{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"MSTZ Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-21","ticker":{"uuid":"21d4e21b-c1f2-4da7-978b-73da0f1a0c98","symbol":"MSTZ","name":"SavvyShort (-2X) MSTR ETF","exchange":"TOR","country":"CA","asset_type":"etf","currency":"CAD","sector":null,"industry":null},"summary":"The completed price path and its progression through the positioning zones can be described, but there is not enough usable Market Dynamics history to confirm or challenge the technical state.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Drawdown and recovery pressure, Activity pressure and cumulative balance, Range pressure and compression, Range position and boundary pressure, Directional strength and control."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-21","observations":29,"displayedObservations":29,"assetType":"ETF","state":"Aligned downward","stateTone":"negative","summary":"The completed price path and its progression through the positioning zones can be described, but there is not enough usable Market Dynamics history to confirm or challenge the technical state.","evidenceAlignment":{"status":"Evidence developing","headline":"Price structure is visible; Market Dynamics is not yet established","summary":"The completed price path and its progression through the positioning zones can be described, but there is not enough usable Market Dynamics history to confirm or challenge the technical state.","take":"Treat movement through the zones as price-location context only. Reaching the upper zone shows extension, but without an established Market Dynamics read it does not by itself establish active distribution, divergence or reversal risk.","tone":"neutral","conflict":false},"marketDynamics":{"available":true,"readAvailable":false,"dates":["2026-08-21"],"values":[0.039544],"opens":[8.48],"highs":[8.48],"lows":[4.43],"closes":[4.66],"hoverRows":[[{"label":"Open","value":"8.48","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"8.48","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"4.43","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"4.66","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}]],"pressureRange":[-2.3,2.3],"priceRange":[3.54,5.78],"zones":{"accumulationBoundary":-1.5,"accumulationDarkBoundary":-2.0,"distributionBoundary":1.5,"distributionDarkBoundary":2.0},"state":"Insufficient history","context":{"scenario":"developing","latestDirection":"steady","fourWeekDirection":"steady","now":{"label":"Little changed this week","detail":"Market Dynamics remains positive and was little changed this week."},"fourWeek":{"label":"Broadly steady over four weeks","detail":"The broader path has not changed enough to establish a new direction."},"price":{"label":"Price and Market Dynamics are broadly aligned","detail":"The current price response is broadly consistent with the underlying Market Dynamics path."}},"diagnosis":{"label":"Zone progression","detail":"Price is travelling between the lower accumulation area and the upper positioning zone. Market Dynamics history is not yet sufficient to confirm or challenge that progression.","tone":"neutral"},"chartSummary":"Price is between the outer positioning zones. The Market Dynamics bars show whether underlying support is strengthening or weakening.","summary":"Price is travelling between the lower accumulation area and the upper positioning zone. Market Dynamics history is not yet sufficient to confirm or challenge that progression.","annotations":[{"label":"Current tape relationship","value":"Zone progression","detail":"Market Dynamics remains positive and was little changed this week.","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Price location","value":"Between zones","detail":"Price is progressing between the lower and upper positioning zones while the Market Dynamics read develops.","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Latest positioning marker","value":"None in view","detail":"Entering the lower zone alone does not create a positioning confirmation.","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Market Dynamics confirmation","value":"Unavailable","detail":"Too little usable Market Dynamics history is available for a directional confirmation read.","tone":"neutral"}],"relationshipEvidence":{"available":false,"observations":21,"summary":"More completed weekly history is needed for a dependable ticker-level record."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"reversal_warnings":[],"reversal_dangers":[]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"close":[11.26,10.15,10.48,10.22,8.95,8.14,8.43,9.68,10.61,8.92,4.92,4.44,3.95,3.52,3.76,4.58,4.57,7.49,6.82,8.14,14.24,8.0,9.53,9.2,9.58,8.85,7.56,8.56,4.66],"consensus":[-94.3348,-63.3028,-48.3146,-22.1455,-13.5501,-8.3969,0.0,11.1096,13.7356,-11.5769,-49.8669,-28.7968,-37.4788,-35.6955,-9.9668,0.0,-11.1054,23.4113,0.0,22.6881,64.9612,0.0,28.8243,0.0,9.8285,0.0,-19.8149,15.8917,-60.0932],"supportDates":["2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"control":[null,null,null,null,null,-5.1348,0.0,18.9207,16.1648,-14.3925,-45.0984,-23.3564,-36.3436,-35.8217,-4.1535,0.0,-17.6744,17.4162,0.0,21.6899,70.0286,0.0,32.4325,0.0,22.8878,0.0,-18.9016,23.0564,-56.8931],"force":[-94.3348,-63.3028,-48.3146,-22.1455,-4.2416,-1.9815,0.0,18.932,16.2218,-18.737,-74.851,-17.6667,-26.3162,-21.717,-6.6679,0.0,-3.2232,34.9735,0.0,18.3811,67.8912,0.0,26.7523,0.0,6.6714,0.0,-29.0076,26.1234,-89.9202],"direction":[null,null,null,null,-20.1991,-16.7074,0.0,3.4049,9.1836,-3.2446,-37.4709,-42.9643,-46.7494,-45.5358,-28.4925,0.0,-9.2281,22.004,0.0,26.9052,57.0771,0.0,26.1808,0.0,2.8414,0.0,-14.2924,0.3952,-42.4456],"intensity":[null,null,null,null,75.0,60.0,16.6667,57.1429,75.0,77.7778,90.0,90.9091,16.6667,46.1538,7.1429,33.3333,31.25,82.3529,22.2222,63.1579,95.0,95.2381,54.5455,17.3913,62.5,20.0,50.0,37.037,82.1429],"confirmation":[52.8538,42.9235,38.1273,29.7532,26.5772,25.2079,3.3574,49.7342,72.4342,49.2132,84.7915,76.9587,79.6703,78.9946,26.8602,27.2968,48.5467,75.9353,25.0164,75.1441,88.7997,49.5784,77.1057,26.7178,26.1227,24.6799,74.6348,50.6213,55.0],"persistence":[null,null,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,85.7143,62.5,37.5,37.5,37.5,37.5,37.5,37.5,50.0,62.5,87.5,62.5,50.0,25.0,0.0,12.5,37.5,37.5,62.5,50.0,37.5,37.5,12.5],"assessmentRisk":[null,null,null,null,43.1436,45.6939,49.9738,33.8344,40.9243,39.1466,24.2831,35.5504,31.2563,32.1315,30.9389,3.644,27.486,37.6756,46.3629,37.4939,17.4989,12.3135,22.4984,19.6192,52.1768,14.1219,21.672,19.7755,16.7736],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":-60.1,"control":-56.9,"force":-89.9,"direction":-42.4,"confirmation":55.0,"persistence":12.5,"assessmentRisk":16.8,"intensity":82.1,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Price structure has the available support","headline":"The gauges support the price-technical view","summary":"Market Dynamics does not provide a directional confirmation. The completed evidence supports the downward price structure.","take":"Current assessment: follow price structure with limited confirmation.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Price structure","direction":"downward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Seller control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is strengthening","forceState":"Downward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is strengthening","directionState":"Downward follow-through","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Qualified support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Elevated"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-60.1","detail":"Price structure has the available support","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-56.9","detail":"Seller control supports the view","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-89.9","detail":"Downward commitment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"-42.4","detail":"Downward follow-through","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"55/100","detail":"Qualified support","tone":"neutral"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Aligned downward","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"37.4","detail":"Negative","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"77.2%","detail":"Elevated","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"29.7","detail":"Directional","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Range position","value":"13%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price and its trend references are aligned downward.","series":[{"label":"Close","values":[11.26,10.15,10.48,10.22,8.95,8.14,8.43,9.68,10.61,8.92,4.92,4.44,3.95,3.52,3.76,4.58,4.57,7.49,6.82,8.14,14.24,8.0,9.53,9.2,9.58,8.85,7.56,8.56,4.66],"stroke":"#10243b","width":2.1},{"label":"Fast trend","values":[null,null,null,null,10.4798,10.0544,9.7591,9.7447,9.902,9.7235,8.8501,8.0483,7.3031,6.6153,6.0961,5.8205,5.5931,5.938,6.0984,6.4696,7.8824,7.9038,8.1994,8.3814,8.5993,8.6449,8.4476,8.4681,7.7757],"stroke":"#176fa3","width":1.7},{"label":"Slow trend","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,9.1355,8.7196,8.3522,8.0728,7.8133,7.7893,7.7175,7.7488,8.2297,8.2127,8.3102,8.3761,8.4653,8.4938,8.4246,8.4347,8.1551],"stroke":"#07865c","width":1.8},{"label":"Upper envelope","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,11.6393,12.5643,12.9895,13.2309,13.3661,13.3444,13.193,13.0351,12.8801,12.7096,12.6215,13.3412,13.1181,12.9843,12.8483,12.9224,12.985,12.924,12.7972,12.4065],"stroke":"#98a9b8","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]},{"label":"Lower envelope","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,7.7287,5.9375,4.7105,3.7153,2.8725,2.3129,2.0583,1.8566,2.0165,2.1209,2.2815,1.8598,1.8679,1.9067,1.9407,1.9296,1.938,1.912,1.9268,1.7225],"stroke":"#98a9b8","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]}],"guides":[],"dates":["2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"]},{"key":"drawdown","eyebrow":"Path risk","title":"Drawdown and recovery pressure","description":"Capital impairment and recovery are shown together so return is not separated from path difficulty.","reason":"Selected because the current recovery or drawdown path is central to the tape.","series":[{"label":"Drawdown","values":[0.0,-9.8579,-6.9272,-9.2362,-20.5151,-27.7087,-25.1332,-14.032,-5.7726,-20.7815,-56.3055,-60.5684,-64.9201,-68.7389,-66.6075,-59.325,-59.4139,-33.4813,-39.4316,-27.7087,0.0,-43.8202,-33.0758,-35.3933,-32.7247,-37.8511,-46.9101,-39.8876,-67.2753],"stroke":"#c13f3f","width":1.9,"fill":"rgba(193,63,63,.10)"},{"label":"Recovery","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,18.9189,30.344,9.5823,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,6.8182,30.1136,29.8295,112.7841,93.75,131.25,304.5455,127.2727,170.7386,161.3636,172.1591,151.4205,114.7727,143.1818,32.3864],"stroke":"#07865c","width":1.7}],"guides":[{"label":"Prior high","values":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0],"stroke":"#8fa0af","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]}],"dates":["2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"]},{"key":"participation","eyebrow":"Participation","title":"Activity pressure and cumulative balance","description":"Observed activity is compared with its normal backdrop while cumulative balance tracks directional participation.","reason":"Selected because participation is confirming or diverging from the latest price path.","series":[{"label":"Activity versus norm","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,50.7916,39.6988,99.8152,263.3585,185.7853,163.5003,139.4762,126.6848,71.7337,47.6032,68.1285,39.8918,1.4966,67.8456,2.2527,5.5071,4.6792,57.2568,75.2759,81.164,90.4506,279.3572],"stroke":"#1678a7","width":1.8},{"label":"Cumulative balance","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,82.1909,85.1063,77.7775,65.0,65.0,65.0,65.0,69.989,72.7617,70.9801,73.483,72.0648,72.1154,74.4479,74.3767,74.5472,74.4048,76.1265,73.9795,71.7744,74.2774,65.4684],"stroke":"#07865c","width":1.7}],"guides":[{"label":"Typical activity","values":[100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0],"stroke":"#8fa0af","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]}],"dates":["2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"]},{"key":"volatility","eyebrow":"Risk geometry","title":"Range pressure and compression","description":"Movement pressure and envelope width show whether risk is expanding, settling or compressed.","reason":"Selected because current variability is unusually compressed or expanded versus this ticker's own tape.","series":[{"label":"Range pressure","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,165.304,145.1427,111.9865,106.2938,63.6173,66.3219,52.8967,31.1523,57.526,46.1528,45.1155,42.0654,43.6547,49.4471,41.5275,77.164],"stroke":"#c13f3f","width":1.9},{"label":"Envelope width","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,40.3826,71.6334,93.5484,112.3045,129.2424,140.9109,146.0167,150.13,145.8531,142.7968,138.7636,151.0613,150.1421,148.7814,147.5087,148.0325,148.0544,148.4503,147.6551,151.2364],"stroke":"#b87806","width":1.7}],"guides":[],"dates":["2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"]},{"key":"range","eyebrow":"Acceptance map","title":"Range position and boundary pressure","description":"Price location inside its observed range shows whether the tape is pressing an outer boundary or rotating through value.","reason":"Selected because price is testing an observed boundary or moving rapidly through its recent range.","series":[{"label":"Range position","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,18.251,24.1445,13.4347,3.1267,3.2533,0.7459,0.3659,2.9897,7.2165,7.1649,22.2165,18.7629,25.567,57.0103,24.8454,32.732,31.0309,32.9897,29.2268,39.495,48.5122,13.3454],"stroke":"#10243b","width":2.0},{"label":"From high","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,-57.1302,-53.0115,-60.496,-78.2108,-80.3366,-82.5066,-84.411,-83.3481,-79.7166,-79.7609,-66.8291,-69.7963,-63.9504,-36.9353,-64.5704,-57.7945,-59.256,-57.5731,-60.806,-47.0217,-40.014,-67.3441],"stroke":"#c13f3f","width":1.5},{"label":"From low","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,42.3529,56.0294,31.1765,13.1034,15.9269,3.6745,2.029,18.239,44.0252,43.7107,135.5346,114.4654,155.9748,347.7987,151.5723,199.6855,189.3082,201.2579,178.3019,137.7358,169.1824,46.5409],"stroke":"#07865c","width":1.5}],"guides":[{"label":"Range centre","values":[50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0],"stroke":"#8fa0af","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]}],"dates":["2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"]},{"key":"directional","eyebrow":"Trend quality","title":"Directional strength and control","description":"Directional pressure shows which side controls the tape while strength remains direction-neutral.","reason":"Selected because directional control or trend strength is materially changing.","series":[{"label":"Trend strength","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,32.2683,30.3499,29.7415],"stroke":"#10243b","width":2.0},{"label":"Positive direction","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,1.9371,1.9178,2.8418,4.1244,7.8018,7.6318,8.589,17.354,15.5332,17.5114,17.6958,16.9242,16.3923,15.7314,15.4419,14.1751],"stroke":"#07865c","width":1.6},{"label":"Negative direction","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,8.3817,8.6518,8.5481,8.381,7.9337,9.0084,8.7872,7.9199,14.9735,14.548,14.3152,16.6156,16.0933,17.6228,17.2085,22.0937],"stroke":"#c13f3f","width":1.6}],"guides":[],"dates":["2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"]}]},"canonical_url":"https://sharemaestro.com/terminal/21d4e21b-c1f2-4da7-978b-73da0f1a0c98/technical-pack/","technicals_url":"https://sharemaestro.com/terminal/21d4e21b-c1f2-4da7-978b-73da0f1a0c98/technicals/","canonical_technicals_url":"https://sharemaestro.com/terminal/21d4e21b-c1f2-4da7-978b-73da0f1a0c98/technicals/","distributions":{"pdf":"https://sharemaestro.com/terminal/21d4e21b-c1f2-4da7-978b-73da0f1a0c98/technical-pack/download.pdf","json":"https://sharemaestro.com/terminal/21d4e21b-c1f2-4da7-978b-73da0f1a0c98/technical-pack/data.json"},"source_fingerprint":"d0bd2997eab26bb7136f2c5ce68a11c9a380e30f8c0b74c7a712afec1574ba1c","content_hash":"310064c922af24ff8295c2e49f98a491bd05a6f3f9b46100c595240fb6a2d964","citation":"Sharemaestro, MSTZ Technical Research Pack, completed week 2026-08-21, https://sharemaestro.com/terminal/21d4e21b-c1f2-4da7-978b-73da0f1a0c98/technical-pack/","data_notes":{"time_series":"Parallel time-series arrays align by index with their dates array.","events":"Sparse chart markers are published as compact dated event records rather than null-filled arrays.","missing_values":"A remaining null in an aligned series means that observation is genuinely unavailable; zero remains a valid value."},"boundary":"Completed market observations and published proprietary outputs only. Market Dynamics construction and private inputs are not disclosed. Historical research is not a forecast or instruction to trade."}