{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"ABVX Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"31eb5de8-5e84-4e38-ba2e-0b160353627c","symbol":"ABVX","name":"ABIVAX Société Anonyme","exchange":"PAR","country":"FR","asset_type":"equity","currency":"EUR","sector":"Healthcare","industry":"Biotechnology"},"summary":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive. The broader path remains constructive, so one softer week does not by itself establish weakening confirmation. Price structure remains rotational.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Strength versus the research benchmark, Drawdown and recovery pressure, Activity pressure and cumulative balance, Directional strength and control, Acceleration, deceleration and rollover."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-14","observations":260,"displayedObservations":104,"assetType":"Equity","state":"Rotational","stateTone":"caution","summary":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive. The broader path remains constructive, so one softer week does not by itself establish weakening confirmation. Price structure remains rotational.","evidenceAlignment":{"status":"Positive support; price rotational","headline":"Market Dynamics is positive while price has no clear direction","summary":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive. The broader path remains constructive, so one softer week does not by itself establish weakening confirmation. 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record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":3.8,"sample":13},{"week":2,"averageReturn":7.2,"sample":13},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-1.1,"sample":11},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-1.3,"sample":11},{"week":5,"averageReturn":2.2,"sample":11},{"week":6,"averageReturn":6.7,"sample":11},{"week":7,"averageReturn":9.3,"sample":11},{"week":8,"averageReturn":13.3,"sample":11},{"week":9,"averageReturn":5.6,"sample":10},{"week":10,"averageReturn":13.7,"sample":10},{"week":11,"averageReturn":9.9,"sample":10},{"week":12,"averageReturn":20.0,"sample":10},{"week":13,"averageReturn":21.4,"sample":10},{"week":14,"averageReturn":15.2,"sample":10},{"week":15,"averageReturn":16.0,"sample":10},{"week":16,"averageReturn":19.8,"sample":10},{"week":17,"averageReturn":13.1,"sample":10},{"week":18,"averageReturn":18.7,"sample":10},{"week":19,"averageReturn":14.3,"sample":9},{"week":20,"averageReturn":22.2,"sample":9},{"week":21,"averageReturn":19.0,"sample":9},{"week":22,"averageReturn":17.5,"sample":9},{"week":23,"averageReturn":25.1,"sample":9},{"week":24,"averageReturn":26.0,"sample":9},{"week":25,"averageReturn":27.6,"sample":9},{"week":26,"averageReturn":28.8,"sample":9}]}},"pricePressureGap":{"label":"Price elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":2,"completedEpisodes":1,"activeEpisodes":1,"medianExpectedMove":23.0,"averageExpectedMove":23.0,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":10.0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":2,"expectedCount":2,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-16.8,"medianReturn":-16.8,"confidenceLow":34.2,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-10.3,"medianReturn":-10.3,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-30.7,"medianReturn":-30.7,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-7.4,"sample":2},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-15.3,"sample":2},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-16.3,"sample":2},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-16.8,"sample":2},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-18.9,"sample":2},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-22.2,"sample":2},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-13.0,"sample":1},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-7.9,"sample":1},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-15.9,"sample":1},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-23.0,"sample":1},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-17.0,"sample":1},{"week":12,"averageReturn":-10.3,"sample":1},{"week":13,"averageReturn":-26.9,"sample":1},{"week":14,"averageReturn":-16.9,"sample":1},{"week":15,"averageReturn":-11.6,"sample":1},{"week":16,"averageReturn":-14.2,"sample":1},{"week":17,"averageReturn":-21.3,"sample":1},{"week":18,"averageReturn":-20.9,"sample":1},{"week":19,"averageReturn":-13.5,"sample":1},{"week":20,"averageReturn":-18.8,"sample":1},{"week":21,"averageReturn":-13.2,"sample":1},{"week":22,"averageReturn":-7.0,"sample":1},{"week":23,"averageReturn":-28.0,"sample":1},{"week":24,"averageReturn":-30.3,"sample":1},{"week":25,"averageReturn":-30.3,"sample":1},{"week":26,"averageReturn":-30.7,"sample":1}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Positive support; price rotational","tone":"caution","headline":"Market Dynamics is positive while price remains rotational","use":"Treat the improvement as context until price establishes a clear response.","confirm":"The underlying condition is constructive, but a positive price response is still required.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"positive","direction":"weakening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Market Dynamics remains positive and has strengthened across the recent completed path. A slight weekly pause does not yet change the broader constructive reading.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"higher","percent":60.0,"averageReturn":20.0,"sample":10},"nowContext":{"label":"Easier this week","detail":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Strengthened over four weeks","detail":"The broader path remains constructive, so one softer week does not by itself establish weakening confirmation."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price has no clear direction","detail":"Price remains rotational while the Market Dynamics condition develops."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Early repair watch","title":"Prepare the case before price confirms the recovery","tone":"recovery","approach":"Use the improvement to move the ticker onto a watchlist or define an entry trigger. Commitment should rise only after price responds; fading Market Dynamics cancels the early case.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 60.0% of comparable cases moved higher after 12 weeks, with an average move of 20.0% across 10 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 0.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 1 cases. Distinct visits lasted 100.0 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use improving Market Dynamics to prepare, not anticipate","tone":"recovery","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average recovery of 32.4% across 10 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 6.5 weeks on average.","approach":"Define the price level that would confirm the repair. Until that response occurs, keep the idea at watchlist or starter-position size.","watch":"The early repair fails if Market Dynamics fades before price responds."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[{"date":"2025-07-25","price":57.0}],"distribution_rollovers":[],"price_pressure_gaps":[{"date":"2025-12-26","price":122.0},{"date":"2026-07-03","price":135.0}]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[10.4,11.44,10.9,10.72,10.16,10.18,9.0,8.3,9.63,9.32,9.5,9.61,8.71,8.44,7.95,7.98,7.14,7.06,7.05,7.0,6.47,6.04,6.1,6.04,5.71,6.81,7.63,6.94,7.35,5.46,6.79,6.02,5.0,4.97,5.24,6.08,6.49,6.17,5.38,5.06,5.28,7.36,5.79,5.25,6.26,7.03,7.11,8.62,57.0,61.2,60.4,60.0,66.5,68.7,76.5,70.7,70.2,70.3,72.2,79.1,78.5,79.2,90.9,88.4,94.2,102.6,108.0,94.3,108.2,100.0,122.0,115.0,99.0,102.2,106.6,94.8,96.9,106.2,112.4,102.6,94.0,101.2,109.4,89.2,101.4,107.9,104.7,96.0,96.45,105.5,99.05,105.9,113.4,87.85,85.05,85.05,84.5,135.0,122.9,119.2,112.8,106.8,114.1,102.7],"consensus":[-17.5546,29.5486,-26.5657,-18.2633,-40.6547,-22.5324,-70.2709,-63.1833,16.3977,-38.2767,-9.3188,0.0,-57.5457,-38.9814,-52.2895,-26.9115,-63.1721,-43.0782,-37.7818,-30.5998,-55.9609,-56.0483,-39.8175,-29.2419,-49.9444,35.3367,54.0373,-27.3713,33.5005,-64.432,28.2069,-50.2627,-65.6344,-23.6537,-22.0919,24.7367,29.7846,0.0,-40.8957,-43.1136,-15.0654,65.4432,-36.169,-32.068,43.9216,45.4839,31.4369,68.6569,82.4711,83.1461,42.2054,43.4773,86.8216,64.3077,84.9063,11.9086,38.2171,34.7708,34.0715,70.4959,23.8335,42.625,78.0346,33.3085,65.4751,70.5981,59.1344,-10.3396,60.1401,-9.9208,76.5803,0.0,-36.9026,0.0,12.8398,-42.6091,0.0,35.6837,37.858,-19.2166,-35.8871,12.0184,35.3895,-58.8872,29.7003,31.272,0.0,-27.7435,-9.1149,24.8306,-31.8024,31.7577,47.2089,-52.8309,-38.5236,-27.8791,-23.4038,66.2217,21.039,21.255,0.0,-24.2554,23.8697,42.21],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[88.1065,58.3973,85.3005,0.5282,37.6,33.9682,44.6892,66.5266,10.4213,42.2479,81.0246,36.422,64.0165,67.449,53.8716,-20.7635,52.5166,-3.4428,84.1179,0.0,-31.5745,0.0,23.7072,-38.5234,0.0,45.1762,46.1795,-27.6633,-38.2622,17.917,41.278,-54.239,32.7605,36.8534,0.0,-37.8091,-3.1592,29.5541,-33.9796,29.9216,39.031,-51.016,-40.4377,-20.1135,-12.0984,67.6527,13.6068,15.7167,0.0,-17.3547,34.4817,42.7947],"force":[83.1859,45.0685,81.6076,63.8954,1.3271,3.2235,10.8497,79.871,10.9846,16.5715,87.7043,10.5873,69.4439,81.1407,56.6779,-67.449,78.0366,-64.6307,91.2462,0.0,-83.9976,0.0,17.0613,-64.5767,0.0,48.0084,38.748,-44.2641,-45.1973,35.339,63.995,-87.2728,56.9949,38.8141,0.0,-39.4306,-0.7377,47.3892,-48.1199,49.7603,72.2445,-63.8816,-20.8482,-8.0883,-2.819,75.6986,10.4097,6.4094,0.0,-43.1375,34.6835,61.4918],"direction":[87.95,84.8046,86.812,79.0605,67.1682,58.222,38.5241,68.3356,64.0317,61.6656,67.7106,61.1044,64.307,66.6667,66.9037,-42.366,56.0695,-21.7542,57.4901,0.0,-9.3528,0.0,2.5954,-31.5873,0.0,16.0319,27.712,-8.3279,-26.5224,11.3805,8.2271,-43.924,6.7068,19.5061,0.0,-7.8922,-22.9588,3.3192,-17.6589,20.9971,38.6726,-47.0118,-48.9613,-50.8905,-51.0276,57.817,51.9962,47.3447,0.0,-18.6547,4.0177,27.769],"intensity":[96.1538,94.2308,96.1538,88.4615,92.3077,78.8462,80.7692,96.1538,82.6923,80.7692,96.1538,80.7692,90.3846,94.2308,90.3846,96.1538,96.1538,96.1538,96.1538,84.6154,94.2308,90.3846,92.3077,80.7692,65.3846,76.9231,67.3077,76.9231,76.9231,76.9231,80.7692,94.2308,76.9231,71.1538,32.6923,55.7692,48.0769,80.7692,42.3077,48.0769,59.6154,96.1538,26.9231,15.3846,13.4615,98.0769,78.8462,13.4615,32.6923,51.9231,42.3077,67.3077],"confirmation":[95.6525,88.0822,95.0635,15.305,56.6502,55.5108,78.0334,90.9049,31.78,80.8517,93.2202,34.1988,89.0952,90.9607,86.9283,36.595,87.9064,9.5816,92.8378,10.1199,81.3253,24.8456,49.9588,82.3667,26.8497,79.6498,80.0149,31.2272,79.7314,29.5612,80.1067,87.7798,55.6226,78.1519,24.9764,54.4141,25.5313,53.8947,78.6409,78.7391,83.9945,85.2703,79.7597,76.4365,52.3675,89.458,30.7747,52.7436,30.9817,76.4423,53.1395,82.0859],"persistence":[100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,75.0,75.0,50.0,50.0,37.5,12.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,12.5,12.5,12.5,0.0,0.0,12.5,12.5,12.5,25.0,25.0,12.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,25.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,0.0,0.0,12.5,12.5,12.5,12.5],"assessmentRisk":[11.8457,5.6946,0.1681,27.9656,5.1997,11.2504,33.0538,6.5868,16.3762,27.9179,10.9579,31.5997,17.1464,14.6952,20.3475,41.6463,18.3254,11.9563,7.4321,45.0469,16.3891,9.3857,51.1113,26.2981,11.4878,0.4845,5.3385,39.724,4.8366,28.5855,31.9069,14.6556,15.8928,14.6823,19.8886,44.0243,19.9887,24.7736,11.1421,23.337,23.964,19.2918,23.2114,33.9719,38.0767,16.5763,38.3989,37.6965,47.2109,34.5097,36.0452,16.4095],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":42.2,"control":42.8,"force":61.5,"direction":27.8,"confirmation":82.1,"persistence":12.5,"assessmentRisk":16.4,"intensity":67.3,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","headline":"The gauges support the upward view","summary":"The completed evidence gives the upward view the clearer support.","take":"Current assessment: upward pressure has the stronger support.","tone":"positive","supportedView":"Market Dynamics","direction":"upward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Buyer control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is strengthening","forceState":"Upward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is strengthening","directionState":"Upward follow-through","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Strong support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Normal"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"+42.2","detail":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"+42.8","detail":"Buyer control supports the view","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"+61.5","detail":"Upward commitment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"+27.8","detail":"Upward follow-through","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"82/100","detail":"Strong support","tone":"positive"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Rotational","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"50.0","detail":"Positive","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"13.6%","detail":"Normal","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"21.4","detail":"Range-led","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Range position","value":"40%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility 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