{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"WARP Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-21","ticker":{"uuid":"3c4a153f-6cd2-429a-bdd7-e9c8094ed729","symbol":"WARP","name":"VANECK SPACE ETF","exchange":"NASDAQ","country":"US","asset_type":"etf","currency":"USD","sector":null,"industry":null},"summary":"The completed price path and its progression through the positioning zones can be described, but there is not enough usable Market Dynamics history to confirm or challenge the technical state.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Completed returns and cumulative progression, Range expansion and closing direction, Drawdown and recovery pressure, Activity pressure and cumulative balance, Range position and boundary pressure."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-21","observations":16,"displayedObservations":16,"assetType":"ETF","state":"Aligned downward","stateTone":"negative","summary":"The completed price path and its progression through the positioning zones can be described, but there is not enough usable Market Dynamics history to confirm or challenge the technical state.","evidenceAlignment":{"status":"Evidence developing","headline":"Price structure is visible; Market Dynamics is not yet established","summary":"The completed price path and its progression through the positioning zones can be described, but there is not enough usable Market Dynamics history to confirm or challenge the technical state.","take":"Treat movement through the zones as price-location context only. Reaching the upper zone shows extension, but without an established Market Dynamics read it does not by itself establish active distribution, divergence or reversal risk.","tone":"neutral","conflict":false},"marketDynamics":{"available":true,"readAvailable":false,"dates":["2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"values":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0],"opens":[26.03,28.03,31.01,36.38,34.85,30.06,28.2,25.38,23.39,25.24,21.9,19.5,18.82,18.46,22.25,22.68],"highs":[27.8987,31.025,34.99,41.77,34.885,30.8699,28.2,25.5373,25.87,25.275,21.91,20.16,19.13,22.2599,23.145,23.3178],"lows":[25.23,27.87,29.06,34.23,28.5601,26.66,25.0,21.47,23.235,22.0,18.925,18.62,17.835,18.41,21.56,20.67],"closes":[27.8698,29.8906,33.87,36.32,29.09,27.7572,25.71,22.2022,24.92,22.1948,19.4666,18.7115,18.72,22.2244,22.705,21.2018],"hoverRows":[[{"label":"Open","value":"26.0","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"27.9","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"25.2","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"27.9","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market 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Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"25.2","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"25.3","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"22.0","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"22.2","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"21.9","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"21.9","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"18.9","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"19.5","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"19.5","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"20.2","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"18.6","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"18.7","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"18.8","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"19.1","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"17.8","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"18.7","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"18.5","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"22.3","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"18.4","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"22.2","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"22.2","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"23.1","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"21.6","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"22.7","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}],[{"label":"Open","value":"22.7","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"23.3","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"20.7","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"21.2","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market Dynamics","value":"Unavailable","note":"Insufficient completed history","className":"is-muted","wide":true},{"label":"Signal / event","value":"No event marker","className":"is-muted","wide":true}]],"pressureRange":[-2.3,2.3],"priceRange":[17.65499,37.37651],"zones":{"accumulationBoundary":-1.5,"accumulationDarkBoundary":-2.0,"distributionBoundary":1.5,"distributionDarkBoundary":2.0},"state":"Insufficient history","context":{"scenario":"developing","latestDirection":"steady","fourWeekDirection":"steady","now":{"label":"Little changed this week","detail":"Market Dynamics remains positive and was little changed this week."},"fourWeek":{"label":"Broadly steady over four weeks","detail":"The broader path has not changed enough to establish a new direction."},"price":{"label":"Price and Market Dynamics are broadly aligned","detail":"The current price response is broadly consistent with the underlying Market Dynamics path."}},"diagnosis":{"label":"Zone progression","detail":"Price is travelling between the lower accumulation area and the upper positioning zone. Market Dynamics history is not yet sufficient to confirm or challenge that progression.","tone":"neutral"},"chartSummary":"Price is between the outer positioning zones. The Market Dynamics bars show whether underlying support is strengthening or weakening.","summary":"Price is travelling between the lower accumulation area and the upper positioning zone. Market Dynamics history is not yet sufficient to confirm or challenge that progression.","annotations":[{"label":"Current tape relationship","value":"Zone progression","detail":"Market Dynamics remains positive and was little changed this week.","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Price location","value":"Between zones","detail":"Price is progressing between the lower and upper positioning zones while the Market Dynamics read develops.","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Latest positioning marker","value":"None in view","detail":"Entering the lower zone alone does not create a positioning confirmation.","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Market Dynamics confirmation","value":"Unavailable","detail":"Too little usable Market Dynamics history is available for a directional confirmation read.","tone":"neutral"}],"relationshipEvidence":{"available":false,"observations":16,"summary":"More completed weekly history is needed for a dependable ticker-level record."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"reversal_warnings":[{"date":"2026-05-29","price":36.32}],"reversal_dangers":[{"date":"2026-06-05","price":29.09}]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"close":[27.8698,29.8906,33.87,36.32,29.09,27.7572,25.71,22.2022,24.92,22.1948,19.4666,18.7115,18.72,22.2244,22.705,21.2018],"consensus":[97.8342,28.0887,62.226,-25.8462,-16.8399,-31.3872,-49.4216,-66.9725,-9.4479,-62.1589,-64.9849,-54.3555,-35.6272,19.5934,10.5883,-24.7071],"supportDates":["2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"control":[null,null,null,null,null,-30.9962,-48.2644,-65.6199,-3.9348,-63.6043,-65.2898,-57.9828,-23.4918,27.7596,4.1688,-38.8707],"force":[97.8342,28.0887,62.226,-25.8462,-40.3296,-26.5244,-36.261,-61.8571,-26.996,-55.1938,-54.4686,-30.1216,-6.0333,59.7305,23.1884,-25.0509],"direction":[null,null,null,null,-0.0616,-35.3074,-60.1445,-72.1722,-50.7738,-65.4821,-72.1481,-67.5199,-70.6348,18.4088,8.9247,-8.2746],"intensity":[null,null,null,null,100.0,60.0,16.6667,42.8571,25.0,33.3333,50.0,9.0909,8.3333,61.5385,50.0,13.3333],"confirmation":[53.9736,31.6551,42.579,30.9374,29.1293,77.9016,83.4315,89.2959,8.7152,87.6566,88.47,84.5999,56.0171,33.9625,49.2034,55.0],"persistence":[null,null,100.0,50.0,20.0,0.0,14.2857,25.0,50.0,75.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,75.0,50.0,50.0],"assessmentRisk":[null,null,null,null,21.9094,8.7073,24.0494,16.4725,36.3845,15.0634,15.18,12.7675,30.4792,9.3271,33.7887,47.9211],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":-24.7,"control":-38.9,"force":-25.1,"direction":-8.3,"confirmation":55.0,"persistence":50.0,"assessmentRisk":47.9,"intensity":13.3,"evidenceDepth":62},"analysis":{"status":"Price structure has the available support","headline":"The gauges support the price-technical view","summary":"Market Dynamics does not provide a directional confirmation. The completed evidence supports the downward price structure.","take":"Current assessment: follow price structure with limited confirmation.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Price structure","direction":"downward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Seller control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is easing","forceState":"Downward commitment","forcePath":"Broadly stable","directionState":"Follow-through is limited","persistenceState":"Developing","confirmationState":"Qualified support","riskState":"Present","intensityState":"Quiet"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-24.7","detail":"Price structure has the available support","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-38.9","detail":"Seller control supports the view","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-25.1","detail":"Downward commitment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"-8.3","detail":"Follow-through is limited","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"55/100","detail":"Qualified support","tone":"neutral"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Aligned downward","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"58.5","detail":"Positive","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"15.0%","detail":"Normal","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"-","detail":"Developing","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Range position","value":"14%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price and its trend references are aligned downward.","series":[{"label":"Close","values":[27.8698,29.8906,33.87,36.32,29.09,27.7572,25.71,22.2022,24.92,22.1948,19.4666,18.7115,18.72,22.2244,22.705,21.2018],"stroke":"#10243b","width":2.1},{"label":"Fast trend","values":[null,null,null,null,30.2802,29.8215,29.074,27.8246,27.2965,26.3689,25.1139,23.9498,22.999,22.8581,22.8303,22.5342],"stroke":"#176fa3","width":1.7},{"label":"Slow trend","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,25.7765,25.5134,25.3054,25.0014],"stroke":"#07865c","width":1.8},{"label":"Upper envelope","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,36.7131,36.8658,36.8711,36.6941,36.2099,35.7602,35.3764],"stroke":"#98a9b8","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]},{"label":"Lower envelope","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,19.2518,17.5508,16.1293,15.1094,15.0682,15.1267,14.9803],"stroke":"#98a9b8","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]}],"guides":[],"dates":["2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"]},{"key":"returns","eyebrow":"Observed return path","title":"Completed returns and cumulative progression","description":"Period returns are shown beside the total move recorded across the available tape.","reason":"Selected because direct returns remain fully observable while longer indicators develop.","series":[{"label":"Period return","values":[null,7.2509,13.3132,7.2335,-19.9064,-4.5816,-7.3754,-13.6437,12.2411,-10.9358,-12.2921,-3.879,0.0454,18.7201,2.1625,-6.6206],"stroke":"#176fa3","width":1.7},{"label":"Cumulative 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range","values":[9.5756,10.5552,17.5081,20.7599,21.7425,15.1669,12.4465,18.3194,10.5738,14.7557,15.334,8.2302,6.9177,17.3229,6.9808,12.4886],"stroke":"#b87806","width":1.8},{"label":"Open-to-close direction","values":[7.068,6.6379,9.2228,-0.1649,-16.528,-7.6607,-8.8298,-12.5209,6.5413,-12.065,-11.1114,-4.0436,-0.5313,20.3922,2.0449,-6.5176],"stroke":"#176fa3","width":1.8}],"guides":[{"label":"Unchanged close","values":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0],"stroke":"#8fa0af","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]}],"dates":["2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"]},{"key":"drawdown","eyebrow":"Path risk","title":"Drawdown and recovery pressure","description":"Capital impairment and recovery are shown together so return is not separated from path difficulty.","reason":"Selected because the current recovery or drawdown path is central to the tape.","series":[{"label":"Drawdown","values":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-19.9064,-23.576,-29.2126,-38.8706,-31.3877,-38.891,-46.4025,-48.4816,-48.4581,-38.8095,-37.4862,-41.625],"stroke":"#c13f3f","width":1.9,"fill":"rgba(193,63,63,.10)"},{"label":"Recovery","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,0.0,12.2411,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0454,18.774,21.3425,13.3089],"stroke":"#07865c","width":1.7}],"guides":[{"label":"Prior high","values":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0],"stroke":"#8fa0af","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]}],"dates":["2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"]},{"key":"participation","eyebrow":"Participation","title":"Activity pressure and cumulative balance","description":"Observed activity is compared with its normal backdrop while cumulative balance tracks directional 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