{"ticker": {"uuid": "32e57d6f-5600-4105-9404-c97a99ba39c9", "symbol": "TNIE", "name": "tonies SE", "exchange": "VIE", "asset_type": "equity"}, "latest_week": "2026-08-07", "summary": "TNIE closed the latest completed week at 12.04 EUR. The 4-week return is -3.8% and the 12-week return is 14.7%. The trend backdrop is active, with activity pressure at 0.53.", "description": "tonies SE, through its subsidiaries, develops, produces, and distributes digital, cloud based, and interactive audio platform and entertainment system for children in Germany, the United States, the United Kingdom, France, and internationally. It provides Toniebox, a speaker box that enables children to listen to stories and music, as well as various figurines under the Tonies brand name. The company also offers accessories and digital products, such as headphones, transport solutions, and decoration products. It distributes its products through various online and offline distribution channels, including brick-and-mortar retail partner stores, retail partner online channels, its own online shop, and Amazon marketplace. The company was formerly known as 468 SPAC I SE. The company was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in Luxembourg, Luxembourg.", "setup_signature": "Balanced read", "composite_score": "65", "kpis": [{"label": "Latest Close", "value": "12.04 EUR", "hint": "2026-08-07"}, {"label": "1W Return", "value": "-1.6%", "tone": "negative", "hint": "latest completed week"}, {"label": "4W Return", "value": "-3.8%", "tone": "negative", "hint": "short-term follow-through"}, {"label": "12W Return", "value": "14.7%", "tone": "positive", "hint": "quarterly tape"}, {"label": "Trend Breadth", "value": "96.2%", "hint": "50 of 52 weeks active"}, {"label": "Volume Ratio", "value": "1.9x", "hint": "vs 13-week average"}], "classification": {"exchange": "VIE", "country": "AT", "sector": "Consumer Cyclical", "industry": "Leisure", "currency": "EUR", "market_cap": "1.3B"}, "price": {"trend_line": "11.14 EUR", "fair_value": "8.33 EUR", "vs_trend": "8.1%", "vs_fair_value": "44.5%", "high_52": "13.22 EUR", "low_52": "5.77 EUR", "drawdown": "-8.9%", 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"31 Jul", "return": -5.55555555555556, "return_label": "-5.6%", "return_tone": "negative", "volume_height": 4, "volume": "0"}, {"week": "7 Aug", "return": -1.633986928104584, "return_label": "-1.6%", "return_tone": "negative", "volume_height": 47.5609756097561, "volume": "2.3K"}], "insights": [{"label": "Participation", "value": "1.9x", "detail": "Latest volume versus the 13-week average.", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Baseline", "value": "1.2K", "detail": "13-week average volume.", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "One-year base", "value": "2.2K", "detail": "52-week average volume.", "tone": "neutral"}]}, "risk": {"volatility_13": "5.4%", "volatility_52": "5.7%", "downside_weeks": 20, "upside_weeks": 31, "downside_breadth": "38.5%", "average_gain": "4.9%", "average_loss": "-3.6%", "distribution_scale": "13%", "return_callouts": [{"label": "Weeks higher", "value": "14 of 26", "detail": "11 weeks finished lower.", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Best week", "value": "+12.5%", "detail": "Week of 19 Jun.", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Worst week", "value": "-7.1%", "detail": "Week of 6 Mar.", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "Latest week", "value": "-1.6%", "detail": "Week of 7 Aug.", "tone": "negative"}], "buckets": [{"label": "Strong gains", "count": 5, "share": 19.230769230769234, "share_label": "19.2%", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Modest gains", "count": 9, "share": 34.61538461538461, "share_label": "34.6%", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Flat weeks", "count": 1, "share": 3.8461538461538463, "share_label": "3.8%", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Modest losses", "count": 5, "share": 19.230769230769234, "share_label": "19.2%", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "Sharp losses", "count": 6, "share": 23.076923076923077, "share_label": "23.1%", "tone": "negative"}], "insights": [{"label": "Recent vol", "value": "5.4%", "detail": "13-week weekly-return volatility.", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Base vol", "value": "5.7%", "detail": "52-week weekly-return volatility.", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Up/down split", "value": "31/20", "detail": "Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Average skew", "value": "4.9% / -3.6%", "detail": "Average positive week versus average negative week.", "tone": "neutral"}]}, "signals": [{"label": "Trend backdrop", "value": "Active", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Activity pressure", "value": "No fresh buy", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Price vs Trend", "value": "8.1%", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Volume", "value": "1.9x", "tone": "positive"}], "opportunities": ["The trend backdrop is active with a 50-week active streak.", "Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.", "Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.", "Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.", "Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention."], "risks": ["2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape."], "watch_points": ["Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.", "Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.", "A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move."], "recent_rows": [{"week": "2026-08-07", "close": "12.04 EUR", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "11.14 EUR", "fair_value": "8.33 EUR", "activity_pressure": "0.53", "relative_leadership": "-0.27", "volume": "2.3K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-07-31", "close": "12.24 EUR", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "11.10 EUR", "fair_value": "8.29 EUR", "activity_pressure": "0.71", "relative_leadership": "5.06", "volume": "0", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-07-24", "close": "12.96 EUR", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "11.04 EUR", "fair_value": "8.25 EUR", "activity_pressure": "0.85", "relative_leadership": "11.91", "volume": "1.4K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-07-17", "close": "11.80 EUR", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "10.94 EUR", "fair_value": "8.20 EUR", "activity_pressure": "0.82", "relative_leadership": "4.11", "volume": "0", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-07-10", "close": "12.52 EUR", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "10.88 EUR", "fair_value": "8.16 EUR", "activity_pressure": "1.14", "relative_leadership": "9.10", "volume": "3.1K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-07-03", "close": "12.78 EUR", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "10.77 EUR", "fair_value": "8.11 EUR", "activity_pressure": "0.98", "relative_leadership": "10.79", "volume": "0", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-06-26", "close": "12.36 EUR", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "10.66 EUR", "fair_value": "8.06 EUR", "activity_pressure": "0.63", "relative_leadership": "10.58", "volume": "0", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-06-19", "close": "12.98 EUR", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "10.57 EUR", "fair_value": "8.02 EUR", "activity_pressure": "0.22", "relative_leadership": "14.70", "volume": "3.8K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-06-12", "close": "11.54 EUR", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "10.44 EUR", "fair_value": "7.96 EUR", "activity_pressure": "-0.38", "relative_leadership": "7.17", "volume": "0", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-06-05", "close": "10.92 EUR", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "10.34 EUR", "fair_value": "7.92 EUR", "activity_pressure": "-0.60", "relative_leadership": "4.85", "volume": "0", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-29", "close": "10.84 EUR", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "10.24 EUR", "fair_value": "7.88 EUR", "activity_pressure": "-0.71", "relative_leadership": "3.43", "volume": "0", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-22", "close": "10.56 EUR", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "10.17 EUR", "fair_value": "7.85 EUR", "activity_pressure": "-0.77", "relative_leadership": "4.04", "volume": "30", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-15", "close": "10.50 EUR", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "10.11 EUR", "fair_value": "7.82 EUR", "activity_pressure": "-0.82", "relative_leadership": "6.03", "volume": "4.8K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-08", "close": "10.06 EUR", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "10.04 EUR", "fair_value": "7.79 EUR", "activity_pressure": "-0.93", "relative_leadership": "1.58", "volume": "250", "trend_backdrop": null}], "intelligence": {"rating": "Positive", "rating_tone": "positive", "overall_score": "67", "primary_driver": {"label": "Next-Week Expectancy", "score": 80.52074999999999, "score_label": "81", "tone": "positive", "summary": "Next-week expectancy is positive with a 61.04% historical one-week setup read.", "detail": "Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership.", "metric": "Positive 61.04%", "url": "/terminal/32e57d6f-5600-4105-9404-c97a99ba39c9/", "available": true, "weight": 1.05}, "primary_conflict": {"label": "Patient Capital", "score": 48.0, "score_label": "48", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.", "detail": "No recent buy signal", "metric": "Quiet", "url": "/patient-capital/", "available": true, "weight": 1}, "options_tone": "neutral", "options": null, "evidence": [{"label": "Weekly tape", "score": 67.95923107685415, "score_label": "68", "tone": "positive", "summary": "Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 68/100 tape read.", "detail": "", "metric": "68/100", "url": "/terminal/32e57d6f-5600-4105-9404-c97a99ba39c9/", "available": true, "weight": 1.6}, {"label": "Indicator analysis", "score": 76.72222222222221, "score_label": "77", "tone": "positive", "summary": "Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 8/12, relative leadership 11/12.", "detail": "Activity pressure 0.87; 2 reversal markers", "metric": "77/100", "url": "/terminal/32e57d6f-5600-4105-9404-c97a99ba39c9/", "available": true, "weight": 1.45}, {"label": "Next-Week Expectancy", "score": 80.52074999999999, "score_label": "81", "tone": "positive", "summary": "Next-week expectancy is positive with a 61.04% historical one-week setup read.", "detail": "Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership.", "metric": "Positive 61.04%", "url": "/terminal/32e57d6f-5600-4105-9404-c97a99ba39c9/", "available": true, "weight": 1.05}, {"label": "Factors", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No published factor snapshot is available yet.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/factors/", "available": false, "weight": 0}, {"label": "Patient Capital", "score": 48.0, "score_label": "48", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.", "detail": "No recent buy signal", "metric": "Quiet", "url": "/patient-capital/", "available": true, "weight": 1}, {"label": "Sentiment", "score": 56.0, "score_label": "56", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Weighted news tone is neutral across 12 relevant articles.", "detail": "Original-Research: tonies SE (von NuWays AG): BUY", "metric": "56/100", "url": "/sentiment/32e57d6f-5600-4105-9404-c97a99ba39c9/", "available": true, "weight": 0.95}, {"label": "Insiders", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/insider-activity/", "available": false, "weight": 0}, {"label": "Earnings", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/earnings-calendar/", "available": false, "weight": 0}], "positives": [{"label": "Next-Week Expectancy", "score": 80.52074999999999, "score_label": "81", "tone": "positive", "summary": "Next-week expectancy is positive with a 61.04% historical one-week setup read.", "detail": "Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership.", "metric": "Positive 61.04%", "url": "/terminal/32e57d6f-5600-4105-9404-c97a99ba39c9/", "available": true, "weight": 1.05}, {"label": "Indicator analysis", "score": 76.72222222222221, "score_label": "77", "tone": "positive", "summary": "Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 8/12, relative leadership 11/12.", "detail": "Activity pressure 0.87; 2 reversal markers", "metric": "77/100", "url": "/terminal/32e57d6f-5600-4105-9404-c97a99ba39c9/", "available": true, "weight": 1.45}, {"label": "Weekly tape", "score": 67.95923107685415, "score_label": "68", "tone": "positive", "summary": "Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 68/100 tape read.", "detail": "", "metric": "68/100", "url": "/terminal/32e57d6f-5600-4105-9404-c97a99ba39c9/", "available": true, "weight": 1.6}], "negatives": [], "conclusion": ["The strongest supporting evidence is next-week expectancy: Next-week expectancy is positive with a 61.04% historical one-week setup read.", "The main constraint is patient capital: Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.", "The combined read is constructive, but confirmation should still come from follow-through in price, volume, and group structure."], "weekly_changes": [{"label": "Price follow-through", "value": "-1.6%", "detail": "Latest completed week; four-week move -3.8%.", "tone": "negative", "url": "/terminal/32e57d6f-5600-4105-9404-c97a99ba39c9/"}, {"label": "Indicator stack", "value": "98/55", "detail": "Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/terminal/32e57d6f-5600-4105-9404-c97a99ba39c9/"}, {"label": "Trend backdrop", "value": "Active", "detail": "The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/32e57d6f-5600-4105-9404-c97a99ba39c9/"}, {"label": "Patient Capital", "value": "Quiet", "detail": "Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/patient-capital/"}, {"label": "Next-Week Expectancy", "value": "Positive 61.04%", "detail": "Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/32e57d6f-5600-4105-9404-c97a99ba39c9/"}, {"label": "News sentiment", "value": "56/100", "detail": "12 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/sentiment/32e57d6f-5600-4105-9404-c97a99ba39c9/"}]}, "investor_view": {"stance": "Mixed setup", "stance_tone": "neutral", "setup_score": "65", "bottom_line": "The weekly trend is active. Price is 8.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 84.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.6%, after a -3.8% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 56/100.", "price_summary": "The weekly trend is active. Price is 8.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 84.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.6%, after a -3.8% four-week move.", "volume_summary": "Latest weekly volume is 1.9x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.", "momentum_summary": "Performance is -3.8% over four weeks, 14.7% over 12 weeks, and 103.0% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 50 consecutive weeks.", "fundamentals": {"available": false, "summary": "A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.", "rank_scores": [], "groups": []}, "weekly_change": [{"label": "Price follow-through", "value": "-1.6%", "detail": "Latest completed week; four-week move -3.8%.", "tone": "negative", "url": "/terminal/32e57d6f-5600-4105-9404-c97a99ba39c9/"}, {"label": "Indicator stack", "value": "98/55", "detail": "Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/terminal/32e57d6f-5600-4105-9404-c97a99ba39c9/"}, {"label": "Trend backdrop", "value": "Active", "detail": "The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/32e57d6f-5600-4105-9404-c97a99ba39c9/"}, {"label": "Patient Capital", "value": "Quiet", "detail": "Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/patient-capital/"}, {"label": "Next-Week Expectancy", "value": "Positive 61.04%", "detail": "Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/32e57d6f-5600-4105-9404-c97a99ba39c9/"}, {"label": "News sentiment", "value": "56/100", "detail": "12 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/sentiment/32e57d6f-5600-4105-9404-c97a99ba39c9/"}], "strengths": ["The trend backdrop is active with a 50-week active streak.", "Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.", "Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.", "Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week."], "risks": ["2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape."], "watch_points": ["Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.", "Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.", "A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move."], "evidence": {"weekly_tape": {"label": "Weekly tape", "score": 67.95923107685415, "score_label": "68", "tone": "positive", "summary": "Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 68/100 tape read.", "detail": "", "metric": "68/100", "url": "/terminal/32e57d6f-5600-4105-9404-c97a99ba39c9/", "available": true, "weight": 1.6}, "indicator_analysis": {"label": "Indicator analysis", "score": 76.72222222222221, "score_label": "77", "tone": "positive", "summary": "Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 8/12, relative leadership 11/12.", "detail": "Activity pressure 0.87; 2 reversal markers", "metric": "77/100", "url": "/terminal/32e57d6f-5600-4105-9404-c97a99ba39c9/", "available": true, "weight": 1.45}, "next-week_expectancy": {"label": "Next-Week Expectancy", "score": 80.52074999999999, "score_label": "81", "tone": "positive", "summary": "Next-week expectancy is positive with a 61.04% historical one-week setup read.", "detail": "Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership.", "metric": "Positive 61.04%", "url": "/terminal/32e57d6f-5600-4105-9404-c97a99ba39c9/", "available": true, "weight": 1.05}, "factors": {"label": "Factors", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No published factor snapshot is available yet.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/factors/", "available": false, "weight": 0}, "patient_capital": {"label": "Patient Capital", "score": 48.0, "score_label": "48", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.", "detail": "No recent buy signal", "metric": "Quiet", "url": "/patient-capital/", "available": true, "weight": 1}, "sentiment": {"label": "Sentiment", "score": 56.0, "score_label": "56", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Weighted news tone is neutral across 12 relevant articles.", "detail": "Original-Research: tonies SE (von NuWays AG): BUY", "metric": "56/100", "url": "/sentiment/32e57d6f-5600-4105-9404-c97a99ba39c9/", "available": true, "weight": 0.95}, "insiders": {"label": "Insiders", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/insider-activity/", "available": false, "weight": 0}, "earnings": {"label": "Earnings", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/earnings-calendar/", "available": false, "weight": 0}}, "section_nav": [{"id": "overview", "label": "Overview"}, {"id": "price-action", "label": "Price"}, {"id": "volume-demand", "label": "Volume"}, {"id": "momentum", "label": "Momentum"}, {"id": "fundamentals", "label": "Fundamentals"}, {"id": "ownership-flow", "label": "Ownership & Flow"}, {"id": "catalysts-risk", "label": "Catalysts & Risk"}, {"id": "peer-context", "label": "Peer Context"}, {"id": "weekly-data", "label": "Weekly Data"}]}, "chart_url": "/terminal/32e57d6f-5600-4105-9404-c97a99ba39c9/", "api_path": "/terminal/32e57d6f-5600-4105-9404-c97a99ba39c9/report/api/"}