{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"SWN Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"348e3a00-4203-4cbc-978f-a7010c913bb5","symbol":"SWN","name":"SOUTHWEST AIRLINES CO.        R","exchange":"GER","country":"DE","asset_type":"equity","currency":"EUR","sector":"Industrials","industry":"Airlines"},"summary":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. Price has not yet established a clear direction.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Strength versus the research benchmark, Activity pressure and cumulative balance, Drawdown and recovery pressure, Range pressure and compression, Directional strength and control."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-14","observations":184,"displayedObservations":104,"assetType":"Equity","state":"Rotational","stateTone":"caution","summary":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive. 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cautious, Market Dynamics positive","kind":"disagreement","expectedDirection":"higher","episodes":13,"completedEpisodes":12,"activeEpisodes":1,"medianExpectedMove":13.7,"averageExpectedMove":16.1,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":7.1,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":12,"expectedCount":6,"expectedPercent":50.0,"averageReturn":1.2,"medianReturn":-0.8,"confidenceLow":25.4,"confidenceHigh":74.6,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":12,"expectedCount":8,"expectedPercent":66.7,"averageReturn":6.2,"medianReturn":5.5,"confidenceLow":39.1,"confidenceHigh":86.2,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":11,"expectedCount":8,"expectedPercent":72.7,"averageReturn":13.1,"medianReturn":8.1,"confidenceLow":43.4,"confidenceHigh":90.3,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":0.7,"sample":13},{"week":2,"averageReturn":1.0,"sample":13},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-1.3,"sample":13},{"week":4,"averageReturn":1.2,"sample":12},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-1.9,"sample":12},{"week":6,"averageReturn":3.4,"sample":12},{"week":7,"averageReturn":2.9,"sample":12},{"week":8,"averageReturn":3.2,"sample":12},{"week":9,"averageReturn":5.2,"sample":12},{"week":10,"averageReturn":4.7,"sample":12},{"week":11,"averageReturn":4.0,"sample":12},{"week":12,"averageReturn":6.2,"sample":12},{"week":13,"averageReturn":6.9,"sample":12},{"week":14,"averageReturn":6.5,"sample":12},{"week":15,"averageReturn":5.3,"sample":12},{"week":16,"averageReturn":10.1,"sample":12},{"week":17,"averageReturn":8.3,"sample":12},{"week":18,"averageReturn":8.1,"sample":12},{"week":19,"averageReturn":8.8,"sample":12},{"week":20,"averageReturn":9.6,"sample":12},{"week":21,"averageReturn":9.8,"sample":12},{"week":22,"averageReturn":11.7,"sample":12},{"week":23,"averageReturn":10.4,"sample":12},{"week":24,"averageReturn":11.1,"sample":11},{"week":25,"averageReturn":14.0,"sample":11},{"week":26,"averageReturn":13.1,"sample":11}]}},"pricePressureGap":{"label":"Price elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":0,"completedEpisodes":0,"activeEpisodes":0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":12,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"sample":0},{"week":2,"sample":0},{"week":3,"sample":0},{"week":4,"sample":0},{"week":5,"sample":0},{"week":6,"sample":0},{"week":7,"sample":0},{"week":8,"sample":0},{"week":9,"sample":0},{"week":10,"sample":0},{"week":11,"sample":0},{"week":12,"sample":0},{"week":13,"sample":0},{"week":14,"sample":0},{"week":15,"sample":0},{"week":16,"sample":0},{"week":17,"sample":0},{"week":18,"sample":0},{"week":19,"sample":0},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Support weakening","tone":"caution","headline":"Positive Market Dynamics has weakened over four weeks","use":"Use the weaker four-week path as caution until price and Market Dynamics establish clearer agreement.","confirm":"Treat the weaker support as caution until price and Market Dynamics establish clearer agreement.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"positive","direction":"weakening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Market Dynamics remains above zero, but support has contracted across the recent completed path. Price confirmation now carries more weight.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"sample":0},"nowContext":{"label":"Easier this week","detail":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price has no clear direction","detail":"Price remains rotational while the Market Dynamics condition develops."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use distribution to protect capital before considering the short case","tone":"negative","finding":"After distribution, 100.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were lower across 2 cases. Distinct visits lasted 3.0 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Review long exposure and define the evidence that would confirm a rollover. Short exposure should begin only after price weakens and the loss limit is known.","watch":"A sustained repair in price and Market Dynamics invalidates the downside setup."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 13.3% across 14 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 6.0 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"distribution_rollovers":[],"price_pressure_gaps":[]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2021-07-16","2021-07-23","2021-07-30","2021-08-06","2021-08-13","2021-08-20","2021-08-27","2021-09-03","2021-09-10","2021-09-17","2021-09-24","2021-10-01","2021-10-08","2021-10-15","2021-10-22","2021-10-29","2021-11-05","2021-11-12","2021-11-19","2021-11-26","2021-12-03","2021-12-10","2021-12-17","2021-12-24","2021-12-31","2022-01-07","2022-01-14","2022-01-21","2022-01-28","2022-02-04","2022-02-11","2022-02-18","2022-02-25","2022-03-04","2022-03-11","2022-03-18","2022-03-25","2022-04-01","2022-04-08","2022-04-15","2022-04-22","2022-04-29","2022-05-06","2022-05-13","2022-05-20","2022-05-27","2022-06-03","2022-06-10","2022-06-17","2022-06-24","2022-07-01","2022-07-08","2022-07-15","2022-07-22","2022-07-29","2022-08-05","2022-08-12","2022-08-19","2022-08-26","2022-09-02","2022-09-09","2022-09-16","2022-09-23","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[42.7427,44.467,42.0924,42.1121,42.3092,40.1218,42.7821,40.5356,40.3484,41.1071,44.5163,45.1469,45.738,43.6886,40.2794,40.2006,44.6887,41.8362,40.7721,38.831,39.703,36.6338,35.3135,36.22,36.5106,39.2843,38.9985,38.5108,36.5353,37.1412,40.4814,40.0429,39.6488,36.3037,36.486,38.3482,39.5897,40.6489,37.7866,42.6048,43.5408,44.5557,44.0187,40.4863,40.4519,41.8313,39.8459,37.5945,33.1606,34.9095,34.2001,35.683,38.4615,39.3631,36.6387,37.491,37.7472,36.9146,37.1757,36.6535,37.4319,37.5945,33.2049,33.2049,27.7315,28.0025,29.9534,29.9288,34.9982,34.6385,34.8701,35.1771,37.9748,36.6478,35.3207,40.0347,43.9862,42.9364,43.7485,41.6094,35.5534,33.5909,34.1334,32.944,32.1826,33.8397,37.1541,32.8942,32.4364,34.7853,33.2227,34.7455,37.383,35.9298,38.88,41.82,46.03,44.28,42.37,42.1,40.58,39.2,40.34,38.48],"consensus":[-36.89,12.3814,-57.0617,-15.9555,-21.2506,-67.7591,22.8409,-61.6755,-32.6343,0.0,53.3066,39.5508,20.6822,-21.9994,-66.6227,-31.025,46.1408,-48.3048,-30.0854,-54.1782,-8.4711,-68.2847,-52.8187,-9.9424,-26.8045,37.4534,0.0,-11.6984,-42.6978,-22.131,48.6148,0.0,14.1612,-50.7772,-14.4771,17.1959,34.2783,34.5311,-27.7855,65.1954,42.8354,49.8289,32.2807,-33.6122,-20.3285,22.0407,-37.5747,-52.2953,-72.3777,0.0,-45.9852,0.0,41.9698,27.2353,-35.1353,19.7842,0.0,-31.9273,0.0,-8.0191,15.3357,13.1226,-68.5305,-33.2935,-48.6539,-25.5994,-8.2623,-33.1449,57.0811,9.2879,26.2362,38.9497,72.8367,15.5471,-12.5432,69.6913,83.6112,16.1785,48.1888,0.0,-62.0514,-55.3991,-38.4524,-53.2117,-30.0176,0.0,42.1125,-40.3627,-20.523,22.8789,-40.7722,26.0655,53.9011,14.0518,56.6349,50.0504,63.4994,30.0009,8.7559,28.2553,-30.7627,-33.4632,0.0,42.916],"supportDates":["2022-07-15","2022-07-22","2022-07-29","2022-08-05","2022-08-12","2022-08-19","2022-08-26","2022-09-02","2022-09-09","2022-09-16","2022-09-23","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[39.8184,21.8835,-41.8394,18.3852,0.0,-35.2599,0.0,-3.155,25.4199,16.3226,-72.6941,-29.8923,-43.7239,-8.5492,-11.9879,-27.2704,51.278,0.1818,18.2737,41.2108,72.75,6.0473,-24.6747,59.6317,86.8916,8.2348,34.3862,0.0,-57.3117,-62.7128,-41.4576,-59.4984,-21.0964,0.0,45.5676,-48.3696,-23.4653,30.8617,-41.8767,29.7955,51.2295,19.21,66.98,49.9411,69.7442,20.9295,10.3611,35.5432,-22.6554,-29.376,0.0,46.256],"force":[72.61,29.6619,-71.745,40.3608,0.0,-36.8074,0.0,-2.1376,24.4027,14.3078,-82.3405,-9.5467,-29.5045,-7.1871,-30.6998,-8.1683,93.835,11.7488,22.2236,31.0282,93.4619,12.3495,-36.597,94.6916,95.4737,44.1071,41.5185,0.0,-97.8536,-48.8817,-17.179,-40.0801,-9.4647,0.0,58.6636,-45.1029,-6.4851,41.5042,-43.5228,43.631,74.9575,1.6147,47.7821,34.0921,45.1942,6.3605,24.8987,6.4461,-81.2581,-54.4069,0.0,52.542],"direction":[22.5426,31.6182,-1.3237,6.6855,0.0,-24.6326,0.0,-17.7791,2.6656,8.619,-53.9077,-54.1427,-67.9663,-68.5042,-59.2354,-57.699,37.4604,35.1366,38.2023,42.0237,58.2036,46.3302,-18.5025,63.3305,71.3891,68.3181,68.7276,0.0,-41.8953,-51.6957,-50.2132,-55.4066,-54.8938,0.0,26.3417,-27.8261,-27.1875,0.4519,-37.5454,9.2558,41.914,17.0404,51.1355,61.574,69.4375,66.3406,54.6429,35.5042,-3.96,-23.1744,0.0,32.2231],"intensity":[71.1538,75.0,61.5385,73.0769,1.9231,11.5385,7.6923,21.1538,11.5385,7.6923,92.3077,46.1538,100.0,1.9231,38.4615,23.0769,96.1538,69.2308,1.9231,3.8462,65.3846,34.6154,34.6154,90.3846,98.0769,32.6923,23.0769,50.0,96.1538,82.6923,40.3846,26.9231,59.6154,78.8462,78.8462,82.6923,53.8462,53.8462,40.3846,40.3846,78.8462,44.2308,73.0769,82.6923,86.5385,40.3846,44.2308,21.1538,36.5385,51.9231,51.9231,78.8462],"confirmation":[82.3969,76.8708,57.5902,52.3127,48.6949,78.3147,1.1715,25.1276,50.9321,72.1866,90.2872,77.9821,83.0608,54.319,33.5385,77.9347,87.4745,5.0205,76.3946,80.188,91.9377,6.9042,31.1759,91.2164,95.0671,35.5371,83.4274,36.2685,89.0198,85.4176,79.6106,84.5317,77.1152,5.4601,81.9278,80.9385,51.428,53.1006,81.1141,76.8194,85.9308,49.3723,85.6957,83.5314,87.6668,55.3206,32.2563,53.5993,56.8398,79.4088,26.0124,81.9756],"persistence":[25.0,25.0,25.0,0.0,12.5,0.0,12.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,25.0,37.5,37.5,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,25.0,0.0,25.0,50.0,50.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,62.5,37.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,37.5,50.0,50.0,62.5,62.5,37.5,37.5,12.5,12.5,25.0,25.0,50.0,75.0,75.0,100.0,100.0,75.0,50.0,37.5,12.5],"assessmentRisk":[28.3752,34.9646,58.1683,24.0367,20.354,25.942,13.9486,16.5981,16.1724,17.1271,14.6558,31.4485,25.6584,37.1937,41.6735,29.7765,21.1741,44.8858,35.0348,29.1046,4.4353,24.5559,14.7502,12.7335,6.8994,41.5911,25.8621,31.7874,18.6246,22.1969,30.6879,23.2156,27.119,5.2739,18.5288,19.357,15.0068,6.7208,25.517,18.1316,20.7386,17.7723,21.163,24.7857,18.1796,34.8888,39.5097,8.4252,34.018,32.3271,39.855,25.2094],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":42.9,"control":46.3,"force":52.5,"direction":32.2,"confirmation":82.0,"persistence":12.5,"assessmentRisk":25.2,"intensity":78.8,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","headline":"The gauges support the upward view","summary":"The completed evidence gives the upward view the clearer support.","take":"Current assessment: upward pressure has the stronger support.","tone":"positive","supportedView":"Market Dynamics","direction":"upward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Buyer control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is strengthening","forceState":"Upward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is strengthening","directionState":"Upward follow-through","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Strong support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Elevated"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"+42.9","detail":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"+46.3","detail":"Buyer control supports the view","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"+52.5","detail":"Upward commitment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"+32.2","detail":"Upward follow-through","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"82/100","detail":"Strong support","tone":"positive"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Rotational","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"49.9","detail":"Negative","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"6.8%","detail":"Normal","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"18.1","detail":"Range-led","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Range position","value":"50%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility 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