{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"7734 Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"3dc689be-36ab-4a23-a8aa-caaf250b5b07","symbol":"7734","name":"Riken Keiki Co., Ltd.","exchange":"JPX","country":"JP","asset_type":"equity","currency":"JPY","sector":"Industrials","industry":"Security & Protection Services"},"summary":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. 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support lags price","tone":"caution","headline":"Price is leading its underlying support","use":"Market Dynamics must catch up or price may correct toward the weaker underlying position.","confirm":"This is a downside risk watch, not a completed reversal. Stronger Market Dynamics or weaker price is needed to close the gap.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"negative","direction":"strengthening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Price has advanced further through its recent range than Market Dynamics. The gap is an early-downside risk watch; stronger underlying support or a price reset is needed to close it.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"lower","percent":36.8,"averageReturn":1.2,"sample":19},"nowContext":{"label":"Stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price is ahead of the underlying support","detail":"Price is extended relative to Market Dynamics. The gap is a downside-risk warning until support catches up or price resets."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Divergence control","title":"Do not chase price while the underlying evidence lags","tone":"caution","approach":"Use the gap to review position size, protect gains and wait for either Market Dynamics to catch up or price to correct. The disagreement is a warning condition, not an automatic exit.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 36.8% of comparable cases moved lower after 12 weeks, with an average move of 1.2% across 19 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use distribution to protect capital before considering the short case","tone":"negative","finding":"After distribution, 80.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were lower across 5 cases. Distinct visits lasted 1.8 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Review long exposure and define the evidence that would confirm a rollover. Short exposure should begin only after price weakens and the loss limit is known.","watch":"A sustained repair in price and Market Dynamics invalidates the downside setup."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 8.1% across 19 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 5.9 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[{"date":"2025-05-23","price":2637.523193}],"distribution_rollovers":[{"date":"2024-09-06","price":3720.275146},{"date":"2024-09-27","price":3972.458252}],"price_pressure_gaps":[{"date":"2024-08-30","price":4006.077881},{"date":"2024-09-20","price":4073.895264},{"date":"2024-10-25","price":4137.977539}]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[3947.948,4006.0779,3720.2751,3763.8723,4073.8953,3972.4583,3797.2029,3879.9622,3962.7219,4137.9775,4094.1631,4196.396,3699.8386,3617.0791,3656.0247,3602.4746,3729.0479,3656.0247,3733.9158,3748.5208,3232.4905,3037.7622,3164.3357,3042.6304,3091.3123,2959.8708,2772.9316,2735.9333,2656.0945,2794.3518,2788.5098,2593.3022,2326.0122,2402.6619,2461.6228,2603.1292,2613.9387,2729.8953,2710.2417,2637.5232,2849.7827,2849.7827,2944.1204,2882.2114,2957.8779,2805.5623,2801.6313,2977.5317,3110.1938,3183.8953,3287.0769,3257.5964,3277.2502,3233.0295,3036.4927,3090.5403,3007.0122,3134.7612,3253.6147,3664.6497,3471.5127,3530.9395,3486.3694,3392.2771,3238.7581,3045.6211,3209.0447,3075.3345,3050.5732,3159.5222,3169.4268,3169.4268,3179.3313,3313.0413,3357.6113,3258.5669,3288.2803,3189.2356,3357.6113,3590.3662,3456.656,3278.3757,3154.5701,3110.0,3130.0,3310.0,3435.0,3280.0,3340.0,3450.0,3720.0,3755.0,3650.0,3785.0,3420.0,3625.0,3645.0,3785.0,3505.0,3270.0,3325.0,3495.0,3640.0,3465.0],"consensus":[9.3129,20.3805,-33.4319,0.0,42.2782,0.0,-9.981,0.0,13.0516,30.9105,8.7647,31.4478,-56.3342,-36.8897,-21.2684,-41.6002,0.0,-25.9892,0.0,0.0,-72.2587,-67.3254,-27.4559,-59.8534,-11.7883,-52.247,-64.1028,-44.6701,-52.3893,0.0,-28.8577,-64.1837,-71.8851,-15.4804,-19.1418,11.4343,0.0,29.3878,0.0,-18.1513,49.9513,18.1928,38.1353,0.0,38.6733,-29.0447,0.0,40.0771,49.2929,48.6504,57.1109,28.4177,37.6235,20.0025,-38.0816,0.0,-29.1323,25.8004,47.8879,72.3614,0.0,37.0455,14.4232,-14.1838,-38.2436,-57.3935,11.1325,-44.5301,-34.1958,19.2688,-8.6595,0.0,9.8172,38.539,29.3606,-9.1739,11.5477,-35.0763,34.0974,61.3783,0.0,-16.0635,-40.2249,-24.3653,0.0,31.2999,34.1287,-17.3805,13.861,27.8862,58.6676,38.998,0.0,36.6385,-40.3244,0.0,13.4529,37.458,-24.3171,-51.8347,-22.2547,15.8317,31.6184,-19.7724],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[36.3581,20.4513,-36.6416,0.0,-24.0663,32.1486,46.6887,69.0263,0.0,28.8681,4.0973,-9.2664,-34.1359,-54.6774,24.9627,-39.2333,-35.278,21.0688,-8.5445,0.0,7.352,35.1348,25.7795,-14.8479,6.1984,-30.906,39.9608,57.4823,0.0,-19.3225,-42.5929,-14.8254,0.0,32.5137,27.5647,-26.9998,5.9912,28.1984,49.9576,34.3524,0.0,32.6608,-47.7591,0.0,17.2073,52.2075,-40.4769,-51.0063,-18.4818,24.9586,30.7732,-24.3927],"force":[17.1843,6.6037,-70.762,0.0,-43.6207,46.2968,57.1884,89.6587,0.0,23.6057,15.0839,-41.7449,-65.3531,-75.1969,41.8086,-55.4943,-23.6258,44.098,-4.123,0.0,17.8379,57.2809,27.765,-30.4876,10.8656,-64.7187,49.2385,80.2167,0.0,-37.4932,-46.701,-15.9065,0.0,61.2587,42.6762,-42.4239,16.2237,24.4486,83.4473,25.5948,0.0,24.5147,-52.9589,0.0,5.1609,29.6014,-32.7527,-6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Dynamics has stronger support","headline":"The gauges support the downward view","summary":"The completed evidence gives the downward view the clearer support.","take":"Current assessment: downward pressure has the stronger support.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Market Dynamics","direction":"downward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Seller control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is easing","forceState":"Downward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is easing","directionState":"Follow-through is limited","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Qualified support","riskState":"Present","intensityState":"Normal"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-19.8","detail":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-24.4","detail":"Seller control supports the view","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-47.7","detail":"Downward 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