{"ticker": {"uuid": "4de98077-7af8-4c95-bbf7-275614a57429", "symbol": "VLO", "name": "Valero Energy Corporation", "exchange": "MEX", "asset_type": "equity"}, "latest_week": "2026-07-24", "summary": "VLO closed the latest completed week at 5,430 MXN. The 4-week return is 21.6% and the 12-week return is 22.5%. The trend backdrop is active, with activity pressure at 0.64.", "description": "Valero Energy Corporation manufactures, markets, and sells petroleum-based and low-carbon liquid transportation fuels and petrochemical products in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, Ireland, Latin America, Mexico, Peru, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Refining, Renewable Diesel, and Ethanol. The company produces California Reformulated Gasoline Blendstock for Oxygenate Blending (CARBOB) and Conventional Blendstock for Oxygenate Blending (CBOB) gasolines, CARB diesel, diesel, jet fuel, heating oil, and asphalt; feedstocks; aromatics; sulfur and residual fuel oil; intermediate oils; and sulfur, sweet, and sour crude oils. It sells its refined products through wholesale rack and bulk markets; and through outlets under the Valero, Beacon, Diamond Shamrock, Shamrock, Ultramar, and Texaco brands. The company also owns and operates renewable diesel and ethanol plants, as well as produces and sells renewable diesel, renewable naphtha, and neat sustainable aviation fuel under the Diamond Green Diesel brand name. In addition, it offers ethanol and various co-products, including dry distillers grains, syrup, and inedible distillers corn oil to animal feed customers. The company was formerly known as Valero Refining and Marketing Company and changed its name to Valero Energy Corporation in August 1997. Valero Energy Corporation was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in San Antonio, Texas.", "setup_signature": "Balanced read", "composite_score": "68", "kpis": [{"label": "Latest Close", "value": "5,430 MXN", "hint": "2026-07-24"}, {"label": "1W Return", "value": "1.6%", "tone": "positive", "hint": "latest completed week"}, {"label": "4W Return", "value": "21.6%", "tone": "positive", "hint": "short-term follow-through"}, {"label": "12W Return", "value": "22.5%", "tone": "positive", "hint": "quarterly tape"}, {"label": "Trend Breadth", "value": "94.2%", "hint": "49 of 52 weeks active"}, {"label": "Volume Ratio", "value": "0.1x", "hint": "vs 13-week average"}], "classification": {"exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "sector": "Energy", "industry": "Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing", "currency": "MXN", "market_cap": "1263.3B"}, "price": {"trend_line": "4,072 MXN", "fair_value": "2,899 MXN", "vs_trend": "33.4%", "vs_fair_value": "87.3%", "high_52": "5,430 MXN", "low_52": "2,446 MXN", 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"return_tone": "negative", "volume_height": 4, "volume": "0"}, {"week": "19 Jun", "return": -8.464516446760243, "return_label": "-8.5%", "return_tone": "negative", "volume_height": 4, "volume": "0"}, {"week": "26 Jun", "return": 9.17094644167278, "return_label": "9.2%", "return_tone": "positive", "volume_height": 4, "volume": "141"}, {"week": "3 Jul", "return": 4.768147356630822, "return_label": "4.8%", "return_tone": "positive", "volume_height": 4, "volume": "208"}, {"week": "10 Jul", "return": 0.0, "return_label": "0.0%", "return_tone": "neutral", "volume_height": 4, "volume": "0"}, {"week": "17 Jul", "return": 14.248904455692907, "return_label": "14.2%", "return_tone": "positive", "volume_height": 12.00900163666121, "volume": "1.2K"}, {"week": "24 Jul", "return": 1.6235437233893228, "return_label": "1.6%", "return_tone": "positive", "volume_height": 4, "volume": "119"}], "insights": [{"label": "Participation", "value": "0.1x", "detail": "Latest volume versus the 13-week average.", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Baseline", "value": "1.1K", "detail": "13-week average volume.", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "One-year base", "value": "2.3K", "detail": "52-week average volume.", "tone": "neutral"}]}, "risk": {"volatility_13": "7.3%", "volatility_52": "6.2%", "downside_weeks": 20, "upside_weeks": 24, "downside_breadth": "38.5%", "average_gain": "6.5%", "average_loss": "-3.8%", "distribution_scale": "16%", "return_callouts": [{"label": "Weeks higher", "value": "14 of 26", "detail": "10 weeks finished lower.", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Best week", "value": "+16.0%", "detail": "Week of 6 Mar.", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Worst week", "value": "-11.5%", "detail": "Week of 8 May.", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "Latest week", "value": "+1.6%", "detail": "Week of 24 Jul.", "tone": "positive"}], "buckets": [{"label": "Strong gains", "count": 10, "share": 38.46153846153847, "share_label": "38.5%", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Modest gains", "count": 4, "share": 15.384615384615385, "share_label": "15.4%", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Flat weeks", "count": 2, "share": 7.6923076923076925, "share_label": "7.7%", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Modest losses", "count": 5, "share": 19.230769230769234, "share_label": "19.2%", "tone": "negative"}, {"label": "Sharp losses", "count": 5, "share": 19.230769230769234, "share_label": "19.2%", "tone": "negative"}], "insights": [{"label": "Recent vol", "value": "7.3%", "detail": "13-week weekly-return volatility.", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Base vol", "value": "6.2%", "detail": "52-week weekly-return volatility.", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Up/down split", "value": "24/20", "detail": "Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Average skew", "value": "6.5% / -3.8%", "detail": "Average positive week versus average negative week.", "tone": "neutral"}]}, "signals": [{"label": "Trend backdrop", "value": "Active", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Activity pressure", "value": "No fresh buy", "tone": "neutral"}, {"label": "Price vs Trend", "value": "33.4%", "tone": "positive"}, {"label": "Volume", "value": "0.1x", "tone": "neutral"}], "opportunities": ["The trend backdrop is active with a 48-week active streak.", "Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.", "Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.", "Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.", "Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read."], "risks": ["Next-week expectancy is negative at 36.59% based on similar historical setup states.", "3 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape."], "watch_points": ["Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.", "Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.", "Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.", "A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move."], "recent_rows": [{"week": "2026-07-24", "close": "5,430 MXN", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "4,072 MXN", "fair_value": "2,899 MXN", "activity_pressure": "0.64", "relative_leadership": "48.39", "volume": "119", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-07-17", "close": "5,343 MXN", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "3,995 MXN", "fair_value": "2,878 MXN", "activity_pressure": "0.19", "relative_leadership": "47.22", "volume": "1.2K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-07-10", "close": "4,677 MXN", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "3,922 MXN", "fair_value": "2,857 MXN", "activity_pressure": "-0.30", "relative_leadership": "30.60", "volume": "0", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-07-03", "close": "4,677 MXN", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "3,871 MXN", "fair_value": "2,839 MXN", "activity_pressure": "-0.43", "relative_leadership": "30.43", "volume": "208", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-06-26", "close": "4,464 MXN", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "3,819 MXN", "fair_value": "2,822 MXN", "activity_pressure": "-0.41", "relative_leadership": "25.36", "volume": "141", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-06-19", "close": "4,089 MXN", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "3,778 MXN", "fair_value": "2,806 MXN", "activity_pressure": "-0.32", "relative_leadership": "14.95", "volume": "0", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-06-12", "close": "4,467 MXN", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "3,751 MXN", "fair_value": "2,792 MXN", "activity_pressure": "-0.14", "relative_leadership": "25.85", "volume": "0", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-06-05", "close": "4,557 MXN", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "3,711 MXN", "fair_value": "2,776 MXN", "activity_pressure": "-0.03", "relative_leadership": "32.99", "volume": "0", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-29", "close": "4,254 MXN", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "3,668 MXN", "fair_value": "2,760 MXN", "activity_pressure": "0.04", "relative_leadership": "20.90", "volume": "3.4K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-22", "close": "4,267 MXN", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "3,625 MXN", "fair_value": "2,744 MXN", "activity_pressure": "0.22", "relative_leadership": "22.59", "volume": "166", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-15", "close": "4,324 MXN", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "3,582 MXN", "fair_value": "2,730 MXN", "activity_pressure": "0.41", "relative_leadership": "25.82", "volume": "1.8K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-08", "close": "3,922 MXN", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "3,537 MXN", "fair_value": "2,715 MXN", "activity_pressure": "0.53", "relative_leadership": "11.82", "volume": "7.5K", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-05-01", "close": "4,432 MXN", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "3,509 MXN", "fair_value": "2,702 MXN", "activity_pressure": "0.66", "relative_leadership": "30.79", "volume": "311", "trend_backdrop": null}, {"week": "2026-04-24", "close": "4,014 MXN", "return": null, "return_tone": null, "trend_line": "3,464 MXN", "fair_value": "2,686 MXN", "activity_pressure": "0.77", "relative_leadership": "17.23", "volume": "6.0K", "trend_backdrop": null}], "intelligence": {"rating": "Neutral", "rating_tone": "neutral", "overall_score": "58", "primary_driver": {"label": "Indicator analysis", "score": 72.06249999999999, "score_label": "72", "tone": "positive", "summary": "Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 6/12, relative leadership 12/12.", "detail": "Activity pressure 0.83; 3 reversal markers", "metric": "72/100", "url": "/terminal/4de98077-7af8-4c95-bbf7-275614a57429/", "available": true, "weight": 1.45}, "primary_conflict": {"label": "Next-Week Expectancy", "score": 31.70645, "score_label": "32", "tone": "negative", "summary": "Next-week expectancy is negative with a 36.59% historical one-week setup read.", "detail": "Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership.", "metric": "Negative 36.59%", "url": "/terminal/4de98077-7af8-4c95-bbf7-275614a57429/", "available": true, "weight": 1.05}, "options_tone": "neutral", "options": null, "evidence": [{"label": "Weekly tape", "score": 67.51186562042334, "score_label": "68", "tone": "positive", "summary": "Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 68/100 tape read.", "detail": "", "metric": "68/100", "url": "/terminal/4de98077-7af8-4c95-bbf7-275614a57429/", "available": true, "weight": 1.6}, {"label": "Indicator analysis", "score": 72.06249999999999, "score_label": "72", "tone": "positive", "summary": "Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 6/12, relative leadership 12/12.", "detail": "Activity pressure 0.83; 3 reversal markers", "metric": "72/100", "url": "/terminal/4de98077-7af8-4c95-bbf7-275614a57429/", "available": true, "weight": 1.45}, {"label": "Next-Week Expectancy", "score": 31.70645, "score_label": "32", "tone": "negative", "summary": "Next-week expectancy is negative with a 36.59% historical one-week setup read.", "detail": "Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership.", "metric": "Negative 36.59%", "url": "/terminal/4de98077-7af8-4c95-bbf7-275614a57429/", "available": true, "weight": 1.05}, {"label": "Factors", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No published factor snapshot is available yet.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/factors/", "available": false, "weight": 0}, {"label": "Patient Capital", "score": 48.0, "score_label": "48", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.", "detail": "No recent buy signal", "metric": "Quiet", "url": "/patient-capital/", "available": true, "weight": 1}, {"label": "Sentiment", "score": 59.0, "score_label": "59", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Weighted news tone is neutral across 57 relevant articles.", "detail": "Valero Energy (VLO) Stock Shrugs Off Profit Surge As Peak Cycle Doubts Linger", "metric": "59/100", "url": "/sentiment/4de98077-7af8-4c95-bbf7-275614a57429/", "available": true, "weight": 0.95}, {"label": "Insiders", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/insider-activity/", "available": false, "weight": 0}, {"label": "Earnings", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/earnings-calendar/", "available": false, "weight": 0}], "positives": [{"label": "Indicator analysis", "score": 72.06249999999999, "score_label": "72", "tone": "positive", "summary": "Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 6/12, relative leadership 12/12.", "detail": "Activity pressure 0.83; 3 reversal markers", "metric": "72/100", "url": "/terminal/4de98077-7af8-4c95-bbf7-275614a57429/", "available": true, "weight": 1.45}, {"label": "Weekly tape", "score": 67.51186562042334, "score_label": "68", "tone": "positive", "summary": "Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 68/100 tape read.", "detail": "", "metric": "68/100", "url": "/terminal/4de98077-7af8-4c95-bbf7-275614a57429/", "available": true, "weight": 1.6}], "negatives": [{"label": "Next-Week Expectancy", "score": 31.70645, "score_label": "32", "tone": "negative", "summary": "Next-week expectancy is negative with a 36.59% historical one-week setup read.", "detail": "Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership.", "metric": "Negative 36.59%", "url": "/terminal/4de98077-7af8-4c95-bbf7-275614a57429/", "available": true, "weight": 1.05}], "conclusion": ["The strongest supporting evidence is indicator analysis: Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 6/12, relative leadership 12/12.", "The main constraint is next-week expectancy: Next-week expectancy is negative with a 36.59% historical one-week setup read.", "The combined read is balanced, making the next change in trend, sentiment, or options pressure especially important."], "weekly_changes": [{"label": "Price follow-through", "value": "1.6%", "detail": "Latest completed week; four-week move 21.6%.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/4de98077-7af8-4c95-bbf7-275614a57429/"}, {"label": "Indicator stack", "value": "97/82", "detail": "Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/4de98077-7af8-4c95-bbf7-275614a57429/"}, {"label": "Trend backdrop", "value": "Active", "detail": "The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/4de98077-7af8-4c95-bbf7-275614a57429/"}, {"label": "Patient Capital", "value": "Quiet", "detail": "Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/patient-capital/"}, {"label": "Next-Week Expectancy", "value": "Negative 36.59%", "detail": "Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.", "tone": "negative", "url": "/terminal/4de98077-7af8-4c95-bbf7-275614a57429/"}, {"label": "News sentiment", "value": "59/100", "detail": "57 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/sentiment/4de98077-7af8-4c95-bbf7-275614a57429/"}]}, "investor_view": {"stance": "Constructive, but selective", "stance_tone": "positive", "setup_score": "68", "bottom_line": "The weekly trend is active. Price is 33.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 100.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.6%, after a 21.6% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 59/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high; volume confirmation is below normal.", "price_summary": "The weekly trend is active. Price is 33.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 100.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.6%, after a 21.6% four-week move.", "volume_summary": "Latest weekly volume is 0.1x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.", "momentum_summary": "Performance is 21.6% over four weeks, 22.5% over 12 weeks, and 100.1% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 48 consecutive weeks.", "fundamentals": {"available": false, "summary": "A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.", "rank_scores": [], "groups": []}, "weekly_change": [{"label": "Price follow-through", "value": "1.6%", "detail": "Latest completed week; four-week move 21.6%.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/4de98077-7af8-4c95-bbf7-275614a57429/"}, {"label": "Indicator stack", "value": "97/82", "detail": "Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/4de98077-7af8-4c95-bbf7-275614a57429/"}, {"label": "Trend backdrop", "value": "Active", "detail": "The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.", "tone": "positive", "url": "/terminal/4de98077-7af8-4c95-bbf7-275614a57429/"}, {"label": "Patient Capital", "value": "Quiet", "detail": "Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/patient-capital/"}, {"label": "Next-Week Expectancy", "value": "Negative 36.59%", "detail": "Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.", "tone": "negative", "url": "/terminal/4de98077-7af8-4c95-bbf7-275614a57429/"}, {"label": "News sentiment", "value": "59/100", "detail": "57 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.", "tone": "neutral", "url": "/sentiment/4de98077-7af8-4c95-bbf7-275614a57429/"}], "strengths": ["The trend backdrop is active with a 48-week active streak.", "Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.", "Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.", "Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week."], "risks": ["Next-week expectancy is negative at 36.59% based on similar historical setup states.", "3 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape."], "watch_points": ["Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.", "Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.", "Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.", "A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move."], "evidence": {"weekly_tape": {"label": "Weekly tape", "score": 67.51186562042334, "score_label": "68", "tone": "positive", "summary": "Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 68/100 tape read.", "detail": "", "metric": "68/100", "url": "/terminal/4de98077-7af8-4c95-bbf7-275614a57429/", "available": true, "weight": 1.6}, "indicator_analysis": {"label": "Indicator analysis", "score": 72.06249999999999, "score_label": "72", "tone": "positive", "summary": "Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 6/12, relative leadership 12/12.", "detail": "Activity pressure 0.83; 3 reversal markers", "metric": "72/100", "url": "/terminal/4de98077-7af8-4c95-bbf7-275614a57429/", "available": true, "weight": 1.45}, "next-week_expectancy": {"label": "Next-Week Expectancy", "score": 31.70645, "score_label": "32", "tone": "negative", "summary": "Next-week expectancy is negative with a 36.59% historical one-week setup read.", "detail": "Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership.", "metric": "Negative 36.59%", "url": "/terminal/4de98077-7af8-4c95-bbf7-275614a57429/", "available": true, "weight": 1.05}, "factors": {"label": "Factors", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No published factor snapshot is available yet.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/factors/", "available": false, "weight": 0}, "patient_capital": {"label": "Patient Capital", "score": 48.0, "score_label": "48", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.", "detail": "No recent buy signal", "metric": "Quiet", "url": "/patient-capital/", "available": true, "weight": 1}, "sentiment": {"label": "Sentiment", "score": 59.0, "score_label": "59", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "Weighted news tone is neutral across 57 relevant articles.", "detail": "Valero Energy (VLO) Stock Shrugs Off Profit Surge As Peak Cycle Doubts Linger", "metric": "59/100", "url": "/sentiment/4de98077-7af8-4c95-bbf7-275614a57429/", "available": true, "weight": 0.95}, "insiders": {"label": "Insiders", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/insider-activity/", "available": false, "weight": 0}, "earnings": {"label": "Earnings", "score": 50.0, "score_label": "50", "tone": "neutral", "summary": "No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.", "detail": "", "metric": "50/100", "url": "/earnings-calendar/", "available": false, "weight": 0}}, "section_nav": [{"id": "overview", "label": "Overview"}, {"id": "price-action", "label": "Price"}, {"id": "volume-demand", "label": "Volume"}, {"id": "momentum", "label": "Momentum"}, {"id": "fundamentals", "label": "Fundamentals"}, {"id": "ownership-flow", "label": "Ownership & Flow"}, {"id": "catalysts-risk", "label": "Catalysts & Risk"}, {"id": "peer-context", "label": "Peer Context"}, {"id": "weekly-data", "label": "Weekly Data"}]}, "chart_url": "/terminal/4de98077-7af8-4c95-bbf7-275614a57429/", "api_path": "/terminal/4de98077-7af8-4c95-bbf7-275614a57429/report/api/"}