{"ticker": {"uuid": "480c4781-6661-44c9-9060-31f9e89786fc", "symbol": "ADM", "name": "Admiral Group plc", "exchange": "LSE", "asset_type": "equity"}, "latest_week": "2026-08-07", "summary": "ADM closed the latest completed week at 3,886 GBP. The 4-week return is 6.9% and the 12-week return is 18.3%. The trend backdrop is active, with activity pressure at 1.08.", "description": "Admiral Group plc, a financial services company, provides insurance and personal lending products in the United Kingdom, France, Italy, and Spain. It operates through four segments: UK Insurance, European Insurance, Admiral Money, and Other. The company offers underwriting services that include motor, household, pet, travel, and other insurance, as well as car and home insurance; and distributes and underwrites unsecured personal loans, car finance products, and secured homeowner loans. It provides its insurance products and services under the Admiral, Admiral Business, Admiral Money, Admiral Pioneer, Balumba, Bell, Connect by Admiral, ConTe.it Assicurazioni, ConTe.it Prestiti, Diamond, Gladiator, L'olivier \u0096 assurance, More Than, Qualitas Auto, and Veygo brand names. The company was formerly known as Admiral Group Limited and changed its name to Admiral Group plc in September 2004. Admiral Group plc was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Cardiff, the United Kingdom.", "setup_signature": "Balanced read", "composite_score": "69", "kpis": [{"label": "Latest Close", "value": "3,886 GBP", "hint": "2026-08-07"}, {"label": "1W Return", "value": "3.0%", "tone": "positive", "hint": "latest completed week"}, {"label": "4W Return", "value": "6.9%", "tone": "positive", "hint": "short-term follow-through"}, {"label": "12W Return", "value": "18.3%", "tone": "positive", "hint": "quarterly tape"}, {"label": "Trend Breadth", "value": "42.3%", "hint": "22 of 52 weeks active"}, {"label": "Volume Ratio", "value": "1.6x", "hint": "vs 13-week average"}], "classification": {"exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "sector": "Financial Services", "industry": "Insurance - Property & Casualty", "currency": "GBP", "market_cap": "9.9B"}, "price": {"trend_line": "3,271 GBP", "fair_value": "2,933 GBP", "vs_trend": "18.8%", "vs_fair_value": "32.5%", "high_52": "4,006 GBP", "low_52": "2,623 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"Week of 8 May.", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "Latest week", "value": "+3.0%", "detail": "Week of 7 Aug.", "tone": "positive"}], "buckets": [{"label": "Strong gains", "count": 7, "share": 26.923076923076923, "share_label": "26.9%", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Modest gains", "count": 11, "share": 42.30769230769231, "share_label": "42.3%", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Flat weeks", "count": 0, "share": 0.0, "share_label": "0.0%", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Modest losses", "count": 4, "share": 15.384615384615385, "share_label": "15.4%", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "Sharp losses", "count": 4, "share": 15.384615384615385, "share_label": "15.4%", "tone": "negative"}], "insights": [{"label": "Recent vol", "value": "4.2%", "detail": "13-week weekly-return volatility.", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Base vol", "value": "4.0%", "detail": "52-week weekly-return volatility.", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Up/down split", "value": "28/24", "detail": "Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Average skew", "value": "3.2% / -2.9%", "detail": "Average positive week versus average negative week.", "tone": "neutral"}]}, "signals": [{"label": "Trend backdrop", "value": "Active", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Activity pressure", "value": "No fresh buy", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Price vs Trend", "value": "18.8%", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Volume", "value": "1.6x", "tone": "positive"}], "opportunities": ["The trend backdrop is active with a 14-week active streak.", "Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.", "Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.", "Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.", "Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention."], "risks": ["3 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape."], "watch_points": ["Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.", "Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.", "Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.", "A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move."], "recent_rows": [{"week": "2026-08-07", "close": "3,886 GBP", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "3,271 GBP", "fair_value": "2,933 GBP", "activity_pressure": "1.08", "relative_leadership": "9.38", "volume": "4.3M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-07-31", "close": "3,772 GBP", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "3,243 GBP", "fair_value": "2,922 GBP", "activity_pressure": "0.94", "relative_leadership": "6.42", "volume": "2.8M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-07-24", "close": "3,588 GBP", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "3,223 GBP", "fair_value": "2,912 GBP", "activity_pressure": "0.86", "relative_leadership": "2.29", "volume": "1.9M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-07-17", "close": "3,648 GBP", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "3,208 GBP", "fair_value": "2,902 GBP", "activity_pressure": "0.83", "relative_leadership": "5.14", "volume": "2.3M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-07-10", "close": "3,634 GBP", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "3,193 GBP", "fair_value": "2,893 GBP", "activity_pressure": "0.57", "relative_leadership": "5.61", "volume": "2.8M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-07-03", "close": "3,666 GBP", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "3,175 GBP", "fair_value": "2,883 GBP", "activity_pressure": "0.46", "relative_leadership": "4.60", "volume": "245.7K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-06-26", "close": "3,524 GBP", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "3,157 GBP", "fair_value": "2,873 GBP", "activity_pressure": "0.27", "relative_leadership": "1.97", "volume": "1.0M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-06-19", "close": "3,254 GBP", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "3,145 GBP", "fair_value": "2,863 GBP", "activity_pressure": "0.38", "relative_leadership": "-4.72", "volume": "2.8M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-06-12", "close": "3,464 GBP", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "3,141 GBP", "fair_value": "2,856 GBP", "activity_pressure": "0.71", "relative_leadership": "-0.07", "volume": "431.3K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-06-05", "close": "3,294 GBP", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "3,131 GBP", "fair_value": "2,848 GBP", "activity_pressure": "0.76", "relative_leadership": "-4.25", "volume": "1.0M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-29", "close": "3,296 GBP", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "3,129 GBP", "fair_value": "2,841 GBP", "activity_pressure": "0.87", "relative_leadership": "-4.90", "volume": "7.8M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-22", "close": "3,480 GBP", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "3,129 GBP", "fair_value": "2,835 GBP", "activity_pressure": "0.93", "relative_leadership": "-0.51", "volume": "4.0M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-15", "close": "3,286 GBP", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "3,123 GBP", "fair_value": "2,828 GBP", "activity_pressure": "0.84", "relative_leadership": "-3.84", "volume": "3.7M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-08", "close": "3,177 GBP", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "3,122 GBP", "fair_value": "2,821 GBP", "activity_pressure": "0.84", "relative_leadership": "-7.68", "volume": "3.2M", "trend_backdrop": null}], "intelligence": {"rating": "Neutral", "rating_tone": "neutral", "overall_score": "56", "primary_driver": {"label": "Indicator analysis", "score": 74.29166666666666, "score_label": "74", "tone": "positive", "summary": "Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 7/12.", "detail": "Activity pressure 0.81; 3 reversal markers", "metric": "74/100", "url": "/terminal/480c4781-6661-44c9-9060-31f9e89786fc/", "available": true, "weight": 1.45}, "primary_conflict": {"label": "Factors", "score": 27.463768115942027, "score_label": "27", "tone": "negative", "summary": "O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.", "detail": "Buyback Yield rank 70", "metric": "27/100", "url": "/factors/ticker/480c4781-6661-44c9-9060-31f9e89786fc/", "available": true, "weight": 1.2}, "options_tone": "neutral", "options": null, "evidence": [{"label": "Weekly tape", "score": 67.06944453644728, "score_label": "67", "tone": "positive", "summary": "Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 67/100 tape read.", "detail": "", "metric": "67/100", "url": "/terminal/480c4781-6661-44c9-9060-31f9e89786fc/", "available": true, "weight": 1.6}, {"label": "Indicator analysis", "score": 74.29166666666666, "score_label": "74", "tone": "positive", "summary": "Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 7/12.", "detail": "Activity pressure 0.81; 3 reversal markers", "metric": "74/100", "url": "/terminal/480c4781-6661-44c9-9060-31f9e89786fc/", "available": true, "weight": 1.45}, {"label": "Factors", "score": 27.463768115942027, "score_label": "27", "tone": "negative", "summary": "O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.", "detail": "Buyback Yield rank 70", "metric": "27/100", "url": "/factors/ticker/480c4781-6661-44c9-9060-31f9e89786fc/", "available": true, "weight": 1.2}, {"label": "Patient Capital", "score": 48.0, "score_label": "48", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.", "detail": "No recent buy signal", "metric": "Quiet", "url": "/patient-capital/", "available": true, "weight": 1}, {"label": "Sentiment", "score": 52.0, "score_label": "52", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Weighted news tone is neutral across 13 relevant articles.", "detail": "Admiral Group (LSE:ADM) Stock Draws Fresh Price Target Split As Fair Value Edges Higher", "metric": "52/100", "url": "/sentiment/480c4781-6661-44c9-9060-31f9e89786fc/", "available": true, "weight": 0.95}, {"label": "Insiders", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/insider-activity/", "available": false, "weight": 0}, {"label": "Earnings", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/earnings-calendar/", "available": false, "weight": 0}], "positives": [{"label": "Indicator analysis", "score": 74.29166666666666, "score_label": "74", "tone": "positive", "summary": "Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 7/12.", "detail": "Activity pressure 0.81; 3 reversal markers", "metric": "74/100", "url": "/terminal/480c4781-6661-44c9-9060-31f9e89786fc/", "available": true, "weight": 1.45}, {"label": "Weekly tape", "score": 67.06944453644728, "score_label": "67", "tone": "positive", "summary": "Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 67/100 tape read.", "detail": "", "metric": "67/100", "url": "/terminal/480c4781-6661-44c9-9060-31f9e89786fc/", "available": true, "weight": 1.6}], "negatives": [{"label": "Factors", "score": 27.463768115942027, "score_label": "27", "tone": "negative", "summary": "O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.", "detail": "Buyback Yield rank 70", "metric": "27/100", "url": "/factors/ticker/480c4781-6661-44c9-9060-31f9e89786fc/", "available": true, "weight": 1.2}], "conclusion": ["The strongest supporting evidence is indicator analysis: Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 7/12.", "The main constraint is factors: O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.", "The combined read is balanced, making the next change in trend, sentiment, or options pressure especially important."], "weekly_changes": [{"label": "Price follow-through", "value": "3.0%", "detail": "Latest completed week; four-week move 6.9%.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/480c4781-6661-44c9-9060-31f9e89786fc/"}, {"label": "Indicator stack", "value": "68/76", "detail": "Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/480c4781-6661-44c9-9060-31f9e89786fc/"}, {"label": "Trend backdrop", "value": "Active", "detail": "The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/480c4781-6661-44c9-9060-31f9e89786fc/"}, {"label": "Patient Capital", "value": "Quiet", "detail": "Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/patient-capital/"}, {"label": "News sentiment", "value": "52/100", "detail": "13 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/sentiment/480c4781-6661-44c9-9060-31f9e89786fc/"}]}, "investor_view": {"stance": "Constructive, but selective", "stance_tone": "positive", "setup_score": "69", "bottom_line": "The weekly trend is active. Price is 18.8% above the Trend Line and sits at 91.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.0%, after a 6.9% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 52/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high.", "price_summary": "The weekly trend is active. Price is 18.8% above the Trend Line and sits at 91.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.0%, after a 6.9% four-week move.", "volume_summary": "Latest weekly volume is 1.6x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.", "momentum_summary": "Performance is 6.9% over four weeks, 18.3% over 12 weeks, and 16.1% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 14 consecutive weeks.", "fundamentals": {"available": true, "summary": "The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.", "week_end": "2026-08-09", "financials_period_end": "2025-12-31", "coverage": "82%", "confidence": "65%", "url": "", "rank_scores": [{"label": "Overall factor strength", "value": "16/100", "width": 16.0, "tone": "negative", "detail": "Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 85; rank 1 is best."}, {"label": "Value", "value": "6/100", "width": 6.0, "tone": "negative", "detail": "Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 95; rank 1 is best."}, {"label": "Quality", "value": "16/100", "width": 16.0, "tone": "negative", "detail": "Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 85; rank 1 is best."}, {"label": "Momentum", "value": "84/100", "width": 84.0, "tone": "positive", "detail": "Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 17; rank 1 is best."}, {"label": "Growth", "value": "84/100", "width": 84.0, "tone": "positive", "detail": "Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 17; rank 1 is best."}], "groups": [{"title": "Valuation", "summary": "How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.", "metrics": [{"label": "P/E", "value": "15.6x", "detail": "Price divided by trailing earnings.", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Price / sales", "value": "2.3x", "detail": "Market value relative to trailing revenue.", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "EV / EBITDA", "value": "12.5x", "detail": "Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Free-cash-flow yield", "value": "2.7%", "detail": "Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.", "tone": "neutral"}]}, {"title": "Business quality", "summary": "Margins and the return generated on invested capital.", "metrics": [{"label": "Gross margin", "value": "-", "detail": "Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Operating margin", "value": "19.4%", "detail": "Operating profit retained from revenue.", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Free-cash-flow margin", "value": "7.2%", "detail": "Free cash flow generated from revenue.", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Return on invested capital", "value": "23.9%", "detail": "Operating return generated on invested capital.", "tone": "neutral"}]}, {"title": "Growth and financial strength", "summary": "Recent business growth and accounting strength.", "metrics": [{"label": "Revenue growth", "value": "8.2%", "detail": "Latest one-year revenue growth.", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "EPS growth", "value": "11.2%", "detail": "Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Free-cash-flow growth", "value": "61.1%", "detail": "Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Piotroski F-score", "value": "2/9", "detail": "Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.", "tone": "neutral"}]}, {"title": "Shareholder return and balance sheet", "summary": "Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.", "metrics": [{"label": "Dividend yield", "value": "5.3%", "detail": "Cash dividends relative to market value.", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Buyback yield", "value": "0.0%", "detail": "Net share repurchases relative to market value.", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Shareholder yield", "value": "5.3%", "detail": "Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Net debt / EBITDA", "value": "1.5x", "detail": "Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.", "tone": "neutral"}]}]}, "weekly_change": [{"label": "Price follow-through", "value": "3.0%", "detail": "Latest completed week; four-week move 6.9%.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/480c4781-6661-44c9-9060-31f9e89786fc/"}, {"label": "Indicator stack", "value": "68/76", "detail": "Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/480c4781-6661-44c9-9060-31f9e89786fc/"}, {"label": "Trend backdrop", "value": "Active", "detail": "The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/480c4781-6661-44c9-9060-31f9e89786fc/"}, {"label": "Patient Capital", "value": "Quiet", "detail": "Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/patient-capital/"}, {"label": "News sentiment", "value": "52/100", "detail": "13 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/sentiment/480c4781-6661-44c9-9060-31f9e89786fc/"}], "strengths": ["The trend backdrop is active with a 14-week active streak.", "Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.", "Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.", "Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week."], "risks": ["3 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape."], "watch_points": ["Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.", "Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.", "Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.", "A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move."], "evidence": {"weekly_tape": {"label": "Weekly tape", "score": 67.06944453644728, "score_label": "67", "tone": "positive", "summary": "Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 67/100 tape read.", "detail": "", "metric": "67/100", "url": "/terminal/480c4781-6661-44c9-9060-31f9e89786fc/", "available": true, "weight": 1.6}, "indicator_analysis": {"label": "Indicator analysis", "score": 74.29166666666666, "score_label": "74", "tone": "positive", "summary": "Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 7/12.", "detail": "Activity pressure 0.81; 3 reversal markers", "metric": "74/100", "url": "/terminal/480c4781-6661-44c9-9060-31f9e89786fc/", "available": true, "weight": 1.45}, "factors": {"label": "Factors", "score": 27.463768115942027, "score_label": "27", "tone": "negative", "summary": "O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.", "detail": "Buyback Yield rank 70", "metric": "27/100", "url": "/factors/ticker/480c4781-6661-44c9-9060-31f9e89786fc/", "available": true, "weight": 1.2}, "patient_capital": {"label": "Patient Capital", "score": 48.0, "score_label": "48", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.", "detail": "No recent buy signal", "metric": "Quiet", "url": "/patient-capital/", "available": true, "weight": 1}, "sentiment": {"label": "Sentiment", "score": 52.0, "score_label": "52", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Weighted news tone is neutral across 13 relevant articles.", "detail": "Admiral Group (LSE:ADM) Stock Draws Fresh Price Target Split As Fair Value Edges Higher", "metric": "52/100", "url": "/sentiment/480c4781-6661-44c9-9060-31f9e89786fc/", "available": true, "weight": 0.95}, "insiders": {"label": "Insiders", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/insider-activity/", "available": false, "weight": 0}, "earnings": {"label": "Earnings", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/earnings-calendar/", "available": false, "weight": 0}}, "section_nav": [{"id": "overview", "label": "Overview"}, {"id": "price-action", "label": "Price"}, {"id": "volume-demand", "label": "Volume"}, {"id": "momentum", "label": "Momentum"}, {"id": "fundamentals", "label": "Fundamentals"}, {"id": "ownership-flow", "label": "Ownership & Flow"}, {"id": "catalysts-risk", "label": "Catalysts & Risk"}, {"id": "peer-context", "label": "Peer Context"}, {"id": "weekly-data", "label": "Weekly Data"}]}, "chart_url": "/terminal/480c4781-6661-44c9-9060-31f9e89786fc/", "api_path": "/terminal/480c4781-6661-44c9-9060-31f9e89786fc/report/api/"}