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cautious, Market Dynamics positive","kind":"disagreement","expectedDirection":"higher","episodes":18,"completedEpisodes":17,"activeEpisodes":1,"medianExpectedMove":10.5,"averageExpectedMove":15.0,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":8.9,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":18,"expectedCount":7,"expectedPercent":38.9,"averageReturn":1.1,"medianReturn":-3.2,"confidenceLow":20.3,"confidenceHigh":61.4,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":17,"expectedCount":11,"expectedPercent":64.7,"averageReturn":7.8,"medianReturn":8.0,"confidenceLow":41.3,"confidenceHigh":82.7,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":15,"expectedCount":9,"expectedPercent":60.0,"averageReturn":15.9,"medianReturn":2.2,"confidenceLow":35.7,"confidenceHigh":80.2,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":0.3,"sample":18},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-0.2,"sample":18},{"week":3,"averageReturn":1.4,"sample":18},{"week":4,"averageReturn":1.1,"sample":18},{"week":5,"averageReturn":2.7,"sample":18},{"week":6,"averageReturn":1.9,"sample":18},{"week":7,"averageReturn":5.0,"sample":18},{"week":8,"averageReturn":5.8,"sample":18},{"week":9,"averageReturn":8.3,"sample":18},{"week":10,"averageReturn":7.4,"sample":18},{"week":11,"averageReturn":10.0,"sample":18},{"week":12,"averageReturn":7.8,"sample":17},{"week":13,"averageReturn":10.6,"sample":17},{"week":14,"averageReturn":12.2,"sample":17},{"week":15,"averageReturn":10.8,"sample":16},{"week":16,"averageReturn":10.1,"sample":16},{"week":17,"averageReturn":7.9,"sample":16},{"week":18,"averageReturn":9.4,"sample":16},{"week":19,"averageReturn":7.0,"sample":15},{"week":20,"averageReturn":7.4,"sample":15},{"week":21,"averageReturn":9.0,"sample":15},{"week":22,"averageReturn":11.8,"sample":15},{"week":23,"averageReturn":13.4,"sample":15},{"week":24,"averageReturn":13.5,"sample":15},{"week":25,"averageReturn":12.2,"sample":15},{"week":26,"averageReturn":15.9,"sample":15}]}},"pricePressureGap":{"label":"Price elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":1,"completedEpisodes":0,"activeEpisodes":1,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":1,"expectedCount":0,"expectedPercent":0.0,"averageReturn":8.8,"medianReturn":8.8,"confidenceLow":0.0,"confidenceHigh":79.3,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":1.6,"sample":1},{"week":2,"averageReturn":1.5,"sample":1},{"week":3,"averageReturn":1.5,"sample":1},{"week":4,"averageReturn":8.8,"sample":1},{"week":5,"sample":0},{"week":6,"sample":0},{"week":7,"sample":0},{"week":8,"sample":0},{"week":9,"sample":0},{"week":10,"sample":0},{"week":11,"sample":0},{"week":12,"sample":0},{"week":13,"sample":0},{"week":14,"sample":0},{"week":15,"sample":0},{"week":16,"sample":0},{"week":17,"sample":0},{"week":18,"sample":0},{"week":19,"sample":0},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Evidence aligned","tone":"positive","headline":"Price and Market Dynamics remain aligned upward","use":"The advance retains underlying support while price structure and Market Dynamics remain intact.","confirm":"The advance remains supported. Reclassify it only if the broader Market Dynamics path weakens or price structure breaks.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"positive","direction":"strengthening","zone":"distribution","zoneContext":"Price is inside distribution conditions, but Market Dynamics still offers support. Extension can persist; a rollover has not been confirmed.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"higher","percent":70.6,"averageReturn":9.3,"sample":17},"nowContext":{"label":"Stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Strengthened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price structure is upward","detail":"Price is responding in the same broad direction as Market Dynamics."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Trend participation","title":"Let confirmation support the position, then manage extension","tone":"positive","approach":"This is most useful for holding or selectively adding to an established upward case. Risk should still tighten as price becomes extended; confirmation is support, not immunity from reversal.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 70.6% of comparable cases moved higher after 12 weeks, with an average move of 9.3% across 17 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 8.7% across 20 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 6.2 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[{"date":"2024-08-23","price":2892.181152},{"date":"2025-02-21","price":2756.913086},{"date":"2025-03-21","price":2624.157959},{"date":"2025-07-11","price":2854.955322},{"date":"2025-08-22","price":2644.35498}],"distribution_rollovers":[],"price_pressure_gaps":[{"date":"2026-07-17","price":5342.067871}]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[2892.1812,2854.5398,2670.5903,2603.6355,2603.6355,2678.3801,2746.5317,2690.9673,2699.9436,2699.9436,2699.9436,2702.9358,2792.7012,2898.5354,2889.5552,2658.022,2730.5994,2414.7842,2378.6946,2378.6946,2463.5154,2463.5154,2463.5154,2934.3552,2756.9131,2756.9131,2756.9131,2756.9131,2529.762,2537.3181,2624.158,2622.1616,2151.031,2194.321,2194.321,2194.321,2253.8716,2375.6165,2637.2739,2486.3477,2476.4915,2490.4719,2504.4519,2504.4519,2530.7249,2530.7249,2854.9553,2713.3062,2713.3062,2714.4348,2482.0173,2494.4451,2644.355,2818.6506,2797.2021,2938.5208,2935.0642,3178.7605,3086.9124,3086.9124,2968.4309,2968.4309,2968.4309,3285.4138,3266.4629,3267.592,3228.0376,3139.8755,3139.8755,3139.8755,3139.8755,2908.707,3367.4365,3266.3628,3274.9175,3117.96,3481.2119,3438.0737,3438.0737,3499.0574,4058.9065,4235.1387,4288.8442,4607.0186,4258.8525,4095.7866,3893.8508,4013.9185,4431.8062,3921.9934,4324.105,4267.0,4254.5,4557.0,4467.1201,4089.0,4463.0122,4675.8154,4675.8154,5342.0679,5428.7988,5423.0996,5424.2998,5810.0],"consensus":[25.3108,0.0,-64.8024,-66.7951,-34.2492,9.939,28.7352,-19.5341,12.1304,0.0,-10.6767,-9.8624,39.6925,62.8679,43.7072,-58.1214,0.0,-76.9126,-59.3001,-41.0392,0.0,-20.8108,-17.0886,71.9297,-11.0688,30.0731,29.5468,10.1015,-61.5175,-15.2752,9.2061,-24.5013,-72.8853,-14.611,-41.01,-40.7748,13.6786,37.01,70.6732,-19.0457,0.0,28.3668,17.6551,12.9024,37.7655,19.1257,77.9837,0.0,35.4999,46.8557,-61.6371,-9.1524,44.1431,68.4984,17.6656,65.2056,27.2367,87.3137,12.6447,39.8077,21.1324,9.8827,9.2656,80.2822,41.935,52.1679,15.9842,-24.3704,0.0,0.0,0.0,-64.7548,65.9915,0.0,23.1412,-34.4028,69.0953,12.8363,33.1388,65.494,86.3023,83.1337,54.8934,90.1896,0.0,-16.2415,-38.4433,34.5336,71.244,-47.9688,66.7047,8.9407,13.6708,48.6683,20.8593,-30.9295,39.9729,40.0282,30.7404,82.1529,61.6353,56.6535,40.9667,85.4917],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[51.7164,75.9942,2.6548,57.7156,10.832,90.709,10.3951,34.1206,27.0413,21.5617,20.348,78.8979,44.458,57.166,3.0824,-22.9539,0.0,0.0,0.0,-64.6292,56.209,0.0,13.9041,-44.7286,66.9644,1.1509,30.5177,69.5497,88.3703,84.0334,41.87,93.2268,0.0,-12.0067,-31.0398,47.7174,76.4408,-43.9462,63.2502,3.1145,30.446,50.5597,19.3584,-31.9534,44.575,46.4536,30.2296,85.1041,70.0847,63.5238,35.5152,89.879],"force":[79.8204,72.9925,16.9949,74.4052,2.7504,99.102,31.698,9.3764,14.6305,10.1848,9.0807,99.3574,1.4632,22.5244,19.2869,-70.3665,0.0,0.0,0.0,-65.944,96.76,0.0,9.3307,-75.1613,96.4656,21.8154,9.1986,68.4187,99.9589,90.9917,44.2033,98.0496,0.0,-82.6155,-87.0719,61.445,86.9134,-95.058,96.5604,14.8399,5.6512,36.2101,5.5583,-34.4909,34.6528,25.8553,7.5202,98.6507,36.8163,28.0314,10.5724,96.7508],"direction":[10.0041,56.7218,59.5784,67.1943,67.4043,75.0132,70.6493,68.0439,39.9243,10.8692,9.7045,68.2392,67.9601,67.6299,62.9681,-6.865,0.0,0.0,0.0,-64.0489,55.1939,0.0,43.5627,-6.5112,51.9805,53.5729,53.2346,58.7698,74.1842,76.4925,77.4131,81.1042,0.0,-26.3286,-12.1699,0.2441,54.1124,-18.9311,49.3274,39.7041,8.3005,55.4054,41.4444,-27.2155,38.5136,42.8085,47.91,66.9959,69.7067,69.246,68.9072,72.4354],"intensity":[61.5385,67.3077,63.4615,59.6154,15.3846,82.6923,61.5385,46.1538,51.9231,13.4615,9.6154,92.3077,80.7692,25.0,25.0,44.2308,46.1538,11.5385,13.4615,78.8462,96.1538,92.3077,25.0,63.4615,94.2308,88.4615,26.9231,32.6923,100.0,86.5385,92.3077,80.7692,90.3846,92.3077,76.9231,65.3846,96.1538,98.0769,90.3846,82.6923,59.6154,86.5385,32.6923,88.4615,86.5385,48.0769,7.6923,100.0,98.0769,23.0769,44.2308,84.6154],"confirmation":[83.0977,89.9422,8.451,89.2603,53.9719,96.2479,34.6925,79.8977,31.3702,27.2123,26.8409,94.2927,57.4807,83.7142,9.1027,56.0198,3.3204,2.9092,2.8544,88.7597,90.204,10.984,75.1251,58.8161,90.9771,8.1642,77.9148,88.9854,96.0014,94.8285,85.4386,97.0539,40.3301,35.5681,81.8967,57.0034,91.1964,84.8464,90.308,6.1502,50.0691,83.1654,52.4118,77.9904,80.5591,80.2792,54.4704,94.7467,86.8382,85.1521,80.2661,100.0],"persistence":[37.5,37.5,37.5,50.0,50.0,50.0,75.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,75.0,62.5,50.0,37.5,12.5,12.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,12.5,25.0,37.5,62.5,62.5,75.0,75.0,100.0,87.5,62.5,37.5,37.5,37.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,25.0,50.0,75.0,50.0,50.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,100.0],"assessmentRisk":[47.2616,1.2323,40.3325,17.2548,35.0261,5.6111,41.5641,21.2158,2.4357,51.5694,41.5076,5.7605,28.1205,23.0838,40.635,28.9431,42.164,41.4007,36.9012,15.7927,10.4356,31.4585,21.4312,58.6095,6.9843,30.1972,18.9295,15.7015,6.2018,8.3352,22.4939,4.8971,35.5158,18.3324,27.0376,66.5041,5.9139,3.0053,11.1419,29.6154,33.0341,24.6262,13.2649,11.3949,9.9468,0.6227,15.8441,8.8847,18.9473,20.9054,29.2101,4.6846],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":85.5,"control":89.9,"force":96.8,"direction":72.4,"confirmation":100.0,"persistence":100.0,"assessmentRisk":4.7,"intensity":84.6,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Joint upward confirmation","headline":"The gauges support the upward market view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics agree. Control, force and direction support the same upward assessment.","take":"Current assessment: upward pressure has broad support.","tone":"positive","supportedView":"Price structure and Market Dynamics","direction":"upward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Buyer control supports the view","controlPath":"Broadly stable","forceState":"Upward commitment","forcePath":"Broadly stable","directionState":"Upward follow-through","persistenceState":"Established","confirmationState":"Strong support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Elevated"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"+85.5","detail":"Joint upward confirmation","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"+89.9","detail":"Buyer control supports the view","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"+96.8","detail":"Upward commitment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"+72.4","detail":"Upward 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Market Dynamics construction and private inputs are not disclosed. Historical research is not a forecast or instruction to trade."}