{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"WADA Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"2c82c2f5-d438-48e5-80b1-be46c5809b29","symbol":"WADA","name":"WisdomTree Physical Cardano","exchange":"AMS","country":"NL","asset_type":"etf","currency":"USD","sector":null,"industry":null},"summary":"The completed price path and its progression through the positioning zones can be described, but there is not enough usable Market Dynamics history to confirm or challenge the technical state.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Drawdown and recovery pressure, Directional strength and control, Range position and boundary pressure, Directional pressure and rotation, Acceleration, deceleration and rollover."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-14","observations":31,"displayedObservations":31,"assetType":"ETF","state":"Aligned downward","stateTone":"negative","summary":"The completed price path and its progression through the positioning zones can be described, but there is not enough usable Market Dynamics history to confirm or challenge the technical state.","evidenceAlignment":{"status":"Evidence developing","headline":"Price structure is visible; Market Dynamics is not yet established","summary":"The completed price path and its progression through the positioning zones can be described, but there is not enough usable Market Dynamics history to confirm or challenge the technical state.","take":"Treat movement through the zones as price-location context only. Reaching the upper zone shows extension, but without an established Market Dynamics read it does not by itself establish active distribution, divergence or reversal risk.","tone":"neutral","conflict":false},"marketDynamics":{"available":true,"readAvailable":false,"dates":["2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"values":[-0.144649,-0.182253,-0.112358],"opens":[2.101,2.101,2.101],"highs":[2.101,2.101,2.101],"lows":[2.101,2.101,2.101],"closes":[2.101,2.101,2.101],"hoverRows":[[{"label":"Open","value":"2.10","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"2.10","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"2.10","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"2.10","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"2.10","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"2.10","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"2.10","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"2.10","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"2.10","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"2.10","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"2.10","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"2.10","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}]],"pressureRange":[-2.3,2.3],"priceRange":[0.981,3.221],"zones":{"accumulationBoundary":-1.5,"accumulationDarkBoundary":-2.0,"distributionBoundary":1.5,"distributionDarkBoundary":2.0},"state":"Insufficient history","context":{"scenario":"developing","latestDirection":"strengthening","fourWeekDirection":"steady","now":{"label":"Stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero."},"fourWeek":{"label":"Broadly steady over four weeks","detail":"The broader path has not changed enough to establish a new direction."},"price":{"label":"Price and Market Dynamics are broadly aligned","detail":"The current price response is broadly consistent with the underlying Market Dynamics path."}},"diagnosis":{"label":"Zone progression","detail":"Price is travelling between the lower accumulation area and the upper positioning zone. Market Dynamics history is not yet sufficient to confirm or challenge that progression.","tone":"neutral"},"chartSummary":"Price is between the outer positioning zones. The Market Dynamics bars show whether underlying support is strengthening or weakening.","summary":"Price is travelling between the lower accumulation area and the upper positioning zone. Market Dynamics history is not yet sufficient to confirm or challenge that progression.","annotations":[{"label":"Current tape relationship","value":"Zone progression","detail":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero.","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Price location","value":"Between zones","detail":"Price is progressing between the lower and upper positioning zones while the Market Dynamics read develops.","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Latest positioning marker","value":"None in view","detail":"Entering the lower zone alone does not create a positioning confirmation.","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Market Dynamics confirmation","value":"Unavailable","detail":"Too little usable Market Dynamics history is available for a directional confirmation read.","tone":"neutral"}],"relationshipEvidence":{"available":false,"observations":23,"summary":"More completed weekly history is needed for a dependable ticker-level record."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"reversal_warnings":[],"reversal_dangers":[]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[5.184,5.184,5.184,5.184,3.232,3.232,3.232,3.232,3.177,3.177,3.177,3.177,3.177,3.177,3.177,3.177,3.177,3.177,3.177,3.177,2.64,2.64,2.64,1.789,1.789,1.789,1.789,2.101,2.101,2.101,2.101],"consensus":[100.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-100.0,-54.7295,-54.2465,-53.7227,-50.7381,-44.101,-43.8575,-43.6175,-37.0942,-36.4714,-35.8511,-35.2358,-26.693,-25.1017,-23.5847,-22.201,-60.9696,-43.291,-43.2065,-67.4466,-50.4002,-50.6432,-50.2673,21.5883,-17.4677,-15.1461,-12.889],"supportDates":["2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[null,null,null,null,null,-42.078,-41.6863,-41.2616,-48.6407,-40.4818,-39.9958,-39.4979,-38.9934,-38.4865,-37.98,-37.4752,-36.971,-36.4644,-35.9501,-35.421,-62.7384,-40.2623,-39.7702,-64.1183,-41.7308,-41.3095,-40.8598,18.203,-34.8399,-34.2517,-33.6192],"force":[100.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-100.0,-18.0,-18.0,-18.0,-19.5761,-6.7315,-7.1942,-7.6801,-0.0,-0.0,-0.0,-0.0,-0.0,-0.0,-0.0,-0.0,-55.9975,-17.9996,-17.9999,-55.9996,-17.9999,-18.0,-18.0,97.1829,-17.8113,-17.8737,-17.9181],"direction":[null,null,null,null,-100.0,-95.4238,-94.4912,-93.4802,-75.3938,-74.9299,-74.459,-73.9952,-61.4195,-60.2194,-59.0258,-57.8448,-34.0133,-30.0456,-26.299,-22.9501,-62.4996,-64.8177,-65.1385,-79.4268,-83.451,-84.6269,-84.0668,28.5389,-22.813,-16.8968,-11.2023],"intensity":[null,null,null,null,100.0,100.0,50.0,57.1429,62.5,55.5556,60.0,63.6364,66.6667,69.2308,71.4286,73.3333,75.0,76.4706,77.7778,78.9474,90.0,76.1905,77.2727,91.3043,75.0,76.0,76.9231,85.1852,82.1429,72.4138,73.3333],"confirmation":[54.6667,0.0,0.0,0.0,77.3333,84.5869,84.4456,84.2925,83.3185,58.3619,58.3092,58.2585,56.044,55.862,55.6806,55.5008,52.905,52.4277,51.9732,51.5596,87.3318,81.1285,81.1102,89.2848,83.2727,83.3532,83.2455,38.0186,30.7162,30.029,29.3589],"persistence":[null,null,33.3333,25.0,0.0,16.6667,28.5714,37.5,62.5,75.0,87.5,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0],"assessmentRisk":[null,null,null,null,0.9768,21.966,22.4119,22.8103,21.1041,17.5657,17.2337,16.912,18.5471,18.2357,17.9255,17.6179,13.3465,12.5509,11.7923,11.1005,19.4616,28.2995,28.3418,16.2746,24.6641,24.5426,24.7306,29.4686,48.9966,47.8358,46.7072],"volumeParticipation":false,"latest":{"consensus":-12.9,"control":-33.6,"force":-17.9,"direction":-11.2,"confirmation":29.4,"persistence":75.0,"assessmentRisk":46.7,"intensity":73.3,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Price structure has the available support","headline":"The gauges support the price-technical view","summary":"Market Dynamics does not provide a directional confirmation. The completed evidence supports the downward price structure.","take":"Current assessment: follow price structure with limited confirmation.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Price structure","direction":"downward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Seller control supports the view","controlPath":"Broadly stable","forceState":"Downward commitment","forcePath":"Broadly stable","directionState":"Follow-through is limited","persistenceState":"Established","confirmationState":"Limited support","riskState":"Present","intensityState":"Elevated"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-12.9","detail":"Price structure has the available support","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-33.6","detail":"Seller control supports the view","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-17.9","detail":"Downward commitment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"-11.2","detail":"Follow-through is limited","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"29/100","detail":"Limited support","tone":"caution"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Aligned downward","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"19.1","detail":"Stretched negative","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"4.9%","detail":"Normal","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"89.9","detail":"Directional","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Range position","value":"22%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price and its trend references are aligned downward.","series":[{"label":"Close","values":[5.184,5.184,5.184,5.184,3.232,3.232,3.232,3.232,3.177,3.177,3.177,3.177,3.177,3.177,3.177,3.177,3.177,3.177,3.177,3.177,2.64,2.64,2.64,1.789,1.789,1.789,1.789,2.101,2.101,2.101,2.101],"stroke":"#10243b","width":2.1},{"label":"Fast trend","values":[null,null,null,null,4.8291,4.5387,4.3011,4.1067,3.9377,3.7994,3.6862,3.5936,3.5179,3.4559,3.4052,3.3637,3.3298,3.302,3.2793,3.2607,3.1478,3.0555,2.9799,2.7634,2.5862,2.4413,2.3227,2.2824,2.2494,2.2224,2.2003],"stroke":"#176fa3","width":1.7},{"label":"Slow trend","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,4.1909,4.1158,4.0463,3.9819,3.9223,3.8671,3.8159,3.7686,3.685,3.6076,3.5359,3.4065,3.2867,3.1758,3.073,3.001,2.9344,2.8726,2.8155],"stroke":"#07865c","width":1.8},{"label":"Upper envelope","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,5.9327,5.828,5.7312,5.6421,5.5602,5.4848,5.4153,5.3511,5.2915,5.2362,5.1846,4.929,4.6114,4.1964,3.7334,3.8418,3.8984,3.9214,3.8907,3.8557,3.8104,3.755],"stroke":"#98a9b8","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]},{"label":"Lower envelope","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,2.0709,2.0256,1.9975,1.9808,1.9721,1.9689,1.9697,1.9733,1.9789,1.9861,1.9942,1.9954,2.0586,2.2192,2.3427,2.09,1.8891,1.7218,1.6394,1.5668,1.5045,1.4523],"stroke":"#98a9b8","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]}],"guides":[],"dates":["2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"]},{"key":"drawdown","eyebrow":"Path risk","title":"Drawdown and recovery pressure","description":"Capital impairment and recovery are shown together so return is not separated from path difficulty.","reason":"Selected because the current recovery or drawdown path is central to the tape.","series":[{"label":"Drawdown","values":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-37.6543,-37.6543,-37.6543,-37.6543,-38.7153,-38.7153,-38.7153,-38.7153,-38.7153,-38.7153,-38.7153,-38.7153,-38.7153,-38.7153,-38.7153,-38.7153,-49.0741,-49.0741,-49.0741,-65.49,-65.49,-65.49,-65.49,-59.4715,-59.4715,-59.4715,-59.4715],"stroke":"#c13f3f","width":1.9,"fill":"rgba(193,63,63,.10)"},{"label":"Recovery","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,17.4399,17.4399,17.4399,17.4399],"stroke":"#07865c","width":1.7}],"guides":[{"label":"Prior high","values":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0],"stroke":"#8fa0af","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]}],"dates":["2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"]},{"key":"directional","eyebrow":"Trend quality","title":"Directional strength and control","description":"Directional pressure shows which side controls the tape while strength remains direction-neutral.","reason":"Selected because directional control or trend strength is materially changing.","series":[{"label":"Trend 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through its recent range.","series":[{"label":"Range position","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,9.19,9.19,9.19,21.6216],"stroke":"#10243b","width":2.0},{"label":"From high","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,-37.6543,-38.7153,-38.7153,-38.7153,-38.7153,-38.7153,-38.7153,-38.7153,-38.7153,-38.7153,-38.7153,-38.7153,-38.7153,-49.0741,-49.0741,-49.0741,-65.49,-65.49,-65.49,-65.49,-59.4715,-59.4715,-59.4715,-34.9938],"stroke":"#c13f3f","width":1.5},{"label":"From low","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,17.4399,17.4399,17.4399,17.4399],"stroke":"#07865c","width":1.5}],"guides":[{"label":"Range 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