{"ticker": {"uuid": "444d9b48-5e79-473b-b1e5-dac3744ff634", "symbol": "ARA", "name": "Consorcio ARA, S. A. B. de C. V.", "exchange": "MEX", "asset_type": "equity"}, "latest_week": "2026-07-24", "summary": "ARA closed the latest completed week at 4.90 MXN. The 4-week return is 6.7% and the 12-week return is 5.8%. The trend backdrop is active, with activity pressure at -0.47.", "description": "Consorcio ARA, S. A. B. de C. V., together with its subsidiaries, engages in designing, promoting, building, and selling housing developments in Mexico. The company builds urban infrastructure and facilities for its housing developments, including streets, parks, water, supply systems, power plants, schools, and commercial areas. It is involved in building and leasing shopping centers, single centers, and mini shopping centers, as well as operating real estate projects. Consorcio ARA, S. A. B. de C. V. was founded in 1977 and is based in Mexico City, Mexico.", "setup_signature": "Balanced read", "composite_score": "65", "kpis": [{"label": "Latest Close", "value": "4.90 MXN", "hint": "2026-07-24"}, {"label": "1W Return", "value": "2.0%", "tone": "positive", "hint": "latest completed week"}, {"label": "4W Return", "value": "6.7%", "tone": "positive", "hint": "short-term follow-through"}, {"label": "12W Return", "value": "5.8%", "tone": "positive", "hint": "quarterly tape"}, {"label": "Trend Breadth", "value": "84.6%", "hint": "44 of 52 weeks active"}, {"label": "Volume Ratio", "value": "0.9x", "hint": "vs 13-week average"}], "classification": {"exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "sector": "Consumer Cyclical", "industry": "Residential Construction", "currency": "MXN", "market_cap": "5.7B"}, "price": {"trend_line": "4.43 MXN", "fair_value": "3.44 MXN", "vs_trend": "10.6%", "vs_fair_value": "42.3%", "high_52": "5.00 MXN", "low_52": "3.12 MXN", "drawdown": "-2.0%", "range_position": 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"return_label": "2.0%", "return_tone": "positive", "volume_height": 15.991557444190626, "volume": "465.8K"}], "insights": [{"label": "Participation", "value": "0.9x", "detail": "Latest volume versus the 13-week average.", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Baseline", "value": "494.5K", "detail": "13-week average volume.", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "One-year base", "value": "1.2M", "detail": "52-week average volume.", "tone": "neutral"}]}, "risk": {"volatility_13": "2.7%", "volatility_52": "2.9%", "downside_weeks": 20, "upside_weeks": 28, "downside_breadth": "38.5%", "average_gain": "2.8%", "average_loss": "-1.8%", "distribution_scale": "14%", "return_callouts": [{"label": "Weeks higher", "value": "14 of 26", "detail": "10 weeks finished lower.", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Best week", "value": "+13.6%", "detail": "Week of 20 Feb.", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Worst week", "value": "-4.3%", "detail": "Week of 6 Mar.", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "Latest week", "value": "+2.0%", "detail": "Week of 24 Jul.", "tone": "positive"}], "buckets": [{"label": "Strong gains", "count": 3, "share": 11.538461538461538, "share_label": "11.5%", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Modest gains", "count": 11, "share": 42.30769230769231, "share_label": "42.3%", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Flat weeks", "count": 2, "share": 7.6923076923076925, "share_label": "7.7%", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Modest losses", "count": 9, "share": 34.61538461538461, "share_label": "34.6%", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "Sharp losses", "count": 1, "share": 3.8461538461538463, "share_label": "3.8%", "tone": "negative"}], "insights": [{"label": "Recent vol", "value": "2.7%", "detail": "13-week weekly-return volatility.", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Base vol", "value": "2.9%", "detail": "52-week weekly-return volatility.", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Up/down split", "value": "28/20", "detail": "Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Average skew", "value": "2.8% / -1.8%", "detail": "Average positive week versus average negative week.", "tone": "neutral"}]}, "signals": [{"label": "Trend backdrop", "value": "Active", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Activity pressure", "value": "No fresh buy", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Price vs Trend", "value": "10.6%", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Volume", "value": "0.9x", "tone": "neutral"}], "opportunities": ["The trend backdrop is active with a 44-week active streak.", "Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.", "Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.", "Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.", "Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group."], "risks": ["Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.", "Next-week expectancy is negative at 41.90% based on similar historical setup states.", "4 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape."], "watch_points": ["Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.", "Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.", "Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.", "A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move."], "recent_rows": [{"week": "2026-07-24", "close": "4.90 MXN", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "4.43 MXN", "fair_value": "3.44 MXN", "activity_pressure": "-0.47", "relative_leadership": "21.57", "volume": "465.8K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-07-17", "close": "4.81 MXN", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "4.38 MXN", "fair_value": "3.44 MXN", "activity_pressure": "-0.72", "relative_leadership": "19.40", "volume": "286.7K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-07-10", "close": "4.55 MXN", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "4.34 MXN", "fair_value": "3.43 MXN", "activity_pressure": "-0.74", "relative_leadership": "13.87", "volume": "338.2K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-07-03", "close": "4.65 MXN", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "4.30 MXN", "fair_value": "3.42 MXN", "activity_pressure": "-0.48", "relative_leadership": "15.67", "volume": "81.0K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-06-26", "close": "4.59 MXN", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "4.27 MXN", "fair_value": "3.42 MXN", "activity_pressure": "-0.41", "relative_leadership": "14.38", "volume": "71.6K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-06-19", "close": "4.74 MXN", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "4.23 MXN", "fair_value": "3.41 MXN", "activity_pressure": "-0.28", "relative_leadership": "17.66", "volume": "2.5K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-06-12", "close": "4.85 MXN", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "4.19 MXN", "fair_value": "3.40 MXN", "activity_pressure": "-0.31", "relative_leadership": "20.59", "volume": "297.5K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-06-05", "close": "4.70 MXN", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "4.13 MXN", "fair_value": "3.39 MXN", "activity_pressure": "-0.39", "relative_leadership": "20.80", "volume": "150.5K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-29", "close": "4.77 MXN", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "4.09 MXN", "fair_value": "3.39 MXN", "activity_pressure": "-0.22", "relative_leadership": "18.92", "volume": "700.9K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-22", "close": "4.61 MXN", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "4.05 MXN", "fair_value": "3.38 MXN", "activity_pressure": "-0.02", "relative_leadership": "15.98", "volume": "87.8K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-15", "close": "4.67 MXN", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "4.02 MXN", "fair_value": "3.37 MXN", "activity_pressure": "0.19", "relative_leadership": "18.65", "volume": "187.3K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-08", "close": "4.75 MXN", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "3.98 MXN", "fair_value": "3.36 MXN", "activity_pressure": "0.30", "relative_leadership": "18.01", "volume": "845.8K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-01", "close": "4.63 MXN", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "3.94 MXN", "fair_value": "3.36 MXN", "activity_pressure": "0.41", "relative_leadership": "18.92", "volume": "2.9M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-04-24", "close": "4.48 MXN", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "3.89 MXN", "fair_value": "3.35 MXN", "activity_pressure": "0.48", "relative_leadership": "13.24", "volume": "1.1M", "trend_backdrop": null}], "intelligence": {"rating": "Neutral", "rating_tone": "neutral", "overall_score": "56", "primary_driver": {"label": "Weekly tape", "score": 65.26816765544615, "score_label": "65", "tone": "positive", "summary": "Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 65/100 tape read.", "detail": "", "metric": "65/100", "url": "/terminal/444d9b48-5e79-473b-b1e5-dac3744ff634/", "available": true, "weight": 1.6}, "primary_conflict": {"label": "Next-Week Expectancy", "score": 29.0525, "score_label": "29", "tone": "negative", "summary": "Next-week expectancy is negative with a 41.90% historical one-week setup read.", "detail": "Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership.", "metric": "Negative 41.90%", "url": "/terminal/444d9b48-5e79-473b-b1e5-dac3744ff634/", "available": true, "weight": 1.05}, "options_tone": "neutral", "options": null, "evidence": [{"label": "Weekly tape", "score": 65.26816765544615, "score_label": "65", "tone": "positive", "summary": "Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 65/100 tape read.", "detail": "", "metric": "65/100", "url": "/terminal/444d9b48-5e79-473b-b1e5-dac3744ff634/", "available": true, "weight": 1.6}, {"label": "Indicator analysis", "score": 64.99305555555554, "score_label": "65", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 2/12, relative leadership 12/12.", "detail": "Activity pressure 0.93; 4 reversal markers", "metric": "65/100", "url": "/terminal/444d9b48-5e79-473b-b1e5-dac3744ff634/", "available": true, "weight": 1.45}, {"label": "Next-Week Expectancy", "score": 29.0525, "score_label": "29", "tone": "negative", "summary": "Next-week expectancy is negative with a 41.90% historical one-week setup read.", "detail": "Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership.", "metric": "Negative 41.90%", "url": "/terminal/444d9b48-5e79-473b-b1e5-dac3744ff634/", "available": true, "weight": 1.05}, {"label": "Factors", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No published factor snapshot is available yet.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/factors/", "available": false, "weight": 0}, {"label": "Patient Capital", "score": 48.0, "score_label": "48", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.", "detail": "No recent buy signal", "metric": "Quiet", "url": "/patient-capital/", "available": true, "weight": 1}, {"label": "Sentiment", "score": 63.0, "score_label": "63", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Weighted news tone is positive across 4 relevant articles.", "detail": "Earnings Beat: Consorcio ARA, S. A. B. de C. V. Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Models", "metric": "63/100", "url": "/sentiment/444d9b48-5e79-473b-b1e5-dac3744ff634/", "available": true, "weight": 0.95}, {"label": "Insiders", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/insider-activity/", "available": false, "weight": 0}, {"label": "Earnings", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/earnings-calendar/", "available": false, "weight": 0}], "positives": [{"label": "Weekly tape", "score": 65.26816765544615, "score_label": "65", "tone": "positive", "summary": "Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 65/100 tape read.", "detail": "", "metric": "65/100", "url": "/terminal/444d9b48-5e79-473b-b1e5-dac3744ff634/", "available": true, "weight": 1.6}], "negatives": [{"label": "Next-Week Expectancy", "score": 29.0525, "score_label": "29", "tone": "negative", "summary": "Next-week expectancy is negative with a 41.90% historical one-week setup read.", "detail": "Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership.", "metric": "Negative 41.90%", "url": "/terminal/444d9b48-5e79-473b-b1e5-dac3744ff634/", "available": true, "weight": 1.05}], "conclusion": ["The strongest supporting evidence is weekly tape: Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 65/100 tape read.", "The main constraint is next-week expectancy: Next-week expectancy is negative with a 41.90% historical one-week setup read.", "The combined read is balanced, making the next change in trend, sentiment, or options pressure especially important."], "weekly_changes": [{"label": "Price follow-through", "value": "2.0%", "detail": "Latest completed week; four-week move 6.7%.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/444d9b48-5e79-473b-b1e5-dac3744ff634/"}, {"label": "Indicator stack", "value": "92/40", "detail": "Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/terminal/444d9b48-5e79-473b-b1e5-dac3744ff634/"}, {"label": "Trend backdrop", "value": "Active", "detail": "The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/444d9b48-5e79-473b-b1e5-dac3744ff634/"}, {"label": "Patient Capital", "value": "Quiet", "detail": "Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/patient-capital/"}, {"label": "Next-Week Expectancy", "value": "Negative 41.90%", "detail": "Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.", "tone": "negative", "url": "/terminal/444d9b48-5e79-473b-b1e5-dac3744ff634/"}, {"label": "News sentiment", "value": "63/100", "detail": "4 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/sentiment/444d9b48-5e79-473b-b1e5-dac3744ff634/"}]}, "investor_view": {"stance": "Constructive, but selective", "stance_tone": "positive", "setup_score": "65", "bottom_line": "The weekly trend is active. Price is 10.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 94.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.0%, after a 6.7% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 63/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high; volume confirmation is below normal.", "price_summary": "The weekly trend is active. Price is 10.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 94.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.0%, after a 6.7% four-week move.", "volume_summary": "Latest weekly volume is 0.9x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.", "momentum_summary": "Performance is 6.7% over four weeks, 5.8% over 12 weeks, and 50.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 44 consecutive weeks.", "fundamentals": {"available": false, "summary": "A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.", "rank_scores": [], "groups": []}, "weekly_change": [{"label": "Price follow-through", "value": "2.0%", "detail": "Latest completed week; four-week move 6.7%.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/444d9b48-5e79-473b-b1e5-dac3744ff634/"}, {"label": "Indicator stack", "value": "92/40", "detail": "Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/terminal/444d9b48-5e79-473b-b1e5-dac3744ff634/"}, {"label": "Trend backdrop", "value": "Active", "detail": "The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/444d9b48-5e79-473b-b1e5-dac3744ff634/"}, {"label": "Patient Capital", "value": "Quiet", "detail": "Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/patient-capital/"}, {"label": "Next-Week Expectancy", "value": "Negative 41.90%", "detail": "Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.", "tone": "negative", "url": "/terminal/444d9b48-5e79-473b-b1e5-dac3744ff634/"}, {"label": "News sentiment", "value": "63/100", "detail": "4 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/sentiment/444d9b48-5e79-473b-b1e5-dac3744ff634/"}], "strengths": ["The trend backdrop is active with a 44-week active streak.", "Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.", "Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.", "Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read."], "risks": ["Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.", "Next-week expectancy is negative at 41.90% based on similar historical setup states.", "4 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape."], "watch_points": ["Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.", "Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.", "Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.", "A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move."], "evidence": {"weekly_tape": {"label": "Weekly tape", "score": 65.26816765544615, "score_label": "65", "tone": "positive", "summary": "Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 65/100 tape read.", "detail": "", "metric": "65/100", "url": "/terminal/444d9b48-5e79-473b-b1e5-dac3744ff634/", "available": true, "weight": 1.6}, "indicator_analysis": {"label": "Indicator analysis", "score": 64.99305555555554, "score_label": "65", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 2/12, relative leadership 12/12.", "detail": "Activity pressure 0.93; 4 reversal markers", "metric": "65/100", "url": "/terminal/444d9b48-5e79-473b-b1e5-dac3744ff634/", "available": true, "weight": 1.45}, "next-week_expectancy": {"label": "Next-Week Expectancy", "score": 29.0525, "score_label": "29", "tone": "negative", "summary": "Next-week expectancy is negative with a 41.90% historical one-week setup read.", "detail": "Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership.", "metric": "Negative 41.90%", "url": "/terminal/444d9b48-5e79-473b-b1e5-dac3744ff634/", "available": true, "weight": 1.05}, "factors": {"label": "Factors", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No published factor snapshot is available yet.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/factors/", "available": false, "weight": 0}, "patient_capital": {"label": "Patient Capital", "score": 48.0, "score_label": "48", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.", "detail": "No recent buy signal", "metric": "Quiet", "url": "/patient-capital/", "available": true, "weight": 1}, "sentiment": {"label": "Sentiment", "score": 63.0, "score_label": "63", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Weighted news tone is positive across 4 relevant articles.", "detail": "Earnings Beat: Consorcio ARA, S. A. B. de C. V. Just Beat Analyst Forecasts, And Analysts Have Been Updating Their Models", "metric": "63/100", "url": "/sentiment/444d9b48-5e79-473b-b1e5-dac3744ff634/", "available": true, "weight": 0.95}, "insiders": {"label": "Insiders", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/insider-activity/", "available": false, "weight": 0}, "earnings": {"label": "Earnings", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/earnings-calendar/", "available": false, "weight": 0}}, "section_nav": [{"id": "overview", "label": "Overview"}, {"id": "price-action", "label": "Price"}, {"id": "volume-demand", "label": "Volume"}, {"id": "momentum", "label": "Momentum"}, {"id": "fundamentals", "label": "Fundamentals"}, {"id": "ownership-flow", "label": "Ownership & Flow"}, {"id": "catalysts-risk", "label": "Catalysts & Risk"}, {"id": "peer-context", "label": "Peer Context"}, {"id": "weekly-data", "label": "Weekly Data"}]}, "chart_url": "/terminal/444d9b48-5e79-473b-b1e5-dac3744ff634/", "api_path": "/terminal/444d9b48-5e79-473b-b1e5-dac3744ff634/report/api/"}