{"ticker": {"uuid": "486cd886-4110-4880-b8a8-81456f9015a9", "symbol": "NWG", "name": "NatWest Group plc", "exchange": "LSE", "asset_type": "equity"}, "latest_week": "2026-06-12", "summary": "NWG closed the latest completed week at 614.2 GBP. The 4-week return is 9.4% and the 12-week return is 18.2%. Trend Signal is inactive, Activity pressure is -0.04.", "description": "NatWest Group plc, together with its subsidiaries, provides banking and financial products and services in the United Kingdom and internationally. It operates through the Retail Banking, Private Banking, and Commercial & Institutional segments. The Retail Banking segment offers a range of banking products and related financial services, such as current accounts, mortgages, personal unsecured lending, and personal deposits, as well as mobile and online banking services. Its Private Banking segment provides banking, lending, and wealth management products for high-net-worth individuals and their business interests. The Commercial & Institutional segment consists of customer businesses under business banking, commercial mid-market, and corporates and institutions; and offers banking operations services in the Channel Islands, Isle of Man, Gibraltar, and Luxembourg, as well as products and solutions for businesses comprising start-ups, corporates, and large institutions. The company was formerly known as The Royal Bank of Scotland Group plc and changed its name to NatWest Group plc in July 2020. NatWest Group plc was founded in 1727 and is headquartered in Edinburgh, the United Kingdom.", "setup_signature": "Balanced read", "composite_score": "54", "kpis": [{"label": "Latest Close", "value": "614.2 GBP", "hint": "2026-06-12"}, {"label": "1W Return", "value": "3.4%", "tone": "positive", "hint": "latest completed week"}, {"label": "4W Return", "value": "9.4%", "tone": "positive", "hint": "short-term follow-through"}, {"label": "12W Return", "value": "18.2%", "tone": "positive", "hint": "quarterly tape"}, {"label": "Trend Breadth", "value": "73.1%", "hint": "38 of 52 weeks active"}, {"label": "Volume Ratio", "value": "0.6x", "hint": "vs 13-week average"}], "classification": {"exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "sector": "Financial Services", "industry": "Banks - Regional", "currency": "GBP", "market_cap": "47.7B"}, "price": {"trend_line": "605.4 GBP", "fair_value": "406.8 GBP", "vs_trend": "1.5%", "vs_fair_value": "51.0%", "high_52": "705.1 GBP", "low_52": "470.7 GBP", 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"return_tone": "negative", "volume_height": 29.5997063653455, "volume": "82.3M"}, {"week": "1 May", "return": -2.381782434996941, "return_label": "-2.4%", "return_tone": "negative", "volume_height": 59.27684140626847, "volume": "164.8M"}, {"week": "8 May", "return": 2.510610431850516, "return_label": "2.5%", "return_tone": "positive", "volume_height": 43.44950062100423, "volume": "120.8M"}, {"week": "15 May", "return": -3.2079986866091432, "return_label": "-3.2%", "return_tone": "negative", "volume_height": 57.11174960767824, "volume": "158.7M"}, {"week": "22 May", "return": 4.09836056810348, "return_label": "4.1%", "return_tone": "positive", "volume_height": 48.53190534314997, "volume": "134.9M"}, {"week": "29 May", "return": 2.6018506826049186, "return_label": "2.6%", "return_tone": "positive", "volume_height": 32.746616912401485, "volume": "91.0M"}, {"week": "5 Jun", "return": -0.93427356953193, "return_label": "-0.9%", "return_tone": "negative", "volume_height": 29.840994153381402, "volume": "82.9M"}, {"week": "12 Jun", "return": 3.4355042795992836, "return_label": "3.4%", "return_tone": "positive", "volume_height": 29.942132012493577, "volume": "83.2M"}], "insights": [{"label": "Participation", "value": "0.6x", "detail": "Latest volume versus the 13-week average.", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Baseline", "value": "137.0M", "detail": "13-week average volume.", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "One-year base", "value": "119.3M", "detail": "52-week average volume.", "tone": "neutral"}]}, "risk": {"volatility_13": "4.6%", "volatility_52": "4.3%", "downside_weeks": 22, "upside_weeks": 30, "downside_breadth": "42.3%", "average_gain": "3.4%", "average_loss": "-3.5%", "buckets": [{"label": "Strong gains", "count": 5, "share": 19.230769230769234, "share_label": "19.2%", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Modest gains", "count": 10, "share": 38.46153846153847, "share_label": "38.5%", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Flat weeks", "count": 0, "share": 0.0, "share_label": "0.0%", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Modest losses", "count": 7, "share": 26.923076923076923, "share_label": "26.9%", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "Sharp losses", "count": 4, "share": 15.384615384615385, "share_label": "15.4%", "tone": "negative"}], "insights": [{"label": "Recent vol", "value": "4.6%", "detail": "13-week weekly-return volatility.", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Base vol", "value": "4.3%", "detail": "52-week weekly-return volatility.", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Up/down split", "value": "30/22", "detail": "Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Average skew", "value": "3.4% / -3.5%", "detail": "Average positive week versus average negative week.", "tone": "neutral"}]}, "signals": [{"label": "Trend backdrop", "value": "Inactive", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "Activity pressure", "value": "No fresh buy", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Price vs Trend", "value": "1.5%", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Volume", "value": "0.6x", "tone": "neutral"}], "opportunities": ["Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.", "Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.", "The Expectancy Model is positive at 60.31%, strengthening the forward tape read."], "risks": ["The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.", "Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.", "Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.", "4 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape."], "watch_points": ["Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.", "Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.", "A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move."], "recent_rows": [{"week": "2026-06-12", "close": "614.2 GBP", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "605.4 GBP", "fair_value": "406.8 GBP", "activity_pressure": "-0.04", "relative_leadership": "0.16", "volume": "83.2M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-06-05", "close": "593.8 GBP", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "604.9 GBP", "fair_value": "404.4 GBP", "activity_pressure": "-0.27", "relative_leadership": "-2.17", "volume": "82.9M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-29", "close": "599.4 GBP", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "605.1 GBP", "fair_value": "402.3 GBP", "activity_pressure": "-0.41", "relative_leadership": "-1.72", "volume": "91.0M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-22", "close": "584.2 GBP", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "604.5 GBP", "fair_value": "400.2 GBP", "activity_pressure": "-0.52", "relative_leadership": "-4.80", "volume": "134.9M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-15", "close": "561.2 GBP", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "604.1 GBP", "fair_value": "398.1 GBP", "activity_pressure": "-0.69", "relative_leadership": "-6.25", "volume": "158.7M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-08", "close": "579.8 GBP", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "603.2 GBP", "fair_value": "396.3 GBP", "activity_pressure": "-0.63", "relative_leadership": "-3.60", "volume": "120.8M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-01", "close": "565.6 GBP", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "601.9 GBP", "fair_value": "394.2 GBP", "activity_pressure": "-0.64", "relative_leadership": "-7.17", "volume": "164.8M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-04-24", "close": "579.4 GBP", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "601.3 GBP", "fair_value": "392.2 GBP", "activity_pressure": "-0.68", "relative_leadership": "-5.09", "volume": "82.3M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-04-17", "close": "626.0 GBP", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "599.3 GBP", "fair_value": "390.2 GBP", "activity_pressure": "-0.67", "relative_leadership": "-0.25", "volume": "119.0M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-04-10", "close": "614.4 GBP", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "595.5 GBP", "fair_value": "387.9 GBP", "activity_pressure": "-0.77", "relative_leadership": "-1.37", "volume": "92.1M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-04-03", "close": "575.4 GBP", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "592.7 GBP", "fair_value": "385.8 GBP", "activity_pressure": "-0.87", "relative_leadership": "-6.06", "volume": "171.0M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-03-27", "close": "539.8 GBP", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "590.4 GBP", "fair_value": "383.8 GBP", "activity_pressure": "-1.04", "relative_leadership": "-7.61", "volume": "259.3M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-03-20", "close": "519.6 GBP", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "589.4 GBP", "fair_value": "382.0 GBP", "activity_pressure": "-0.97", "relative_leadership": "-10.59", "volume": "220.7M", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-03-13", "close": "565.0 GBP", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "590.8 GBP", "fair_value": "380.3 GBP", "activity_pressure": "-0.91", "relative_leadership": "-6.05", "volume": "92.0M", "trend_backdrop": null}], "intelligence": {"rating": "Neutral", "rating_tone": "neutral", "overall_score": "51", "primary_driver": {"label": "Expectancy Model", "score": 80.15265, "score_label": "80", "tone": "positive", "summary": "The Sharemaestro Expectancy Model is positive with a 60.31% probability read.", "detail": "Strengthens the score when positive; restrains it when negative.", "metric": "Positive 60.31%", "url": "/terminal/486cd886-4110-4880-b8a8-81456f9015a9/", "available": true, "weight": 1.05}, "primary_conflict": {"label": "Indicator analysis", "score": 9.208333333333332, "score_label": "9", "tone": "negative", "summary": "Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 1/12.", "detail": "Activity pressure 0.39; 4 reversal markers", "metric": "9/100", "url": "/terminal/486cd886-4110-4880-b8a8-81456f9015a9/", "available": true, "weight": 1.45}, "options_tone": "neutral", "options": null, "evidence": [{"label": "Weekly tape", "score": 48.855997446325695, "score_label": "49", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 49/100 tape read.", "detail": "", "metric": "49/100", "url": "/terminal/486cd886-4110-4880-b8a8-81456f9015a9/", "available": true, "weight": 1.6}, {"label": "Indicator analysis", "score": 9.208333333333332, "score_label": "9", "tone": "negative", "summary": "Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 1/12.", "detail": "Activity pressure 0.39; 4 reversal markers", "metric": "9/100", "url": "/terminal/486cd886-4110-4880-b8a8-81456f9015a9/", "available": true, "weight": 1.45}, {"label": "Expectancy Model", "score": 80.15265, "score_label": "80", "tone": "positive", "summary": "The Sharemaestro Expectancy Model is positive with a 60.31% probability read.", "detail": "Strengthens the score when positive; restrains it when negative.", "metric": "Positive 60.31%", "url": "/terminal/486cd886-4110-4880-b8a8-81456f9015a9/", "available": true, "weight": 1.05}, {"label": "Factors", "score": 79.89855072463767, "score_label": "80", "tone": "positive", "summary": "O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.", "detail": "Buyback Yield rank 17", "metric": "80/100", "url": "/factors/ticker/486cd886-4110-4880-b8a8-81456f9015a9/", "available": true, "weight": 1.2}, {"label": "Patient Capital", "score": 48.0, "score_label": "48", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.", "detail": "No recent buy signal", "metric": "Quiet", "url": "/patient-capital/", "available": true, "weight": 1}, {"label": "Sentiment", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No sentiment snapshot is stored yet.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/sentiment/", "available": false, "weight": 0}, {"label": "Insiders", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/insider-activity/", "available": false, "weight": 0}, {"label": "Earnings", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/earnings-calendar/", "available": false, "weight": 0}], "positives": [{"label": "Expectancy Model", "score": 80.15265, "score_label": "80", "tone": "positive", "summary": "The Sharemaestro Expectancy Model is positive with a 60.31% probability read.", "detail": "Strengthens the score when positive; restrains it when negative.", "metric": "Positive 60.31%", "url": "/terminal/486cd886-4110-4880-b8a8-81456f9015a9/", "available": true, "weight": 1.05}, {"label": "Factors", "score": 79.89855072463767, "score_label": "80", "tone": "positive", "summary": "O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.", "detail": "Buyback Yield rank 17", "metric": "80/100", "url": "/factors/ticker/486cd886-4110-4880-b8a8-81456f9015a9/", "available": true, "weight": 1.2}], "negatives": [{"label": "Indicator analysis", "score": 9.208333333333332, "score_label": "9", "tone": "negative", "summary": "Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 1/12.", "detail": "Activity pressure 0.39; 4 reversal markers", "metric": "9/100", "url": "/terminal/486cd886-4110-4880-b8a8-81456f9015a9/", "available": true, "weight": 1.45}], "conclusion": ["The strongest supporting evidence is expectancy model: The Sharemaestro Expectancy Model is positive with a 60.31% probability read.", "The main constraint is indicator analysis: Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 1/12.", "The combined read is balanced, making the next change in trend, sentiment, or options pressure especially important."], "weekly_changes": [{"label": "Price follow-through", "value": "3.4%", "detail": "Latest completed week; four-week move 9.4%.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/486cd886-4110-4880-b8a8-81456f9015a9/"}, {"label": "Indicator stack", "value": "40/57", "detail": "Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/terminal/486cd886-4110-4880-b8a8-81456f9015a9/"}, {"label": "Trend backdrop", "value": "Active", "detail": "The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/486cd886-4110-4880-b8a8-81456f9015a9/"}, {"label": "Patient Capital", "value": "Quiet", "detail": "Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/patient-capital/"}, {"label": "Expectancy Model", "value": "Positive 60.31%", "detail": "The Expectancy Model contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/486cd886-4110-4880-b8a8-81456f9015a9/"}]}, "chart_url": "/terminal/486cd886-4110-4880-b8a8-81456f9015a9/", "api_path": "/terminal/486cd886-4110-4880-b8a8-81456f9015a9/report/api/"}