{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"XPEG Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-21","ticker":{"uuid":"28b4a37f-73aa-436f-92dd-f9cf8afaa997","symbol":"XPEG","name":"Leverage Shares 2X Long XPEV Daily ETF","exchange":"NASDAQ","country":"US","asset_type":"etf","currency":"USD","sector":null,"industry":null},"summary":"The completed price path and its progression through the positioning zones can be described, but there is not enough usable Market Dynamics history to confirm or challenge the technical state.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Drawdown and recovery pressure, Activity pressure and cumulative balance, Range pressure and compression, Range position and boundary pressure, Directional strength and control."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-21","observations":32,"displayedObservations":32,"assetType":"ETF","state":"Aligned downward","stateTone":"negative","summary":"The completed price path and its progression through the positioning zones can be described, but there is not enough usable Market Dynamics history to confirm or challenge the technical state.","evidenceAlignment":{"status":"Evidence developing","headline":"Price structure is visible; Market Dynamics is not yet established","summary":"The completed price path and its progression through the positioning zones can be described, but there is not enough usable Market Dynamics history to confirm or challenge the technical state.","take":"Treat movement through the zones as price-location context only. Reaching the upper zone shows extension, but without an established Market Dynamics read it does not by itself establish active distribution, divergence or reversal risk.","tone":"neutral","conflict":false},"marketDynamics":{"available":true,"readAvailable":false,"dates":["2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"values":[-0.759194,-1.015372,-0.990428,-0.834238],"opens":[4.61,4.57,4.12,4.04],"highs":[5.0,4.57,4.141,4.285],"lows":[4.551,3.825,3.77,3.8993],"closes":[4.8682,4.21,3.9072,4.21],"hoverRows":[[{"label":"Open","value":"4.61","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"5.00","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"4.55","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"4.87","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"4.57","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"4.57","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"3.83","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"4.21","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"4.12","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"4.14","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"3.77","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"3.91","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"4.04","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"4.29","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"3.90","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"4.21","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}]],"pressureRange":[-2.3,2.3],"priceRange":[3.84954,4.92586],"zones":{"accumulationBoundary":-1.5,"accumulationDarkBoundary":-2.0,"distributionBoundary":1.5,"distributionDarkBoundary":2.0},"state":"Insufficient history","context":{"scenario":"developing","latestDirection":"strengthening","fourWeekDirection":"weakening","now":{"label":"Stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero."},"fourWeek":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"price":{"label":"Price and Market Dynamics are broadly aligned","detail":"The current price response is broadly consistent with the underlying Market Dynamics path."}},"diagnosis":{"label":"Zone progression","detail":"Price is travelling between the lower accumulation area and the upper positioning zone. Market Dynamics history is not yet sufficient to confirm or challenge that progression.","tone":"neutral"},"chartSummary":"Price is between the outer positioning zones. The Market Dynamics bars show whether underlying support is strengthening or weakening.","summary":"Price is travelling between the lower accumulation area and the upper positioning zone. Market Dynamics history is not yet sufficient to confirm or challenge that progression.","annotations":[{"label":"Current tape relationship","value":"Zone progression","detail":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero.","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Price location","value":"Between zones","detail":"Price is progressing between the lower and upper positioning zones while the Market Dynamics read develops.","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Latest positioning marker","value":"None in view","detail":"Entering the lower zone alone does not create a positioning confirmation.","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Market Dynamics confirmation","value":"Unavailable","detail":"Too little usable Market Dynamics history is available for a directional confirmation read.","tone":"neutral"}],"relationshipEvidence":{"available":false,"observations":24,"summary":"More completed weekly history is needed for a dependable ticker-level record."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"reversal_warnings":[],"reversal_dangers":[]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"close":[15.0992,13.0874,11.306,10.8032,11.0372,10.6,10.4645,10.0406,13.2857,10.0629,9.2503,10.0739,9.6659,10.4206,8.7295,7.8892,7.6355,7.5597,7.4938,8.26,7.72,6.324,5.22,4.32,5.0257,4.9617,5.335,4.4048,4.8682,4.21,3.9072,4.21],"consensus":[-36.509,-75.2826,-86.75,54.3396,-56.8442,-50.7336,-43.7236,-28.3354,57.8714,-62.7162,-58.437,9.4964,-39.8588,8.9824,-53.8396,-62.8202,-43.9175,-42.6822,-21.613,0.0,-33.8904,-56.9098,-62.4925,-60.0158,-21.1458,-40.7493,-10.7871,-48.9788,-8.2578,-37.8895,-39.3884,-3.8857],"supportDates":["2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"control":[null,null,null,null,null,-47.3443,-43.9615,-13.7089,46.2974,-58.5152,-56.2498,10.3749,-31.0086,9.5293,-49.2377,-55.5933,-46.3368,-44.3336,-12.8933,0.0,-38.6482,-58.7481,-65.4151,-65.5721,-16.0142,-46.2361,-15.3641,-64.7503,-5.8707,-39.2029,-40.6659,-4.8648],"force":[-36.509,-75.2826,-86.75,54.3396,-1.0211,-23.4422,-18.7037,-9.0076,91.7534,-90.4399,-61.8443,63.4287,-26.7808,36.8909,-71.1227,-69.7913,-29.0053,-26.435,-2.55,0.0,-42.4312,-68.8828,-66.8895,-49.8065,-17.3064,-21.3024,-17.2062,-47.0213,-16.2355,-32.0213,-26.1133,-32.5563],"direction":[null,null,null,null,-96.7178,-74.1009,-61.323,-58.857,46.8972,-47.7147,-58.5028,30.0306,-59.3147,11.5773,-46.7539,-66.1,-51.8042,-52.3999,-45.1947,0.0,-22.3523,-46.2566,-56.0116,-60.9582,-54.4762,-48.3693,-25.5514,-32.3525,-28.4811,-40.5799,-47.4107,-28.7968],"intensity":[null,null,null,null,25.0,20.0,33.3333,85.7143,100.0,88.8889,40.0,36.3636,16.6667,23.0769,50.0,33.3333,25.0,17.6471,44.4444,47.3684,40.0,80.9524,54.5455,26.087,16.6667,8.0,15.3846,33.3333,10.7143,27.5862,3.3333,3.2258],"confirmation":[34.3496,46.7571,50.4267,40.0553,38.3049,83.4547,81.2254,76.7012,87.7278,88.9781,86.837,33.7423,80.4911,28.8531,85.8255,88.425,81.5623,81.138,51.8014,30.3231,79.0327,86.548,88.0871,86.8093,32.0317,80.3635,28.8663,83.3732,5.396,79.9258,80.1803,7.0632],"persistence":[null,null,100.0,50.0,60.0,66.6667,71.4286,75.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,62.5,62.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,87.5],"assessmentRisk":[null,null,null,null,21.563,24.3331,16.4446,23.428,16.2987,16.0682,2.5969,3.7025,29.2126,7.2159,9.9582,14.1481,22.6005,26.9282,24.3205,11.4518,19.8683,12.312,18.4557,19.9876,39.3332,26.7016,13.086,30.8552,7.3054,21.0029,28.792,11.6282],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":-3.9,"control":-4.9,"force":-32.6,"direction":-28.8,"confirmation":7.1,"persistence":87.5,"assessmentRisk":11.6,"intensity":3.2,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Price structure has the available support","headline":"The gauges support the price-technical view","summary":"Market Dynamics does not provide a directional confirmation. The completed evidence supports the downward price structure.","take":"Current assessment: follow price structure with limited confirmation.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Price structure","direction":"downward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Control support is limited","controlPath":"Control support is easing","forceState":"Downward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is easing","directionState":"Downward follow-through","persistenceState":"Established","confirmationState":"Limited support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Quiet"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-3.9","detail":"Price structure has the available support","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-4.9","detail":"Control support is limited","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-32.6","detail":"Downward commitment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"-28.8","detail":"Downward follow-through","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"7/100","detail":"Limited support","tone":"caution"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Aligned downward","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"23.3","detail":"Stretched negative","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"29.7%","detail":"Normal","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"22.0","detail":"Range-led","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Range position","value":"4%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price and its trend references are aligned downward.","series":[{"label":"Close","values":[15.0992,13.0874,11.306,10.8032,11.0372,10.6,10.4645,10.0406,13.2857,10.0629,9.2503,10.0739,9.6659,10.4206,8.7295,7.8892,7.6355,7.5597,7.4938,8.26,7.72,6.324,5.22,4.32,5.0257,4.9617,5.335,4.4048,4.8682,4.21,3.9072,4.21],"stroke":"#10243b","width":2.1},{"label":"Fast trend","values":[null,null,null,null,13.0596,12.6124,12.2218,11.8253,12.0908,11.7221,11.2727,11.0547,10.8022,10.7328,10.3686,9.9178,9.5028,9.1495,8.8485,8.7415,8.5558,8.15,7.6173,7.0178,6.6556,6.3476,6.1635,5.8437,5.6664,5.4016,5.1299,4.9626],"stroke":"#176fa3","width":1.7},{"label":"Slow trend","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,12.4041,12.2572,11.9959,11.6917,11.3912,11.1074,10.8397,10.6486,10.4317,10.1274,9.7639,9.3607,9.0395,8.7375,8.4854,8.1832,7.9376,7.6615,7.3834,7.1483],"stroke":"#07865c","width":1.8},{"label":"Upper envelope","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,14.7671,14.6888,14.5189,14.3816,14.2341,14.1894,14.2219,14.2374,14.2215,14.1847,14.0812,13.1234,12.7424,12.7926,12.9351,12.8113,12.6787,12.4662,12.3322,11.2884,10.9895,10.7898,10.3245],"stroke":"#98a9b8","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]},{"label":"Lower envelope","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,8.3902,8.0452,7.9995,7.8918,7.937,7.6675,7.2551,6.8746,6.5575,6.2895,6.1953,6.4152,6.1198,5.4611,4.6703,4.1928,3.7617,3.4612,3.0316,3.2336,2.9473,2.6127,2.4916],"stroke":"#98a9b8","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]}],"guides":[],"dates":["2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"]},{"key":"drawdown","eyebrow":"Path risk","title":"Drawdown and recovery pressure","description":"Capital impairment and recovery are shown together so return is not separated from path difficulty.","reason":"Selected because the current recovery or drawdown path is central to the tape.","series":[{"label":"Drawdown","values":[0.0,-13.3239,-25.1219,-28.4518,-26.9021,-29.7976,-30.695,-33.5024,-12.0106,-33.3547,-38.7365,-33.2819,-35.984,-30.9857,-42.1857,-47.7509,-49.4311,-49.9331,-50.3696,-45.2951,-48.8715,-58.117,-65.4286,-71.3892,-66.7155,-67.1393,-64.667,-70.8276,-67.7586,-72.1177,-74.1231,-72.1177],"stroke":"#c13f3f","width":1.9,"fill":"rgba(193,63,63,.10)"},{"label":"Recovery","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,0.0,32.3198,0.2221,0.0,8.9035,4.4928,12.6515,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,10.2245,3.0185,0.0,0.0,0.0,16.3356,14.8542,23.4954,1.963,12.6898,0.0,0.0,7.7498],"stroke":"#07865c","width":1.7}],"guides":[{"label":"Prior high","values":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0],"stroke":"#8fa0af","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]}],"dates":["2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"]},{"key":"participation","eyebrow":"Participation","title":"Activity pressure and cumulative balance","description":"Observed activity is compared with its normal backdrop while cumulative balance tracks directional participation.","reason":"Selected because participation is confirming or diverging from the latest price path.","series":[{"label":"Activity versus 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activity","values":[100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0],"stroke":"#8fa0af","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]}],"dates":["2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"]},{"key":"volatility","eyebrow":"Risk geometry","title":"Range pressure and compression","description":"Movement pressure and envelope width show whether risk is expanding, settling or compressed.","reason":"Selected because current variability is unusually compressed or expanded versus this ticker's own tape.","series":[{"label":"Range pressure","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,16.1833,20.0725,21.8463,21.6147,21.5656,21.045,18.9451,21.0522,26.2357,31.4572,37.5113,31.8896,30.8719,28.3478,33.4305,28.961,32.8667,33.6886,29.6867],"stroke":"#c13f3f","width":1.9},{"label":"Envelope 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