{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"PFV Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"471a68b6-d4b0-465d-9f85-d1b6b36528a2","symbol":"PFV","name":"Pfeiffer Vacuum Technology AG","exchange":"VIE","country":"AT","asset_type":"equity","currency":"EUR","sector":"Industrials","industry":"Specialty Industrial Machinery"},"summary":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero. The broader path has not changed enough to establish a new direction. Price structure remains rotational.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Strength versus the research benchmark, Acceleration, deceleration and rollover, Directional strength and control, Drawdown and recovery pressure, Range position and boundary pressure."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-14","observations":260,"displayedObservations":104,"assetType":"Equity","state":"Rotational","stateTone":"caution","summary":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero. 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cautious, Market Dynamics positive","kind":"disagreement","expectedDirection":"higher","episodes":21,"completedEpisodes":21,"activeEpisodes":0,"medianExpectedMove":2.4,"averageExpectedMove":3.8,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":7.2,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":21,"expectedCount":13,"expectedPercent":61.9,"averageReturn":0.6,"medianReturn":0.4,"confidenceLow":40.9,"confidenceHigh":79.2,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":21,"expectedCount":14,"expectedPercent":66.7,"averageReturn":-0.3,"medianReturn":1.1,"confidenceLow":45.4,"confidenceHigh":82.8,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":18,"expectedCount":13,"expectedPercent":72.2,"averageReturn":-1.5,"medianReturn":2.4,"confidenceLow":49.1,"confidenceHigh":87.5,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-0.0,"sample":21},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-0.2,"sample":21},{"week":3,"averageReturn":0.4,"sample":21},{"week":4,"averageReturn":0.6,"sample":21},{"week":5,"averageReturn":0.6,"sample":21},{"week":6,"averageReturn":0.3,"sample":21},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-0.3,"sample":21},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-0.5,"sample":21},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-0.9,"sample":21},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-0.6,"sample":21},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-0.4,"sample":21},{"week":12,"averageReturn":-0.3,"sample":21},{"week":13,"averageReturn":-1.0,"sample":21},{"week":14,"averageReturn":-1.2,"sample":21},{"week":15,"averageReturn":-1.5,"sample":21},{"week":16,"averageReturn":-1.7,"sample":21},{"week":17,"averageReturn":-1.4,"sample":21},{"week":18,"averageReturn":-1.3,"sample":21},{"week":19,"averageReturn":-1.3,"sample":21},{"week":20,"averageReturn":-1.7,"sample":21},{"week":21,"averageReturn":-1.1,"sample":20},{"week":22,"averageReturn":-1.6,"sample":20},{"week":23,"averageReturn":-1.5,"sample":19},{"week":24,"averageReturn":-1.4,"sample":19},{"week":25,"averageReturn":-1.2,"sample":19},{"week":26,"averageReturn":-1.5,"sample":18}]}},"pricePressureGap":{"label":"Price elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":1,"completedEpisodes":1,"activeEpisodes":0,"medianExpectedMove":2.9,"averageExpectedMove":2.9,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":9.0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":1,"expectedCount":0,"expectedPercent":0.0,"averageReturn":0.6,"medianReturn":0.6,"confidenceLow":0.0,"confidenceHigh":79.3,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-1.3,"medianReturn":-1.3,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-0.1,"sample":1},{"week":2,"averageReturn":0.0,"sample":1},{"week":3,"averageReturn":0.0,"sample":1},{"week":4,"averageReturn":0.6,"sample":1},{"week":5,"averageReturn":0.2,"sample":1},{"week":6,"averageReturn":0.2,"sample":1},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-0.1,"sample":1},{"week":8,"averageReturn":0.0,"sample":1},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-2.9,"sample":1},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-2.2,"sample":1},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-1.9,"sample":1},{"week":12,"averageReturn":-1.3,"sample":1},{"week":13,"averageReturn":-2.0,"sample":1},{"week":14,"averageReturn":-1.4,"sample":1},{"week":15,"averageReturn":-1.9,"sample":1},{"week":16,"averageReturn":-2.6,"sample":1},{"week":17,"averageReturn":-1.4,"sample":1},{"week":18,"averageReturn":-1.8,"sample":1},{"week":19,"sample":0},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Underlying support lags price","tone":"caution","headline":"Price is leading its underlying support","use":"Market Dynamics must catch up or price may correct toward the weaker underlying position.","confirm":"This is a downside risk watch, not a completed reversal. Stronger Market Dynamics or weaker price is needed to close the gap.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"negative","direction":"strengthening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Price has advanced further through its recent range than Market Dynamics. The gap is an early-downside risk watch; stronger underlying support or a price reset is needed to close it.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"lower","percent":57.9,"averageReturn":-1.7,"sample":19},"nowContext":{"label":"Slightly stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Broadly steady over four weeks","detail":"The broader path has not changed enough to establish a new direction."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price is ahead of the underlying support","detail":"Price is extended relative to Market Dynamics. The gap is a downside-risk warning until support catches up or price resets."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Divergence control","title":"Do not chase price while the underlying evidence lags","tone":"caution","approach":"Use the gap to review position size, protect gains and wait for either Market Dynamics to catch up or price to correct. The disagreement is a warning condition, not an automatic exit.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 57.9% of comparable cases moved lower after 12 weeks, with an average move of -1.7% across 19 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 100.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 1 cases. Distinct visits lasted 10.0 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 5.8% across 19 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 6.7 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"distribution_rollovers":[{"date":"2026-06-12","price":162.348419}],"price_pressure_gaps":[{"date":"2026-04-10","price":167.199997}]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[144.3324,143.9521,143.5718,142.8111,142.621,147.375,147.375,146.9947,148.8963,146.6143,145.8537,146.6143,146.9947,146.9947,147.1848,146.0439,145.8537,144.3324,145.4734,146.6143,146.6143,147.375,148.516,147.7553,148.3258,147.7553,148.3258,148.3258,147.375,147.5652,146.9947,146.8045,146.8045,146.0439,146.8045,147.375,148.8963,150.9881,152.5094,150.0373,152.6995,153.0798,153.8405,152.3192,152.3192,154.4,154.4,155.6,154.4,155.4,154.2,155.6,156.0,157.2,157.6,156.2,155.0,154.8,157.8,155.2,155.0,155.6,156.2,155.8,155.6,155.4,155.8,156.4,156.4,156.4,157.2,158.4,159.0,162.0,165.6,164.0,165.2,165.6,165.0,165.2,165.4,165.4,165.6,164.2,165.0,167.2,167.0,167.2,167.2,168.2,167.6,167.6,167.0,167.2,162.3484,163.4971,164.0714,165.0287,163.88,164.8,164.0,162.8,164.8,164.2],"consensus":[-16.1811,-33.5366,-40.0732,-48.1214,-42.618,65.5426,30.2034,20.2447,66.3585,-23.3391,-22.4433,25.0645,0.0,0.0,16.4442,-31.8532,-27.0115,-57.2235,10.116,26.7481,0.0,38.5398,54.6505,0.0,48.105,0.0,25.4084,14.5744,-22.3296,0.0,-31.0641,-31.2369,-23.5022,-25.3333,0.0,17.9812,53.3571,64.0094,69.8636,-10.3062,74.1964,48.7723,51.7133,0.0,0.0,43.5553,29.4379,52.0428,0.0,38.9585,-10.3957,28.9443,33.0,57.5034,47.9269,0.0,-16.535,-11.2855,51.4216,-40.2441,-12.3482,10.0485,14.1069,0.0,0.0,0.0,17.8073,31.0256,11.5487,0.0,46.3912,53.996,54.3157,76.1104,83.2967,15.1482,59.3255,47.3359,11.596,20.0362,37.6308,27.9841,33.7969,0.0,29.35,67.6143,18.011,30.0745,36.2099,50.6682,17.7074,23.3396,0.0,11.8356,-38.2515,0.0,-12.7576,-22.8657,-36.3147,14.1725,-23.6478,-48.1076,32.5697,-22.4181],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[31.9378,63.7492,44.8847,0.0,-13.5819,-0.3547,58.6852,-39.1154,-15.0015,8.8252,28.8171,0.0,0.0,0.0,26.773,36.2726,9.2994,0.0,49.6374,54.005,55.0874,78.0016,86.7948,0.2053,56.1413,41.1791,14.6478,9.8014,45.2382,32.4166,37.1206,0.0,39.5098,73.2451,11.3781,24.0143,35.3981,56.9343,16.6212,27.0282,0.0,24.9557,-26.3651,0.0,-1.245,-14.4475,-52.8366,12.4647,-24.4441,-42.8076,35.511,-19.6581],"force":[24.9259,61.8154,47.6358,0.0,-31.1161,-14.1003,70.2282,-79.8993,-13.574,15.2365,17.2576,0.0,0.0,0.0,34.1596,43.5875,7.5944,0.0,61.6128,65.8664,58.2224,90.9633,95.7112,32.102,51.8572,29.3715,30.2533,10.8432,18.1492,12.3821,19.0798,0.0,30.7912,84.0856,8.5082,13.4072,25.2148,51.6184,0.6325,13.4367,0.0,7.2185,-22.6371,0.0,-14.6912,-26.1848,-38.5087,37.4548,-22.6892,-53.769,66.584,-32.5338],"direction":[39.9813,47.2855,51.6117,0.0,-9.4947,-21.7672,29.6871,-13.2088,-8.4403,7.7409,4.9553,0.0,0.0,0.0,4.1195,16.0562,16.9437,0.0,31.8088,45.5069,50.6431,63.3398,70.4314,66.4453,68.2989,67.2041,38.0005,53.7898,42.8522,34.0626,40.5107,0.0,16.7094,49.4139,44.5337,48.9058,44.9912,42.8282,31.1449,26.1976,0.0,0.1391,-62.9891,0.0,-48.3669,-30.1157,-15.8655,0.5059,-23.4224,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Dynamics has stronger support","headline":"The gauges support the downward view","summary":"The completed evidence gives the downward view the clearer support.","take":"Current assessment: downward pressure has the stronger support.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Market Dynamics","direction":"downward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Seller control supports the view","controlPath":"Broadly stable","forceState":"Downward commitment","forcePath":"Broadly stable","directionState":"Downward follow-through","persistenceState":"Developing","confirmationState":"Strong support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Quiet"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-22.4","detail":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-19.7","detail":"Seller control supports the view","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-32.5","detail":"Downward commitment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"-18.3","detail":"Downward follow-through","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"76/100","detail":"Strong support","tone":"positive"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Rotational","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"50.5","detail":"Positive","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"1.2%","detail":"Normal","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"26.1","detail":"Directional","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Range position","value":"41%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility 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