{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"SUY1V Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"2402d582-04e0-4678-a5a0-9b6410648b7c","symbol":"SUY1V","name":"Suominen Oyj","exchange":"HEL","country":"FI","asset_type":"equity","currency":"EUR","sector":"Consumer Defensive","industry":"Household & Personal Products"},"summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path. 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elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":1,"completedEpisodes":1,"activeEpisodes":0,"medianExpectedMove":13.4,"averageExpectedMove":13.4,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":12.0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-2.6,"medianReturn":-2.6,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-13.4,"medianReturn":-13.4,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-21.6,"medianReturn":-21.6,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-0.4,"sample":1},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-4.1,"sample":1},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-2.2,"sample":1},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-2.6,"sample":1},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-4.1,"sample":1},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-3.3,"sample":1},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-2.6,"sample":1},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-1.9,"sample":1},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-8.9,"sample":1},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-7.1,"sample":1},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-12.6,"sample":1},{"week":12,"averageReturn":-13.4,"sample":1},{"week":13,"averageReturn":-13.4,"sample":1},{"week":14,"averageReturn":-16.7,"sample":1},{"week":15,"averageReturn":-22.3,"sample":1},{"week":16,"averageReturn":-23.4,"sample":1},{"week":17,"averageReturn":-21.2,"sample":1},{"week":18,"averageReturn":-21.9,"sample":1},{"week":19,"averageReturn":-12.6,"sample":1},{"week":20,"averageReturn":-7.8,"sample":1},{"week":21,"averageReturn":-4.5,"sample":1},{"week":22,"averageReturn":-10.8,"sample":1},{"week":23,"averageReturn":-12.6,"sample":1},{"week":24,"averageReturn":-19.3,"sample":1},{"week":25,"averageReturn":-15.2,"sample":1},{"week":26,"averageReturn":-21.6,"sample":1}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Underlying strength ahead of price","tone":"caution","headline":"Underlying strength is leading price","use":"A positive price response is needed before the early upside case is confirmed.","confirm":"Treat the gap as an early-upside opportunity watch. A continued positive price response would confirm that price is catching up with the stronger foundation.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"positive","direction":"strengthening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Market Dynamics has strengthened across the recent completed path and remains strongly positive, while price has not advanced as far through its range. The gap is an early-upside watch; a positive price response is needed for confirmation.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"higher","percent":12.5,"averageReturn":-7.5,"sample":16},"nowContext":{"label":"Stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Strengthened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price is lagging the underlying strength","detail":"Market Dynamics has advanced further through its recent range than price. This is positive divergence and an early-upside watch, but price confirmation is still required."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Early repair watch","title":"Prepare the case before price confirms the recovery","tone":"recovery","approach":"Use the improvement to move the ticker onto a watchlist or define an entry trigger. Commitment should rise only after price responds; fading Market Dynamics cancels the early case.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 12.5% of comparable cases moved higher after 12 weeks, with an average move of -7.5% across 16 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use distribution to protect capital before considering the short case","tone":"negative","finding":"After distribution, 71.4% of completed 12-week outcomes were lower across 7 cases. Distinct visits lasted 4.3 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Review long exposure and define the evidence that would confirm a rollover. Short exposure should begin only after price weakens and the loss limit is known.","watch":"A sustained repair in price and Market Dynamics invalidates the downside setup."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use improving Market Dynamics to prepare, not anticipate","tone":"recovery","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average recovery of 4.2% across 16 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 3.9 weeks on average.","approach":"Define the price level that would confirm the repair. Until that response occurs, keep the idea at watchlist or starter-position size.","watch":"The early repair fails if Market Dynamics fades before price responds."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[{"date":"2026-08-14","price":0.7}],"distribution_rollovers":[{"date":"2024-09-06","price":2.58}],"price_pressure_gaps":[{"date":"2024-08-23","price":2.69}]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[2.69,2.68,2.58,2.63,2.62,2.58,2.6,2.62,2.64,2.45,2.5,2.35,2.33,2.33,2.24,2.09,2.06,2.12,2.1,2.35,2.48,2.57,2.4,2.35,2.17,2.28,2.11,2.15,2.1,2.09,2.08,2.04,2.03,2.1,2.12,2.1,2.06,2.07,2.1,2.12,2.16,2.06,2.04,1.97,1.92,1.92,1.9,2.0,2.0,1.905,1.695,1.82,1.8,1.87,1.895,1.87,1.895,1.885,1.88,1.865,1.68,1.665,1.67,1.79,1.705,1.63,1.65,1.63,1.7,1.655,1.695,1.89,1.79,1.79,1.705,1.55,1.545,1.565,1.535,1.55,1.495,1.28,1.22,1.165,1.15,1.18,1.185,1.23,1.11,0.982,1.02,0.992,1.035,0.6682,0.62,0.59,0.588,0.48,0.538,0.576,0.73,0.722,0.696,0.7],"consensus":[17.3285,0.0,-37.9373,0.0,0.0,-22.3126,0.0,0.0,11.4974,-58.8,0.0,-64.1591,-50.1235,-30.1635,-61.9852,-72.1639,-49.8821,0.0,-39.2689,49.2067,45.5992,40.7213,-8.8236,-14.2728,-47.003,10.2529,-58.7861,-17.2124,-22.8972,-14.2189,-10.1808,-20.409,-29.1356,0.0,10.7238,0.0,-11.1595,0.0,0.0,15.5373,29.2391,-35.9167,-22.3131,-35.1909,-44.7988,-33.895,-28.9162,24.9653,0.0,-40.0982,-70.6534,0.0,-33.2817,0.0,22.3845,-10.8481,18.1702,0.0,0.0,0.0,-64.6334,-47.3792,-30.1254,24.8603,-32.3948,-42.1323,-8.0683,-25.1776,21.8979,-25.8904,9.6241,60.4943,0.0,19.9496,-22.3921,-59.5149,-36.9791,-16.9192,-41.3405,-13.2252,-29.6819,-73.8654,-59.3048,-53.4075,-38.7412,-30.6797,-15.7913,0.0,-55.5898,-74.9252,-30.5905,-50.0351,-10.8202,-58.1852,-35.5162,-44.781,-43.6358,-77.0858,-8.8679,0.0,36.3725,0.0,-18.0968,-8.6463],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[-30.3672,0.0,17.3038,-15.2188,19.3357,0.0,0.0,0.0,-61.1303,-53.5984,-27.1919,30.3299,-43.0,-44.2816,-3.9483,-13.934,19.5236,-27.3125,5.7115,49.9745,0.0,16.4398,-28.8601,-50.9416,-36.6295,-7.0985,-43.6381,-17.3482,-28.1098,-73.3319,-64.3387,-49.0041,-32.7882,-32.253,-7.709,0.0,-67.2168,-76.9715,-27.7239,-46.9039,-2.256,-59.4088,-22.0455,-31.7815,-40.3792,-78.6212,-4.3889,0.0,30.0758,0.0,-34.9406,-28.2198],"force":[-24.8796,0.0,41.4963,-18.6992,25.6368,0.0,0.0,0.0,-91.6863,-32.6326,-9.3744,72.4044,-36.4482,-48.7158,-13.8181,-17.8811,69.0084,-42.8436,26.2635,90.3445,0.0,12.7621,-36.061,-89.1784,-24.0223,-3.165,-35.4511,-5.5564,-24.932,-93.0515,-45.1335,-43.2209,-11.2307,-4.7329,-10.9392,0.0,-51.8027,-90.1291,-1.8203,-43.5304,-21.5616,-43.3608,-9.2099,-30.9352,-13.4884,-86.0855,-53.5214,0.0,91.3212,0.0,-24.0606,-1.1931],"direction":[-42.6139,0.0,14.5397,-0.2451,11.5048,0.0,0.0,0.0,-49.3134,-50.8047,-48.3,15.3507,-17.3792,-34.9735,-28.4101,-43.2392,9.039,-12.1557,2.2103,51.1955,0.0,29.0947,-5.2368,-48.1247,-46.6334,-42.4888,-42.9214,-21.9287,-34.8714,-60.7709,-63.6743,-65.716,-65.1949,-54.1765,-44.1214,0.0,-45.0068,-61.7265,-57.0173,-58.26,-43.7376,-67.3758,-69.7015,-69.5276,-68.8916,-68.9027,-58.5504,0.0,4.3196,0.0,-5.4131,-8.3996],"intensity":[11.5385,38.4615,30.7692,28.8462,34.6154,9.6154,3.8462,9.6154,86.5385,92.3077,26.9231,61.5385,46.1538,63.4615,21.1538,23.0769,57.6923,44.2308,26.9231,98.0769,55.7692,51.9231,53.8462,90.3846,76.9231,42.3077,38.4615,32.6923,71.1538,98.0769,94.2308,55.7692,7.6923,48.0769,61.5385,34.6154,73.0769,78.8462,48.0769,11.5385,17.3077,100.0,36.5385,78.8462,59.6154,69.2308,28.8462,13.4615,84.6154,42.3077,15.3846,1.9231],"confirmation":[78.4385,4.2392,75.8229,48.9774,74.0243,0.9154,1.5775,1.4972,89.5605,82.6171,77.0524,35.2624,78.3283,81.6502,4.9255,76.0058,33.0742,76.7799,26.3131,88.4282,29.5938,74.2183,52.8168,88.0794,79.4438,28.2936,81.0145,50.1155,77.3774,92.2298,86.469,84.847,79.6495,55.0573,6.6954,5.5667,85.4961,92.4082,54.5666,83.8607,7.2059,86.1488,78.7687,82.1061,81.0943,92.9183,12.4225,10.0458,58.7431,47.8125,52.2042,2.904],"persistence":[50.0,37.5,12.5,37.5,25.0,12.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,12.5,37.5,12.5,37.5,50.0,62.5,75.0,50.0,50.0,25.0,25.0,12.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,37.5,62.5,75.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,87.5,62.5,50.0,50.0,50.0],"assessmentRisk":[32.5257,20.1892,37.9807,32.206,31.8372,7.7199,10.184,0.7565,16.8986,25.6175,34.1608,50.7698,33.4689,1.6007,10.2044,36.5629,14.4472,29.8771,22.7381,19.4097,38.3444,36.6699,17.1205,20.1707,31.1692,41.0517,27.7057,6.6126,11.9297,12.802,20.203,23.2684,30.6265,29.5207,15.5301,35.4413,1.3629,12.1372,33.6185,24.8331,32.6146,20.4765,32.1865,27.5557,28.1577,8.4478,27.1378,4.9288,22.9251,44.8457,52.8223,43.8612],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":-8.6,"control":-28.2,"force":-1.2,"direction":-8.4,"confirmation":2.9,"persistence":50.0,"assessmentRisk":43.9,"intensity":1.9,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Price structure has stronger support","headline":"The gauges support the price-technical view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics disagree. The completed evidence gives the downward price structure stronger support.","take":"Current assessment: price structure remains primary, but the disagreement lowers confirmation.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Price structure","direction":"downward","disagreement":true},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Seller control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is strengthening","forceState":"Commitment is limited","forcePath":"Broadly stable","directionState":"Follow-through is limited","persistenceState":"Developing","confirmationState":"Limited support","riskState":"Present","intensityState":"Quiet"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-8.6","detail":"Price structure has stronger support","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-28.2","detail":"Seller control supports the view","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-1.2","detail":"Commitment is limited","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"-8.4","detail":"Follow-through is limited","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"3/100","detail":"Limited support","tone":"caution"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Aligned downward","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"34.4","detail":"Negative","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"15.0%","detail":"Elevated","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"42.1","detail":"Directional","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Range position","value":"19%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price and its trend references are aligned downward.","series":[{"label":"Close","values":[2.69,2.68,2.58,2.63,2.62,2.58,2.6,2.62,2.64,2.45,2.5,2.35,2.33,2.33,2.24,2.09,2.06,2.12,2.1,2.35,2.48,2.57,2.4,2.35,2.17,2.28,2.11,2.15,2.1,2.09,2.08,2.04,2.03,2.1,2.12,2.1,2.06,2.07,2.1,2.12,2.16,2.06,2.04,1.97,1.92,1.92,1.9,2.0,2.0,1.905,1.695,1.82,1.8,1.87,1.895,1.87,1.895,1.885,1.88,1.865,1.68,1.665,1.67,1.79,1.705,1.63,1.65,1.63,1.7,1.655,1.695,1.89,1.79,1.79,1.705,1.55,1.545,1.565,1.535,1.55,1.495,1.28,1.22,1.165,1.15,1.18,1.185,1.23,1.11,0.982,1.02,0.992,1.035,0.6682,0.62,0.59,0.588,0.48,0.538,0.576,0.73,0.722,0.696,0.7],"stroke":"#10243b","width":2.1},{"label":"Fast 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