{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"FORD Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"39b0f02b-c767-42f4-9edd-84f62b6783c6","symbol":"FORD","name":"Ford Motor Company","exchange":"VIE","country":"AT","asset_type":"equity","currency":"EUR","sector":"Consumer Cyclical","industry":"Auto Manufacturers"},"summary":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. The upward price structure remains intact, but its underlying support has weakened.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Activity pressure and cumulative balance, Strength versus the research benchmark, Drawdown and recovery pressure, Directional strength and control, Range pressure and compression."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-14","observations":260,"displayedObservations":104,"assetType":"Equity","state":"Aligned upward","stateTone":"positive","summary":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. The upward price structure remains intact, but its underlying support has weakened.","evidenceAlignment":{"status":"Confirmation weakening","headline":"Upward price structure remains intact, but support is fading","summary":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. The upward price structure remains intact, but its underlying support has weakened.","take":"Treat the advance as conditional. Renewed Market Dynamics would restore confirmation; continued contraction would increase rollover 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record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-0.3,"sample":18},{"week":2,"averageReturn":0.1,"sample":17},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-0.3,"sample":17},{"week":4,"averageReturn":1.5,"sample":17},{"week":5,"averageReturn":2.1,"sample":17},{"week":6,"averageReturn":1.2,"sample":17},{"week":7,"averageReturn":3.5,"sample":17},{"week":8,"averageReturn":3.5,"sample":17},{"week":9,"averageReturn":4.7,"sample":16},{"week":10,"averageReturn":4.4,"sample":16},{"week":11,"averageReturn":4.4,"sample":16},{"week":12,"averageReturn":6.7,"sample":16},{"week":13,"averageReturn":5.6,"sample":16},{"week":14,"averageReturn":1.7,"sample":16},{"week":15,"averageReturn":-0.1,"sample":16},{"week":16,"averageReturn":0.1,"sample":16},{"week":17,"averageReturn":0.1,"sample":16},{"week":18,"averageReturn":0.0,"sample":16},{"week":19,"averageReturn":0.4,"sample":16},{"week":20,"averageReturn":1.2,"sample":16},{"week":21,"averageReturn":1.3,"sample":16},{"week":22,"averageReturn":2.1,"sample":16},{"week":23,"averageReturn":2.3,"sample":16},{"week":24,"averageReturn":0.5,"sample":16},{"week":25,"averageReturn":2.0,"sample":16},{"week":26,"averageReturn":2.2,"sample":16}]}},"pricePressureGap":{"label":"Price elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":1,"completedEpisodes":0,"activeEpisodes":1,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-15.3,"medianReturn":-15.3,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-12.8,"sample":1},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-14.0,"sample":1},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-17.9,"sample":1},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-15.3,"sample":1},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-20.6,"sample":1},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-18.2,"sample":1},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-16.7,"sample":1},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-15.0,"sample":1},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-16.2,"sample":1},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-19.2,"sample":1},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-17.6,"sample":1},{"week":12,"sample":0},{"week":13,"sample":0},{"week":14,"sample":0},{"week":15,"sample":0},{"week":16,"sample":0},{"week":17,"sample":0},{"week":18,"sample":0},{"week":19,"sample":0},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Confirmation weakening","tone":"caution","headline":"Market Dynamics remains positive but has weakened over four weeks","use":"The upward structure still has positive support, but renewed strength is needed to restore full confirmation.","confirm":"Treat the advance as conditional. Renewed Market Dynamics would restore confirmation; continued contraction would increase rollover risk.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"positive","direction":"weakening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Market Dynamics remains above zero, but support has contracted across the recent completed path. Price confirmation now carries more weight.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"sample":0},"nowContext":{"label":"Easier this week","detail":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price structure is upward","detail":"Price is responding in the same broad direction as Market Dynamics."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 100.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 3 cases. Distinct visits lasted 2.3 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 9.2% across 18 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 7.3 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[{"date":"2025-05-16","price":9.096392}],"distribution_rollovers":[],"price_pressure_gaps":[{"date":"2026-05-29","price":14.835}]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[8.8722,8.8899,8.4388,8.5281,8.5122,8.6962,8.4697,8.6953,9.0562,9.1128,8.4264,9.1501,9.4125,9.6623,9.5526,8.93,8.9174,8.5553,8.6721,8.5481,8.4871,8.8689,8.6587,8.8626,8.0037,8.063,8.34,8.6486,8.3827,8.2684,8.5538,8.3214,7.6949,7.4383,7.8836,8.2359,8.4487,8.5956,9.0964,8.6381,8.6419,8.5559,8.5588,8.6495,8.7628,9.4186,9.5112,8.9962,9.0879,8.8233,9.0529,9.3726,9.5991,9.6452,9.5655,9.5742,9.4791,10.0407,10.0368,9.3822,9.7681,11.3058,10.8624,11.052,11.0715,10.7972,11.161,11.0676,11.4255,11.1376,11.0151,11.0209,11.91,11.4722,11.2816,11.3944,11.301,11.7285,11.5866,11.9316,10.3388,10.1102,9.8323,9.8027,9.8697,10.2206,10.8218,10.4177,9.989,10.26,11.62,12.615,14.835,12.94,12.765,12.175,12.57,11.785,12.1381,12.3505,12.6023,12.4259,11.99,12.22],"consensus":[15.1464,0.0,-54.0234,0.0,-32.8938,0.0,-28.8403,18.8717,37.105,22.2732,-50.2773,42.3217,38.6005,49.5103,17.7627,-42.7913,-18.9784,-46.4109,0.0,-28.1295,-36.1338,30.4757,-33.5975,31.9157,-67.1541,-24.6269,12.0081,21.5267,-20.6289,-19.4526,20.16,-40.6942,-64.0196,-53.448,0.0,31.4234,41.8028,35.8602,66.8593,-10.7023,15.2191,0.0,0.0,21.481,25.505,60.3514,40.3706,-10.8953,25.5902,-32.5473,14.0026,43.2612,51.5242,27.4982,12.2929,26.4425,0.0,65.3576,41.9567,-43.5298,45.5999,79.2311,8.4795,58.2801,31.696,0.0,54.8664,22.3522,56.8872,0.0,-8.7552,21.5125,68.9132,0.0,9.3007,33.8759,-10.3754,46.9044,0.0,42.0529,-67.5807,-60.1963,-60.8789,-47.1144,-22.4981,0.0,41.7002,-23.0296,-33.9946,8.8951,58.5971,75.7091,79.0278,0.0,27.2002,-13.2268,28.7342,-40.2676,21.3303,26.3775,30.2479,0.0,-22.2367,16.6669],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[59.3268,17.4841,3.2631,27.367,0.0,68.6155,44.8656,-41.761,49.1023,78.0044,10.6358,63.3337,22.2674,0.0,68.0484,31.5994,68.5915,0.0,-12.2005,34.3619,68.3198,0.0,4.9151,36.3356,-3.3246,56.0696,0.0,43.4809,-61.8715,-58.3408,-67.9671,-46.2034,-9.9534,0.0,46.2736,-39.7536,-41.6916,16.7366,48.6188,75.1415,92.1112,0.0,19.8949,-21.6697,50.3496,-39.384,35.9685,34.1261,42.0962,0.0,-28.1907,30.346],"force":[39.7349,6.8755,11.2057,10.6567,0.0,77.3631,22.13,-90.8437,61.2082,99.5325,32.2269,44.1008,5.373,0.0,42.8336,8.245,47.2942,0.0,-33.049,11.5772,91.5695,0.0,4.0162,35.4643,-25.4287,47.3521,0.0,37.3279,-92.2333,-60.3316,-42.1212,-21.9616,-7.5367,0.0,57.6776,-29.0094,-31.2437,30.5166,88.699,95.845,65.7916,0.0,2.36,-29.4765,24.6852,-67.5557,34.4162,24.3647,23.1835,0.0,-29.077,20.2888],"direction":[51.028,53.6733,46.8558,36.6615,0.0,53.0589,52.7941,-11.7555,30.4483,66.132,59.4015,62.6327,61.2737,0.0,48.396,33.639,50.363,0.0,-12.535,13.9242,53.4084,0.0,23.825,29.9301,-7.6809,36.1099,0.0,43.796,-56.4966,-62.2203,-66.1764,-66.1218,-58.2885,0.0,25.0611,-0.3548,-27.1629,15.5104,48.4996,61.9751,73.5299,0.0,53.292,-8.0291,6.923,-21.7861,4.7459,18.9597,21.7531,0.0,-10.5461,1.5533],"intensity":[23.0769,38.4615,15.3846,40.3846,3.8462,78.8462,53.8462,84.6154,92.3077,100.0,98.0769,63.4615,46.1538,73.0769,55.7692,3.8462,57.6923,44.2308,59.6154,17.3077,98.0769,63.4615,57.6923,5.7692,25.0,65.3846,25.0,61.5385,100.0,96.1538,32.6923,1.9231,30.7692,61.5385,80.7692,59.6154,84.6154,55.7692,100.0,88.4615,100.0,96.1538,51.9231,71.1538,51.9231,82.6923,36.5385,13.4615,42.3077,88.4615,80.7692,71.1538],"confirmation":[84.0096,53.6568,6.5413,75.9664,3.4791,89.2307,80.7776,83.3984,83.0143,93.9914,33.5749,86.1405,54.8175,8.0829,84.9897,30.5049,85.7332,7.3741,28.8303,74.3854,90.7517,33.187,26.1607,78.8512,26.553,82.8834,6.8785,81.2912,90.4641,87.2952,86.8016,82.3239,53.4164,30.4934,81.7613,52.7059,78.6771,29.3615,87.8205,92.8492,92.6861,34.5014,53.3917,28.9787,54.0755,81.7307,53.3473,76.2614,77.2835,27.7686,75.2335,58.9001],"persistence":[50.0,50.0,50.0,75.0,62.5,87.5,87.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,75.0,62.5,62.5,87.5,87.5,75.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,25.0,37.5,50.0,50.0,25.0,12.5,12.5,37.5,37.5,50.0,37.5,62.5,62.5,37.5,12.5,12.5,37.5,37.5,37.5,37.5,62.5,37.5,37.5,37.5,37.5,37.5,12.5,37.5],"assessmentRisk":[22.0295,36.0288,41.694,18.5413,21.9323,10.4592,26.5151,5.2571,14.6745,9.7914,42.0219,20.7207,33.5724,34.3943,1.575,9.6858,0.9586,25.688,9.2409,15.2161,2.1936,29.3964,26.7579,23.1589,42.1835,7.4992,32.2922,24.7054,13.083,19.628,19.394,26.4001,23.3852,8.649,26.988,52.6933,28.0177,0.8154,12.6847,11.9502,10.4838,46.6854,28.0829,14.6339,63.4417,20.7396,38.3484,4.4771,13.4842,27.9968,3.6895,15.3353],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":16.7,"control":30.3,"force":20.3,"direction":1.6,"confirmation":58.9,"persistence":37.5,"assessmentRisk":15.3,"intensity":71.2,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Joint upward confirmation","headline":"The gauges support the upward market view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics agree. Control, force and direction support the same upward assessment.","take":"Current assessment: upward pressure has broad support.","tone":"positive","supportedView":"Price structure and Market Dynamics","direction":"upward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Buyer control supports the view","controlPath":"Broadly stable","forceState":"Upward commitment","forcePath":"Broadly stable","directionState":"Follow-through is limited","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Qualified support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Elevated"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"+16.7","detail":"Joint upward confirmation","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"+30.3","detail":"Buyer control supports the view","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"+20.3","detail":"Upward commitment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"+1.6","detail":"Follow-through is limited","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"59/100","detail":"Qualified support","tone":"neutral"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Aligned upward","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"53.6","detail":"Positive","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"6.3%","detail":"Elevated","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"34.4","detail":"Directional","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Range position","value":"49%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price and its trend references are aligned 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