{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"EVPL Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"310370e9-1632-444a-a440-60404d2716b1","symbol":"EVPL","name":"everplay group plc","exchange":"LSE","country":"GB","asset_type":"equity","currency":"GBP","sector":"Communication Services","industry":"Electronic Gaming & Multimedia"},"summary":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. Price structure remains rotational.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Strength versus the research benchmark, Drawdown and recovery pressure, Range pressure and compression, Directional strength and control, Range position and boundary pressure."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-14","observations":260,"displayedObservations":104,"assetType":"Equity","state":"Rotational","stateTone":"caution","summary":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero. 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cautious, Market Dynamics positive","kind":"disagreement","expectedDirection":"higher","episodes":22,"completedEpisodes":21,"activeEpisodes":1,"medianExpectedMove":14.3,"averageExpectedMove":18.3,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":6.6,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":22,"expectedCount":12,"expectedPercent":54.5,"averageReturn":3.1,"medianReturn":1.5,"confidenceLow":34.7,"confidenceHigh":73.1,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":21,"expectedCount":10,"expectedPercent":47.6,"averageReturn":3.5,"medianReturn":-1.8,"confidenceLow":28.3,"confidenceHigh":67.6,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":21,"expectedCount":7,"expectedPercent":33.3,"averageReturn":-3.3,"medianReturn":-18.2,"confidenceLow":17.2,"confidenceHigh":54.6,"confidence":"Mixed historical 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elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":1,"completedEpisodes":1,"activeEpisodes":0,"medianExpectedMove":17.1,"averageExpectedMove":17.1,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":10.0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-2.6,"medianReturn":-2.6,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-15.2,"medianReturn":-15.2,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-34.0,"medianReturn":-34.0,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":2.6,"sample":1},{"week":2,"averageReturn":5.5,"sample":1},{"week":3,"averageReturn":3.7,"sample":1},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-2.6,"sample":1},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-6.8,"sample":1},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-11.0,"sample":1},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-7.3,"sample":1},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-12.3,"sample":1},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-15.0,"sample":1},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-17.1,"sample":1},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-13.9,"sample":1},{"week":12,"averageReturn":-15.2,"sample":1},{"week":13,"averageReturn":-13.9,"sample":1},{"week":14,"averageReturn":-11.0,"sample":1},{"week":15,"averageReturn":-15.0,"sample":1},{"week":16,"averageReturn":-13.9,"sample":1},{"week":17,"averageReturn":-22.8,"sample":1},{"week":18,"averageReturn":-21.8,"sample":1},{"week":19,"averageReturn":-21.0,"sample":1},{"week":20,"averageReturn":-21.8,"sample":1},{"week":21,"averageReturn":-22.0,"sample":1},{"week":22,"averageReturn":-23.1,"sample":1},{"week":23,"averageReturn":-31.5,"sample":1},{"week":24,"averageReturn":-44.9,"sample":1},{"week":25,"averageReturn":-38.6,"sample":1},{"week":26,"averageReturn":-34.0,"sample":1}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Negative pressure; price rotational","tone":"caution","headline":"Market Dynamics is negative while price remains rotational","use":"Treat the pressure as context until price establishes a clear response.","confirm":"The underlying condition is weak, but a negative price response is still required.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"negative","direction":"strengthening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Price is between the accumulation and distribution zones. The Market Dynamics bars describe whether the current move is gaining or losing underlying support.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"lower","percent":81.0,"averageReturn":-11.5,"sample":21},"nowContext":{"label":"Stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price has no clear direction","detail":"Price remains rotational while the Market Dynamics condition develops."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Divergence control","title":"Do not chase price while the underlying evidence lags","tone":"caution","approach":"Use the gap to review position size, protect gains and wait for either Market Dynamics to catch up or price to correct. The disagreement is a warning condition, not an automatic exit.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 81.0% of comparable cases moved lower after 12 weeks, with an average move of -11.5% across 21 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use distribution to protect capital before considering the short case","tone":"negative","finding":"After distribution, 75.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were lower across 4 cases. Distinct visits lasted 2.8 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Review long exposure and define the evidence that would confirm a rollover. Short exposure should begin only after price weakens and the loss limit is known.","watch":"A sustained repair in price and Market Dynamics invalidates the downside setup."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 21.0% across 21 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 8.3 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"distribution_rollovers":[{"date":"2025-08-15","price":377.964447},{"date":"2025-09-19","price":371.974609},{"date":"2025-11-07","price":370.97467}],"price_pressure_gaps":[{"date":"2025-10-10","price":380.973999}]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[269.9509,253.9538,227.4586,214.9609,269.9509,252.4541,262.4523,243.9556,234.9573,223.9593,234.9573,219.96,209.9618,200.9635,205.9626,199.9636,227.9585,226.9587,202.9631,224.9591,224.9591,224.9591,258.9529,268.9511,242.9558,240.9562,229.9582,194.4646,208.962,219.96,225.9589,269.9509,257.9531,243.9556,261.9524,265.9517,271.9506,261.9524,274.95,304.9445,304.9445,309.9708,297.972,321.9697,317.9701,314.9704,383.9638,362.9658,385.9637,382.964,391.9631,377.9644,378.9643,394.9628,384.9638,384.9737,371.9746,375.9743,375.9743,380.974,390.9733,401.9726,394.9731,370.9747,354.9758,338.9769,352.9759,333.9772,323.9779,315.9784,327.9776,322.978,327.9776,338.9769,323.9779,327.9776,293.9799,297.9797,300.9795,297.9797,296.9797,292.98,260.9822,209.9857,233.984,251.4828,273.9813,256.9825,265.9818,265.9818,273.4813,271.0,278.0,252.0,251.5,241.5,227.5,239.0,224.5,223.0,217.5,234.5,236.0,239.0],"consensus":[-42.0088,-43.7212,-66.5917,-54.7971,40.6419,-29.7969,16.3332,-25.3004,-37.6849,-46.3605,0.0,-47.1775,-43.4584,-48.0149,-16.2884,-31.4174,40.0287,11.8446,-40.2514,21.8985,0.0,0.0,54.8419,46.749,-12.9667,10.9623,-24.7045,-66.6737,0.0,0.0,0.0,65.8121,0.0,0.0,55.2427,16.7797,37.9321,0.0,37.4662,70.5299,39.6183,45.8064,11.6336,57.1953,20.1048,11.5705,79.4954,9.3392,65.5833,38.6248,42.2602,0.0,22.3371,50.3737,0.0,16.5437,-19.1054,0.0,0.0,9.7288,26.5924,37.2402,0.0,-38.6448,-43.0077,-56.8101,0.0,-50.5534,-48.4455,-41.4652,-9.8788,-36.3608,0.0,16.6332,-38.6,0.0,-66.2515,-28.6014,-21.0243,-32.6449,-15.48,-30.819,-68.8385,-82.1173,0.0,0.0,25.0941,-24.9916,15.9097,0.0,15.6062,0.0,22.5086,-44.5481,-25.2146,-48.3231,-45.1788,-23.1652,-48.3899,-34.4347,-37.7991,16.5871,0.0,-6.7382],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[30.3836,54.8953,0.0,16.828,-20.8777,0.0,0.0,12.0104,26.7995,37.3913,0.0,-39.9231,-39.7778,-55.8838,0.0,-51.0213,-50.1972,-39.6731,-1.5247,-40.6836,0.0,12.8135,-32.9641,0.0,-64.7298,-24.5822,-15.1083,-29.7666,-17.7875,-36.8911,-72.1579,-83.7983,0.0,0.0,27.8817,-40.6447,12.2212,0.0,21.6232,0.0,18.9496,-55.8126,-25.481,-49.1688,-47.2579,-25.8869,-55.8576,-35.3993,-41.1062,15.5213,0.0,-0.9652],"force":[3.3251,53.2188,0.0,1.9467,-46.4069,0.0,0.0,10.5298,25.4429,38.6884,0.0,-64.9712,-49.7399,-62.4307,0.0,-48.3642,-38.3166,-26.9805,-21.8649,-24.1024,0.0,40.4809,-65.293,0.0,-85.85,-2.7854,-0.3778,-19.5438,-1.8082,-18.8734,-76.3819,-96.8714,0.0,0.0,57.6174,-28.1675,37.5597,0.0,26.2757,0.0,33.772,-46.1968,-12.5989,-54.6303,-31.9222,-5.0909,-36.7209,-19.456,-29.595,62.3101,0.0,-12.7334],"direction":[26.721,43.174,0.0,26.6454,-2.4211,0.0,0.0,6.5491,27.1768,36.033,0.0,-18.3794,-41.8901,-53.854,0.0,-51.5822,-53.6783,-53.8594,-45.5854,-40.1765,0.0,3.9647,-25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Dynamics has stronger support","headline":"The gauges support the downward view","summary":"The completed evidence gives the downward view the clearer support.","take":"Current assessment: downward pressure has the stronger support.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Market Dynamics","direction":"downward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Control support is limited","controlPath":"Control support is easing","forceState":"Downward commitment","forcePath":"Broadly stable","directionState":"Follow-through is limited","persistenceState":"Developing","confirmationState":"Qualified support","riskState":"Present","intensityState":"Quiet"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-6.7","detail":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-1.0","detail":"Control support is limited","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-12.7","detail":"Downward 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Market Dynamics construction and private inputs are not disclosed. Historical research is not a forecast or instruction to trade."}