{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"SOLV Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"33329740-5b2f-4c44-9128-5e43b810b5cb","symbol":"SOLV","name":"Solvac S.A.","exchange":"BRU","country":"BE","asset_type":"equity","currency":"EUR","sector":"Basic Materials","industry":"Chemicals"},"summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path. 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cautious, Market Dynamics positive","kind":"disagreement","expectedDirection":"higher","episodes":15,"completedEpisodes":14,"activeEpisodes":1,"medianExpectedMove":2.8,"averageExpectedMove":5.0,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":5.3,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":15,"expectedCount":5,"expectedPercent":33.3,"averageReturn":-2.6,"medianReturn":-3.6,"confidenceLow":15.2,"confidenceHigh":58.3,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":14,"expectedCount":4,"expectedPercent":28.6,"averageReturn":-2.4,"medianReturn":-4.2,"confidenceLow":11.7,"confidenceHigh":54.6,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":13,"expectedCount":4,"expectedPercent":30.8,"averageReturn":-3.7,"medianReturn":-6.7,"confidenceLow":12.7,"confidenceHigh":57.6,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-1.8,"sample":15},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-2.3,"sample":15},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-3.0,"sample":15},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-2.6,"sample":15},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-2.5,"sample":15},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-3.7,"sample":15},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-2.0,"sample":15},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-3.1,"sample":14},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-2.6,"sample":14},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-2.7,"sample":14},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-2.9,"sample":14},{"week":12,"averageReturn":-2.4,"sample":14},{"week":13,"averageReturn":-1.8,"sample":14},{"week":14,"averageReturn":-2.7,"sample":14},{"week":15,"averageReturn":-1.8,"sample":14},{"week":16,"averageReturn":-2.0,"sample":14},{"week":17,"averageReturn":-2.6,"sample":14},{"week":18,"averageReturn":-1.8,"sample":14},{"week":19,"averageReturn":-2.6,"sample":14},{"week":20,"averageReturn":-3.2,"sample":14},{"week":21,"averageReturn":-3.7,"sample":14},{"week":22,"averageReturn":-2.8,"sample":14},{"week":23,"averageReturn":-3.2,"sample":14},{"week":24,"averageReturn":-3.3,"sample":14},{"week":25,"averageReturn":-2.7,"sample":14},{"week":26,"averageReturn":-3.7,"sample":13}]}},"pricePressureGap":{"label":"Price elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":0,"completedEpisodes":0,"activeEpisodes":0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":12,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"sample":0},{"week":2,"sample":0},{"week":3,"sample":0},{"week":4,"sample":0},{"week":5,"sample":0},{"week":6,"sample":0},{"week":7,"sample":0},{"week":8,"sample":0},{"week":9,"sample":0},{"week":10,"sample":0},{"week":11,"sample":0},{"week":12,"sample":0},{"week":13,"sample":0},{"week":14,"sample":0},{"week":15,"sample":0},{"week":16,"sample":0},{"week":17,"sample":0},{"week":18,"sample":0},{"week":19,"sample":0},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Underlying strength ahead of price","tone":"positive","headline":"Underlying strength is leading price","use":"A positive price response is needed before the early upside case is confirmed.","confirm":"Treat the gap as an early-upside opportunity watch. A continued positive price response would confirm that price is catching up with the stronger foundation.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"positive","direction":"strengthening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Market Dynamics has strengthened across the recent completed path and remains strongly positive, while price has not advanced as far through its range. The gap is an early-upside watch; a positive price response is needed for confirmation.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"higher","percent":28.6,"averageReturn":-2.4,"sample":14},"nowContext":{"label":"Stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Strengthened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price is lagging the underlying strength","detail":"Market Dynamics has advanced further through its recent range than price. This is positive divergence and an early-upside watch, but price confirmation is still required."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Early repair watch","title":"Prepare the case before price confirms the recovery","tone":"recovery","approach":"Use the improvement to move the ticker onto a watchlist or define an entry trigger. Commitment should rise only after price responds; fading Market Dynamics cancels the early case.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 28.6% of comparable cases moved higher after 12 weeks, with an average move of -2.4% across 14 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 100.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 1 cases. Distinct visits lasted 2.0 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use improving Market Dynamics to prepare, not anticipate","tone":"recovery","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average recovery of 5.0% across 14 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 5.3 weeks on average.","approach":"Define the price level that would confirm the repair. Until that response occurs, keep the idea at watchlist or starter-position size.","watch":"The early repair fails if Market Dynamics fades before price responds."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[{"date":"2026-05-15","price":72.0}],"distribution_rollovers":[],"price_pressure_gaps":[]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[90.8625,89.9539,90.6808,89.5904,88.3183,90.1356,91.7711,94.497,95.4056,91.7711,92.6797,93.5884,90.8625,90.1356,89.9539,94.497,93.1341,90.3173,90.1356,90.8625,93.1341,95.8545,92.6287,94.0112,94.0112,96.3154,94.0112,89.0341,88.8498,89.0341,88.4811,86.6378,80.9234,80.186,79.633,83.6884,87.5594,83.6884,81.8587,83.9051,83.1609,82.7889,81.3005,81.8587,80.7424,81.4866,84.4632,82.7889,83.347,82.7889,85.9516,86.1376,86.8818,88.3701,86.8818,87.3787,83.922,83.3458,83.5379,84.306,85.2663,86.4185,82.5777,82.1936,80.8493,78.7368,78.7368,77.9687,77.2005,80.4652,78.7368,79.313,76.8164,80.2732,80.6573,77.7766,77.7766,81.0413,78.9289,66.2542,64.9099,63.3736,61.4532,64.5258,65.6781,70.095,70.5751,72.4955,72.0154,70.095,72.0,74.0,76.0,76.5,76.0,78.0,74.0,72.0,75.0,75.5,77.5,79.5,78.5,85.0],"consensus":[-17.7472,-27.4718,0.0,-28.0882,-43.9695,12.3137,31.0132,54.3286,37.9797,-25.8279,0.0,12.5715,-43.9752,-22.9843,-21.9287,42.1604,0.0,-25.9686,-9.1334,0.0,28.485,50.7126,-24.6362,27.4178,0.0,40.2433,-10.4626,-57.5427,-27.1261,-24.4519,-36.4084,-46.2955,-72.7431,-41.7608,-44.8964,10.1897,43.8858,-33.7236,-30.1567,0.0,-27.9464,-19.9766,-36.9322,0.0,-33.365,-9.2873,28.9886,-15.5332,8.7595,-9.506,35.1523,11.8478,21.8365,52.339,0.0,23.6404,-44.1808,-23.5984,-8.1302,0.0,19.2894,33.5986,-47.3,-21.9213,-46.3987,-50.4977,-32.1052,-45.4311,-46.6382,29.7201,-26.3342,0.0,-54.0129,23.3428,15.2975,-37.2389,-9.9162,34.6031,-25.3883,-73.6711,-58.8226,-59.2022,-63.4462,0.0,0.0,31.5749,18.1521,37.0069,16.1098,-20.7825,21.3954,37.039,52.0109,20.8509,25.4808,52.8783,-26.8586,-37.5586,30.3384,15.9822,48.6565,58.5535,11.9171,79.0645],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[12.693,53.4804,0.0,24.1028,-43.3708,-19.0618,-0.2964,0.0,18.0636,34.2386,-46.1925,-18.7452,-45.1236,-46.7425,-28.8342,-47.5826,-49.1793,31.689,-31.0278,0.0,-56.6861,25.5926,12.9966,-44.4912,-15.3861,36.0666,-28.8384,-67.161,-56.4818,-59.8874,-69.0781,0.0,0.0,33.8561,13.6246,37.99,9.6506,-26.6843,17.2015,43.4632,56.2853,5.462,20.3177,58.9816,-37.2586,-46.3764,45.0244,25.5813,54.2542,50.8938,7.7028,78.9111],"force":[11.1017,53.405,0.0,14.8391,-76.5021,-21.251,-2.9919,0.0,28.7139,36.5372,-81.1265,-13.342,-50.6377,-51.3862,-13.6267,-33.8283,-35.567,68.6719,-24.5197,0.0,-80.4611,52.3794,19.3297,-41.2389,-0.159,56.529,-35.4641,-98.4492,-53.2998,-47.4587,-47.9352,0.0,0.0,55.3563,23.9427,40.1672,7.2475,-37.1465,32.8116,35.2036,50.4121,0.1766,4.4198,41.0508,-46.4039,-39.8351,33.6518,13.8856,43.8106,74.4398,27.91,97.5696],"direction":[39.9538,50.2731,0.0,29.3986,-22.02,-30.4599,-25.705,0.0,13.9584,30.7681,-24.404,-31.6791,-44.8282,-54.1545,-49.0424,-51.2599,-51.642,0.3528,-22.266,0.0,-32.0663,0.0312,15.0471,-26.0934,-10.6344,17.2691,-14.2484,-63.4128,-65.4426,-66.8072,-68.0891,0.0,0.0,11.9811,19.1903,33.6259,29.8221,-2.3488,18.0341,31.0082,48.2679,53.2055,46.4252,54.3513,-1.012,-25.8549,11.1878,6.5094,45.7204,55.9601,45.1812,66.0217],"intensity":[11.5385,28.8462,28.8462,1.9231,75.0,65.3846,19.2308,13.4615,40.3846,23.0769,78.8462,65.3846,23.0769,78.8462,19.2308,15.3846,26.9231,75.0,40.3846,13.4615,61.5385,80.7692,61.5385,65.3846,1.9231,75.0,50.0,100.0,98.0769,38.4615,48.0769,67.3077,69.2308,96.1538,53.8462,46.1538,21.1538,50.0,50.0,88.4615,51.9231,63.4615,34.6154,51.9231,94.2308,65.3846,69.2308,34.6154,50.0,65.3846,67.3077,96.1538],"confirmation":[74.7998,84.7636,5.3336,75.2896,83.1352,75.5491,25.7593,28.2903,74.4785,78.8313,84.1838,74.8017,82.9962,84.2436,77.7603,82.1516,82.5481,56.0761,76.3001,25.1607,86.0494,53.6537,73.0532,79.9278,48.1258,79.7189,76.3788,92.4291,86.6906,86.5764,87.7442,34.5942,6.2779,78.794,74.0541,79.9235,50.3168,52.3925,75.2584,79.6987,84.5296,28.9434,52.924,84.4676,54.3653,79.9538,77.5855,50.2375,83.3371,87.338,8.618,100.0],"persistence":[25.0,50.0,37.5,62.5,37.5,37.5,12.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,12.5,37.5,37.5,37.5,37.5,50.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,62.5,62.5,37.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,25.0,25.0,50.0,75.0,62.5,50.0,50.0,25.0,0.0,25.0,25.0,50.0,62.5,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0],"assessmentRisk":[38.3323,23.7843,25.7846,23.0947,24.4682,37.8797,43.819,50.5065,26.0776,31.4791,0.0453,32.1476,26.3457,24.7415,33.225,26.864,25.8974,24.2093,13.1671,36.1164,16.2939,16.3725,29.5486,14.9412,28.3543,0.2739,21.2252,12.8611,20.434,20.385,18.2672,20.681,11.5104,30.2591,39.8061,29.4452,37.6879,10.3912,6.3805,0.7228,22.2849,39.4668,36.1261,22.8964,24.2722,29.707,38.4442,50.5542,22.8007,20.6649,41.4013,10.4206],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":79.1,"control":78.9,"force":97.6,"direction":66.0,"confirmation":100.0,"persistence":50.0,"assessmentRisk":10.4,"intensity":96.2,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Joint upward confirmation","headline":"The gauges support the upward market view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics agree. Control, force and direction support the same upward assessment.","take":"Current assessment: upward pressure has broad support.","tone":"positive","supportedView":"Price structure and Market Dynamics","direction":"upward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Buyer control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is strengthening","forceState":"Upward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is strengthening","directionState":"Upward follow-through","persistenceState":"Developing","confirmationState":"Strong support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Elevated"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"+79.1","detail":"Joint upward confirmation","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"+78.9","detail":"Buyer control supports the view","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"+97.6","detail":"Upward commitment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"+66.0","detail":"Upward 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