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The upward price structure has improving support, but confirmation is not complete.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Strength versus the research benchmark, Drawdown and recovery pressure, Activity pressure and cumulative balance, Directional strength and control, Range pressure and compression."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-14","observations":260,"displayedObservations":104,"assetType":"Equity","state":"Aligned upward","stateTone":"positive","summary":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero. 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cautious, Market Dynamics positive","kind":"disagreement","expectedDirection":"higher","episodes":22,"completedEpisodes":21,"activeEpisodes":1,"medianExpectedMove":9.0,"averageExpectedMove":15.7,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":5.7,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":22,"expectedCount":12,"expectedPercent":54.5,"averageReturn":-0.8,"medianReturn":1.9,"confidenceLow":34.7,"confidenceHigh":73.1,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":21,"expectedCount":12,"expectedPercent":57.1,"averageReturn":4.1,"medianReturn":2.3,"confidenceLow":36.5,"confidenceHigh":75.5,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":20,"expectedCount":10,"expectedPercent":50.0,"averageReturn":7.3,"medianReturn":-1.3,"confidenceLow":29.9,"confidenceHigh":70.1,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":0.7,"sample":22},{"week":2,"averageReturn":1.3,"sample":22},{"week":3,"averageReturn":0.1,"sample":22},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-0.8,"sample":22},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-0.4,"sample":22},{"week":6,"averageReturn":1.9,"sample":22},{"week":7,"averageReturn":2.1,"sample":22},{"week":8,"averageReturn":2.6,"sample":22},{"week":9,"averageReturn":1.1,"sample":22},{"week":10,"averageReturn":2.2,"sample":22},{"week":11,"averageReturn":3.3,"sample":22},{"week":12,"averageReturn":4.1,"sample":21},{"week":13,"averageReturn":4.9,"sample":21},{"week":14,"averageReturn":3.4,"sample":21},{"week":15,"averageReturn":2.1,"sample":21},{"week":16,"averageReturn":3.5,"sample":21},{"week":17,"averageReturn":5.0,"sample":21},{"week":18,"averageReturn":5.6,"sample":21},{"week":19,"averageReturn":6.2,"sample":21},{"week":20,"averageReturn":5.9,"sample":21},{"week":21,"averageReturn":6.0,"sample":21},{"week":22,"averageReturn":5.9,"sample":21},{"week":23,"averageReturn":5.8,"sample":20},{"week":24,"averageReturn":6.3,"sample":20},{"week":25,"averageReturn":7.4,"sample":20},{"week":26,"averageReturn":7.3,"sample":20}]}},"pricePressureGap":{"label":"Price elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":0,"completedEpisodes":0,"activeEpisodes":0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":12,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"sample":0},{"week":2,"sample":0},{"week":3,"sample":0},{"week":4,"sample":0},{"week":5,"sample":0},{"week":6,"sample":0},{"week":7,"sample":0},{"week":8,"sample":0},{"week":9,"sample":0},{"week":10,"sample":0},{"week":11,"sample":0},{"week":12,"sample":0},{"week":13,"sample":0},{"week":14,"sample":0},{"week":15,"sample":0},{"week":16,"sample":0},{"week":17,"sample":0},{"week":18,"sample":0},{"week":19,"sample":0},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Repair in progress","tone":"caution","headline":"Market Dynamics is improving but remains below zero","use":"The repair supports the upward structure, but confirmation remains incomplete until Market Dynamics moves above zero.","confirm":"Continued repair would strengthen the upward case. Renewed weakness would leave price ahead of the underlying position.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"negative","direction":"strengthening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Market Dynamics remains below zero, but it has improved across the recent completed path. This is an early repair watch until price confirms it.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"sample":0},"nowContext":{"label":"Stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Strengthened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price is rising before Market Dynamics turns positive","detail":"The upward price structure is visible, but the underlying repair is not yet complete."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use distribution to protect capital before considering the short case","tone":"negative","finding":"After distribution, 100.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were lower across 4 cases. Distinct visits lasted 4.5 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Review long exposure and define the evidence that would confirm a rollover. Short exposure should begin only after price weakens and the loss limit is known.","watch":"A sustained repair in price and Market Dynamics invalidates the downside setup."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use improving Market Dynamics to prepare, not anticipate","tone":"recovery","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average recovery of 15.7% across 21 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 5.7 weeks on average.","approach":"Define the price level that would confirm the repair. Until that response occurs, keep the idea at watchlist or starter-position size.","watch":"The early repair fails if Market Dynamics fades before price responds."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[{"date":"2025-06-13","price":1.637329},{"date":"2025-08-29","price":1.617784},{"date":"2025-10-17","price":1.667107}],"distribution_rollovers":[],"price_pressure_gaps":[]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[2.3133,2.4097,2.2266,2.2651,2.2941,2.4386,2.3808,2.3326,2.3037,2.188,2.1302,2.1398,2.1109,2.0627,1.7157,1.7928,1.7929,1.7929,1.8123,1.8898,1.8413,1.7929,1.725,1.7638,1.7929,1.7735,1.7638,1.8026,1.7541,1.7835,1.6861,1.5886,1.3157,1.3937,1.4522,1.4327,1.4327,1.3547,1.4814,1.3937,1.4814,1.5106,1.6373,1.5392,1.4804,1.4902,1.5883,1.5686,1.5981,1.4608,1.5294,1.5196,1.5882,1.6178,1.6474,1.9137,1.8249,1.746,1.6671,1.5487,1.6671,1.6868,1.7263,1.677,1.7658,1.6572,1.9433,1.9039,1.7354,1.656,1.6858,1.666,1.8445,2.0329,2.1717,2.3006,2.2709,2.37,2.5584,2.5584,2.3403,2.2603,2.3001,2.3997,2.5491,2.4097,2.559,2.4296,2.5491,2.6984,2.6586,2.5889,2.3499,2.33,2.39,2.1,2.05,2.1,2.14,2.05,2.25,2.43,2.42,2.48],"consensus":[-55.9571,13.2225,-64.0994,-12.921,-15.6923,29.0973,-9.0769,-20.4652,-17.827,-48.5455,-47.5447,-34.2231,-44.4904,-39.0499,-75.0095,-25.6503,-36.1735,-40.8987,-15.4246,9.8628,-23.8951,-31.2574,-45.6041,-15.9107,0.0,-24.653,-17.0821,8.4862,-20.9134,10.2633,-45.7075,-57.1728,-78.4524,-11.5653,-10.4906,-32.0212,-16.2604,-49.6007,16.9475,-41.7372,21.1231,9.6668,52.7232,-14.7114,-23.5879,0.0,33.4002,0.0,26.5727,-39.6164,16.3797,0.0,27.7738,26.7592,36.6223,76.1235,0.0,0.0,-14.2605,-47.4235,16.5389,11.8764,26.652,0.0,36.2289,-28.7096,68.8544,18.2132,-33.2639,-33.3405,-10.6504,-22.484,51.4913,62.7993,67.6807,67.83,39.6407,56.0919,77.2088,42.8532,-16.0629,-15.4221,0.0,20.5704,52.1682,0.0,49.9979,-12.0055,36.2823,55.021,10.3432,0.0,-49.2831,-25.5521,0.0,-64.5965,-43.4032,-21.1053,-23.2286,-41.5171,28.6856,47.9647,12.1455,36.6685],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[25.6565,17.9062,37.433,72.7236,0.0,0.0,-19.2387,-44.0995,24.2548,19.1801,29.0135,0.0,34.335,-33.4075,64.5495,14.122,-36.1907,-41.9849,-4.0641,-14.9319,48.2538,55.0315,67.1744,62.7115,39.3555,47.8473,77.2847,41.6398,-22.4643,-13.376,0.0,28.9374,57.0531,0.0,53.3326,-19.5648,47.4852,54.1728,5.6598,0.0,-41.6347,-19.0776,0.0,-60.2655,-41.7786,-12.9937,-17.2248,-50.1035,28.6457,44.7607,4.0478,34.9135],"force":[47.7034,24.0229,28.9423,95.1935,0.0,0.0,-41.8372,-69.1485,38.7084,12.9486,26.364,0.0,44.3674,-51.8005,96.1858,19.4453,-72.382,-46.5759,-1.5091,-23.5349,80.3627,84.4563,76.5153,79.1677,6.7932,58.047,89.5285,15.2005,-78.4549,-48.0612,0.0,18.8912,50.3107,0.0,50.7432,-38.5791,35.4836,63.3721,17.2172,0.0,-88.5546,-20.2801,0.0,-84.3108,-29.2923,-4.7322,-3.9261,-31.8318,57.5055,71.5432,2.4539,35.6087],"direction":[15.9583,38.8314,41.1815,66.3877,0.0,0.0,-11.1266,-35.7045,8.1146,2.7635,24.1589,0.0,32.58,-6.8472,54.2518,49.7876,-1.9776,-14.0073,-26.8629,-30.3643,34.5689,56.2075,61.949,65.5815,63.4291,64.1177,68.3224,63.9918,-35.8188,-5.5531,0.0,12.2075,47.9123,0.0,45.6543,-15.6149,24.0494,50.0254,35.3816,0.0,-29.9729,-36.7173,0.0,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structure has stronger support","headline":"The gauges support the price-technical view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics disagree. The completed evidence gives the upward price structure stronger support.","take":"Current assessment: price structure remains primary, but the disagreement lowers confirmation.","tone":"positive","supportedView":"Price structure","direction":"upward","disagreement":true},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Buyer control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is easing","forceState":"Upward commitment","forcePath":"Broadly stable","directionState":"Upward follow-through","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Qualified support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Normal"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"+36.7","detail":"Price structure has stronger support","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"+34.9","detail":"Buyer control supports the view","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"+35.6","detail":"Upward commitment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"+39.4","detail":"Upward follow-through","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"45/100","detail":"Qualified support","tone":"neutral"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Aligned upward","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"57.5","detail":"Positive","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"9.2%","detail":"Elevated","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"27.1","detail":"Directional","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Range position","value":"53%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price and its 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