{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"TMOS34 Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"4796d98d-24bd-4433-977f-bc607285babd","symbol":"TMOS34","name":"Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc.","exchange":"SAO","country":"BR","asset_type":"equity","currency":"BRL","sector":"Healthcare","industry":"Diagnostics & Research"},"summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path. 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cautious, Market Dynamics positive","kind":"disagreement","expectedDirection":"higher","episodes":16,"completedEpisodes":16,"activeEpisodes":0,"medianExpectedMove":5.2,"averageExpectedMove":7.6,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":4.9,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":16,"expectedCount":7,"expectedPercent":43.8,"averageReturn":-0.0,"medianReturn":-1.2,"confidenceLow":23.1,"confidenceHigh":66.8,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":16,"expectedCount":5,"expectedPercent":31.2,"averageReturn":-4.6,"medianReturn":-5.8,"confidenceLow":14.2,"confidenceHigh":55.6,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":16,"expectedCount":6,"expectedPercent":37.5,"averageReturn":-1.7,"medianReturn":-3.5,"confidenceLow":18.5,"confidenceHigh":61.4,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-1.2,"sample":16},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-1.8,"sample":16},{"week":3,"averageReturn":0.2,"sample":16},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-0.0,"sample":16},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-0.5,"sample":16},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-1.7,"sample":16},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-3.3,"sample":16},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-3.6,"sample":16},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-4.4,"sample":16},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-4.0,"sample":16},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-4.4,"sample":16},{"week":12,"averageReturn":-4.6,"sample":16},{"week":13,"averageReturn":-4.3,"sample":16},{"week":14,"averageReturn":-3.7,"sample":16},{"week":15,"averageReturn":-2.9,"sample":16},{"week":16,"averageReturn":-2.3,"sample":16},{"week":17,"averageReturn":-0.3,"sample":16},{"week":18,"averageReturn":-2.1,"sample":16},{"week":19,"averageReturn":-2.0,"sample":16},{"week":20,"averageReturn":-3.7,"sample":16},{"week":21,"averageReturn":-2.1,"sample":16},{"week":22,"averageReturn":-1.7,"sample":16},{"week":23,"averageReturn":-1.3,"sample":16},{"week":24,"averageReturn":-1.2,"sample":16},{"week":25,"averageReturn":-1.9,"sample":16},{"week":26,"averageReturn":-1.7,"sample":16}]}},"pricePressureGap":{"label":"Price elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":4,"completedEpisodes":4,"activeEpisodes":0,"medianExpectedMove":13.3,"averageExpectedMove":15.4,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":9.2,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":4,"expectedCount":4,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-7.2,"medianReturn":-7.1,"confidenceLow":51.0,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Historically consistent"},{"weeks":12,"sample":4,"expectedCount":4,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-12.1,"medianReturn":-9.6,"confidenceLow":51.0,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Historically consistent"},{"weeks":26,"sample":4,"expectedCount":4,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-20.6,"medianReturn":-20.4,"confidenceLow":51.0,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Historically consistent"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-2.7,"sample":4},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-1.8,"sample":4},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-2.3,"sample":4},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-7.2,"sample":4},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-7.7,"sample":4},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-6.7,"sample":4},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-6.1,"sample":4},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-9.4,"sample":4},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-7.7,"sample":4},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-7.9,"sample":4},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-10.4,"sample":4},{"week":12,"averageReturn":-12.1,"sample":4},{"week":13,"averageReturn":-9.6,"sample":4},{"week":14,"averageReturn":-9.3,"sample":4},{"week":15,"averageReturn":-9.9,"sample":4},{"week":16,"averageReturn":-10.8,"sample":4},{"week":17,"averageReturn":-11.8,"sample":4},{"week":18,"averageReturn":-11.7,"sample":4},{"week":19,"averageReturn":-12.5,"sample":4},{"week":20,"averageReturn":-13.9,"sample":4},{"week":21,"averageReturn":-14.4,"sample":4},{"week":22,"averageReturn":-14.5,"sample":4},{"week":23,"averageReturn":-15.8,"sample":4},{"week":24,"averageReturn":-20.0,"sample":4},{"week":25,"averageReturn":-19.9,"sample":4},{"week":26,"averageReturn":-20.6,"sample":4}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Evidence aligned","tone":"positive","headline":"Price and Market Dynamics remain aligned upward","use":"The advance retains underlying support while price structure and Market Dynamics remain intact.","confirm":"The advance remains supported. Reclassify it only if the broader Market Dynamics path weakens or price structure breaks.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"positive","direction":"strengthening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Market Dynamics remains positive and has strengthened across the recent completed path. A slight weekly pause does not yet change the broader constructive reading.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"higher","percent":37.5,"averageReturn":-3.0,"sample":16},"nowContext":{"label":"Slightly stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Strengthened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price structure is upward","detail":"Price is responding in the same broad direction as Market Dynamics."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Trend participation","title":"Let confirmation support the position, then manage extension","tone":"positive","approach":"This is most useful for holding or selectively adding to an established upward case. Risk should still tighten as price becomes extended; confirmation is support, not immunity from reversal.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 37.5% of comparable cases moved higher after 12 weeks, with an average move of -3.0% across 16 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use distribution to protect capital before considering the short case","tone":"negative","finding":"After distribution, 100.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were lower across 5 cases. Distinct visits lasted 2.4 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Review long exposure and define the evidence that would confirm a rollover. Short exposure should begin only after price weakens and the loss limit is known.","watch":"A sustained repair in price and Market Dynamics invalidates the downside setup."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use improving Market Dynamics to prepare, not anticipate","tone":"recovery","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average recovery of 7.6% across 16 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 4.9 weeks on average.","approach":"Define the price level that would confirm the repair. Until that response occurs, keep the idea at watchlist or starter-position size.","watch":"The early repair fails if Market Dynamics fades before price responds."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[{"date":"2025-07-25","price":55.419647},{"date":"2026-06-26","price":54.84}],"distribution_rollovers":[{"date":"2024-10-04","price":68.071289},{"date":"2024-10-25","price":65.968971},{"date":"2026-01-23","price":68.593956}],"price_pressure_gaps":[{"date":"2024-08-30","price":72.363503},{"date":"2024-09-27","price":69.256966},{"date":"2024-10-18","price":71.000587},{"date":"2025-01-17","price":70.578667}]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[68.6686,72.3635,71.0389,70.7216,70.5024,69.257,68.0713,67.8023,71.0006,65.969,67.7923,66.517,64.2652,62.123,66.1583,67.1646,66.5015,66.0828,67.4784,69.0834,67.4784,70.5787,70.4491,71.8248,68.5351,63.2915,63.4012,63.7601,63.6504,62.0821,61.2642,59.5985,53.873,53.1149,51.8681,50.1525,49.4144,47.2798,48.4668,45.6938,48.0079,46.5915,46.6755,45.4677,46.6954,47.4042,49.1111,49.7499,55.4196,53.3035,51.8062,54.671,56.3579,56.1982,55.2799,51.9381,53.3465,51.3788,60.0984,60.1384,62.6254,64.5231,63.5443,63.1748,64.0237,65.8216,65.6917,64.7229,64.2069,64.5866,66.1156,67.2948,69.0636,69.3235,68.594,63.3175,58.3209,55.5327,55.083,55.4328,54.6233,51.53,50.03,51.75,52.81,51.7173,54.6055,48.7592,48.2295,47.5,46.6106,47.1102,52.0172,47.2661,49.62,49.21,54.84,57.02,55.81,56.89,59.99,60.79,62.39,64.11],"consensus":[0.0,62.2081,15.2232,12.5166,20.2626,-12.7614,-24.0632,-18.128,35.7049,-54.144,20.3865,-26.1715,-57.544,-43.9574,25.5125,20.4262,0.0,0.0,18.3957,34.5889,-8.4077,47.2922,19.7448,33.5337,-20.0372,-64.7899,-27.6611,-32.5977,-25.6047,-42.5734,-29.8814,-57.3914,-68.9085,-49.1229,-60.8468,-59.2339,-50.0817,-73.4337,-23.8602,-68.6733,0.0,-46.7386,-31.2958,-34.052,-12.2382,0.0,21.8648,24.8209,66.1728,0.0,0.0,53.2422,44.6059,40.1145,0.0,-44.1255,14.503,-42.5816,63.7821,41.0829,67.534,65.0148,40.9587,30.2742,31.535,54.3475,29.2907,18.3204,10.58,18.9605,35.2804,43.3364,48.6681,42.1291,13.4831,-52.411,-70.2945,-57.4744,-48.8525,-30.5778,-50.1464,-68.0211,-64.3661,-31.4118,-8.4963,-49.3856,22.0043,-58.2787,-51.3336,-46.4145,-46.2268,-24.0652,39.0106,-42.8721,0.0,0.0,46.8942,53.2355,10.6041,48.1294,56.8697,38.1417,65.4246,58.3305],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[46.0869,44.6843,0.0,-43.1344,20.4959,-39.8644,60.9038,39.3243,73.5547,72.9126,44.9473,28.9671,27.4309,60.5724,25.2356,13.638,9.5898,24.3127,42.5867,48.1664,50.2911,41.8066,4.809,-45.7278,-71.6292,-59.8833,-49.4589,-20.5119,-53.045,-70.082,-67.771,-41.7043,-0.3409,-56.5037,24.219,-62.7795,-56.1257,-41.7146,-39.2712,-21.452,42.84,-58.1941,0.0,0.0,54.9709,59.1559,2.1612,39.4887,54.7736,33.1608,63.8685,51.2369],"force":[41.924,17.0141,0.0,-87.1048,30.0865,-70.0764,75.4624,15.2883,59.919,47.7052,8.7936,2.8162,13.2626,49.0583,3.5346,6.11,11.3661,11.3937,24.637,28.3252,34.3387,23.8055,15.0973,-88.3275,-83.7392,-43.1302,-22.4881,-2.5969,-28.09,-66.1145,-51.0568,-27.4937,-32.5805,-53.5463,46.5016,-55.375,-33.1379,-36.8674,-35.5647,-2.7707,59.7469,-35.6206,0.0,0.0,39.2994,36.7959,28.12,49.1363,53.7178,15.7146,67.5691,56.2155],"direction":[44.8289,51.3923,0.0,-14.5586,3.4771,-26.0479,58.7284,61.5174,66.0925,68.3527,59.3755,55.4039,49.277,51.0112,52.3223,41.1221,27.3875,18.2486,34.5327,48.5387,57.0486,55.5859,43.8111,-34.3942,-59.1659,-64.9672,-66.991,-65.7778,-62.5882,-67.0277,-69.9815,-61.7243,-47.9365,-38.2787,1.975,-55.209,-58.8539,-58.6052,-61.792,-46.2202,19.8225,-30.5408,0.0,0.0,43.0886,58.212,52.8532,57.2853,61.5167,59.8536,65.6711,67.9483],"intensity":[59.6154,7.6923,42.3077,75.0,26.9231,38.4615,100.0,100.0,53.8462,32.6923,11.5385,15.3846,34.6154,36.5385,42.3077,71.1538,44.2308,1.9231,32.6923,19.2308,59.6154,1.9231,38.4615,90.3846,88.4615,86.5385,78.8462,3.8462,25.0,80.7692,65.3846,38.4615,32.6923,32.6923,75.0,92.3077,84.6154,32.6923,21.1538,63.4615,86.5385,82.6923,94.2308,80.7692,90.3846,50.0,17.3077,11.5385,75.0,86.5385,30.7692,63.4615],"confirmation":[82.1696,80.063,8.734,83.4451,51.0997,82.5055,88.8101,80.3872,89.2871,88.1569,80.0657,54.6333,77.5969,85.1351,53.9832,51.8261,27.8233,73.7552,78.854,81.3366,83.1124,80.9278,6.7965,85.968,90.8837,85.9179,82.8201,54.8146,83.3305,89.6773,88.1397,36.6317,8.6248,83.8217,53.0875,86.4921,83.7992,82.6333,82.5736,52.8472,81.057,81.2646,24.5287,47.8195,82.6516,84.4441,8.8677,83.5638,86.1342,79.5978,89.0249,94.7094],"persistence":[62.5,75.0,62.5,37.5,37.5,25.0,37.5,37.5,37.5,37.5,50.0,75.0,75.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,75.0,50.0,25.0,0.0,25.0,50.0,75.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,50.0,50.0,62.5,50.0,25.0,0.0,25.0,50.0,50.0,75.0,87.5,100.0],"assessmentRisk":[1.0105,24.4826,44.2706,19.7302,50.9782,27.1654,13.3351,28.8473,15.9031,17.478,20.9744,24.2179,7.3416,5.5129,17.6233,15.9682,1.7428,31.7552,9.066,27.3794,25.6458,28.9263,42.6124,22.6881,14.8466,21.2623,25.5734,34.6397,21.6901,13.1782,16.7564,30.6654,29.2487,29.1894,37.0513,11.4279,22.1154,24.8481,26.8413,20.7468,25.555,17.3093,38.0662,28.2955,12.1871,23.1582,42.6453,25.2056,19.475,25.45,16.6517,20.4959],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":58.3,"control":51.2,"force":56.2,"direction":67.9,"confirmation":94.7,"persistence":100.0,"assessmentRisk":20.5,"intensity":63.5,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Joint upward confirmation","headline":"The gauges support the upward market view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics agree. Control, force and direction support the same upward assessment.","take":"Current assessment: upward pressure has broad support.","tone":"positive","supportedView":"Price structure and Market Dynamics","direction":"upward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Buyer control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is strengthening","forceState":"Upward commitment","forcePath":"Broadly stable","directionState":"Upward follow-through","persistenceState":"Established","confirmationState":"Strong support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Normal"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"+58.3","detail":"Joint upward confirmation","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"+51.2","detail":"Buyer control supports the view","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"+56.2","detail":"Upward commitment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"+67.9","detail":"Upward 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