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elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":2,"completedEpisodes":1,"activeEpisodes":1,"medianExpectedMove":28.0,"averageExpectedMove":28.0,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":12.0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":2,"expectedCount":2,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-18.8,"medianReturn":-18.8,"confidenceLow":34.2,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-28.0,"medianReturn":-28.0,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-48.4,"medianReturn":-48.4,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-4.0,"sample":2},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-15.6,"sample":2},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-18.7,"sample":2},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-18.8,"sample":2},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-21.7,"sample":2},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-22.7,"sample":2},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-27.2,"sample":2},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-27.3,"sample":2},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-25.3,"sample":2},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-19.8,"sample":2},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-23.7,"sample":2},{"week":12,"averageReturn":-28.0,"sample":1},{"week":13,"averageReturn":-27.2,"sample":1},{"week":14,"averageReturn":-23.6,"sample":1},{"week":15,"averageReturn":-22.6,"sample":1},{"week":16,"averageReturn":-20.6,"sample":1},{"week":17,"averageReturn":-32.2,"sample":1},{"week":18,"averageReturn":-31.2,"sample":1},{"week":19,"averageReturn":-32.3,"sample":1},{"week":20,"averageReturn":-35.4,"sample":1},{"week":21,"averageReturn":-37.1,"sample":1},{"week":22,"averageReturn":-45.3,"sample":1},{"week":23,"averageReturn":-44.1,"sample":1},{"week":24,"averageReturn":-47.4,"sample":1},{"week":25,"averageReturn":-47.6,"sample":1},{"week":26,"averageReturn":-48.4,"sample":1}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Evidence aligned downward","tone":"negative","headline":"Price and Market Dynamics remain aligned downward","use":"The downside remains supported until Market Dynamics repairs or price structure changes.","confirm":"The downside state remains confirmed until Market Dynamics repairs or price structure changes.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"negative","direction":"strengthening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Price is between the accumulation and distribution zones. The Market Dynamics bars describe whether the current move is gaining or losing underlying support.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"lower","percent":47.4,"averageReturn":18.0,"sample":19},"nowContext":{"label":"Stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price structure is downward","detail":"Price is responding in the same broad direction as Market Dynamics."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Capital protection","title":"Treat agreement on the downside as a defensive condition","tone":"negative","approach":"Reduce the burden of proof for risk control and raise it for new long exposure. A short position still needs a defined entry, exit and maximum loss.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 47.4% of comparable cases moved lower after 12 weeks, with an average move of 18.0% across 19 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 75.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 4 cases. Distinct visits lasted 10.2 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 11.6% across 17 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 7.9 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[{"date":"2025-05-23","price":3100.0},{"date":"2025-07-04","price":3452.0}],"distribution_rollovers":[{"date":"2025-11-14","price":4680.0},{"date":"2025-12-05","price":4670.0}],"price_pressure_gaps":[{"date":"2024-09-27","price":5038.0},{"date":"2026-05-29","price":5250.0}]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[4355.5,4445.0,4290.0,4518.0,4643.0,5038.0,4410.0,4052.01,3990.3799,3956.5801,4159.0,3911.99,3930.0,3827.0,4000.0,3910.0,4030.0,3629.0,3666.0,3850.0,3900.0,4002.0,3415.0,3466.47,3410.0,3255.05,3170.0,2757.0,2816.3899,2651.0,2640.0,2599.0,2625.3501,2554.8,2631.0,2763.9399,2584.0,2750.0,3467.01,3100.0,3092.3999,3133.01,3330.0,2790.95,2840.0,3452.0,3050.0,3290.3701,3402.0,3530.0,3485.0,3739.8201,3747.0,3679.0,3787.51,3805.4299,3947.28,4090.0,4200.0,4211.0,4230.0,4419.9902,4999.0,5140.0,4680.0,4514.8999,4960.0,4670.0,4878.0,4770.0,4825.0,4799.6401,4268.0,4378.0,4187.5298,3920.0,3737.0,3810.0,4080.0,3361.8501,3365.0,3567.9199,3419.0,3410.0,3545.0,3520.0,3291.1299,3400.0,3525.0,3745.0,4026.0,4452.0,5250.0,5482.0,4642.5,4380.0,4400.0,3892.0,4042.55,3550.01,3650.0,3677.0,4350.0,3814.0],"consensus":[47.6021,19.3945,0.0,40.582,35.7668,66.2892,-25.0534,-56.2794,-45.049,-29.1711,13.9093,-43.4001,-15.4798,-19.4534,15.2963,-28.7833,0.0,-55.2522,-23.8832,12.3402,-12.8438,27.5145,-64.4169,-16.8338,-46.3795,-59.3195,-50.1861,-75.6283,-19.0365,-67.7984,-26.696,-39.6427,-30.8709,-42.2396,-12.0559,18.8561,-41.6701,28.8982,63.9879,-12.029,26.9183,30.1048,45.8043,-48.4724,0.0,63.0073,-31.1419,43.9423,44.0154,39.9343,27.6521,56.6707,21.4837,18.6255,43.9341,24.7984,51.3784,48.1781,52.6259,33.539,23.7066,56.1112,76.8756,63.433,0.0,0.0,53.9703,-19.6619,49.7894,15.0432,0.0,11.4844,-63.5013,0.0,-62.769,-55.6043,-61.8779,-31.7508,8.7332,-75.2816,-50.1528,0.0,-60.8307,-24.1189,0.0,-10.196,-63.374,0.0,13.2931,40.9472,64.7809,73.3657,84.5264,54.9071,16.3216,0.0,0.0,-42.8251,-13.8152,-70.4436,-10.1023,-14.3772,60.0198,-42.0789],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[11.173,15.596,48.9399,26.5188,61.7881,47.6065,46.6608,27.4423,13.0238,56.1796,84.3812,67.3933,0.0,0.0,72.2994,-21.7885,60.0974,9.4309,0.0,9.0141,-56.8871,0.0,-58.6637,-56.1682,-68.3851,-24.3216,24.8323,-68.621,-55.8342,0.0,-63.8076,-27.5943,0.0,-1.2824,-66.0565,0.0,16.4177,34.4012,60.9887,74.8267,86.0269,51.0317,3.4862,0.0,0.0,-45.0905,-6.352,-76.7821,-2.8829,-6.1886,62.4229,-51.9451],"force":[1.9867,3.5227,29.9241,5.0969,37.9761,35.2087,52.374,9.3985,0.0563,55.1786,76.2275,47.7891,0.0,0.0,48.4748,-51.0222,44.4535,2.9076,0.0,3.2739,-96.4723,0.0,-82.8631,-45.4248,-47.5123,-0.7622,39.0601,-97.9059,-22.1315,0.0,-53.6909,-1.5615,0.0,-7.7728,-80.4503,0.0,50.7565,73.191,88.9544,84.2366,96.7484,28.7375,20.0756,0.0,0.0,-37.711,-2.932,-79.2606,-31.419,-14.326,89.7064,-73.9099],"direction":[50.0319,37.9081,48.2202,36.9048,49.0547,58.0951,59.6231,57.7498,52.8087,56.6992,68.7607,70.081,0.0,0.0,36.9481,-5.1688,41.8203,34.2793,0.0,24.8492,-47.5095,0.0,-53.1079,-62.2309,-64.7024,-62.376,31.3279,-66.7337,-63.6751,0.0,-62.5282,-38.4901,0.0,-33.2176,-48.1108,0.0,17.0375,25.3969,51.848,63.9311,74.0816,78.0286,56.9886,0.0,0.0,-43.889,-34.3067,-56.9017,-54.6007,-44.2379,36.0686,-8.0667],"intensity":[65.3846,75.0,11.5385,3.8462,15.3846,57.6923,15.3846,1.9231,19.2308,44.2308,92.3077,86.5385,84.6154,63.4615,80.7692,65.3846,48.0769,15.3846,59.6154,59.6154,88.4615,76.9231,40.3846,78.8462,36.5385,26.9231,61.5385,98.0769,96.1538,42.3077,25.0,9.6154,15.3846,1.9231,48.0769,13.4615,28.8462,65.3846,61.5385,78.8462,100.0,100.0,96.1538,50.0,1.9231,86.5385,30.7692,84.6154,46.1538,7.6923,90.3846,86.5385],"confirmation":[52.0738,51.4162,81.5556,52.6422,83.874,83.0304,84.9235,78.0897,52.3615,85.9261,92.4661,87.7614,34.8009,31.0762,84.8237,53.6511,83.6129,50.3059,3.4638,49.2946,89.426,31.7135,88.761,85.4746,87.264,54.6624,32.8235,92.8811,83.1084,35.4997,87.2029,52.5489,30.1389,27.1758,88.7592,32.8427,31.6492,82.1855,89.5244,91.7861,95.3981,84.8318,8.592,4.3028,2.2806,81.5137,27.3163,90.7141,9.4829,6.9069,88.0744,90.285],"persistence":[75.0,75.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,87.5,75.0,75.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,37.5,37.5,25.0,25.0,0.0,0.0,25.0,50.0,37.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,50.0,50.0,75.0,62.5,37.5,25.0,0.0,25.0,37.5,62.5,87.5,87.5,75.0,50.0,25.0,0.0,25.0,50.0,50.0,62.5],"assessmentRisk":[31.6654,15.2176,17.8402,0.6855,10.4287,23.5986,23.075,33.2094,37.9997,21.869,11.5569,18.2828,47.9849,22.5754,34.9442,37.4068,6.6901,29.345,23.7644,16.6164,16.3203,42.7285,16.9732,22.0673,17.4604,33.2458,24.3341,10.6859,18.865,35.8567,18.8256,20.9175,25.0002,4.5208,7.7124,5.1029,10.7262,15.4494,17.2648,13.2709,7.7367,22.5464,38.5266,8.1562,49.4298,28.5506,38.2409,12.852,42.1634,16.3283,0.5433,46.3381],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":-42.1,"control":-51.9,"force":-73.9,"direction":-8.1,"confirmation":90.3,"persistence":62.5,"assessmentRisk":46.3,"intensity":86.5,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Joint downward confirmation","headline":"The gauges support the downward market view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics agree. Control, force and direction support the same downward assessment.","take":"Current assessment: downward pressure has broad support.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Price structure and Market Dynamics","direction":"downward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Seller control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is easing","forceState":"Downward commitment","forcePath":"Broadly stable","directionState":"Follow-through is limited","persistenceState":"Developing","confirmationState":"Strong support","riskState":"Present","intensityState":"Elevated"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-42.1","detail":"Joint downward confirmation","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-51.9","detail":"Seller control supports the view","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-73.9","detail":"Downward commitment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"-8.1","detail":"Follow-through is 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