{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"HOME Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"3deb1928-aed4-41d8-9180-68655ee545fe","symbol":"HOME","name":"Neinor Homes, S.A.","exchange":"MCE","country":"ES","asset_type":"equity","currency":"EUR","sector":"Real Estate","industry":"Real Estate - Development"},"summary":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive. The broader path has not changed enough to establish a new direction. The downward price structure agrees with that pressure, but price has not declined to the same extent.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Strength versus the research benchmark, Drawdown and recovery pressure, Range pressure and compression, Range position and boundary pressure, Activity pressure and cumulative balance."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-14","observations":260,"displayedObservations":104,"assetType":"Equity","state":"Aligned downward","stateTone":"negative","summary":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive. 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cautious, Market Dynamics positive","kind":"disagreement","expectedDirection":"higher","episodes":18,"completedEpisodes":17,"activeEpisodes":1,"medianExpectedMove":4.6,"averageExpectedMove":7.7,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":6.1,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":18,"expectedCount":7,"expectedPercent":38.9,"averageReturn":-1.3,"medianReturn":-2.8,"confidenceLow":20.3,"confidenceHigh":61.4,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":17,"expectedCount":10,"expectedPercent":58.8,"averageReturn":-0.9,"medianReturn":2.3,"confidenceLow":36.0,"confidenceHigh":78.4,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":16,"expectedCount":11,"expectedPercent":68.8,"averageReturn":7.1,"medianReturn":7.5,"confidenceLow":44.4,"confidenceHigh":85.8,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-0.1,"sample":18},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-0.5,"sample":18},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-1.8,"sample":18},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-1.3,"sample":18},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-1.4,"sample":17},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-0.7,"sample":17},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-0.6,"sample":17},{"week":8,"averageReturn":0.1,"sample":17},{"week":9,"averageReturn":0.6,"sample":17},{"week":10,"averageReturn":0.2,"sample":17},{"week":11,"averageReturn":0.0,"sample":17},{"week":12,"averageReturn":-0.9,"sample":17},{"week":13,"averageReturn":-0.1,"sample":17},{"week":14,"averageReturn":0.1,"sample":17},{"week":15,"averageReturn":0.3,"sample":17},{"week":16,"averageReturn":1.3,"sample":17},{"week":17,"averageReturn":2.0,"sample":17},{"week":18,"averageReturn":1.9,"sample":17},{"week":19,"averageReturn":3.7,"sample":17},{"week":20,"averageReturn":3.7,"sample":17},{"week":21,"averageReturn":5.3,"sample":17},{"week":22,"averageReturn":6.8,"sample":17},{"week":23,"averageReturn":5.8,"sample":17},{"week":24,"averageReturn":6.0,"sample":17},{"week":25,"averageReturn":7.6,"sample":16},{"week":26,"averageReturn":7.1,"sample":16}]}},"pricePressureGap":{"label":"Price elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":1,"completedEpisodes":1,"activeEpisodes":0,"medianExpectedMove":10.6,"averageExpectedMove":10.6,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":12.0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":1,"expectedCount":0,"expectedPercent":0.0,"averageReturn":6.5,"medianReturn":6.5,"confidenceLow":0.0,"confidenceHigh":79.3,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-10.6,"medianReturn":-10.6,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-2.6,"medianReturn":-2.6,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":2.6,"sample":1},{"week":2,"averageReturn":2.9,"sample":1},{"week":3,"averageReturn":1.6,"sample":1},{"week":4,"averageReturn":6.5,"sample":1},{"week":5,"averageReturn":3.8,"sample":1},{"week":6,"averageReturn":7.0,"sample":1},{"week":7,"averageReturn":6.0,"sample":1},{"week":8,"averageReturn":5.8,"sample":1},{"week":9,"averageReturn":0.9,"sample":1},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-3.7,"sample":1},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-8.3,"sample":1},{"week":12,"averageReturn":-10.6,"sample":1},{"week":13,"averageReturn":-10.7,"sample":1},{"week":14,"averageReturn":-10.2,"sample":1},{"week":15,"averageReturn":-7.1,"sample":1},{"week":16,"averageReturn":-7.3,"sample":1},{"week":17,"averageReturn":-10.0,"sample":1},{"week":18,"averageReturn":-8.4,"sample":1},{"week":19,"averageReturn":-11.7,"sample":1},{"week":20,"averageReturn":-13.5,"sample":1},{"week":21,"averageReturn":-13.8,"sample":1},{"week":22,"averageReturn":-17.6,"sample":1},{"week":23,"averageReturn":-14.8,"sample":1},{"week":24,"averageReturn":-10.2,"sample":1},{"week":25,"averageReturn":-8.6,"sample":1},{"week":26,"averageReturn":-2.6,"sample":1}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Downside evidence leads price","tone":"negative","headline":"Price is leading its underlying support","use":"Market Dynamics must catch up or price may correct toward the weaker underlying position.","confirm":"The downside remains supported. Further price weakness would confirm that price is catching up with the weaker underlying position.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"positive","direction":"weakening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Price has advanced further through its recent range than Market Dynamics. The gap is an early-downside risk watch; stronger underlying support or a price reset is needed to close it.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"lower","percent":29.4,"averageReturn":6.3,"sample":17},"nowContext":{"label":"Easier this week","detail":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Broadly steady over four weeks","detail":"The broader path has not changed enough to establish a new direction."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price is ahead of the underlying support","detail":"Price is extended relative to Market Dynamics. The gap is a downside-risk warning until support catches up or price resets."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Divergence control","title":"Do not chase price while the underlying evidence lags","tone":"caution","approach":"Use the gap to review position size, protect gains and wait for either Market Dynamics to catch up or price to correct. The disagreement is a warning condition, not an automatic exit.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 29.4% of comparable cases moved lower after 12 weeks, with an average move of 6.3% across 17 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 100.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 2 cases. Distinct visits lasted 5.0 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 5.2% across 17 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 5.7 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"distribution_rollovers":[{"date":"2026-03-13","price":17.34}],"price_pressure_gaps":[{"date":"2026-01-02","price":18.012543}]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[11.2091,11.294,11.1921,11.9903,12.0752,12.6866,12.8565,12.7522,13.1387,12.9806,13.49,13.3319,13.3319,13.4373,13.3143,13.367,13.8764,14.1926,14.5614,14.7898,14.6844,14.2453,14.3331,14.8073,14.298,13.9642,13.894,13.367,13.367,12.6637,12.7194,12.8122,12.6451,12.7751,13.4435,13.9635,14.4277,14.1677,13.5476,13.4522,13.4903,13.5476,12.9942,15.7228,15.8755,15.2649,16.5051,16.8295,16.1044,16.4288,17.0967,17.0012,16.8677,16.2571,16.1044,16.7341,16.5815,16.467,16.467,16.2571,16.1426,16.3143,16.467,16.0854,16.2952,16.6387,17.5355,17.5355,17.3638,17.3638,17.6882,18.0125,18.4896,18.5277,18.2988,19.1765,18.6995,19.28,19.1,19.06,18.18,17.34,16.52,16.1,16.0818,16.1793,16.7258,16.6929,16.2059,16.5078,15.904,15.5826,15.5242,14.85,15.34,16.17,16.46,17.55,16.49,16.08,15.86,15.85,15.56,15.66],"consensus":[20.2597,38.7278,0.0,72.5475,42.2763,80.104,58.4141,22.7771,71.2422,14.4054,73.7165,24.9105,28.7517,37.8206,12.152,20.5607,54.2419,56.2719,55.7548,48.9159,21.0437,-10.2417,10.2876,43.9416,-27.0805,-26.9953,-17.5524,-55.2772,-27.58,-64.6781,-33.113,-15.3132,-37.512,0.0,32.0323,45.4205,54.0959,0.0,-24.9786,-17.3838,-11.5434,0.0,-44.493,66.1788,47.3655,0.0,70.7773,48.7812,0.0,46.6039,55.5921,24.1622,18.3666,-16.9538,-8.6724,37.589,0.0,0.0,10.7837,-16.4386,-14.8267,8.6426,0.0,-26.2416,8.3458,29.6335,61.2461,33.8675,19.6226,26.6444,39.7361,40.5199,54.8344,40.4494,17.6913,65.867,-10.7842,50.8933,17.3458,11.4924,-38.049,-62.5173,-70.6338,-53.5224,-34.8842,-31.7732,14.8767,0.0,-36.0709,0.0,-54.3634,-49.7656,-43.4838,-47.0856,-10.7619,17.6382,29.0235,62.1666,-12.8895,-22.5879,-25.4602,-22.6196,-32.8283,-6.5743],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[9.9843,-22.4884,-0.729,50.7183,0.0,0.0,9.2208,-12.9144,-12.3668,12.1081,0.0,-28.4457,10.0692,33.2544,63.8245,33.1852,13.8066,26.1951,52.1607,42.9007,57.9167,41.1964,12.5606,61.3811,-12.4613,43.0947,11.7835,14.3642,-31.9395,-58.2639,-67.7519,-45.0548,-26.8782,-26.8275,14.9977,0.0,-43.0254,0.0,-56.0884,-49.4698,-47.9198,-45.6005,-2.4765,17.9075,31.1965,74.0408,-32.2171,-25.5101,-23.0963,-15.4003,-29.6546,-0.7124],"force":[7.914,-46.8126,-19.9027,45.4188,0.0,0.0,6.8826,-28.4921,-16.3707,21.2699,0.0,-37.9012,15.5757,39.9496,76.0239,14.5483,1.4866,13.7331,30.6744,32.5225,48.711,18.8301,9.5943,85.1035,-70.3785,65.0552,12.9474,9.0753,-75.7717,-86.3566,-88.2888,-51.6635,-8.6721,-4.8616,64.9412,0.0,-33.4307,0.0,-59.6506,-44.1209,-28.2318,-28.8798,-23.4248,28.4984,29.922,54.7055,-33.253,-34.3878,-26.9278,-20.8521,-33.8968,-9.0128],"direction":[46.7182,-10.6991,-9.729,16.9915,0.0,0.0,15.3564,-11.8567,-16.535,4.3374,0.0,-15.3943,1.2119,18.1265,47.7438,48.4467,41.3473,36.3801,32.0093,43.5113,55.6857,55.0381,43.0446,57.2533,-33.6998,49.6902,45.3407,22.9015,-18.0863,-50.3501,-61.3168,-64.5274,-62.7568,-56.648,21.022,0.0,-30.0088,0.0,-48.6154,-54.1356,-49.3085,-61.787,-44.65,9.5731,25.8984,53.9255,-23.7445,-10.8197,-27.1133,-32.1329,-35.6921,-24.4072],"intensity":[26.9231,67.3077,59.6154,71.1538,42.3077,78.8462,5.7692,21.1538,69.2308,21.1538,61.5385,38.4615,13.4615,30.7692,84.6154,36.5385,9.6154,15.3846,44.2308,67.3077,46.1538,3.8462,26.9231,88.4615,51.9231,59.6154,30.7692,26.9231,86.5385,80.7692,80.7692,76.9231,1.9231,17.3077,53.8462,34.6154,50.0,26.9231,65.3846,46.1538,9.6154,92.3077,50.0,92.3077,25.0,96.1538,96.1538,75.0,17.3077,76.9231,98.0769,9.6154],"confirmation":[52.2258,31.2,48.5718,80.067,4.4679,25.2165,48.689,73.6814,72.8291,49.3563,1.841,76.7191,48.1981,77.7419,88.0098,78.2592,51.375,76.1396,80.2501,80.6864,85.3134,80.2736,29.6213,89.732,35.0976,84.8363,30.141,27.6097,81.4184,88.7969,91.1848,85.1995,78.4861,54.756,33.4358,3.1608,79.3563,5.5629,85.5311,83.7575,81.3824,82.5352,7.5255,73.9711,77.2818,87.485,32.1829,75.5432,76.228,75.2944,78.586,2.6214],"persistence":[75.0,62.5,37.5,37.5,37.5,25.0,25.0,0.0,25.0,0.0,12.5,12.5,0.0,12.5,12.5,37.5,62.5,62.5,75.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,50.0,25.0,0.0,25.0,25.0,50.0,50.0,62.5,62.5,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,75.0,62.5,37.5,25.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,37.5],"assessmentRisk":[25.8888,0.8836,35.4929,33.3615,21.2788,14.3774,24.8963,33.3605,33.1724,25.45,2.8412,14.0589,19.8212,24.258,19.1712,33.0468,40.0852,35.8105,2.997,25.187,22.5102,29.7289,38.9326,16.8618,30.0629,22.2542,39.2873,21.2686,21.9341,18.694,14.6744,23.2368,32.5199,33.0904,10.7067,42.2679,31.1124,27.4851,20.5354,24.4987,24.0456,26.4217,38.057,34.2492,34.0283,18.9132,54.1635,3.8777,25.2111,38.3722,29.5457,28.1583],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":-6.6,"control":-0.7,"force":-9.0,"direction":-24.4,"confirmation":2.6,"persistence":37.5,"assessmentRisk":28.2,"intensity":9.6,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Price structure has stronger support","headline":"The gauges support the price-technical view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics disagree. The completed evidence gives the downward price structure stronger support.","take":"Current assessment: price structure remains primary, but the disagreement lowers confirmation.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Price structure","direction":"downward","disagreement":true},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Control support is limited","controlPath":"Control support is easing","forceState":"Commitment is limited","forcePath":"Commitment is easing","directionState":"Downward follow-through","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Limited support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Quiet"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-6.6","detail":"Price structure has stronger support","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-0.7","detail":"Control support is limited","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-9.0","detail":"Commitment is limited","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"-24.4","detail":"Downward follow-through","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"3/100","detail":"Limited support","tone":"caution"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Aligned downward","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"43.7","detail":"Negative","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"5.5%","detail":"Elevated","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"20.0","detail":"Range-led","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Range position","value":"19%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price and its trend 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