{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"IBEN Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"25416447-aa73-42a0-a16f-c3468ba460d0","symbol":"IBEN","name":"Iberdrola, S.A.","exchange":"MEX","country":"MX","asset_type":"equity","currency":"MXN","sector":"Utilities","industry":"Utilities - Diversified"},"summary":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. 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record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":0.2,"sample":18},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-0.2,"sample":18},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-0.5,"sample":18},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-0.1,"sample":17},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-1.2,"sample":17},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-0.3,"sample":17},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-1.0,"sample":17},{"week":8,"averageReturn":0.6,"sample":17},{"week":9,"averageReturn":0.1,"sample":17},{"week":10,"averageReturn":0.3,"sample":17},{"week":11,"averageReturn":0.4,"sample":17},{"week":12,"averageReturn":0.2,"sample":17},{"week":13,"averageReturn":0.3,"sample":17},{"week":14,"averageReturn":1.6,"sample":17},{"week":15,"averageReturn":0.8,"sample":17},{"week":16,"averageReturn":1.2,"sample":17},{"week":17,"averageReturn":1.7,"sample":17},{"week":18,"averageReturn":1.1,"sample":17},{"week":19,"averageReturn":1.1,"sample":17},{"week":20,"averageReturn":1.1,"sample":17},{"week":21,"averageReturn":3.1,"sample":17},{"week":22,"averageReturn":3.7,"sample":17},{"week":23,"averageReturn":1.9,"sample":17},{"week":24,"averageReturn":1.7,"sample":17},{"week":25,"averageReturn":1.9,"sample":17},{"week":26,"averageReturn":2.0,"sample":16}]}},"pricePressureGap":{"label":"Price elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":1,"completedEpisodes":0,"activeEpisodes":1,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-3.5,"medianReturn":-3.5,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":0.0,"sample":1},{"week":2,"averageReturn":2.5,"sample":1},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-3.5,"sample":1},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-3.5,"sample":1},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-3.5,"sample":1},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-3.2,"sample":1},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-4.6,"sample":1},{"week":8,"sample":0},{"week":9,"sample":0},{"week":10,"sample":0},{"week":11,"sample":0},{"week":12,"sample":0},{"week":13,"sample":0},{"week":14,"sample":0},{"week":15,"sample":0},{"week":16,"sample":0},{"week":17,"sample":0},{"week":18,"sample":0},{"week":19,"sample":0},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Underlying support lags price","tone":"caution","headline":"Price is leading its underlying support","use":"Market Dynamics must catch up or price may correct toward the weaker underlying position.","confirm":"This is a downside risk watch, not a completed reversal. Stronger Market Dynamics or weaker price is needed to close the gap.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"positive","direction":"weakening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Price has advanced further through its recent range than Market Dynamics. The gap is an early-downside risk watch; stronger underlying support or a price reset is needed to close it.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"lower","percent":27.8,"averageReturn":6.7,"sample":18},"nowContext":{"label":"Easier this week","detail":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price is ahead of the underlying support","detail":"Price is extended relative to Market Dynamics. The gap is a downside-risk warning until support catches up or price resets."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Divergence control","title":"Do not chase price while the underlying evidence lags","tone":"caution","approach":"Use the gap to review position size, protect gains and wait for either Market Dynamics to catch up or price to correct. The disagreement is a warning condition, not an automatic exit.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 27.8% of comparable cases moved lower after 12 weeks, with an average move of 6.7% across 18 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 100.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 2 cases. Distinct visits lasted 13.5 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 3.2% across 18 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 3.9 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"distribution_rollovers":[],"price_pressure_gaps":[{"date":"2026-06-26","price":424.376258}]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[273.0477,275.2818,274.8929,249.14,275.2818,280.2688,292.9059,292.9059,288.248,288.248,288.7467,288.7467,278.3837,271.2923,288.9163,291.2003,276.0099,292.2376,292.2376,299.2194,287.2506,287.4812,281.2824,281.2824,288.7589,285.4449,284.3968,298.7009,298.4614,286.483,309.8708,327.4391,346.305,327.6687,327.6687,338.1897,349.3695,339.3875,339.3875,350.0733,356.4818,348.6358,343.3852,353.6169,354.7648,357.5499,359.7674,340.7797,329.4171,329.4171,335.9029,347.8351,364.1046,349.7739,339.7803,341.3793,341.2794,334.7836,346.7658,349.7739,361.6362,367.2826,374.9776,379.7545,379.7545,384.7513,386.71,386.71,376.4666,379.8544,377.7558,377.7558,399.2619,399.5149,399.5149,399.5149,399.5149,399.5149,394.9949,399.9949,396.9949,400.5049,398.2249,398.2249,407.0648,406.9948,404.9948,403.9948,403.9948,403.9948,387.995,389.44,396.19,385.1975,408.8555,392.1896,424.3763,424.4569,435.0,409.64,409.64,409.64,410.83,405.0],"consensus":[82.4907,63.8477,27.0501,-30.5112,57.2392,25.9721,51.1755,39.5014,9.1337,32.5422,0.0,19.416,-40.7286,-48.059,53.4646,44.5743,-48.3954,65.3878,21.3175,55.3149,-15.6758,0.0,-40.572,-20.2533,32.6147,-28.6645,0.0,59.0394,14.9111,-40.3569,70.6009,74.9423,83.7863,0.0,34.1061,60.1316,60.8493,9.4231,29.3349,60.1768,64.4598,0.0,10.1498,55.9808,12.9662,41.6978,34.7218,-42.3023,-54.5599,-30.0001,9.7425,34.6891,68.6672,-19.587,-37.7684,0.0,-27.8035,-51.4767,34.4064,32.8223,65.5773,56.4022,68.4333,47.5494,37.1496,61.3595,54.387,35.263,-26.9539,40.347,-12.3152,0.0,76.9975,50.5687,37.8603,37.268,27.227,25.8173,-8.6371,55.3067,-18.2147,46.242,0.0,8.288,70.4168,17.5591,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-73.5249,-18.5477,18.95,-54.7762,47.4711,-28.3428,61.6111,37.6646,53.7663,-26.2473,0.0,0.0,-9.8705,48.0074],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[70.4547,-29.6704,-39.8493,0.0,-28.2984,-50.141,41.0885,42.5805,64.8378,67.0616,74.0279,46.9557,33.1253,71.3663,62.8922,33.3276,-26.6895,54.0573,-10.8297,0.0,76.7766,57.7165,34.0762,33.4294,32.7262,31.9592,-8.3274,70.4001,-11.5167,44.1906,0.0,16.6958,73.9839,8.7963,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-63.8626,-0.2971,33.1778,-52.9058,52.8019,-38.2411,56.8562,34.5491,54.0934,-39.2298,0.0,0.0,-1.6932,45.7441],"force":[93.6937,-66.5925,-73.009,0.0,-21.8301,-64.3239,50.6387,29.5178,91.5486,42.5226,72.1936,28.3502,9.8704,42.3645,29.8143,7.0077,-88.2585,50.2262,-36.6416,0.0,99.3682,23.2555,10.3747,10.398,0.4055,0.0,-62.8506,62.1437,-71.3765,74.9404,0.0,2.8907,94.7469,5.0125,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-99.6018,-17.5549,74.2203,-39.2392,40.713,-26.0567,74.3575,10.7081,35.2862,-76.7176,0.0,0.0,-16.086,80.5731],"direction":[48.7483,-25.5121,-10.2183,0.0,-31.5046,-43.8266,15.1752,24.0306,47.8715,54.134,59.3535,61.9417,61.234,63.4909,62.2186,57.6572,-16.5328,17.6216,-3.3632,0.0,61.2709,61.9092,61.8176,60.8478,40.1003,37.2389,-10.6989,33.1736,-12.1032,28.0875,0.0,6.6638,48.9616,43.6962,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-65.9412,-65.1932,36.7892,-68.0115,46.2061,-18.6635,57.9407,60.4798,66.5925,-24.64,0.0,0.0,-14.7764,27.3328],"intensity":[94.2308,51.9231,25.0,32.6923,3.8462,23.0769,51.9231,69.2308,46.1538,55.7692,19.2308,23.0769,3.8462,3.8462,5.7692,3.8462,32.6923,63.4615,5.7692,7.6923,90.3846,90.3846,1.9231,1.9231,3.8462,5.7692,17.3077,25.0,17.3077,42.3077,55.7692,38.4615,38.4615,44.2308,38.4615,17.3077,9.6154,7.6923,82.6923,76.9231,40.3846,63.4615,94.2308,82.6923,100.0,9.6154,59.6154,96.1538,67.3077,9.6154,26.9231,40.3846],"confirmation":[90.709,35.656,81.1282,3.5268,76.7075,84.8844,79.4029,78.2537,89.7875,85.4633,89.928,82.6397,79.1178,86.9036,84.5254,55.7859,36.6913,81.0032,50.7557,2.6398,93.3243,83.2407,79.3353,79.1654,53.1447,52.7145,31.4002,85.6765,32.7996,83.7033,31.0842,25.4667,91.2205,51.4672,8.9104,5.224,25.7249,25.3374,92.4699,8.8582,38.0466,85.0834,82.9036,76.8492,88.1765,79.2786,84.637,37.6627,48.1572,48.3766,48.8059,84.3893],"persistence":[25.0,0.0,25.0,12.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,37.5,50.0,75.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,75.0,75.0,50.0,37.5,37.5,37.5,37.5,37.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,75.0,50.0,50.0,37.5,37.5,37.5,37.5,50.0,37.5,50.0,37.5,25.0,0.0,0.0,25.0,12.5,25.0,12.5,0.0,25.0,25.0,12.5,25.0,0.0,0.0],"assessmentRisk":[15.5992,57.9904,36.8353,25.1062,35.1582,19.6632,11.9281,16.7725,15.817,21.7353,15.6103,26.1119,30.0235,18.3265,20.7809,26.8604,11.0348,53.5344,39.8126,49.2077,11.32,24.3866,30.8921,31.2109,11.7241,12.9087,24.7837,24.1703,8.245,15.2122,27.1173,18.0085,10.5054,39.1952,47.5885,43.695,39.5708,38.3314,13.0187,40.2354,53.59,22.3587,25.274,27.3802,17.7347,30.9024,21.1054,53.8273,34.1305,33.8186,40.9789,8.7259],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":48.0,"control":45.7,"force":80.6,"direction":27.3,"confirmation":84.4,"persistence":0.0,"assessmentRisk":8.7,"intensity":40.4,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","headline":"The gauges support the upward view","summary":"The completed evidence gives the upward view the clearer support.","take":"Current assessment: upward pressure has the stronger support.","tone":"positive","supportedView":"Market Dynamics","direction":"upward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Buyer control supports the view","controlPath":"Broadly stable","forceState":"Upward commitment","forcePath":"Broadly stable","directionState":"Upward follow-through","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Strong support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Normal"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"+48.0","detail":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"+45.7","detail":"Buyer control supports the view","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"+80.6","detail":"Upward commitment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"+27.3","detail":"Upward follow-through","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"84/100","detail":"Strong support","tone":"positive"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Rotational","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"51.4","detail":"Positive","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"2.1%","detail":"Contained","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"26.4","detail":"Directional","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Range position","value":"40%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price is rotating through its trend 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