{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"IMKTA Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"3c413321-47c9-4e82-a40c-264458af0eb2","symbol":"IMKTA","name":"Ingles Markets Incorporated","exchange":"NASDAQ","country":"US","asset_type":"equity","currency":"USD","sector":"Consumer Defensive","industry":"Grocery Stores"},"summary":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. 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cautious, Market Dynamics positive","kind":"disagreement","expectedDirection":"higher","episodes":21,"completedEpisodes":21,"activeEpisodes":0,"medianExpectedMove":6.4,"averageExpectedMove":9.3,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":7.0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":21,"expectedCount":11,"expectedPercent":52.4,"averageReturn":-0.0,"medianReturn":1.5,"confidenceLow":32.4,"confidenceHigh":71.7,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":21,"expectedCount":13,"expectedPercent":61.9,"averageReturn":4.0,"medianReturn":3.0,"confidenceLow":40.9,"confidenceHigh":79.2,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":19,"expectedCount":8,"expectedPercent":42.1,"averageReturn":6.0,"medianReturn":-0.8,"confidenceLow":23.1,"confidenceHigh":63.7,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-0.4,"sample":21},{"week":2,"averageReturn":0.1,"sample":21},{"week":3,"averageReturn":0.0,"sample":21},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-0.0,"sample":21},{"week":5,"averageReturn":0.2,"sample":21},{"week":6,"averageReturn":0.6,"sample":21},{"week":7,"averageReturn":1.3,"sample":21},{"week":8,"averageReturn":2.0,"sample":21},{"week":9,"averageReturn":3.1,"sample":21},{"week":10,"averageReturn":2.7,"sample":21},{"week":11,"averageReturn":2.5,"sample":21},{"week":12,"averageReturn":4.0,"sample":21},{"week":13,"averageReturn":4.3,"sample":21},{"week":14,"averageReturn":4.9,"sample":21},{"week":15,"averageReturn":5.7,"sample":20},{"week":16,"averageReturn":5.6,"sample":20},{"week":17,"averageReturn":6.5,"sample":20},{"week":18,"averageReturn":4.2,"sample":20},{"week":19,"averageReturn":5.0,"sample":20},{"week":20,"averageReturn":4.3,"sample":20},{"week":21,"averageReturn":3.5,"sample":20},{"week":22,"averageReturn":2.8,"sample":20},{"week":23,"averageReturn":5.5,"sample":19},{"week":24,"averageReturn":4.8,"sample":19},{"week":25,"averageReturn":5.7,"sample":19},{"week":26,"averageReturn":6.0,"sample":19}]}},"pricePressureGap":{"label":"Price elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":1,"completedEpisodes":0,"activeEpisodes":1,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-1.2,"medianReturn":-1.2,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-5.0,"sample":1},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-2.8,"sample":1},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-2.0,"sample":1},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-1.2,"sample":1},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-1.8,"sample":1},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-6.5,"sample":1},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-2.0,"sample":1},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-4.1,"sample":1},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-5.3,"sample":1},{"week":10,"sample":0},{"week":11,"sample":0},{"week":12,"sample":0},{"week":13,"sample":0},{"week":14,"sample":0},{"week":15,"sample":0},{"week":16,"sample":0},{"week":17,"sample":0},{"week":18,"sample":0},{"week":19,"sample":0},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Underlying support lags price","tone":"caution","headline":"Price is leading its underlying support","use":"Market Dynamics must catch up or price may correct toward the weaker underlying position.","confirm":"This is a downside risk watch, not a completed reversal. Stronger Market Dynamics or weaker price is needed to close the gap.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"negative","direction":"strengthening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Price has advanced further through its recent range than Market Dynamics. The gap is an early-downside risk watch; stronger underlying support or a price reset is needed to close it.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"lower","percent":60.0,"averageReturn":0.5,"sample":15},"nowContext":{"label":"Slightly stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price is ahead of the underlying support","detail":"Price is extended relative to Market Dynamics. The gap is a downside-risk warning until support catches up or price resets."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Divergence control","title":"Do not chase price while the underlying evidence lags","tone":"caution","approach":"Use the gap to review position size, protect gains and wait for either Market Dynamics to catch up or price to correct. The disagreement is a warning condition, not an automatic exit.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 60.0% of comparable cases moved lower after 12 weeks, with an average move of 0.5% across 15 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 70.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 10 cases. Distinct visits lasted 1.6 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 6.8% across 15 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 6.6 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[{"date":"2024-11-29","price":72.865881},{"date":"2025-05-02","price":62.641852},{"date":"2025-05-16","price":62.265208},{"date":"2025-06-27","price":61.98768},{"date":"2025-08-15","price":63.75985}],"distribution_rollovers":[{"date":"2026-04-17","price":91.39},{"date":"2026-06-19","price":87.272124}],"price_pressure_gaps":[{"date":"2026-06-12","price":91.843853}]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[70.7419,72.7676,70.9484,72.207,71.8235,73.1117,62.6096,60.738,62.8283,60.7577,64.1397,70.3811,69.0698,71.17,72.8659,68.6556,68.2317,65.4117,64.4059,63.203,61.6698,62.3519,64.8828,65.4661,63.7261,64.8136,63.301,60.7405,62.1443,60.8888,60.8987,63.0637,61.4127,62.6617,61.5417,60.5802,62.6419,60.947,62.2652,59.3809,61.7498,60.4315,60.0153,61.611,61.9877,65.7244,66.1445,66.4823,64.6938,62.7961,60.8685,63.7599,67.5455,67.2574,70.1388,68.8372,68.9763,68.2708,71.8578,69.9234,73.2,71.7758,68.8179,73.7278,74.2059,75.6101,76.606,73.9469,70.1525,71.4073,69.9732,69.3856,69.3698,70.7474,72.4545,74.7305,84.7532,89.1855,87.1989,84.9528,85.2323,88.3769,83.4155,88.8461,90.9624,94.04,91.39,90.69,91.31,86.6,86.16,88.42,88.46,90.9854,91.8439,87.2721,89.2286,90.0072,90.75,90.15,85.83,90.01,88.11,87.01],"consensus":[-19.1158,18.4478,-33.0441,21.2025,-8.5143,25.0551,-67.3713,-57.385,-12.2629,-61.5617,14.7527,56.9987,0.0,45.5859,38.1432,-31.76,-11.2176,-49.5655,-32.9093,-38.4195,-49.6117,-22.3136,19.1534,0.0,-14.0664,16.5163,-27.775,-50.1659,0.0,-36.7045,-22.8054,21.6717,-26.7228,13.0747,-15.6357,-27.3814,26.5575,-21.7202,8.255,-36.7567,13.773,-15.9023,-17.9034,23.4831,0.0,54.2897,32.7247,33.7665,0.0,-27.75,-37.1489,22.2569,55.2126,25.4557,59.5535,20.6066,19.5611,13.7352,59.174,0.0,53.9821,8.7848,-28.2949,57.329,36.1283,46.857,41.4044,-13.5136,-44.5977,0.0,-35.0357,-24.2815,-12.2074,11.3479,32.9715,49.0495,77.7437,75.8603,25.9544,12.4705,29.6041,47.9137,-24.7886,60.9376,53.0928,57.1972,15.8788,19.8456,24.6211,-33.9997,-13.35,18.875,0.0,38.9332,22.6338,-31.7688,16.6265,12.7187,0.0,0.0,-41.8592,26.4588,-21.0648,-19.3497],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[56.6718,21.1455,61.2819,14.8567,15.697,13.1088,63.8702,0.0,53.3922,2.4596,-25.1124,54.0296,45.3063,50.4127,37.9805,-17.899,-42.0962,0.0,-34.3785,-17.3963,-10.3898,17.5148,34.6901,46.858,77.2312,78.1776,19.1447,0.4167,33.3572,53.8454,-20.7343,63.6037,57.6605,57.5162,8.6348,19.9335,28.9265,-26.6778,-5.505,26.7163,0.0,39.1543,17.121,-31.7492,17.5291,20.5785,0.0,0.0,-39.3149,32.703,-16.8363,-15.0312],"force":[69.5957,5.4759,59.8262,8.6338,3.0584,3.2167,71.5086,0.0,56.7359,21.2685,-57.9005,78.8237,21.4316,37.582,28.4631,-53.2606,-70.8691,0.0,-37.1995,-19.1232,-0.7415,30.485,46.9057,64.0771,98.1126,81.8742,20.0879,33.6813,8.4314,53.0428,-75.4782,73.6414,42.926,55.1906,23.1322,0.7556,13.3981,-63.2129,-12.6099,36.7244,0.0,51.4883,15.2707,-56.4608,31.5281,15.3354,0.0,0.0,-58.1057,48.0995,-33.8064,-19.7571],"direction":[43.2712,44.6528,57.3833,48.0638,35.765,26.5595,44.9964,0.0,52.6893,43.1021,-10.7852,45.7465,36.1367,49.4182,54.5611,-19.889,-28.6914,0.0,-34.2412,-35.8347,-22.4745,9.3693,21.0543,40.8199,63.7801,68.9165,66.6244,60.1644,40.4383,37.471,-6.7847,48.8165,55.1345,58.266,52.0227,34.4602,27.7172,-21.5009,-22.8445,2.8361,0.0,29.7126,34.1936,-14.1541,4.951,1.867,0.0,0.0,-33.1625,3.8648,-16.7961,-23.9942],"intensity":[84.6154,65.3846,65.3846,13.4615,21.1538,50.0,82.6923,40.3846,76.9231,15.3846,92.3077,100.0,88.4615,38.4615,50.0,63.4615,92.3077,11.5385,23.0769,48.0769,3.8462,13.4615,36.5385,59.6154,100.0,98.0769,50.0,57.6923,75.0,82.6923,96.1538,96.1538,96.1538,86.5385,55.7692,28.8462,23.0769,94.2308,76.9231,46.1538,69.2308,48.0769,90.3846,88.4615,28.8462,5.7692,61.5385,3.8462,90.3846,76.9231,26.9231,59.6154],"confirmation":[86.0841,52.9359,87.0391,30.2991,51.1488,49.9077,87.24,30.7498,85.3672,7.1286,78.0051,87.0506,78.9733,82.6574,80.9072,32.3785,83.11,27.6819,79.2874,75.7178,48.918,28.786,78.9493,84.1872,93.5066,92.4233,33.9581,10.0547,76.7709,83.3983,56.3197,87.8466,84.6102,86.2371,31.6042,51.2159,75.4711,79.8818,49.7023,52.4029,24.4862,80.8379,75.1024,78.9188,51.0942,49.3633,24.7533,3.1404,81.9289,54.3645,75.1935,74.2701],"persistence":[37.5,37.5,37.5,37.5,50.0,75.0,100.0,87.5,87.5,87.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,50.0,25.0,12.5,12.5,12.5,37.5,37.5,37.5,12.5,12.5,25.0,50.0,75.0,100.0,100.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,37.5,37.5,37.5,12.5,12.5,37.5,50.0,37.5,25.0,25.0,0.0,0.0],"assessmentRisk":[16.8572,36.2351,20.2143,39.0081,20.5993,15.9475,4.7795,24.4823,20.6017,41.331,28.7915,16.6601,1.2772,23.0288,29.1809,11.3484,23.5077,46.9323,31.8347,35.5289,9.7111,20.0205,23.5206,24.7884,11.1223,12.0684,37.0058,43.4755,7.7426,36.5883,26.9283,8.7721,19.3534,17.2104,40.5507,12.2711,7.822,31.9975,40.3734,41.2659,37.6661,25.4238,36.7271,3.2227,6.599,25.4139,25.8188,43.1697,23.1933,13.1776,29.0563,33.0258],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":-19.3,"control":-15.0,"force":-19.8,"direction":-24.0,"confirmation":74.3,"persistence":0.0,"assessmentRisk":33.0,"intensity":59.6,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","headline":"The gauges support the downward view","summary":"The completed evidence gives the downward view the clearer support.","take":"Current assessment: downward pressure has the stronger support.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Market Dynamics","direction":"downward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Seller control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is strengthening","forceState":"Downward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is strengthening","directionState":"Downward follow-through","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Strong support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Normal"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-19.3","detail":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-15.0","detail":"Seller control supports the view","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-19.8","detail":"Downward commitment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"-24.0","detail":"Downward follow-through","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"74/100","detail":"Strong support","tone":"positive"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Rotational","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"50.9","detail":"Positive","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"6.1%","detail":"Elevated","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"14.5","detail":"Range-led","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Range position","value":"48%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility 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