{"ticker": {"uuid": "3629ecce-2b17-4765-8bd9-43dfcd114cc8", "symbol": "IVT", "name": "Invicta Holdings Limited", "exchange": "JNB", "asset_type": "equity"}, "latest_week": "2026-07-31", "summary": "IVT closed the latest completed week at 36.89 ZAC. The 4-week return is -2.9% and the 12-week return is -99.0%. The trend backdrop is inactive, with activity pressure at -1.03.", "description": "Invicta Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the distribution of engineering components and consumables in South Africa, the Rest of Africa, Europe, and Asia. It operates in Replacement Parts for Industrial Equipment; Replacement Parts for Auto and Agri; Capital Equipment and Related Services; and Replacement Parts for Earthmoving Equipment. The company offers technical services, including on-site installation, maintenance work, breakdown repair, condition monitoring, failure analysis, design engineering, and manufacturing services; engineering consumables, such as bearings, seals and gaskets, power transmissions, light and heavy materials handling, fasteners, geared and electric drives, and motors; and fluid technology products and solutions comprising hydraulic, pneumatic, valves, pumps, filtration, hose, fittings, and lubrication. It also supplies tools and equipment, cutting, welding, lifting, personal protective equipment, locks, and machine tools; imported and local vibrator motors, tensioning, and suspension systems; and vibrating equipment and material handling solutions. In addition, the company manufactures and supplies heavy-duty belting components and imported conveyer belting to the industry. Further, it supplies automotive and agricultural after-market replacement parts and kits; forklifts, off-road dump trucks, and related spare parts; earthmoving and materials-handling equipment; after-market replacement spare parts, ground engaging tools, and undercarriage parts for earthmoving equipment; aftermarket heavy-duty diesel engine parts for industrial and agricultural machinery; and heavy machinery parts and diesel engine components used for excavators, bulldozers, wheel loaders, motor graders, trucks, trailers, power generation sets, and marine engines. Additionally, it provides technical support and value-added assembly services. Invicta Holdings Limited was incorporated in 1966 and is headquartered in Johannesburg, South Africa.", "setup_signature": "Risk-first tape", "composite_score": "33", "kpis": [{"label": "Latest Close", "value": "36.89 ZAC", "hint": "2026-07-31"}, {"label": "1W Return", "value": "1.1%", "tone": "positive", "hint": "latest completed week"}, {"label": "4W Return", "value": "-2.9%", "tone": "negative", "hint": "short-term follow-through"}, {"label": "12W Return", "value": "-99.0%", "tone": "negative", "hint": "quarterly tape"}, {"label": "Trend Breadth", "value": "46.2%", "hint": "24 of 52 weeks active"}, {"label": "Volume Ratio", "value": "3.9x", "hint": "vs 13-week average"}], "classification": {"exchange": "JNB", "country": "ZA", "sector": "Industrials", "industry": "Industrial Distribution", "currency": "ZAC", "market_cap": "3.2B"}, "price": {"trend_line": "2,568 ZAC", "fair_value": "3,001 ZAC", "vs_trend": "-98.6%", "vs_fair_value": "-98.8%", "high_52": "4,099 ZAC", "low_52": "34.29 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"return_tone": "positive", "volume_height": 96.28602990394764, "volume": "234.5K"}], "insights": [{"label": "Participation", "value": "3.9x", "detail": "Latest volume versus the 13-week average.", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Baseline", "value": "59.4K", "detail": "13-week average volume.", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "One-year base", "value": "191.5K", "detail": "52-week average volume.", "tone": "neutral"}]}, "risk": {"volatility_13": "26.6%", "volatility_52": "13.8%", "downside_weeks": 25, "upside_weeks": 23, "downside_breadth": "48.1%", "average_gain": "1.9%", "average_loss": "-5.2%", "distribution_scale": "100%", "return_callouts": [{"label": "Weeks higher", "value": "12 of 26", "detail": "13 weeks finished lower.", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "Best week", "value": "+4.1%", "detail": "Week of 29 May.", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Worst week", "value": "-99.0%", "detail": "Week of 5 Jun.", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "Latest week", "value": "+1.1%", "detail": "Week of 31 Jul.", "tone": "positive"}], "buckets": [{"label": "Strong gains", "count": 2, "share": 7.6923076923076925, "share_label": "7.7%", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Modest gains", "count": 10, "share": 38.46153846153847, "share_label": "38.5%", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Flat weeks", "count": 1, "share": 3.8461538461538463, "share_label": "3.8%", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Modest losses", "count": 12, "share": 46.15384615384615, "share_label": "46.2%", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "Sharp losses", "count": 1, "share": 3.8461538461538463, "share_label": "3.8%", "tone": "negative"}], "insights": [{"label": "Recent vol", "value": "26.6%", "detail": "13-week weekly-return volatility.", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "Base vol", "value": "13.8%", "detail": "52-week weekly-return volatility.", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Up/down split", "value": "23/25", "detail": "Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "Average skew", "value": "1.9% / -5.2%", "detail": "Average positive week versus average negative week.", "tone": "neutral"}]}, "signals": [{"label": "Trend backdrop", "value": "Inactive", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "Activity pressure", "value": "No fresh buy", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Price vs Trend", "value": "-98.6%", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "Volume", "value": "3.9x", "tone": "positive"}], "opportunities": ["Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.", "Next-week expectancy is positive at 56.07% based on similar historical setup states."], "risks": ["The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.", "Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.", "Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.", "Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.", "Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough."], "watch_points": ["Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.", "Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.", "A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move."], "recent_rows": [{"week": "2026-07-31", "close": "36.89 ZAC", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "2,568 ZAC", "fair_value": "3,001 ZAC", "activity_pressure": "-1.03", "relative_leadership": "-98.77", "volume": "234.5K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-07-24", "close": "36.50 ZAC", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "2,686 ZAC", "fair_value": "3,018 ZAC", "activity_pressure": "-1.11", "relative_leadership": "-98.79", "volume": "22.0K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-07-17", "close": "36.51 ZAC", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "2,807 ZAC", "fair_value": "3,036 ZAC", "activity_pressure": "-1.18", "relative_leadership": "-98.82", "volume": "5.3K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-07-10", "close": "37.97 ZAC", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "2,925 ZAC", "fair_value": "3,053 ZAC", "activity_pressure": "-1.22", "relative_leadership": "-98.81", "volume": "24.3K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-07-03", "close": "38.00 ZAC", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "3,043 ZAC", "fair_value": "3,071 ZAC", "activity_pressure": "-1.26", "relative_leadership": "-98.84", "volume": "243.5K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-06-26", "close": "36.50 ZAC", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "3,162 ZAC", "fair_value": "3,089 ZAC", "activity_pressure": "-1.39", "relative_leadership": "-98.90", "volume": "2", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-06-19", "close": "36.51 ZAC", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "3,282 ZAC", "fair_value": "3,107 ZAC", "activity_pressure": "-0.96", "relative_leadership": "-98.95", "volume": "2.4K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-06-12", "close": "37.00 ZAC", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "3,406 ZAC", "fair_value": "3,125 ZAC", "activity_pressure": "-0.80", "relative_leadership": "-98.96", "volume": "4.0K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-06-05", "close": "36.30 ZAC", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "3,531 ZAC", "fair_value": "3,143 ZAC", "activity_pressure": "-0.44", "relative_leadership": "-98.99", "volume": "11.9K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-29", "close": "3,749 ZAC", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "3,656 ZAC", "fair_value": "3,161 ZAC", "activity_pressure": "0.12", "relative_leadership": "-0.46", "volume": "17.1K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-22", "close": "3,600 ZAC", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "3,658 ZAC", "fair_value": "3,154 ZAC", "activity_pressure": "0.09", "relative_leadership": "-3.28", "volume": "34.5K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-15", "close": "3,650 ZAC", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "3,668 ZAC", "fair_value": "3,149 ZAC", "activity_pressure": "0.31", "relative_leadership": "-3.20", "volume": "98.6K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-08", "close": "3,775 ZAC", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "3,673 ZAC", "fair_value": "3,143 ZAC", "activity_pressure": "0.29", "relative_leadership": "-2.86", "volume": "74.8K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-01", "close": "3,700 ZAC", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "3,671 ZAC", "fair_value": "3,136 ZAC", "activity_pressure": "0.01", "relative_leadership": "-2.68", "volume": "13.1K", "trend_backdrop": null}], "intelligence": {"rating": "Neutral", "rating_tone": "neutral", "overall_score": "43", "primary_driver": {"label": "Next-Week Expectancy", "score": 78.03485, "score_label": "78", "tone": "positive", "summary": "Next-week expectancy is positive with a 56.07% historical one-week setup read.", "detail": "Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership.", "metric": "Positive 56.07%", "url": "/terminal/3629ecce-2b17-4765-8bd9-43dfcd114cc8/", "available": true, "weight": 1.05}, "primary_conflict": {"label": "Indicator analysis", "score": 13.874999999999996, "score_label": "14", "tone": "negative", "summary": "Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 1/12, activity pressure 3/12, relative leadership 0/12.", "detail": "Activity pressure 0.12; 2 reversal markers", "metric": "14/100", "url": "/terminal/3629ecce-2b17-4765-8bd9-43dfcd114cc8/", "available": true, "weight": 1.45}, "options_tone": "neutral", "options": null, "evidence": [{"label": "Weekly tape", "score": 36.253527039359525, "score_label": "36", "tone": "negative", "summary": "Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 36/100 tape read.", "detail": "", "metric": "36/100", "url": "/terminal/3629ecce-2b17-4765-8bd9-43dfcd114cc8/", "available": true, "weight": 1.6}, {"label": "Indicator analysis", "score": 13.874999999999996, "score_label": "14", "tone": "negative", "summary": "Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 1/12, activity pressure 3/12, relative leadership 0/12.", "detail": "Activity pressure 0.12; 2 reversal markers", "metric": "14/100", "url": "/terminal/3629ecce-2b17-4765-8bd9-43dfcd114cc8/", "available": true, "weight": 1.45}, {"label": "Next-Week Expectancy", "score": 78.03485, "score_label": "78", "tone": "positive", "summary": "Next-week expectancy is positive with a 56.07% historical one-week setup read.", "detail": "Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership.", "metric": "Positive 56.07%", "url": "/terminal/3629ecce-2b17-4765-8bd9-43dfcd114cc8/", "available": true, "weight": 1.05}, {"label": "Factors", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No published factor snapshot is available yet.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/factors/", "available": false, "weight": 0}, {"label": "Patient Capital", "score": 48.0, "score_label": "48", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.", "detail": "No recent buy signal", "metric": "Quiet", "url": "/patient-capital/", "available": true, "weight": 1}, {"label": "Sentiment", "score": 55.0, "score_label": "55", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Weighted news tone is neutral across 6 relevant articles.", "detail": "Invicta Holdings Limited Revenue Breakdown \u2013 JSE:IVT", "metric": "55/100", "url": "/sentiment/3629ecce-2b17-4765-8bd9-43dfcd114cc8/", "available": true, "weight": 0.95}, {"label": "Insiders", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/insider-activity/", "available": false, "weight": 0}, {"label": "Earnings", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/earnings-calendar/", "available": false, "weight": 0}], "positives": [{"label": "Next-Week Expectancy", "score": 78.03485, "score_label": "78", "tone": "positive", "summary": "Next-week expectancy is positive with a 56.07% historical one-week setup read.", "detail": "Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership.", "metric": "Positive 56.07%", "url": "/terminal/3629ecce-2b17-4765-8bd9-43dfcd114cc8/", "available": true, "weight": 1.05}], "negatives": [{"label": "Indicator analysis", "score": 13.874999999999996, "score_label": "14", "tone": "negative", "summary": "Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 1/12, activity pressure 3/12, relative leadership 0/12.", "detail": "Activity pressure 0.12; 2 reversal markers", "metric": "14/100", "url": "/terminal/3629ecce-2b17-4765-8bd9-43dfcd114cc8/", "available": true, "weight": 1.45}, {"label": "Weekly tape", "score": 36.253527039359525, "score_label": "36", "tone": "negative", "summary": "Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 36/100 tape read.", "detail": "", "metric": "36/100", "url": "/terminal/3629ecce-2b17-4765-8bd9-43dfcd114cc8/", "available": true, "weight": 1.6}], "conclusion": ["The strongest supporting evidence is next-week expectancy: Next-week expectancy is positive with a 56.07% historical one-week setup read.", "The main constraint is indicator analysis: Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 1/12, activity pressure 3/12, relative leadership 0/12.", "The combined read is balanced, making the next change in trend, sentiment, or options pressure especially important."], "weekly_changes": [{"label": "Price follow-through", "value": "1.1%", "detail": "Latest completed week; four-week move -2.9%.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/3629ecce-2b17-4765-8bd9-43dfcd114cc8/"}, {"label": "Indicator stack", "value": "25/33", "detail": "Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.", "tone": "negative", "url": "/terminal/3629ecce-2b17-4765-8bd9-43dfcd114cc8/"}, {"label": "Trend backdrop", "value": "Active", "detail": "The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/3629ecce-2b17-4765-8bd9-43dfcd114cc8/"}, {"label": "Patient Capital", "value": "Quiet", "detail": "Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/patient-capital/"}, {"label": "Next-Week Expectancy", "value": "Positive 56.07%", "detail": "Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/3629ecce-2b17-4765-8bd9-43dfcd114cc8/"}, {"label": "News sentiment", "value": "55/100", "detail": "6 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/sentiment/3629ecce-2b17-4765-8bd9-43dfcd114cc8/"}]}, "investor_view": {"stance": "Weak trend", "stance_tone": "negative", "setup_score": "33", "bottom_line": "The weekly trend is not active. Price is -98.6% below the Trend Line and sits at 0.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.1%, after a -2.9% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 55/100.", "price_summary": "The weekly trend is not active. Price is -98.6% below the Trend Line and sits at 0.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.1%, after a -2.9% four-week move.", "volume_summary": "Latest weekly volume is 3.9x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.", "momentum_summary": "Performance is -2.9% over four weeks, -99.0% over 12 weeks, and -98.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.", "fundamentals": {"available": false, "summary": "A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.", "rank_scores": [], "groups": []}, "weekly_change": [{"label": "Price follow-through", "value": "1.1%", "detail": "Latest completed week; four-week move -2.9%.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/3629ecce-2b17-4765-8bd9-43dfcd114cc8/"}, {"label": "Indicator stack", "value": "25/33", "detail": "Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.", "tone": "negative", "url": "/terminal/3629ecce-2b17-4765-8bd9-43dfcd114cc8/"}, {"label": "Trend backdrop", "value": "Active", "detail": "The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/3629ecce-2b17-4765-8bd9-43dfcd114cc8/"}, {"label": "Patient Capital", "value": "Quiet", "detail": "Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/patient-capital/"}, {"label": "Next-Week Expectancy", "value": "Positive 56.07%", "detail": "Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/3629ecce-2b17-4765-8bd9-43dfcd114cc8/"}, {"label": "News sentiment", "value": "55/100", "detail": "6 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/sentiment/3629ecce-2b17-4765-8bd9-43dfcd114cc8/"}], "strengths": ["Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.", "Next-week expectancy is positive at 56.07% based on similar historical setup states."], "risks": ["The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.", "Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.", "Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.", "Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup."], "watch_points": ["Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.", "Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.", "A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move."], "evidence": {"weekly_tape": {"label": "Weekly tape", "score": 36.253527039359525, "score_label": "36", "tone": "negative", "summary": "Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 36/100 tape read.", "detail": "", "metric": "36/100", "url": "/terminal/3629ecce-2b17-4765-8bd9-43dfcd114cc8/", "available": true, "weight": 1.6}, "indicator_analysis": {"label": "Indicator analysis", "score": 13.874999999999996, "score_label": "14", "tone": "negative", "summary": "Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 1/12, activity pressure 3/12, relative leadership 0/12.", "detail": "Activity pressure 0.12; 2 reversal markers", "metric": "14/100", "url": "/terminal/3629ecce-2b17-4765-8bd9-43dfcd114cc8/", "available": true, "weight": 1.45}, "next-week_expectancy": {"label": "Next-Week Expectancy", "score": 78.03485, "score_label": "78", "tone": "positive", "summary": "Next-week expectancy is positive with a 56.07% historical one-week setup read.", "detail": "Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership.", "metric": "Positive 56.07%", "url": "/terminal/3629ecce-2b17-4765-8bd9-43dfcd114cc8/", "available": true, "weight": 1.05}, "factors": {"label": "Factors", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No published factor snapshot is available yet.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/factors/", "available": false, "weight": 0}, "patient_capital": {"label": "Patient Capital", "score": 48.0, "score_label": "48", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.", "detail": "No recent buy signal", "metric": "Quiet", "url": "/patient-capital/", "available": true, "weight": 1}, "sentiment": {"label": "Sentiment", "score": 55.0, "score_label": "55", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Weighted news tone is neutral across 6 relevant articles.", "detail": "Invicta Holdings Limited Revenue Breakdown \u2013 JSE:IVT", "metric": "55/100", "url": "/sentiment/3629ecce-2b17-4765-8bd9-43dfcd114cc8/", "available": true, "weight": 0.95}, "insiders": {"label": "Insiders", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/insider-activity/", "available": false, "weight": 0}, "earnings": {"label": "Earnings", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/earnings-calendar/", "available": false, "weight": 0}}, "section_nav": [{"id": "overview", "label": "Overview"}, {"id": "price-action", "label": "Price"}, {"id": "volume-demand", "label": "Volume"}, {"id": "momentum", "label": "Momentum"}, {"id": "fundamentals", "label": "Fundamentals"}, {"id": "ownership-flow", "label": "Ownership & Flow"}, {"id": "catalysts-risk", "label": "Catalysts & Risk"}, {"id": "peer-context", "label": "Peer Context"}, {"id": "weekly-data", "label": "Weekly Data"}]}, "chart_url": "/terminal/3629ecce-2b17-4765-8bd9-43dfcd114cc8/", "api_path": "/terminal/3629ecce-2b17-4765-8bd9-43dfcd114cc8/report/api/"}