{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"SSIA Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"4ddeeb4a-a985-4c9a-93f9-db829aae68e1","symbol":"SSIA","name":"PT Surya Semesta Internusa Tbk","exchange":"JKT","country":"ID","asset_type":"equity","currency":"IDR","sector":"Industrials","industry":"Engineering & Construction"},"summary":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. The upward price structure remains intact, but its underlying support has weakened.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Strength versus the research benchmark, Drawdown and recovery pressure, Range pressure and compression, Range position and boundary pressure, Activity pressure and cumulative balance."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-14","observations":260,"displayedObservations":104,"assetType":"Equity","state":"Aligned upward","stateTone":"positive","summary":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. The upward price structure remains intact, but its underlying support has weakened.","evidenceAlignment":{"status":"Confirmation weakening","headline":"Upward price structure remains intact, but support is fading","summary":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. The upward price structure remains intact, but its underlying support has weakened.","take":"Treat the advance as conditional. Renewed Market Dynamics would restore confirmation; continued contraction would increase rollover 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cautious, Market Dynamics positive","kind":"disagreement","expectedDirection":"higher","episodes":24,"completedEpisodes":22,"activeEpisodes":2,"medianExpectedMove":5.6,"averageExpectedMove":14.3,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":5.2,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":23,"expectedCount":11,"expectedPercent":47.8,"averageReturn":-1.7,"medianReturn":0.0,"confidenceLow":29.2,"confidenceHigh":67.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":22,"expectedCount":8,"expectedPercent":36.4,"averageReturn":4.2,"medianReturn":-1.8,"confidenceLow":19.7,"confidenceHigh":57.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":21,"expectedCount":6,"expectedPercent":28.6,"averageReturn":4.4,"medianReturn":-7.8,"confidenceLow":13.8,"confidenceHigh":50.0,"confidence":"Historically adverse"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":0.9,"sample":23},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-0.1,"sample":23},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-1.0,"sample":23},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-1.7,"sample":23},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-3.2,"sample":23},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-3.0,"sample":23},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-2.4,"sample":23},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-1.9,"sample":22},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-1.9,"sample":22},{"week":10,"averageReturn":2.6,"sample":22},{"week":11,"averageReturn":2.4,"sample":22},{"week":12,"averageReturn":4.2,"sample":22},{"week":13,"averageReturn":8.9,"sample":21},{"week":14,"averageReturn":9.2,"sample":21},{"week":15,"averageReturn":11.4,"sample":21},{"week":16,"averageReturn":12.5,"sample":21},{"week":17,"averageReturn":13.2,"sample":21},{"week":18,"averageReturn":9.9,"sample":21},{"week":19,"averageReturn":7.4,"sample":21},{"week":20,"averageReturn":8.9,"sample":21},{"week":21,"averageReturn":8.1,"sample":21},{"week":22,"averageReturn":5.3,"sample":21},{"week":23,"averageReturn":7.3,"sample":21},{"week":24,"averageReturn":6.2,"sample":21},{"week":25,"averageReturn":3.8,"sample":21},{"week":26,"averageReturn":4.4,"sample":21}]}},"pricePressureGap":{"label":"Price elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":0,"completedEpisodes":0,"activeEpisodes":0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":12,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"sample":0},{"week":2,"sample":0},{"week":3,"sample":0},{"week":4,"sample":0},{"week":5,"sample":0},{"week":6,"sample":0},{"week":7,"sample":0},{"week":8,"sample":0},{"week":9,"sample":0},{"week":10,"sample":0},{"week":11,"sample":0},{"week":12,"sample":0},{"week":13,"sample":0},{"week":14,"sample":0},{"week":15,"sample":0},{"week":16,"sample":0},{"week":17,"sample":0},{"week":18,"sample":0},{"week":19,"sample":0},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Confirmation weakening","tone":"caution","headline":"Market Dynamics remains positive but has weakened over four weeks","use":"The upward structure still has positive support, but renewed strength is needed to restore full confirmation.","confirm":"Treat the advance as conditional. Renewed Market Dynamics would restore confirmation; continued contraction would increase rollover risk.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"positive","direction":"weakening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Market Dynamics remains above zero, but support has contracted across the recent completed path. Price confirmation now carries more weight.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"sample":0},"nowContext":{"label":"Easier this week","detail":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price structure is upward","detail":"Price is responding in the same broad direction as Market Dynamics."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 100.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 1 cases. Distinct visits lasted 31.0 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use improving Market Dynamics to prepare, not anticipate","tone":"recovery","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average recovery of 14.3% across 22 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 5.2 weeks on average.","approach":"Define the price level that would confirm the repair. Until that response occurs, keep the idea at watchlist or starter-position size.","watch":"The early repair fails if Market Dynamics fades before price responds."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"distribution_rollovers":[{"date":"2025-08-08","price":2500.0}],"price_pressure_gaps":[]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-16","2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[1079.5859,1039.9681,1188.535,1327.1974,1436.1465,1351.9586,1312.3407,1158.8217,1173.6783,1257.8662,1198.4395,1178.6306,1153.8694,1064.7292,935.9713,945.8758,965.6847,995.3981,1089.4905,1262.8185,1094.4426,1119.2039,1054.8248,1035.0159,990.4459,935.9713,851.7834,851.7834,841.879,871.5923,901.3057,846.8312,822.0701,772.5478,787.4045,836.9268,831.9745,812.1656,831.9745,995.3981,1005.3026,1025.1115,1114.2516,1436.1465,1550.0,1705.0,1865.0,2850.0,2590.0,2560.0,2500.0,2420.0,2340.0,2340.0,2130.0,1960.0,1800.0,1720.0,1845.0,2090.0,1775.0,1755.0,1560.0,1710.0,1610.0,1705.0,1875.0,1900.0,1745.0,1670.0,1625.0,1665.0,1825.0,1840.0,1620.0,1570.0,1330.0,1480.0,1450.0,1385.0,1160.0,1170.0,1230.0,1330.0,1365.0,1410.0,1480.0,1765.0,1778.9899,1739.1246,1704.2424,1594.6128,1669.3602,1519.8654,1554.7474,1594.6128,1519.8654,1505.0,1475.0,1750.0,1650.0,1650.0,1670.0,1670.0],"consensus":[0.0,-23.8221,54.7988,68.581,72.3719,8.6956,17.9892,-50.6986,-8.362,34.8713,-32.0282,-15.6475,-16.5904,-59.0137,-74.3891,-35.5433,-26.4443,-16.633,37.814,61.7411,-31.1426,19.5771,-32.3362,-24.3369,-33.692,-54.1253,-61.505,-43.446,-46.4857,-13.1111,0.0,-37.4021,-35.2759,-30.2098,-25.7824,0.0,0.0,-16.4236,0.0,59.7245,30.987,45.0069,64.4786,79.1726,71.1165,73.5253,74.9453,90.4154,0.0,26.5294,30.9257,0.0,0.0,8.5549,-25.1281,-41.411,-51.7069,-48.3245,0.0,36.7374,-43.0058,-26.1104,-57.7356,0.0,-43.8758,0.0,36.7884,16.0936,-26.3469,-30.6799,-39.204,-16.0697,29.3922,13.2249,-39.3322,-20.1334,-60.5585,0.0,-37.5803,-39.3198,-62.8905,-29.2845,-15.6557,0.0,8.9203,17.6937,34.3496,63.9388,41.7599,13.1857,12.6778,-23.825,17.0722,-34.1707,0.0,0.0,-24.9795,-17.8922,-26.3608,57.5763,-14.6922,16.2157,19.952,1.0928],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[0.0,11.9776,-23.2921,-34.306,-49.9272,-44.8311,0.0,31.8888,-47.1991,-35.9045,-62.6163,0.0,-45.8676,0.0,28.8575,14.9734,-38.1888,-37.6893,-43.5787,-8.3722,30.5911,9.0599,-46.7974,-15.5314,-66.3715,0.0,-43.5947,-42.2886,-71.968,-20.9488,-3.0965,0.0,5.4718,14.0218,32.6031,55.6304,40.2387,2.883,1.3523,-16.3861,23.2297,-38.0684,0.0,0.0,-26.3747,-26.275,-32.1948,50.6676,-19.1911,11.4275,13.1369,4.7481],"force":[0.0,16.3061,-54.8807,-67.6431,-60.7762,-47.2405,0.0,72.7413,-57.4207,-12.8274,-54.3686,0.0,-41.8291,0.0,74.1717,14.6267,-38.812,-28.0932,-29.1449,-1.9103,50.9719,9.4483,-51.3268,-11.0893,-55.345,0.0,-24.4925,-26.9292,-60.1326,-2.8426,-11.7265,0.0,22.1473,28.5157,47.1554,89.6562,25.0917,22.9544,12.149,-62.2135,19.2068,-44.1577,0.0,0.0,-27.456,-12.6143,-19.8243,89.0288,-64.889,10.1985,15.1386,9.2073],"direction":[0.0,22.4012,-5.9745,-30.7939,-47.2629,-53.0913,0.0,16.5614,-27.9172,-24.4049,-54.5627,0.0,-43.0613,0.0,19.15,18.4215,-3.9097,-24.5167,-41.3894,-34.9808,12.6081,20.6826,-22.2331,-31.8529,-57.6391,0.0,-40.0551,-44.7773,-54.486,-57.698,-49.5677,0.0,3.4137,14.1601,27.1985,55.0645,55.4045,50.7745,43.3547,-4.9063,8.5103,-22.5827,0.0,0.0,-21.6159,-12.0817,-24.3623,43.0058,-26.3042,25.9859,31.1789,4.2725],"intensity":[40.3846,19.2308,90.3846,82.6923,90.3846,42.3077,61.5385,94.2308,90.3846,84.6154,73.0769,61.5385,48.0769,42.3077,69.2308,51.9231,59.6154,50.0,50.0,17.3077,78.8462,55.7692,84.6154,90.3846,82.6923,55.7692,50.0,30.7692,80.7692,46.1538,17.3077,59.6154,23.0769,15.3846,19.2308,94.2308,57.6923,40.3846,11.5385,55.7692,15.3846,46.1538,3.8462,21.1538,28.8462,7.6923,3.8462,88.4615,69.2308,61.5385,25.0,1.9231],"confirmation":[7.2265,28.0731,54.309,82.1593,84.8497,83.484,8.3653,80.9271,82.1373,75.8013,86.2984,8.2829,81.9475,5.4669,81.0324,73.1223,53.9638,77.6319,80.1721,50.1614,78.0449,72.1803,80.8381,74.2372,87.1313,7.748,79.5352,80.1595,87.9026,54.0255,6.8683,5.7153,25.9768,74.0478,79.4087,89.3708,80.8784,8.1719,6.0646,54.2406,73.4343,79.1796,24.2645,48.088,76.0476,73.4369,76.1474,87.4882,34.441,73.0786,74.3418,32.611],"persistence":[62.5,62.5,37.5,12.5,0.0,25.0,37.5,25.0,37.5,62.5,62.5,50.0,50.0,37.5,25.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,37.5,12.5,0.0,25.0,50.0,50.0,37.5,37.5,37.5,62.5,87.5,87.5,75.0,50.0,37.5,12.5,12.5,37.5,62.5,87.5,75.0,75.0,50.0,37.5,25.0,0.0,25.0,50.0,25.0,50.0,25.0,12.5,12.5],"assessmentRisk":[34.2168,36.2975,29.5413,24.4593,21.3425,24.1564,35.5477,1.575,13.0055,25.5594,19.4162,46.7149,17.6136,14.5708,29.2485,33.212,47.4295,4.3523,26.5204,37.6398,10.8263,38.5933,17.7239,23.2749,19.683,45.9336,24.5528,26.2995,12.3511,34.7165,39.2517,19.6297,41.4211,39.2887,31.1044,17.8657,28.9068,43.0906,41.9798,33.1998,45.8416,31.5577,42.4244,2.445,32.307,1.7871,19.2606,13.5032,49.9994,36.3138,37.8533,33.2926],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":1.1,"control":4.7,"force":9.2,"direction":4.3,"confirmation":32.6,"persistence":12.5,"assessmentRisk":33.3,"intensity":1.9,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Joint upward confirmation","headline":"The gauges support the upward market view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics agree. Control, force and direction support the same upward assessment.","take":"Current assessment: upward pressure has broad support.","tone":"positive","supportedView":"Price structure and Market Dynamics","direction":"upward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Control support is limited","controlPath":"Control support is easing","forceState":"Commitment is limited","forcePath":"Commitment is easing","directionState":"Follow-through is limited","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Limited support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Quiet"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"+1.1","detail":"Joint upward confirmation","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"+4.7","detail":"Control support is limited","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"+9.2","detail":"Commitment is limited","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"+4.3","detail":"Follow-through is limited","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"33/100","detail":"Limited support","tone":"caution"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Aligned upward","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"53.6","detail":"Positive","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"9.8%","detail":"Contained","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"14.1","detail":"Range-led","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Range position","value":"75%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price and its trend references are aligned 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