{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"GSUI Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-21","ticker":{"uuid":"2cd1868f-eab5-4980-a4c8-6c068789c59f","symbol":"GSUI","name":"GRAYSCALE SUI STAKING ETF","exchange":"NYSEARCA","country":"US","asset_type":"etf","currency":"USD","sector":null,"industry":null},"summary":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero. The broader path has not changed enough to establish a new direction. Price remains elevated in the distribution zone.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Drawdown and recovery pressure, Acceleration, deceleration and rollover, Activity pressure and cumulative balance, Range pressure and compression, Range position and boundary pressure."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-21","observations":39,"displayedObservations":39,"assetType":"ETF","state":"Rotational","stateTone":"caution","summary":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero. The broader path has not changed enough to establish a new direction. Price remains elevated in the distribution zone.","evidenceAlignment":{"status":"Unsupported elevation","headline":"Price remains elevated without full Market Dynamics support","summary":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero. The broader path has not changed enough to establish a new direction. Price remains elevated in the distribution zone.","take":"This is a downside warning, not a confirmed reversal. Stronger Market Dynamics would repair the gap; weaker price would begin to confirm it.","tone":"negative","conflict":true},"marketDynamics":{"available":true,"readAvailable":true,"dates":["2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"values":[0.008227,-0.027551,-0.134257,-0.171567,-0.177252,-0.186402,-0.208472,-0.253512,-0.311593,-0.335439,-0.242294],"opens":[11.04,11.96,10.74,10.01,10.49,10.53,10.91,10.3599,9.955,10.06,9.8],"highs":[11.2199,11.99,10.75,10.92,10.88,11.115,11.23,10.4,10.138,10.09,11.96],"lows":[10.62,10.29,9.47,9.845,10.0874,10.355,10.231,9.8,9.68,9.765252,9.44],"closes":[10.84,10.4552,10.1,10.647,10.72,10.7,10.29,9.82,9.77,9.843,11.67],"hoverRows":[[{"label":"Open","value":"11.0","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"11.2","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"10.6","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"10.8","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"0.01","note":"Supportive and strengthening","className":"is-positive","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"12.0","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"12.0","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"10.3","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"10.5","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"-0.03","note":"Cautious and weakening","className":"is-negative","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"10.7","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"10.8","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"9.47","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"10.1","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"-0.13","note":"Cautious and weakening","className":"is-negative","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"10.0","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"10.9","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"9.85","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"10.6","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"-0.17","note":"Cautious and weakening","className":"is-negative","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"10.5","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"10.9","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"10.1","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"10.7","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"-0.18","note":"Cautious and weakening","className":"is-negative","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"10.5","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"11.1","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"10.4","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"10.7","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"-0.19","note":"Cautious and weakening","className":"is-negative","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"10.9","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"11.2","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"10.2","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"10.3","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"-0.21","note":"Cautious and weakening","className":"is-negative","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"10.4","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"10.4","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"9.80","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"9.82","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"-0.25","note":"Cautious and weakening","className":"is-negative","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"9.96","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"10.1","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"9.68","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"9.77","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"-0.31","note":"Cautious and weakening","className":"is-negative","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"10.1","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"10.1","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"9.77","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"9.84","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"-0.34","note":"Cautious and weakening","className":"is-negative","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"9.80","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"12.0","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"9.44","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"11.7","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"-0.24","note":"Cautious but repairing","className":"is-negative","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}]],"pressureRange":[-2.3,2.3],"priceRange":[9.656,11.784],"zones":{"accumulationBoundary":-1.5,"accumulationDarkBoundary":-2.0,"distributionBoundary":1.5,"distributionDarkBoundary":2.0},"latest":-0.242294,"state":"Price ahead of Market Dynamics","context":{"scenario":"priceAhead","latestDirection":"strengthening","fourWeekDirection":"steady","now":{"label":"Stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero."},"fourWeek":{"label":"Broadly steady over four weeks","detail":"The broader path has not changed enough to establish a new direction."},"price":{"label":"Price is ahead of the underlying support","detail":"Price is extended relative to Market Dynamics. The gap is a downside-risk warning until support catches up or price resets."}},"diagnosis":{"label":"Unsupported elevation","detail":"Price is in distribution and ahead of Market Dynamics. The advance is not fully confirmed while that gap remains open.","tone":"negative"},"chartSummary":"Price is in the distribution zone. The Market Dynamics bars show whether underlying support is keeping pace with that elevated price.","summary":"Price is in distribution and ahead of Market Dynamics. The advance is not fully confirmed while that gap remains open.","annotations":[{"label":"Current tape relationship","value":"Unsupported elevation","detail":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero.","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Price location","value":"Distribution zone","detail":"Price is extended; support can persist, but rollover risk must be monitored.","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Latest positioning marker","value":"None in view","detail":"Entering the lower zone alone does not create a positioning confirmation.","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Market Dynamics confirmation","value":"Not confirming","detail":"Market Dynamics remains materially behind the elevated price.","tone":"negative"}],"relationshipEvidence":{"available":false,"observations":11,"summary":"More completed weekly history is needed for a dependable ticker-level record."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"reversal_warnings":[],"reversal_dangers":[]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"close":[30.0,18.0,19.8642,18.5,19.05,23.0,26.26,26.25,21.78,16.58,14.06,14.465,13.8285,13.051,13.026,14.49,13.845,12.635,12.437,13.902,14.6945,13.76,13.36,14.8344,15.91,15.29,13.06,10.07,10.84,10.4552,10.1,10.647,10.72,10.7,10.29,9.82,9.77,9.843,11.67],"consensus":[-100.0,-100.0,0.0,-39.875,-57.364,16.6186,28.2764,23.4699,-34.774,-71.3368,-62.8787,-42.0922,-42.8824,-44.2184,-36.0941,0.0,-32.5285,-45.1092,-29.1284,13.285,15.3951,-15.3945,0.0,31.0899,12.0104,0.0,-44.2949,-65.5591,-23.4244,-44.4837,-32.842,0.0,0.0,-11.6848,-27.9676,-36.608,-27.6698,-23.5569,-46.281],"supportDates":["2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"control":[null,null,null,null,null,15.9863,23.5368,15.5628,-52.2267,-70.2248,-62.0525,-35.7084,-31.7438,-38.9347,-41.9249,0.0,-40.832,-54.2767,-36.7442,14.4656,13.0491,-18.193,0.0,26.2607,2.9127,0.0,-49.0867,-66.6744,-25.8061,-47.6808,-31.2942,0.0,0.0,-17.6573,-41.2154,-47.9125,-34.5641,-29.7897,-38.891],"force":[-100.0,-100.0,0.0,-39.875,-11.2822,32.5846,24.9277,18.4976,-40.5833,-79.3525,-49.4926,-14.0834,-25.3983,-29.3906,-11.0095,0.0,-29.6897,-50.2775,-14.2013,57.166,42.256,-24.402,0.0,69.3662,21.1456,0.0,-76.1446,-87.986,-9.8884,-38.5123,-21.0685,0.0,0.0,-0.7554,-22.9526,-29.534,-15.0024,-10.5602,-84.7441],"direction":[null,null,null,null,-90.2797,5.9371,36.085,36.0583,-10.6784,-66.8822,-73.3844,-69.3941,-68.1008,-60.848,-47.3479,0.0,-25.0666,-30.9405,-31.0868,19.4079,1.1101,-5.7624,0.0,9.2689,22.5402,0.0,-16.0688,-48.2653,-44.4974,-45.0951,-43.0205,0.0,0.0,-13.745,-16.4095,-28.7413,-28.8386,-25.7172,-27.2532],"intensity":[null,null,null,null,25.0,80.0,66.6667,28.5714,62.5,66.6667,70.0,27.2727,58.3333,23.0769,7.1429,33.3333,18.75,35.2941,33.3333,47.3684,35.0,28.5714,13.6364,56.5217,70.8333,56.0,53.8462,62.963,50.0,20.6897,36.6667,3.2258,3.125,6.0606,8.8235,31.4286,5.5556,2.7027,63.1579],"confirmation":[54.6667,54.6667,1.874,35.4267,61.5832,51.1475,77.0186,75.4793,79.0388,91.089,87.7258,80.7132,81.3592,81.7785,78.6968,8.5596,78.1961,82.4528,76.7501,32.3776,51.351,50.4915,24.5292,79.1889,50.3038,27.9762,83.072,89.6454,31.2205,82.0041,78.1742,4.3506,3.6018,48.7635,76.5949,79.3267,76.3632,75.0472,84.0947],"persistence":[null,null,66.6667,75.0,80.0,50.0,28.5714,12.5,12.5,12.5,25.0,25.0,25.0,50.0,75.0,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,62.5,37.5,37.5,25.0,12.5,12.5,25.0,25.0,0.0,25.0,25.0,37.5,50.0,62.5,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,50.0],"assessmentRisk":[null,null,null,null,19.5264,27.4263,27.3791,33.996,42.9358,8.06,18.113,28.5163,26.4123,13.2513,1.1869,1.308,16.5928,14.3296,1.2581,21.3382,12.5028,36.7454,37.728,22.6556,36.582,47.5768,9.1612,17.1193,38.2396,27.6908,32.5503,21.435,1.8003,15.9331,21.944,11.8654,21.563,22.9273,18.2156],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":-46.3,"control":-38.9,"force":-84.7,"direction":-27.3,"confirmation":84.1,"persistence":50.0,"assessmentRisk":18.2,"intensity":63.2,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","headline":"The gauges support the downward view","summary":"The completed evidence gives the downward view the clearer support.","take":"Current assessment: downward pressure has the stronger support.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Market Dynamics","direction":"downward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Seller control supports the view","controlPath":"Broadly stable","forceState":"Downward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is strengthening","directionState":"Downward follow-through","persistenceState":"Developing","confirmationState":"Strong support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Normal"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-46.3","detail":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-38.9","detail":"Seller control supports the view","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-84.7","detail":"Downward commitment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"-27.3","detail":"Downward follow-through","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"84/100","detail":"Strong support","tone":"positive"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Rotational","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"23.5","detail":"Stretched negative","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"16.0%","detail":"Contained","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"19.4","detail":"Range-led","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Range position","value":"23%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price is rotating through its trend references.","series":[{"label":"Close","values":[30.0,18.0,19.8642,18.5,19.05,23.0,26.26,26.25,21.78,16.58,14.06,14.465,13.8285,13.051,13.026,14.49,13.845,12.635,12.437,13.902,14.6945,13.76,13.36,14.8344,15.91,15.29,13.06,10.07,10.84,10.4552,10.1,10.647,10.72,10.7,10.29,9.82,9.77,9.843,11.67],"stroke":"#10243b","width":2.1},{"label":"Fast trend","values":[null,null,null,null,23.8697,23.7116,24.1749,24.5522,24.0482,22.6903,21.1212,19.911,18.8051,17.7589,16.8983,16.4605,15.9849,15.3758,14.8415,14.6707,14.675,14.5087,14.2998,14.397,14.6721,14.7844,14.4709,13.6707,13.1561,12.665,12.1986,11.9165,11.699,11.5173,11.2942,11.0262,10.7978,10.6242,10.8143],"stroke":"#176fa3","width":1.7},{"label":"Slow trend","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,23.2281,22.4742,21.7744,21.2348,20.6874,20.0909,19.524,19.1075,18.7806,18.4087,18.0348,17.7977,17.6579,17.4825,17.1549,16.6301,16.2012,15.7755,15.3551,15.0064,14.6889,14.3934,14.0894,13.7732,13.4767,13.2075,13.0936],"stroke":"#07865c","width":1.8},{"label":"Upper envelope","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,30.2254,30.3262,30.1398,29.941,29.7564,29.511,29.1443,28.8205,28.5691,28.3192,28.0074,25.6293,25.5149,25.1896,24.9802,24.7295,23.7457,21.5309,18.6325,16.7032,16.4117,16.5195,16.4532,16.415,16.4173,16.4281,16.2744,16.1653,16.1434,16.1033],"stroke":"#98a9b8","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]},{"label":"Lower envelope","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,13.6315,12.1001,11.1618,10.311,9.4849,8.851,8.6313,8.3618,7.9514,7.5883,7.495,8.3425,8.0329,7.7078,7.5506,7.4873,7.7002,8.595,9.8753,10.7106,10.3896,9.8858,9.5703,9.2977,9.0604,8.7759,8.4626,8.1642,7.9069,7.8703],"stroke":"#98a9b8","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]}],"guides":[],"dates":["2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"]},{"key":"drawdown","eyebrow":"Path risk","title":"Drawdown and recovery pressure","description":"Capital impairment and recovery are shown together so return is not separated from path difficulty.","reason":"Selected because the current recovery or drawdown path is central to the tape.","series":[{"label":"Drawdown","values":[0.0,-40.0,-33.786,-38.3333,-36.5,-23.3333,-12.4667,-12.5,-27.4,-44.7333,-53.1333,-51.7833,-53.905,-56.4967,-56.58,-51.7,-53.85,-57.8833,-58.5433,-53.66,-51.0183,-54.1333,-55.4667,-50.552,-46.9667,-49.0333,-56.4667,-66.4333,-63.8667,-65.1493,-66.3333,-64.51,-64.2667,-64.3333,-65.7,-67.2667,-67.4333,-67.19,-61.1],"stroke":"#c13f3f","width":1.9,"fill":"rgba(193,63,63,.10)"},{"label":"Recovery","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,45.8333,21.0,0.0,0.0,2.8805,0.0,0.0,0.0,11.2391,6.2874,0.0,0.0,11.7794,18.1515,10.6376,7.4214,19.2764,27.9247,22.9396,5.0092,0.0,7.6465,3.8252,0.2979,5.7299,6.4548,6.2562,2.1847,0.0,0.0,0.7472,19.4473],"stroke":"#07865c","width":1.7}],"guides":[{"label":"Prior 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approaching a change of 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