{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"US100 Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-21","ticker":{"uuid":"483e442e-7393-4bb8-a346-77ef7d948371","symbol":"US100","name":"FRK US MEGA 100 UCITS ETF","exchange":"EBS","country":"CH","asset_type":"etf","currency":"USD","sector":null,"industry":null},"summary":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. The upward price structure is leading its underlying support.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Activity pressure and cumulative balance, Range position and boundary pressure, Directional strength and control, Acceleration, deceleration and rollover, Directional pressure and rotation."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-21","observations":58,"displayedObservations":58,"assetType":"ETF","state":"Aligned upward","stateTone":"positive","summary":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive. 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cautious, Market Dynamics positive","kind":"disagreement","expectedDirection":"higher","episodes":3,"completedEpisodes":0,"activeEpisodes":3,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":2,"expectedCount":2,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":3.1,"medianReturn":3.1,"confidenceLow":34.2,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough 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Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":1,"completedEpisodes":1,"activeEpisodes":0,"medianExpectedMove":2.1,"averageExpectedMove":2.1,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":7.0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":1,"expectedCount":0,"expectedPercent":0.0,"averageReturn":1.4,"medianReturn":1.4,"confidenceLow":0.0,"confidenceHigh":79.3,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-0.1,"medianReturn":-0.1,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":1.1,"sample":1},{"week":2,"averageReturn":1.7,"sample":1},{"week":3,"averageReturn":3.1,"sample":1},{"week":4,"averageReturn":1.4,"sample":1},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-0.2,"sample":1},{"week":6,"averageReturn":1.0,"sample":1},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-2.1,"sample":1},{"week":8,"averageReturn":1.0,"sample":1},{"week":9,"averageReturn":1.9,"sample":1},{"week":10,"averageReturn":0.6,"sample":1},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-0.3,"sample":1},{"week":12,"averageReturn":-0.1,"sample":1},{"week":13,"averageReturn":4.5,"sample":1},{"week":14,"averageReturn":4.7,"sample":1},{"week":15,"averageReturn":3.3,"sample":1},{"week":16,"sample":0},{"week":17,"sample":0},{"week":18,"sample":0},{"week":19,"sample":0},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Price ahead of underlying support","tone":"caution","headline":"Price is leading its underlying support","use":"Market Dynamics must catch up or price may correct toward the weaker underlying position.","confirm":"Treat the gap as an early-downside risk watch. Stronger Market Dynamics would confirm the price move; a weaker price response would confirm that the gap is closing through correction.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"positive","direction":"weakening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Price has advanced further through its recent range than Market Dynamics. The gap is an early-downside risk watch; stronger underlying support or a price reset is needed to close it.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"lower","percent":0.0,"averageReturn":11.4,"sample":1},"nowContext":{"label":"Easier this week","detail":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price is ahead of the underlying support","detail":"Price is extended relative to Market Dynamics. The gap is a downside-risk warning until support catches up or price resets."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Divergence control","title":"Do not chase price while the underlying evidence lags","tone":"caution","approach":"Use the gap to review position size, protect gains and wait for either Market Dynamics to catch up or price to correct. The disagreement is a warning condition, not an automatic exit.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 0.0% of comparable cases moved lower after 12 weeks, with an average move of 11.4% across 1 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 100.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 1 cases. Distinct visits lasted 1.0 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 5.1% across 1 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 1.0 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"reversal_warnings":[{"date":"2026-05-08","price":34.240002}],"reversal_dangers":[{"date":"2026-06-26","price":33.52},{"date":"2026-07-31","price":34.200001}]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"close":[28.14,28.69,28.835,28.825,29.27,29.215,29.245,29.345,30.1,30.44,30.365,30.835,30.505,30.39,31.28,31.835,30.74,31.335,30.405,31.565,31.815,31.76,31.365,31.87,32.03,32.02,31.92,31.59,31.825,31.265,31.01,31.1,30.895,30.765,30.3,29.79,28.945,29.47,31.035,32.61,32.735,32.895,34.24,34.615,34.805,35.295,34.715,34.155,34.575,33.52,34.58,34.895,34.43,34.13,34.2,35.78,35.835,35.37],"consensus":[0.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,99.7868,48.9188,51.9765,66.8636,95.1507,90.5819,21.5462,93.96,12.3709,0.0,82.8256,80.1949,-8.2189,47.8728,-41.5567,53.7861,59.7695,17.2277,0.0,56.3145,41.4994,35.8506,14.0382,-12.556,24.2978,-49.9777,-52.3444,0.0,-51.6673,-39.9158,-58.3451,-77.0988,-82.6908,-14.1492,47.3131,70.3832,55.9044,59.2644,84.7852,67.2858,64.3151,70.4916,26.0855,8.6336,49.0584,-38.7368,36.6055,40.0062,0.0,-13.6775,13.9235,74.5686,43.5224,3.0207],"supportDates":["2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"control":[43.3645,64.4909,95.9316,92.9198,3.7384,94.3209,14.7393,0.0,91.7101,71.01,-26.7825,29.9264,-43.2108,80.3065,70.8307,7.5475,0.0,72.4202,39.2508,42.3333,8.7117,-3.3992,24.7521,-38.7023,-40.6769,0.0,-42.1426,-36.1624,-61.1677,-75.3359,-83.4126,-1.4476,53.1541,75.86,64.4535,62.2065,90.1145,75.5982,71.234,78.9129,19.0802,12.9271,65.6015,-37.9188,48.3924,40.2162,0.0,-22.1357,22.4769,78.3888,46.1829,9.9916],"force":[17.0973,46.7476,99.7569,85.026,43.4856,98.1597,40.5833,0.0,63.4595,83.6491,-50.0144,58.4821,-63.8898,48.0036,42.5497,17.1473,0.0,44.8341,40.0112,12.8822,22.1877,-50.7357,44.5239,-86.7337,-77.2706,0.0,-68.2441,-32.0877,-49.4129,-91.118,-92.4858,-39.8454,63.2894,80.1679,35.045,47.692,93.8412,43.5775,38.2995,48.1477,14.6548,26.7431,39.6644,-73.9053,25.4844,21.2857,0.0,-51.9412,22.0144,96.1822,19.0019,40.9047],"direction":[86.7326,83.9437,90.968,91.8785,88.3492,90.5477,81.1783,0.0,86.5048,88.2246,-42.8507,60.8048,-23.7141,27.6076,59.4279,52.8443,0.0,46.1081,45.1323,44.8478,46.0011,-3.5193,9.3313,-36.6096,-47.8744,0.0,-50.712,-49.7969,-61.4995,-69.0997,-74.8695,-67.2328,29.2259,57.1349,61.0336,64.1681,72.2259,74.7203,74.9903,76.8272,63.1916,28.9958,36.862,-14.5515,31.0785,53.1381,0.0,-23.3202,1.6312,54.7643,57.9965,49.2673],"intensity":[66.6667,71.4286,100.0,77.7778,20.0,63.6364,50.0,23.0769,100.0,93.3333,100.0,64.7059,94.4444,100.0,65.0,9.5238,72.7273,69.5652,25.0,4.0,3.8462,70.3704,53.5714,72.4138,20.0,61.2903,43.75,45.4545,47.0588,51.4286,88.8889,51.3514,100.0,100.0,97.5,24.3902,92.8571,81.3953,6.8182,75.5556,52.1739,48.9362,35.4167,87.7551,88.0,27.451,40.3846,23.0769,71.1538,100.0,88.4615,38.4615],"confirmation":[83.7007,88.8194,98.5767,96.7813,14.4611,98.1897,37.2268,34.9,93.7786,93.9076,35.4291,83.9161,81.9536,84.6312,86.4329,8.2708,11.3269,85.4253,81.2687,78.6734,30.8694,28.8165,76.3848,85.2849,85.6877,7.5896,85.1839,80.5917,86.3552,93.1257,94.7486,11.5761,83.5381,90.7374,85.1234,86.5671,95.326,88.6822,87.6825,89.748,33.0055,29.991,83.1603,81.4801,79.1952,80.2283,5.3236,33.0557,50.2531,92.4624,81.1393,41.3508],"persistence":[85.7143,87.5,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,87.5,87.5,87.5,62.5,62.5,37.5,37.5,37.5,50.0,37.5,37.5,62.5,62.5,87.5,62.5,62.5,37.5,25.0,12.5,12.5,37.5,62.5,62.5,87.5,87.5,62.5,50.0,25.0,0.0,25.0,50.0,75.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,62.5,37.5,37.5,37.5,37.5,50.0],"assessmentRisk":[21.1903,15.7547,2.1614,4.6993,39.2016,3.0186,37.4397,11.8954,8.0959,9.5366,25.9808,23.6749,24.4321,46.5424,16.5858,20.7397,46.1451,6.3068,4.6323,1.5405,28.2487,15.4864,29.0022,19.7779,21.2594,38.3783,24.0134,27.5137,20.0601,11.4335,8.6543,42.8658,18.8247,14.7633,22.045,20.3601,7.5833,15.8583,17.4263,14.597,14.278,30.7432,39.4576,29.619,26.695,18.6099,13.2971,43.4125,33.1178,5.5542,26.5934,45.6516],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":3.0,"control":10.0,"force":40.9,"direction":49.3,"confirmation":41.4,"persistence":50.0,"assessmentRisk":45.7,"intensity":38.5,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Joint upward confirmation","headline":"The gauges support the upward market view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics agree. Control, force and direction support the same upward assessment.","take":"Current assessment: upward pressure has broad support.","tone":"positive","supportedView":"Price structure and Market Dynamics","direction":"upward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Control support is limited","controlPath":"Control support is easing","forceState":"Upward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is easing","directionState":"Upward follow-through","persistenceState":"Developing","confirmationState":"Qualified support","riskState":"Present","intensityState":"Normal"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"+3.0","detail":"Joint upward confirmation","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"+10.0","detail":"Control support is limited","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"+40.9","detail":"Upward commitment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"+49.3","detail":"Upward 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upward.","series":[{"label":"Close","values":[28.14,28.69,28.835,28.825,29.27,29.215,29.245,29.345,30.1,30.44,30.365,30.835,30.505,30.39,31.28,31.835,30.74,31.335,30.405,31.565,31.815,31.76,31.365,31.87,32.03,32.02,31.92,31.59,31.825,31.265,31.01,31.1,30.895,30.765,30.3,29.79,28.945,29.47,31.035,32.61,32.735,32.895,34.24,34.615,34.805,35.295,34.715,34.155,34.575,33.52,34.58,34.895,34.43,34.13,34.2,35.78,35.835,35.37],"stroke":"#10243b","width":2.1},{"label":"Fast trend","values":[null,null,null,null,28.5867,28.7009,28.7999,28.899,29.1173,29.3578,29.541,29.7762,29.9087,29.9962,30.2297,30.5215,30.5613,30.7019,30.6479,30.8147,30.9966,31.1354,31.1771,31.3031,31.4353,31.5416,31.6104,31.6067,31.6464,31.577,31.4739,31.4059,31.313,31.2134,31.0473,30.8187,30.478,30.2948,30.4294,30.8258,31.173,31.4861,31.9868,32.4646,32.8902,33.3274,33.5797,33.6843,33.8462,33.7869,33.9311,34.1064,34.1652,34.1588,34.1663,34.4597,34.7098,34.8298],"stroke":"#176fa3","width":1.7},{"label":"Slow 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pressure and cumulative balance","description":"Observed activity is compared with its normal backdrop while cumulative balance tracks directional participation.","reason":"Selected because participation is confirming or diverging from the latest price path.","series":[{"label":"Activity versus norm","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,0.0,523.2737,0.8518,1027.0766,36.3378,0.0,0.7662,0.0,32.513,0.0,35.8487,0.0,0.0,0.0,110.0778,323.655,0.0,149.7195,24.197,355.022,274.2632,327.6916,298.4415,350.2245,367.8864,327.1997,48.4144,12.6182,185.1542,111.3934,93.0572,0.0,67.523,61.2779,262.868,118.481,0.6918,17.1566,8.6053,0.0,9.6625,70.9497,71.5225,12.128,0.0,17.0778,147.1813,488.335,368.3222,0.0,25.0227],"stroke":"#1678a7","width":1.8},{"label":"Cumulative 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map","title":"Range position and boundary pressure","description":"Price location inside its observed range shows whether the tape is pressing an outer boundary or rotating through value.","reason":"Selected because price is testing an observed boundary or moving rapidly through its recent range.","series":[{"label":"Range position","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,99.1769,100.0,100.0,88.6454,100.0,85.6884,81.5217,100.0,95.6015,67.2704,82.6649,58.6029,88.6158,95.0841,93.661,83.4411,96.5071,100.0,98.2278,93.7417,84.9534,90.2504,72.5663,65.0442,67.6991,61.6519,45.2107,5.7214,0.0,0.0,17.1732,64.7416,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,90.9233,82.1596,88.7324,72.2222,88.8107,93.7402,86.4632,81.7684,82.8639,99.5655,99.2837,92.6218],"stroke":"#10243b","width":2.0},{"label":"From 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