{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"ALVAP Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"4e62875f-6c5c-4e95-adc0-c2c15651bccf","symbol":"ALVAP","name":"Kumulus Vape S.A.","exchange":"PAR","country":"FR","asset_type":"equity","currency":"EUR","sector":"Consumer Cyclical","industry":"Internet Retail"},"summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path. Price has not yet responded to the same extent.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Drawdown and recovery pressure, Strength versus the research benchmark, Activity pressure and cumulative balance, Range pressure and compression, Acceleration, deceleration and rollover."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-14","observations":260,"displayedObservations":104,"assetType":"Equity","state":"Rotational","stateTone":"caution","summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. 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adverse"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-1.8,"sample":16},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-2.3,"sample":16},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-3.1,"sample":16},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-5.6,"sample":15},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-3.8,"sample":15},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-5.3,"sample":15},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-7.0,"sample":14},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-8.3,"sample":14},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-8.9,"sample":14},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-8.7,"sample":14},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-9.0,"sample":14},{"week":12,"averageReturn":-8.9,"sample":14},{"week":13,"averageReturn":-9.4,"sample":14},{"week":14,"averageReturn":-9.8,"sample":14},{"week":15,"averageReturn":-11.9,"sample":14},{"week":16,"averageReturn":-12.9,"sample":14},{"week":17,"averageReturn":-13.3,"sample":14},{"week":18,"averageReturn":-13.0,"sample":14},{"week":19,"averageReturn":-13.0,"sample":14},{"week":20,"averageReturn":-12.9,"sample":14},{"week":21,"averageReturn":-14.9,"sample":14},{"week":22,"averageReturn":-17.0,"sample":14},{"week":23,"averageReturn":-17.4,"sample":14},{"week":24,"averageReturn":-18.1,"sample":14},{"week":25,"averageReturn":-17.2,"sample":14},{"week":26,"averageReturn":-18.1,"sample":14}]}},"pricePressureGap":{"label":"Price elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":0,"completedEpisodes":0,"activeEpisodes":0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":12,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"sample":0},{"week":2,"sample":0},{"week":3,"sample":0},{"week":4,"sample":0},{"week":5,"sample":0},{"week":6,"sample":0},{"week":7,"sample":0},{"week":8,"sample":0},{"week":9,"sample":0},{"week":10,"sample":0},{"week":11,"sample":0},{"week":12,"sample":0},{"week":13,"sample":0},{"week":14,"sample":0},{"week":15,"sample":0},{"week":16,"sample":0},{"week":17,"sample":0},{"week":18,"sample":0},{"week":19,"sample":0},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Underlying strength ahead of price","tone":"caution","headline":"Underlying strength is leading price","use":"A positive price response is needed before the early upside case is confirmed.","confirm":"Treat the gap as an early-upside opportunity watch. A continued positive price response would confirm that price is catching up with the stronger foundation.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"positive","direction":"strengthening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Market Dynamics has strengthened across the recent completed path and remains strongly positive, while price has not advanced as far through its range. The gap is an early-upside watch; a positive price response is needed for confirmation.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"higher","percent":21.4,"averageReturn":-8.9,"sample":14},"nowContext":{"label":"Stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Strengthened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price is lagging the underlying strength","detail":"Market Dynamics has advanced further through its recent range than price. This is positive divergence and an early-upside watch, but price confirmation is still required."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Early repair watch","title":"Prepare the case before price confirms the recovery","tone":"recovery","approach":"Use the improvement to move the ticker onto a watchlist or define an entry trigger. Commitment should rise only after price responds; fading Market Dynamics cancels the early case.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 21.4% of comparable cases moved higher after 12 weeks, with an average move of -8.9% across 14 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 100.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 1 cases. Distinct visits lasted 3.2 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use improving Market Dynamics to prepare, not anticipate","tone":"recovery","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average recovery of 4.4% across 14 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 5.6 weeks on average.","approach":"Define the price level that would confirm the repair. Until that response occurs, keep the idea at watchlist or starter-position size.","watch":"The early repair fails if Market Dynamics fades before price responds."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[{"date":"2026-07-03","price":3.0},{"date":"2026-08-07","price":3.07}],"distribution_rollovers":[],"price_pressure_gaps":[]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[6.3846,6.5967,6.1338,5.9795,5.9602,6.0952,6.1338,6.4038,6.616,6.1338,6.0374,6.0567,5.9602,5.7095,5.2851,4.8993,4.8415,4.9572,4.9186,5.1501,5.1115,5.1501,5.1308,4.9958,4.9765,4.745,4.7354,4.6679,4.5811,4.4268,4.4846,4.4171,3.9831,4.7547,4.61,4.61,4.7354,4.774,4.7932,5.0922,5.0536,5.0151,4.6389,4.4557,4.64,4.75,5.0,4.78,4.92,4.6,4.7,4.74,4.94,4.87,4.79,4.66,4.3,3.9,3.9,3.98,3.9,3.96,3.94,3.86,3.7,3.63,3.7,4.35,4.4,4.31,4.34,4.19,4.14,3.99,3.98,3.86,3.87,3.78,3.78,3.47,3.51,3.43,3.42,3.34,3.3,3.17,3.0,3.0028,2.8478,2.8963,2.906,2.9544,3.0222,3.0706,2.8672,3.0028,3.1,3.0,3.03,3.1,2.84,2.73,3.07,3.1],"consensus":[41.3162,53.6848,-30.1265,-23.8744,-17.0359,10.2098,0.0,33.3306,40.6419,-30.8277,-16.7909,-8.7713,-26.5019,-40.2151,-54.5714,-67.4078,-35.533,-30.6729,-29.5124,15.2629,-17.2881,-17.0875,0.0,-37.0698,-14.941,-48.0902,-30.6763,-41.2861,-37.4963,-43.4464,-19.0637,-43.211,-69.7137,47.7653,0.0,8.9276,32.2671,9.6214,19.4568,48.7805,18.0037,0.0,-35.477,-35.789,0.0,0.0,44.0669,-14.2768,24.454,-43.8594,0.0,0.0,31.7235,0.0,0.0,-27.5318,-55.3107,-64.6496,-23.2784,-17.4755,-38.9966,0.0,-14.6317,-27.6849,-50.7066,-50.2202,-18.6512,59.5818,36.1932,19.0254,26.296,-11.0886,0.0,-25.709,-15.2978,-39.7685,-16.443,-26.1906,-12.0344,-60.3681,-12.4574,-47.896,-32.8368,-34.9284,-30.0049,-52.0821,-54.2644,-18.0833,-60.0283,-16.377,-11.6774,0.0,0.0,13.5777,-31.1461,11.6497,19.1994,-13.5427,11.1506,26.0354,-42.8256,-40.0974,34.5907,19.3139],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[34.8338,0.0,0.0,-35.2052,-47.8657,-59.2049,-9.0616,-5.0809,-37.6335,0.0,-15.2062,-27.097,-59.1867,-58.802,-10.1359,54.9738,31.4692,9.811,18.3407,-11.2591,0.0,-24.9934,-9.3803,-46.4825,-11.6526,-25.057,-3.4885,-55.0107,-1.7521,-48.9745,-29.9904,-31.5429,-26.2657,-47.366,-43.4727,-5.2694,-54.0771,-5.9474,-3.1556,0.0,0.0,14.2018,-37.8525,14.2027,21.4107,-14.7445,7.8912,29.4698,-36.7731,-42.9185,38.9977,23.5139],"force":[48.4543,0.0,0.0,-35.7093,-79.3979,-83.2604,-1.7532,-13.089,-23.2644,0.0,-5.4117,-12.5842,-41.3007,-31.8606,-6.2761,87.8551,26.7312,2.066,16.4125,-24.4661,0.0,-25.7721,-7.9583,-34.8155,-2.4509,-15.389,-4.0783,-80.2357,-16.2174,-41.7401,-14.1471,-30.8098,-14.6011,-61.2218,-67.1812,-11.0987,-71.8633,-16.6864,-15.412,0.0,0.0,28.0747,-22.5782,32.7663,27.6835,-12.5976,17.3429,32.6453,-62.9243,-32.9008,56.1258,19.8937],"direction":[16.2182,0.0,0.0,-12.9213,-46.6143,-57.5787,-57.406,-53.4725,-51.7918,0.0,-28.2918,-39.1429,-47.7336,-53.5263,-46.1882,44.6528,48.3506,41.67,42.4476,-1.3384,0.0,-26.4819,-27.303,-35.6333,-31.9121,-35.2015,-33.3102,-52.2996,-49.1789,-51.0605,-49.4397,-41.7395,-45.281,-50.9435,-57.3714,-53.572,-58.3761,-51.9134,-40.7662,0.0,0.0,2.5094,-29.6016,6.3512,10.6121,-12.8442,10.4525,17.3891,-35.3864,-42.0139,14.172,14.0999],"intensity":[36.5385,13.4615,21.1538,28.8462,92.3077,76.9231,82.6923,32.6923,15.3846,7.6923,1.9231,38.4615,34.6154,36.5385,11.5385,94.2308,75.0,23.0769,7.6923,46.1538,57.6923,36.5385,1.9231,34.6154,30.7692,26.9231,26.9231,73.0769,67.3077,28.8462,21.1538,50.0,32.6923,44.2308,80.7692,32.6923,46.1538,32.6923,1.9231,30.7692,42.3077,7.6923,69.2308,59.6154,32.6923,38.4615,51.9231,15.3846,94.2308,84.6154,88.4615,69.2308],"confirmation":[78.614,25.8506,25.3753,76.9425,86.547,89.338,52.6102,7.6419,80.0202,5.649,50.5504,76.4079,83.8102,83.3802,52.0107,87.998,79.3654,51.045,76.2347,49.2868,3.0904,76.2397,50.0951,80.4727,50.2417,76.0691,27.0269,88.0049,7.1625,83.1227,77.9816,79.1032,77.1891,85.0167,85.9227,7.4603,87.6604,7.9517,6.3289,6.6726,26.1504,50.1105,77.6034,51.0208,74.3687,72.2865,49.1399,76.4804,82.4089,80.5689,79.6582,74.1341],"persistence":[12.5,12.5,0.0,0.0,25.0,25.0,37.5,50.0,75.0,75.0,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,62.5,37.5,25.0,0.0,0.0,12.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,37.5,62.5,87.5,87.5,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,87.5,75.0,50.0,50.0,25.0,0.0,0.0,25.0,37.5,25.0,0.0,25.0,25.0],"assessmentRisk":[10.8144,41.6001,23.0563,7.7593,22.211,17.6655,38.3438,41.1863,29.1966,17.8525,19.225,18.0665,17.3099,24.1228,37.2991,18.4449,31.5893,40.2577,36.7262,27.9046,44.5172,33.1516,39.6576,26.3701,35.3058,26.123,32.3199,17.2633,43.7064,26.0009,33.5352,27.3628,34.1922,23.6782,22.859,40.8989,19.9801,41.481,31.2942,19.5935,46.6925,42.0127,4.5983,16.2313,21.5341,21.7863,40.12,25.3008,27.3048,29.0035,4.159,9.657],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":19.3,"control":23.5,"force":19.9,"direction":14.1,"confirmation":74.1,"persistence":25.0,"assessmentRisk":9.7,"intensity":69.2,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","headline":"The gauges support the upward view","summary":"The completed evidence gives the upward view the clearer support.","take":"Current assessment: upward pressure has the stronger support.","tone":"positive","supportedView":"Market Dynamics","direction":"upward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Buyer control supports the view","controlPath":"Broadly stable","forceState":"Upward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is easing","directionState":"Upward follow-through","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Strong support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Elevated"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"+19.3","detail":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"+23.5","detail":"Buyer control supports the view","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"+19.9","detail":"Upward commitment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"+14.1","detail":"Upward follow-through","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"74/100","detail":"Strong support","tone":"positive"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Rotational","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"46.6","detail":"Negative","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"8.7%","detail":"Normal","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"26.0","detail":"Directional","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Range position","value":"46%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility 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