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cautious, Market Dynamics positive","kind":"disagreement","expectedDirection":"higher","episodes":16,"completedEpisodes":15,"activeEpisodes":1,"medianExpectedMove":5.1,"averageExpectedMove":8.9,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":7.7,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":15,"expectedCount":6,"expectedPercent":40.0,"averageReturn":-0.4,"medianReturn":-0.3,"confidenceLow":19.8,"confidenceHigh":64.3,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":15,"expectedCount":8,"expectedPercent":53.3,"averageReturn":1.6,"medianReturn":1.2,"confidenceLow":30.1,"confidenceHigh":75.2,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":15,"expectedCount":7,"expectedPercent":46.7,"averageReturn":6.4,"medianReturn":-1.0,"confidenceLow":24.8,"confidenceHigh":69.9,"confidence":"Mixed historical 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elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":6,"completedEpisodes":6,"activeEpisodes":0,"medianExpectedMove":8.6,"averageExpectedMove":9.4,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":9.7,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":6,"expectedCount":5,"expectedPercent":83.3,"averageReturn":-3.2,"medianReturn":-3.1,"confidenceLow":43.6,"confidenceHigh":97.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":6,"expectedCount":6,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-7.6,"medianReturn":-6.8,"confidenceLow":61.0,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Historically consistent"},{"weeks":26,"sample":5,"expectedCount":4,"expectedPercent":80.0,"averageReturn":-8.0,"medianReturn":-9.9,"confidenceLow":37.6,"confidenceHigh":96.4,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-1.4,"sample":6},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-0.7,"sample":6},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-1.8,"sample":6},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-3.2,"sample":6},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-3.6,"sample":6},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-4.6,"sample":6},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-5.0,"sample":6},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-3.6,"sample":6},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-4.1,"sample":6},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-5.0,"sample":6},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-8.2,"sample":6},{"week":12,"averageReturn":-7.6,"sample":6},{"week":13,"averageReturn":-7.2,"sample":6},{"week":14,"averageReturn":-7.7,"sample":6},{"week":15,"averageReturn":-7.1,"sample":6},{"week":16,"averageReturn":-8.0,"sample":6},{"week":17,"averageReturn":-7.6,"sample":6},{"week":18,"averageReturn":-7.8,"sample":6},{"week":19,"averageReturn":-6.3,"sample":6},{"week":20,"averageReturn":-5.8,"sample":6},{"week":21,"averageReturn":-3.6,"sample":6},{"week":22,"averageReturn":-3.3,"sample":6},{"week":23,"averageReturn":-3.5,"sample":6},{"week":24,"averageReturn":-5.3,"sample":6},{"week":25,"averageReturn":-5.9,"sample":6},{"week":26,"averageReturn":-8.0,"sample":5}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Countertrend conflict","tone":"caution","headline":"Positive Market Dynamics has weakened over four weeks","use":"Use the weaker four-week path as caution until price and Market Dynamics establish clearer agreement.","confirm":"This is an early challenge rather than a confirmed reversal. Price must respond to the improvement before the downward technical state can be considered resolved.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"positive","direction":"weakening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Market Dynamics remains above zero, but support has contracted across the recent completed path. Price confirmation now carries more weight.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"sample":0},"nowContext":{"label":"Easier this week","detail":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price remains downward while Market Dynamics is positive","detail":"The positive Market Dynamics reading has not yet reversed the downward price structure."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use distribution to protect capital before considering the short case","tone":"negative","finding":"After distribution, 88.9% of completed 12-week outcomes were lower across 9 cases. Distinct visits lasted 3.4 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Review long exposure and define the evidence that would confirm a rollover. Short exposure should begin only after price weakens and the loss limit is known.","watch":"A sustained repair in price and Market Dynamics invalidates the downside setup."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 8.0% across 24 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 6.8 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"distribution_rollovers":[{"date":"2024-12-20","price":85.500746},{"date":"2025-01-10","price":83.921371},{"date":"2025-02-28","price":85.140025},{"date":"2026-01-16","price":84.20569},{"date":"2026-02-13","price":85.523106},{"date":"2026-02-27","price":85.394336}],"price_pressure_gaps":[{"date":"2025-01-17","price":89.429686},{"date":"2025-05-02","price":88.263255},{"date":"2025-06-27","price":86.026944},{"date":"2025-11-07","price":85.726892},{"date":"2026-02-06","price":86.919766},{"date":"2026-02-20","price":87.55371}]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[75.8791,77.8127,75.7236,77.9099,78.7747,77.2588,80.4751,81.5731,84.3133,80.6889,80.2225,85.0518,88.443,90.7556,90.9408,88.4353,87.7918,85.5007,87.3336,88.0258,83.9214,89.4297,89.9464,92.2277,91.3795,88.3183,87.5578,85.14,83.4478,84.4461,83.5653,85.376,77.3796,79.0728,81.5001,84.9551,88.2633,85.5423,84.7496,82.971,83.0791,83.934,83.3444,84.8085,86.0269,84.0126,82.1555,81.9393,82.7549,82.3815,80.4654,79.0996,81.4149,81.109,81.0893,81.3952,82.52,83.5265,83.1614,79.4414,78.9283,81.2866,79.5105,85.7269,86.2992,88.9405,89.6834,87.7914,89.3664,89.6437,89.7923,87.9004,89.1485,84.2057,82.4722,84.0472,86.9198,85.5231,87.5537,85.3943,84.8793,82.959,80.402,78.8897,80.6905,81.5462,84.3718,82.9789,80.4517,74.6711,74.88,76.89,74.21,75.57,76.46,76.52,79.77,83.67,82.1,84.96,85.36,82.72,75.43,76.79],"consensus":[8.5402,32.7181,-16.3235,42.3278,27.2725,-15.5947,53.186,40.7729,56.7392,-8.3106,0.0,56.6468,53.7135,56.483,28.3173,0.0,12.0188,-23.8481,21.4372,22.72,-39.9613,50.0498,28.3611,43.8918,30.0253,-27.7704,-20.129,-42.0662,-42.8868,0.0,-37.6254,0.0,-67.4339,0.0,0.0,26.4656,47.6761,-11.7286,0.0,-24.8388,-15.9629,9.2845,-8.4007,22.277,31.2569,-19.7636,-28.9764,-17.3668,0.0,-14.8627,-41.4041,-46.9344,15.8438,-8.8831,0.0,0.0,23.7696,27.9869,0.0,-49.4143,-30.1571,13.0156,-41.1078,64.0467,37.5354,61.7371,45.3139,0.0,51.5285,19.4158,20.2688,-12.3257,28.6434,-55.3685,-51.0819,0.0,21.8736,-13.8133,37.5242,-20.8043,-17.0993,-40.0349,-58.7361,-57.1622,-10.778,-9.0202,38.7575,0.0,-40.9663,-68.9149,-40.5104,-11.5266,-56.9713,0.0,0.0,-14.5393,45.935,61.0689,0.0,53.2632,41.6613,-17.2251,-60.7499,-8.3185],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[25.458,-2.9871,0.0,0.0,23.6196,26.9302,0.0,-52.0517,-26.7839,22.9254,-40.7481,56.7917,33.664,63.0482,42.548,0.0,54.746,13.2659,20.7238,-19.3525,31.9896,-50.9411,-54.8818,0.0,31.0041,-19.7402,37.3522,-25.1761,-12.4433,-38.4186,-57.1595,-60.9653,-1.7202,-5.189,36.1236,0.0,-47.2805,-62.4642,-40.2435,-4.3634,-58.3512,0.0,0.0,-16.8807,43.6713,62.661,0.0,50.0296,41.4141,-20.2552,-56.6614,-1.9063],"force":[48.5994,-3.2715,0.0,0.0,41.3598,31.7253,0.0,-68.035,-22.1489,35.3729,-52.4613,97.1241,24.5014,63.5938,28.4981,0.0,47.7051,1.1455,0.5418,-43.1909,31.5083,-85.2036,-46.8145,0.0,43.584,-25.7789,47.2275,-42.3507,-17.915,-47.478,-68.0966,-50.6639,-23.2969,-10.8705,65.9981,0.0,-53.7661,-92.9194,-15.9526,-26.8707,-57.2366,0.0,0.0,-3.3614,72.7921,71.5441,0.0,56.2168,24.8684,-55.2118,-88.0922,-21.1915],"direction":[18.5406,-19.6297,0.0,0.0,11.3766,26.5243,0.0,-33.0997,-39.7324,14.2793,-33.4091,48.7114,51.2698,58.9124,60.4862,0.0,50.5824,39.4946,34.6136,-17.7516,22.7728,-39.1177,-49.7874,0.0,4.0688,-1.5071,30.79,-0.4177,-21.8378,-36.5656,-53.8519,-57.4575,-45.4689,-27.6063,22.3101,0.0,-24.6074,-59.1412,-58.3568,-47.1398,-55.2046,0.0,0.0,-19.8478,29.3385,51.7671,0.0,54.8489,53.9386,-13.3712,-45.8923,-41.0827],"intensity":[48.0769,11.5385,7.6923,1.9231,19.2308,55.7692,9.6154,76.9231,55.7692,53.8462,28.8462,94.2308,96.1538,61.5385,55.7692,38.4615,26.9231,67.3077,11.5385,40.3846,26.9231,88.4615,90.3846,32.6923,80.7692,28.8462,51.9231,55.7692,34.6154,48.0769,69.2308,76.9231,40.3846,57.6923,82.6923,26.9231,73.0769,98.0769,84.6154,50.0,76.9231,23.0769,46.1538,11.5385,82.6923,86.5385,78.8462,76.9231,59.6154,65.3846,100.0,98.0769],"confirmation":[32.5438,25.4281,1.7563,24.9852,76.1446,77.0858,25.5373,84.3399,77.4576,30.4083,81.506,89.6136,79.6731,87.7925,82.0301,8.5476,84.3236,51.0833,51.2938,31.2315,77.2022,86.6947,84.1583,7.7509,53.7234,50.3495,80.3061,52.5807,73.5676,81.0626,87.1048,86.0359,7.5185,4.6577,81.2727,27.8813,81.4031,90.8826,80.219,8.3599,86.2179,6.1303,4.4492,49.6096,83.5522,87.837,31.04,85.1835,80.8236,32.1427,88.3356,4.9291],"persistence":[62.5,62.5,50.0,37.5,25.0,0.0,12.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,0.0,12.5,12.5,12.5,25.0,37.5,62.5,62.5,87.5,62.5,62.5,37.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,37.5,37.5,37.5,50.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,62.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,50.0,62.5,75.0,50.0,25.0,12.5,12.5,37.5,25.0,12.5,12.5],"assessmentRisk":[45.8029,32.3494,23.7309,43.8817,22.7628,33.7808,43.5908,18.881,34.1973,50.808,28.2422,17.549,31.0901,19.0136,27.3309,33.0999,17.2603,4.7388,7.8305,8.3951,19.3961,20.7811,24.0972,43.9564,50.2658,34.4262,30.4981,38.425,29.1272,22.3592,20.5176,21.2115,42.4677,24.1101,28.96,52.5654,14.4877,15.3226,29.722,43.7804,21.0879,18.2381,27.7076,0.7067,25.9726,19.258,46.4115,23.193,27.7664,8.6525,18.6043,45.4588],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":-8.3,"control":-1.9,"force":-21.2,"direction":-41.1,"confirmation":4.9,"persistence":12.5,"assessmentRisk":45.5,"intensity":98.1,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Price structure has stronger support","headline":"The gauges support the price-technical view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics disagree. The completed evidence gives the downward price structure stronger support.","take":"Current assessment: price structure remains primary, but the disagreement lowers confirmation.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Price structure","direction":"downward","disagreement":true},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Control support is limited","controlPath":"Control support is easing","forceState":"Downward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is easing","directionState":"Downward follow-through","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Limited support","riskState":"Present","intensityState":"Elevated"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-8.3","detail":"Price structure has stronger support","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-1.9","detail":"Control support is limited","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-21.2","detail":"Downward commitment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Direction 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