6098,-24.2409,-44.1408,-19.7231,0.3299,2.2312,0.0,-11.7694,0.0,26.9234,21.1896,-37.3503],"force":[-57.7633,0.0,0.0,-44.9427,0.0,-49.7627,56.4685,59.7073,-74.4801,55.9614,79.3217,-73.7667,0.0,38.5593,0.9059,0.0,0.0,0.0,14.7472,51.4806,0.0,21.7658,94.0784,63.9926,44.6446,0.0,0.0,51.9378,-60.9037,29.2461,-33.4763,0.0,71.6177,53.12,-85.1791,87.3885,17.0721,0.0,-33.1884,-68.4351,34.7743,-19.8928,-23.0054,-1.5161,37.4633,3.0229,0.0,-14.8088,0.0,29.2523,14.5082,-61.5061],"direction":[-23.1918,0.0,0.0,-30.5436,0.0,-41.8867,10.428,28.8854,-9.9928,19.4731,37.1683,-10.8855,0.0,23.5486,14.404,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.9485,33.3634,0.0,27.3026,59.2295,63.4238,65.3874,0.0,0.0,33.7098,-1.2703,24.628,-8.7108,0.0,40.7604,47.1422,-18.6054,35.1256,20.3133,0.0,-2.7157,-42.1131,23.5385,-42.59,-40.6291,-20.3433,8.4545,18.5161,0.0,-0.1476,0.0,10.1363,16.139,-17.7124],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Dynamics has stronger support","headline":"The gauges support the downward view","summary":"The completed evidence gives the downward view the clearer support.","take":"Current assessment: downward pressure has the stronger support.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Market Dynamics","direction":"downward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Seller control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is strengthening","forceState":"Downward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is strengthening","directionState":"Downward follow-through","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Strong support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Elevated"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-36.5","detail":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-37.4","detail":"Seller control supports the view","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-61.5","detail":"Downward commitment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"-17.7","detail":"Downward follow-through","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"80/100","detail":"Strong support","tone":"positive"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Rotational","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"47.8","detail":"Negative","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"4.7%","detail":"Normal","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"17.9","detail":"Range-led","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Range position","value":"34%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility 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