{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"FMX Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"35d442f9-1fbb-49e6-acd8-86730d8dec69","symbol":"FMX","name":"Fomento Economico Mexicano","exchange":"NYSE","country":"US","asset_type":"equity","currency":"USD","sector":"Consumer Defensive","industry":"Beverages - Brewers"},"summary":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. Price has moved below the distribution zone after Market Dynamics weakened.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Strength versus the research benchmark, Acceleration, deceleration and rollover, Directional strength and control, Range pressure and compression, Range position and boundary pressure."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-14","observations":260,"displayedObservations":104,"assetType":"Equity","state":"Rotational","stateTone":"caution","summary":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero. 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cautious, Market Dynamics positive","kind":"disagreement","expectedDirection":"higher","episodes":19,"completedEpisodes":16,"activeEpisodes":3,"medianExpectedMove":12.3,"averageExpectedMove":13.1,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":7.4,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":18,"expectedCount":14,"expectedPercent":77.8,"averageReturn":4.2,"medianReturn":6.6,"confidenceLow":54.8,"confidenceHigh":91.0,"confidence":"Historically consistent"},{"weeks":12,"sample":16,"expectedCount":10,"expectedPercent":62.5,"averageReturn":6.2,"medianReturn":6.0,"confidenceLow":38.6,"confidenceHigh":81.5,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":15,"expectedCount":10,"expectedPercent":66.7,"averageReturn":14.0,"medianReturn":21.0,"confidenceLow":41.7,"confidenceHigh":84.8,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":1.3,"sample":19},{"week":2,"averageReturn":3.2,"sample":19},{"week":3,"averageReturn":2.8,"sample":19},{"week":4,"averageReturn":4.2,"sample":18},{"week":5,"averageReturn":4.8,"sample":18},{"week":6,"averageReturn":5.8,"sample":17},{"week":7,"averageReturn":5.7,"sample":17},{"week":8,"averageReturn":5.7,"sample":17},{"week":9,"averageReturn":6.2,"sample":17},{"week":10,"averageReturn":5.4,"sample":17},{"week":11,"averageReturn":4.9,"sample":17},{"week":12,"averageReturn":6.2,"sample":16},{"week":13,"averageReturn":8.3,"sample":16},{"week":14,"averageReturn":7.0,"sample":16},{"week":15,"averageReturn":7.9,"sample":16},{"week":16,"averageReturn":9.3,"sample":16},{"week":17,"averageReturn":8.8,"sample":16},{"week":18,"averageReturn":9.7,"sample":16},{"week":19,"averageReturn":9.6,"sample":16},{"week":20,"averageReturn":10.1,"sample":16},{"week":21,"averageReturn":12.5,"sample":16},{"week":22,"averageReturn":12.0,"sample":16},{"week":23,"averageReturn":11.3,"sample":16},{"week":24,"averageReturn":12.5,"sample":15},{"week":25,"averageReturn":12.7,"sample":15},{"week":26,"averageReturn":14.0,"sample":15}]}},"pricePressureGap":{"label":"Price elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":1,"completedEpisodes":0,"activeEpisodes":1,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":12,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-4.3,"sample":1},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-7.6,"sample":1},{"week":3,"sample":0},{"week":4,"sample":0},{"week":5,"sample":0},{"week":6,"sample":0},{"week":7,"sample":0},{"week":8,"sample":0},{"week":9,"sample":0},{"week":10,"sample":0},{"week":11,"sample":0},{"week":12,"sample":0},{"week":13,"sample":0},{"week":14,"sample":0},{"week":15,"sample":0},{"week":16,"sample":0},{"week":17,"sample":0},{"week":18,"sample":0},{"week":19,"sample":0},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Rollover warning","tone":"negative","headline":"Price has moved below distribution as Market Dynamics weakened","use":"The upward trend may still be visible, but this transition increases downside risk. Further price weakness would confirm the rollover.","confirm":"Further price weakness with weak Market Dynamics would confirm the rollover.","invalidate":"A recovery in both price and Market Dynamics would remove the rollover warning.","level":"negative","direction":"weakening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Price has moved down through distribution conditions as Market Dynamics contracted. The completed tape now carries a stronger continuation-risk warning.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"lower","percent":50.0,"averageReturn":1.2,"sample":12},"nowContext":{"label":"Easier this week","detail":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price has moved below distribution","detail":"Price left the upper zone as Market Dynamics weakened."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Divergence control","title":"Do not chase price while the underlying evidence lags","tone":"caution","approach":"Use the gap to review position size, protect gains and wait for either Market Dynamics to catch up or price to correct. The disagreement is a warning condition, not an automatic exit.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 50.0% of comparable cases moved lower after 12 weeks, with an average move of 1.2% across 12 cases.","watch":"A recovery in both price and Market Dynamics would remove the rollover warning."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 75.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 4 cases. Distinct visits lasted 4.0 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 10.1% across 12 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 5.9 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[{"date":"2025-02-14","price":80.548299},{"date":"2025-02-28","price":83.17401},{"date":"2025-10-31","price":89.830432}],"distribution_rollovers":[{"date":"2026-05-29","price":119.03},{"date":"2026-08-14","price":118.27}],"price_pressure_gaps":[{"date":"2026-07-31","price":127.99}]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[93.5129,89.0096,88.2994,90.5597,86.3855,86.0738,86.3162,85.3723,85.6021,84.6138,84.6051,84.7188,78.7805,76.2093,78.1771,79.4364,77.5561,76.3492,76.3317,71.0406,71.9414,72.9364,75.4383,75.4295,77.6132,80.5483,79.0365,83.174,86.3921,87.5414,86.1003,88.5227,85.5875,87.0197,93.5531,97.3177,92.6169,93.3211,94.5649,97.4824,97.4275,97.9122,96.8788,91.8579,93.2754,96.6684,92.0682,92.6585,91.9405,82.9609,80.9934,79.4922,82.877,80.7883,79.5948,86.0754,89.7959,91.8566,89.2457,87.4274,91.4774,90.8776,89.8304,91.2489,89.5258,90.2779,91.3346,95.7995,99.1886,95.333,98.208,96.0946,97.0846,100.0984,105.2963,102.7367,108.6532,112.6107,111.7444,110.5729,107.8263,104.5284,99.8129,105.8968,112.9553,114.7962,115.8889,113.73,119.97,121.2,121.38,121.28,119.03,122.88,128.2255,125.3512,127.7299,128.1561,126.5307,129.02,127.12,127.99,122.46,118.27],"consensus":[-39.2876,-59.6261,-34.9178,0.0,-57.7407,-34.0,-20.1174,-38.961,-10.7545,-35.2977,-23.1687,-11.6609,-67.4098,-59.3051,-11.229,-12.1954,-39.9271,-26.0999,-28.9377,-67.4047,-36.2405,-23.0042,9.6487,0.0,31.4972,44.1803,0.0,56.2979,60.3711,47.7307,14.8819,56.3745,-10.7842,33.9259,69.4055,69.0245,0.0,31.3296,37.741,41.1953,23.7541,40.6502,18.9419,-39.7386,8.5533,33.2513,-39.8685,0.0,-12.7788,-71.9733,-62.0109,-52.6319,0.0,-48.0167,-35.1284,43.5285,49.3731,48.0464,0.0,-11.4097,41.4745,0.0,0.0,31.899,-15.3323,13.1308,22.9575,52.0159,57.9382,0.0,50.8509,0.0,19.4037,51.8417,69.5431,0.0,74.7144,65.0093,32.4435,29.1462,0.0,-29.8637,-50.5153,28.6499,61.1514,46.3995,43.4614,8.7033,66.8883,39.7674,24.8847,28.1168,0.0,46.9218,65.0959,0.0,51.1154,32.042,0.0,33.4842,0.0,9.3911,-37.0962,-42.9788],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[0.0,-51.9075,-35.8783,39.1056,42.975,50.5097,0.0,-18.485,44.1819,0.0,0.0,32.2212,-17.1795,18.4571,25.957,50.761,59.5913,0.0,54.7218,0.0,27.5604,52.0657,76.349,0.0,76.4082,67.1343,26.5713,24.4318,0.0,-26.9782,-48.3122,40.1551,65.2723,45.7803,42.721,2.4158,66.5521,35.9526,16.0705,22.2408,0.0,50.851,64.0713,0.0,51.0417,30.5148,0.0,30.9348,0.0,5.6354,-35.9623,-39.5547],"force":[0.0,-41.4512,-18.4297,93.6402,79.8247,47.9068,0.0,-24.2497,54.3069,0.0,0.0,33.3831,-30.5415,13.6022,21.1488,61.5863,55.3832,0.0,44.9049,0.0,11.6957,56.0001,71.4263,0.0,87.6358,59.0023,0.4954,3.9173,0.0,-57.3723,-66.8017,54.682,74.671,37.3684,28.3646,25.1476,84.07,25.0315,1.3372,4.0244,0.0,53.0463,80.9963,0.0,50.6973,15.4144,0.0,30.0432,0.0,6.5565,-62.5003,-47.1261],"direction":[0.0,-48.2596,-46.199,12.7892,34.9341,45.3309,0.0,-5.8478,29.2143,0.0,0.0,30.4707,-2.3575,6.7069,20.8215,46.6139,57.8739,0.0,50.6743,0.0,15.5875,48.6154,60.4197,0.0,63.5491,66.8714,61.9747,58.1507,0.0,-13.5125,-41.4,3.0932,46.7848,53.5579,55.0911,45.5901,54.9999,54.6527,51.7777,52.0411,0.0,38.0567,54.9093,0.0,51.4984,45.6641,0.0,38.8556,0.0,15.708,-20.2463,-43.9298],"intensity":[55.7692,50.0,44.2308,96.1538,94.2308,65.3846,48.0769,51.9231,69.2308,57.6923,7.6923,15.3846,28.8462,26.9231,9.6154,92.3077,71.1538,63.4615,46.1538,25.0,3.8462,50.0,84.6154,36.5385,90.3846,86.5385,19.2308,40.3846,42.3077,71.1538,76.9231,92.3077,98.0769,90.3846,15.3846,26.9231,94.2308,98.0769,17.3077,32.6923,28.8462,57.6923,76.9231,73.0769,40.3846,36.5385,11.5385,42.3077,17.3077,100.0,100.0,90.3846],"confirmation":[36.7114,83.106,78.7207,83.5237,84.8249,83.333,30.6356,50.5155,81.6217,3.4775,3.2144,78.248,50.675,49.4684,75.2456,84.9559,86.4372,33.8103,84.0321,29.0011,73.85,84.7127,90.2075,9.9518,92.2766,88.5875,54.8311,54.56,7.4594,78.4387,84.6948,55.7792,87.9177,82.582,81.4588,7.803,89.933,80.3346,52.7131,53.686,6.8112,83.1418,89.3309,8.3073,84.3453,77.77,5.2389,78.6489,5.2576,25.6427,80.6623,81.9318],"persistence":[50.0,75.0,75.0,62.5,37.5,12.5,0.0,0.0,12.5,25.0,37.5,37.5,12.5,12.5,25.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,62.5,50.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,62.5,62.5,75.0,75.0,87.5,75.0,50.0,25.0,37.5,37.5,37.5,37.5,37.5,50.0,75.0,100.0,100.0,87.5,87.5,87.5,75.0,75.0,75.0,62.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,37.5,25.0],"assessmentRisk":[50.5019,4.7193,2.5424,24.929,22.5811,25.6365,50.1741,23.4126,0.1104,15.2357,10.0735,27.959,22.3884,17.4696,14.6342,20.6872,21.0054,50.3915,24.0981,7.042,44.5799,22.3908,14.8019,45.4696,12.5951,17.474,32.3709,34.7674,10.4716,34.3445,24.657,57.124,12.5233,26.2555,28.2422,44.0043,13.7022,26.9331,32.8457,34.3989,10.2621,1.8882,15.3762,38.9181,24.0758,32.0207,26.6431,26.3642,8.9929,8.2104,25.9708,28.4181],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":-43.0,"control":-39.6,"force":-47.1,"direction":-43.9,"confirmation":81.9,"persistence":25.0,"assessmentRisk":28.4,"intensity":90.4,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","headline":"The gauges support the downward view","summary":"The completed evidence gives the downward view the clearer support.","take":"Current assessment: downward pressure has the stronger support.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Market Dynamics","direction":"downward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Seller control supports the view","controlPath":"Broadly stable","forceState":"Downward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is strengthening","directionState":"Downward follow-through","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Strong support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Elevated"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-43.0","detail":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-39.6","detail":"Seller control supports the view","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-47.1","detail":"Downward commitment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"-43.9","detail":"Downward follow-through","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"82/100","detail":"Strong support","tone":"positive"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Rotational","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"50.2","detail":"Positive","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"5.9%","detail":"Elevated","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"43.3","detail":"Directional","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Range position","value":"45%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price is rotating through its trend 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