{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"CHD Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"3ebce189-a9a3-40f7-b0ec-5a73dc3c2014","symbol":"CHD","name":"Church & Dwight Company Inc","exchange":"NYSE","country":"US","asset_type":"equity","currency":"USD","sector":"Consumer Defensive","industry":"Household & Personal Products"},"summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path. 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elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":1,"completedEpisodes":1,"activeEpisodes":0,"medianExpectedMove":17.7,"averageExpectedMove":17.7,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":10.0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-1.9,"medianReturn":-1.9,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-13.5,"medianReturn":-13.5,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-15.7,"medianReturn":-15.7,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":1.0,"sample":1},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-1.9,"sample":1},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-3.6,"sample":1},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-1.9,"sample":1},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-4.6,"sample":1},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-6.2,"sample":1},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-5.2,"sample":1},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-10.7,"sample":1},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-16.4,"sample":1},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-17.7,"sample":1},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-13.6,"sample":1},{"week":12,"averageReturn":-13.5,"sample":1},{"week":13,"averageReturn":-11.3,"sample":1},{"week":14,"averageReturn":-10.6,"sample":1},{"week":15,"averageReturn":-12.4,"sample":1},{"week":16,"averageReturn":-13.0,"sample":1},{"week":17,"averageReturn":-14.5,"sample":1},{"week":18,"averageReturn":-11.2,"sample":1},{"week":19,"averageReturn":-11.6,"sample":1},{"week":20,"averageReturn":-12.9,"sample":1},{"week":21,"averageReturn":-12.3,"sample":1},{"week":22,"averageReturn":-15.2,"sample":1},{"week":23,"averageReturn":-18.0,"sample":1},{"week":24,"averageReturn":-16.3,"sample":1},{"week":25,"averageReturn":-14.0,"sample":1},{"week":26,"averageReturn":-15.7,"sample":1}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Evidence aligned","tone":"positive","headline":"Price and Market Dynamics remain aligned upward","use":"The advance retains underlying support while price structure and Market Dynamics remain intact.","confirm":"The advance remains supported. Reclassify it only if the broader Market Dynamics path weakens or price structure breaks.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"positive","direction":"strengthening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Market Dynamics remains positive and has strengthened across the recent completed path. A slight weekly pause does not yet change the broader constructive reading.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"higher","percent":63.6,"averageReturn":4.9,"sample":11},"nowContext":{"label":"Stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Strengthened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price structure is upward","detail":"Price is responding in the same broad direction as Market Dynamics."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Trend participation","title":"Let confirmation support the position, then manage extension","tone":"positive","approach":"This is most useful for holding or selectively adding to an established upward case. Risk should still tighten as price becomes extended; confirmation is support, not immunity from reversal.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 63.6% of comparable cases moved higher after 12 weeks, with an average move of 4.9% across 11 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 100.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 4 cases. Distinct visits lasted 3.0 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 6.7% across 20 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 5.8 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[{"date":"2026-01-09","price":85.24208}],"distribution_rollovers":[{"date":"2024-12-06","price":105.203022}],"price_pressure_gaps":[{"date":"2025-02-28","price":109.424899}]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[99.9873,99.7133,102.9431,101.8273,101.2009,102.1699,98.8911,99.449,102.121,98.6954,102.5222,104.1861,106.9791,109.8052,108.0684,105.203,103.6624,104.1138,103.9568,102.6811,99.5214,104.4769,104.261,103.5447,103.054,103.3239,103.6486,109.4249,110.5369,107.3584,105.4395,107.3683,104.3965,102.6842,103.688,97.7247,91.4564,90.1083,94.5846,94.703,97.0425,97.7927,95.8382,95.1867,93.558,97.1412,96.7858,95.3545,95.9764,92.7979,89.7477,91.5788,94.0941,92.2522,94.8665,92.0343,89.4696,85.8552,87.0435,86.8454,87.6178,85.053,86.8355,86.0136,83.5726,83.4931,84.626,83.99,84.0794,84.5465,84.8545,82.1218,85.2421,90.0418,91.8504,95.6464,99.8996,101.1194,102.7441,104.5183,100.3718,97.4314,94.3814,94.3814,92.5474,95.109,96.5643,94.7103,95.7071,93.1355,94.05,96.25,95.63,96.74,97.56,95.63,99.58,98.6,96.0684,97.7732,97.3445,98.511,102.9276,101.3],"consensus":[16.1824,0.0,43.8857,0.0,0.0,28.899,-47.1719,0.0,31.778,-45.4785,45.7255,44.3901,57.5292,60.2339,11.175,-17.3871,-23.1181,0.0,-9.6215,-19.2312,-52.9769,39.0282,0.0,-12.457,0.0,0.0,9.9569,65.658,41.3144,-9.6705,-13.9579,22.2622,-39.9477,-23.5392,0.0,-66.0561,-74.3704,-55.6391,0.0,-23.2114,17.6136,8.597,-30.1516,-21.4809,-43.4711,24.4943,0.0,-15.6726,0.0,-48.2066,-59.1809,-10.3741,12.5656,-26.746,32.2204,-32.0507,-55.0131,-62.7479,-16.3339,-37.4132,0.0,-50.1427,9.0262,-18.3216,-53.8524,-20.3196,0.0,-21.0816,0.0,0.0,0.0,-46.8818,30.5596,61.5271,49.0665,65.368,69.6989,59.0984,60.3035,58.0958,0.0,-17.933,-36.4755,-12.9641,-33.9877,14.6012,27.7599,-12.0695,9.2463,-26.1188,0.0,22.5867,-9.2142,23.5183,24.8606,-21.9855,47.8252,16.0297,-20.9846,18.1729,0.0,14.5549,53.7136,10.4824],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[20.6151,-29.9027,28.7839,-41.2035,-58.3412,-64.1833,-5.9856,-37.5523,0.0,-58.7013,10.8242,-15.6109,-57.7463,-17.7238,0.0,-16.474,0.0,0.0,0.0,-55.0167,30.3478,57.1843,44.0875,60.1062,68.295,61.3027,62.4891,57.1697,0.0,-17.7166,-33.2216,-5.4553,-31.4796,22.6028,29.8791,-13.7802,1.9311,-23.0032,0.0,24.2018,-12.6806,20.2784,23.8349,-24.782,47.1629,18.5113,-20.6836,15.4462,0.0,15.3062,52.7049,5.3902],"force":[37.8334,-30.6135,51.7492,-43.0837,-63.8434,-70.0358,-16.9471,-21.5446,0.0,-54.0297,49.5849,-10.2037,-56.5307,-0.3121,0.0,-12.3695,0.0,0.0,0.0,-51.5685,62.8875,83.6033,45.1868,74.1521,71.339,39.1082,40.8997,40.0467,0.0,-54.8114,-62.2441,-9.9555,-35.901,34.3159,35.2884,-22.6437,12.9615,-35.581,0.0,32.2413,-19.7336,30.4472,24.7252,-43.5359,66.0182,2.6659,-38.1488,25.5543,0.0,19.8052,65.0602,13.2701],"direction":[14.6823,-20.3757,22.1987,-13.7096,-44.9024,-55.9019,-51.9328,-48.5889,0.0,-37.585,21.9993,-27.218,-47.4892,-37.5773,0.0,-32.5702,0.0,0.0,0.0,-34.2372,7.7103,50.7216,57.5282,65.107,70.1318,70.8581,71.6656,72.0464,0.0,-8.1613,-21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upward confirmation","headline":"The gauges support the upward market view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics agree. Control, force and direction support the same upward assessment.","take":"Current assessment: upward pressure has broad support.","tone":"positive","supportedView":"Price structure and Market Dynamics","direction":"upward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Control support is limited","controlPath":"Control support is easing","forceState":"Upward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is easing","directionState":"Upward follow-through","persistenceState":"Developing","confirmationState":"Limited support","riskState":"Present","intensityState":"Quiet"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"+10.5","detail":"Joint upward confirmation","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"+5.4","detail":"Control support is limited","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"+13.3","detail":"Upward commitment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"+33.3","detail":"Upward 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