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cautious, Market Dynamics positive","kind":"disagreement","expectedDirection":"higher","episodes":23,"completedEpisodes":20,"activeEpisodes":3,"medianExpectedMove":16.3,"averageExpectedMove":21.1,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":5.5,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":22,"expectedCount":8,"expectedPercent":36.4,"averageReturn":3.0,"medianReturn":-1.5,"confidenceLow":19.7,"confidenceHigh":57.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":20,"expectedCount":9,"expectedPercent":45.0,"averageReturn":2.8,"medianReturn":-1.7,"confidenceLow":25.8,"confidenceHigh":65.8,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":16,"expectedCount":5,"expectedPercent":31.2,"averageReturn":-6.9,"medianReturn":-8.5,"confidenceLow":14.2,"confidenceHigh":55.6,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":0.1,"sample":23},{"week":2,"averageReturn":3.4,"sample":23},{"week":3,"averageReturn":3.4,"sample":22},{"week":4,"averageReturn":3.0,"sample":22},{"week":5,"averageReturn":6.4,"sample":22},{"week":6,"averageReturn":3.8,"sample":22},{"week":7,"averageReturn":3.5,"sample":22},{"week":8,"averageReturn":7.3,"sample":21},{"week":9,"averageReturn":4.7,"sample":21},{"week":10,"averageReturn":5.1,"sample":21},{"week":11,"averageReturn":5.0,"sample":20},{"week":12,"averageReturn":2.8,"sample":20},{"week":13,"averageReturn":1.1,"sample":20},{"week":14,"averageReturn":-0.8,"sample":19},{"week":15,"averageReturn":-1.4,"sample":19},{"week":16,"averageReturn":-1.7,"sample":19},{"week":17,"averageReturn":-1.0,"sample":18},{"week":18,"averageReturn":-2.9,"sample":18},{"week":19,"averageReturn":-2.2,"sample":18},{"week":20,"averageReturn":-5.7,"sample":17},{"week":21,"averageReturn":-7.4,"sample":17},{"week":22,"averageReturn":-7.7,"sample":17},{"week":23,"averageReturn":-6.0,"sample":16},{"week":24,"averageReturn":-7.0,"sample":16},{"week":25,"averageReturn":-7.5,"sample":16},{"week":26,"averageReturn":-6.9,"sample":16}]}},"pricePressureGap":{"label":"Price elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":0,"completedEpisodes":0,"activeEpisodes":0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":12,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"sample":0},{"week":2,"sample":0},{"week":3,"sample":0},{"week":4,"sample":0},{"week":5,"sample":0},{"week":6,"sample":0},{"week":7,"sample":0},{"week":8,"sample":0},{"week":9,"sample":0},{"week":10,"sample":0},{"week":11,"sample":0},{"week":12,"sample":0},{"week":13,"sample":0},{"week":14,"sample":0},{"week":15,"sample":0},{"week":16,"sample":0},{"week":17,"sample":0},{"week":18,"sample":0},{"week":19,"sample":0},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Evidence aligned downward","tone":"negative","headline":"Price and Market Dynamics remain aligned downward","use":"The downside remains supported until Market Dynamics repairs or price structure changes.","confirm":"The downside state remains confirmed until Market Dynamics repairs or price structure changes.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"negative","direction":"weakening","zone":"accumulation","zoneContext":"Price is within accumulation conditions, but the completed tape has not yet confirmed a recovery. The zone is a watch area rather than a directional signal.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"lower","percent":80.0,"averageReturn":-15.8,"sample":15},"nowContext":{"label":"Easier this week","detail":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price structure is downward","detail":"Price is responding in the same broad direction as Market Dynamics."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Capital protection","title":"Treat agreement on the downside as a defensive condition","tone":"negative","approach":"Reduce the burden of proof for risk control and raise it for new long exposure. A short position still needs a defined entry, exit and maximum loss.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 80.0% of comparable cases moved lower after 12 weeks, with an average move of -15.8% across 15 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 100.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 7 cases. Distinct visits lasted 2.6 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use improving Market Dynamics to prepare, not anticipate","tone":"recovery","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average recovery of 21.1% across 20 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 5.5 weeks on average.","approach":"Define the price level that would confirm the repair. Until that response occurs, keep the idea at watchlist or starter-position size.","watch":"The early repair fails if Market Dynamics fades before price responds."},{"eyebrow":"Position management","title":"Size for the path, not only the eventual long reward","tone":"positive","finding":"Across 1 completed accumulation cycles, the average gross long opportunity was 108.8%, while the average adverse move was 7.5%.","approach":"Scale exposure only as confirmation improves, and keep enough risk capacity to survive the ticker's observed adverse path.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[{"date":"2026-03-06","price":88229.9988},{"date":"2026-05-08","price":92270.0012},{"date":"2026-05-29","price":97600.0}],"distribution_rollovers":[{"date":"2024-12-20","price":142077.7092}],"price_pressure_gaps":[]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[99572.4663,102130.6552,100949.9443,110493.9548,103212.9585,107738.9748,112855.3525,109313.2439,110690.7339,107443.8,113150.5272,107837.3703,125547.8892,139421.1248,140208.2654,153195.9768,149260.3099,142077.7092,132336.9196,133911.1888,125055.9354,136862.9479,130565.8714,125547.8892,125351.1101,123186.4915,119447.6038,109411.6395,98391.7615,100654.7756,95941.8065,94780.7844,93790.0024,92959.9976,96009.9976,97500.0,96059.9976,101100.0,105500.0,111100.0,105000.0,104300.0,95700.0,100600.0,102100.0,119600.0,123000.0,116300.0,112500.0,105800.0,103300.0,106100.0,112100.0,112500.0,109200.0,113100.0,108900.0,104000.0,106300.0,104400.0,99720.0012,95050.0,87900.0,78070.0012,85459.9976,95100.0,98640.0024,88800.0,88250.0,72900.0,74870.0012,66809.9976,72950.0,73970.0012,75200.0,76659.9976,79550.0,81340.0024,75170.0012,71840.0024,88229.9988,78940.0024,81500.0,82000.0,83200.0,81850.0,81779.9988,76870.0012,75690.0024,92270.0012,76929.9988,73059.9976,97600.0,85650.0,87140.0024,84370.0012,80970.0012,82479.9988,87090.0024,86159.9976,87720.0012,82290.0024,73609.9976,73109.9976],"consensus":[61.2844,52.4818,26.9296,74.2537,0.0,55.134,48.9533,0.0,38.2096,0.0,42.6958,-16.6727,73.7732,77.62,54.7469,78.001,18.427,0.0,-23.8306,8.1841,-44.0931,37.9922,-16.4541,-32.1705,-8.8902,-30.3141,-43.5401,-65.6907,-72.6193,-31.0157,-57.6859,-29.6608,-31.382,-23.6167,-13.2192,-16.2686,-27.2035,26.7301,33.3633,29.1731,-17.3402,0.0,-55.4074,0.0,0.0,71.1027,55.0718,11.252,0.0,-40.7148,-30.1897,0.0,15.9766,8.164,0.0,22.1784,-16.9535,-38.7522,0.0,-12.9936,-48.2533,-52.3886,-73.0154,-79.5353,0.0,27.6687,28.8085,-40.1929,-14.3123,-73.7238,-30.0077,-71.6335,0.0,-11.7311,-8.356,0.0,20.9144,0.0,-31.103,-29.4204,53.5117,-31.2197,20.4673,11.9014,0.0,0.0,0.0,-31.9175,-18.8722,63.63,-42.643,-35.7237,64.5732,-25.1934,23.7147,0.0,-24.7882,0.0,0.0,0.0,17.4868,-19.9279,-56.1202,-31.3049],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[6.1733,1.191,0.0,15.6287,-15.5029,-44.3527,0.0,-1.133,-50.4796,-51.9881,-73.7116,-81.477,0.0,30.0451,23.1444,-49.2071,-19.0859,-73.1632,-27.7372,-70.0646,0.0,-11.7617,-7.3902,0.0,17.8272,0.0,-28.9372,-28.6695,48.5489,-34.172,17.0256,3.5417,0.0,0.0,0.0,-39.5979,-16.1714,58.1301,-46.0358,-45.7502,55.0573,-25.4134,18.5266,0.0,-24.179,0.0,0.0,0.0,13.5039,-23.9524,-52.6749,-31.4018],"force":[35.3924,2.6631,0.0,25.0935,-32.0419,-39.0447,0.0,-7.8865,-52.2052,-55.4386,-87.8954,-92.4218,0.0,79.395,51.551,-69.2216,-0.9462,-92.5523,-7.1521,-84.9567,0.0,-13.4198,-14.1084,0.0,44.9967,0.0,-56.0944,-28.3828,80.7103,-63.1566,28.4029,8.3914,0.0,0.0,0.0,-37.3454,-13.8515,94.0175,-70.9691,-32.9326,93.8411,-62.1248,26.8047,0.0,-29.189,0.0,0.0,0.0,17.0376,-34.4707,-82.7644,-16.7419],"direction":[13.312,26.5891,0.0,27.5817,-7.8339,-32.1429,0.0,-30.1964,-42.8862,-50.6679,-61.5911,-68.1114,0.0,11.9945,19.0372,-9.1562,-18.4039,-60.9156,-59.1452,-63.9099,0.0,-29.6612,-25.5057,0.0,7.241,0.0,-15.727,-31.0196,39.7558,-5.0335,18.7323,23.9624,0.0,0.0,0.0,-19.2627,-25.5451,48.2103,-18.5324,-26.2586,54.5429,-1.4377,27.4369,0.0,-22.3411,0.0,0.0,0.0,22.3597,-4.9406,-41.026,-41.5964],"intensity":[94.2308,42.3077,19.2308,19.2308,53.8462,36.5385,5.7692,30.7692,32.6923,46.1538,63.4615,76.9231,65.3846,88.4615,94.2308,78.8462,75.0,96.1538,75.0,67.3077,48.0769,7.6923,3.8462,40.3846,9.6154,69.2308,94.2308,67.3077,98.0769,73.0769,69.2308,26.9231,5.7692,3.8462,17.3077,36.5385,17.3077,98.0769,90.3846,94.2308,100.0,80.7692,38.4615,51.9231,76.9231,1.9231,98.0769,82.6923,3.8462,38.4615,63.4615,48.0769],"confirmation":[51.187,25.9139,27.6445,75.2857,51.2404,80.3243,2.9332,26.8497,83.5276,84.8634,91.8078,93.8144,37.0785,35.6197,77.9981,81.6091,49.4332,92.174,55.3637,91.3527,11.1073,28.5166,5.0138,2.9944,52.8069,25.5627,78.7476,77.3943,86.0283,56.252,74.8438,49.1622,24.6742,3.193,1.5928,78.262,73.9273,89.3715,82.4573,79.1937,89.7004,54.8241,75.7619,29.3219,76.0756,1.5965,48.456,2.7341,73.6428,52.0921,86.823,85.5723],"persistence":[25.0,25.0,12.5,12.5,0.0,0.0,12.5,0.0,25.0,50.0,62.5,87.5,75.0,50.0,37.5,37.5,37.5,37.5,37.5,37.5,37.5,62.5,87.5,75.0,50.0,37.5,37.5,37.5,25.0,25.0,0.0,12.5,0.0,0.0,12.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,37.5,25.0,37.5,25.0,12.5,12.5,25.0,12.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,25.0,37.5],"assessmentRisk":[10.9048,34.2685,38.0803,29.4136,14.9979,23.9525,28.6809,42.2747,25.0897,22.8649,13.4844,10.2315,49.4366,13.38,33.4269,67.2326,29.1996,12.9791,34.887,13.997,45.1056,13.0104,6.3946,44.1547,26.7953,37.2237,15.3035,19.0364,14.9767,0.3721,27.7087,40.1132,38.2669,23.9251,0.118,19.1162,33.3189,12.6088,4.3669,3.2875,16.1231,15.6432,26.6338,43.744,34.0497,15.6328,3.1516,8.8914,20.5781,9.03,16.7367,30.1012],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":-31.3,"control":-31.4,"force":-16.7,"direction":-41.6,"confirmation":85.6,"persistence":37.5,"assessmentRisk":30.1,"intensity":48.1,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Joint downward confirmation","headline":"The gauges support the downward market view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics agree. Control, force and direction support the same downward assessment.","take":"Current assessment: downward pressure has broad support.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Price structure and Market Dynamics","direction":"downward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Seller control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is strengthening","forceState":"Downward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is strengthening","directionState":"Downward follow-through","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Strong support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Normal"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-31.3","detail":"Joint downward confirmation","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-31.4","detail":"Seller control supports the view","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-16.7","detail":"Downward commitment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"-41.6","detail":"Downward follow-through","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"86/100","detail":"Strong support","tone":"positive"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Aligned downward","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"42.8","detail":"Negative","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"14.4%","detail":"Elevated","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"22.9","detail":"Range-led","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Range position","value":"17%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price and its 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