{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"RBT Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"4f05e6aa-c8c3-4b1c-8299-52f4cce5f457","symbol":"RBT","name":"Robertet SA","exchange":"PAR","country":"FR","asset_type":"equity","currency":"EUR","sector":"Basic Materials","industry":"Chemicals"},"summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path. 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cautious, Market Dynamics positive","kind":"disagreement","expectedDirection":"higher","episodes":19,"completedEpisodes":18,"activeEpisodes":1,"medianExpectedMove":3.5,"averageExpectedMove":5.5,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":5.9,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":18,"expectedCount":7,"expectedPercent":38.9,"averageReturn":-0.3,"medianReturn":-0.6,"confidenceLow":20.3,"confidenceHigh":61.4,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":18,"expectedCount":8,"expectedPercent":44.4,"averageReturn":0.0,"medianReturn":-2.7,"confidenceLow":24.6,"confidenceHigh":66.3,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":18,"expectedCount":8,"expectedPercent":44.4,"averageReturn":-1.1,"medianReturn":-1.3,"confidenceLow":24.6,"confidenceHigh":66.3,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":0.1,"sample":19},{"week":2,"averageReturn":0.8,"sample":18},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-0.2,"sample":18},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-0.3,"sample":18},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-1.2,"sample":18},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-0.7,"sample":18},{"week":7,"averageReturn":0.0,"sample":18},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-0.4,"sample":18},{"week":9,"averageReturn":0.1,"sample":18},{"week":10,"averageReturn":0.4,"sample":18},{"week":11,"averageReturn":0.0,"sample":18},{"week":12,"averageReturn":0.0,"sample":18},{"week":13,"averageReturn":-0.2,"sample":18},{"week":14,"averageReturn":0.1,"sample":18},{"week":15,"averageReturn":-0.7,"sample":18},{"week":16,"averageReturn":0.8,"sample":18},{"week":17,"averageReturn":-0.2,"sample":18},{"week":18,"averageReturn":-0.4,"sample":18},{"week":19,"averageReturn":-0.0,"sample":18},{"week":20,"averageReturn":-0.7,"sample":18},{"week":21,"averageReturn":-0.7,"sample":18},{"week":22,"averageReturn":0.2,"sample":18},{"week":23,"averageReturn":-0.7,"sample":18},{"week":24,"averageReturn":0.2,"sample":18},{"week":25,"averageReturn":-0.5,"sample":18},{"week":26,"averageReturn":-1.1,"sample":18}]}},"pricePressureGap":{"label":"Price elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":0,"completedEpisodes":0,"activeEpisodes":0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":12,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"sample":0},{"week":2,"sample":0},{"week":3,"sample":0},{"week":4,"sample":0},{"week":5,"sample":0},{"week":6,"sample":0},{"week":7,"sample":0},{"week":8,"sample":0},{"week":9,"sample":0},{"week":10,"sample":0},{"week":11,"sample":0},{"week":12,"sample":0},{"week":13,"sample":0},{"week":14,"sample":0},{"week":15,"sample":0},{"week":16,"sample":0},{"week":17,"sample":0},{"week":18,"sample":0},{"week":19,"sample":0},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Underlying strength ahead of price","tone":"caution","headline":"Underlying strength is leading price","use":"A positive price response is needed before the early upside case is confirmed.","confirm":"Treat the gap as an early-upside opportunity watch. A continued positive price response would confirm that price is catching up with the stronger foundation.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"positive","direction":"strengthening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Market Dynamics has strengthened across the recent completed path and remains strongly positive, while price has not advanced as far through its range. The gap is an early-upside watch; a positive price response is needed for confirmation.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"higher","percent":44.4,"averageReturn":0.0,"sample":18},"nowContext":{"label":"Stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Strengthened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price is lagging the underlying strength","detail":"Market Dynamics has advanced further through its recent range than price. This is positive divergence and an early-upside watch, but price confirmation is still required."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Early repair watch","title":"Prepare the case before price confirms the recovery","tone":"recovery","approach":"Use the improvement to move the ticker onto a watchlist or define an entry trigger. Commitment should rise only after price responds; fading Market Dynamics cancels the early case.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 44.4% of comparable cases moved higher after 12 weeks, with an average move of 0.0% across 18 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use distribution to protect capital before considering the short case","tone":"negative","finding":"After distribution, 100.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were lower across 3 cases. Distinct visits lasted 1.3 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Review long exposure and define the evidence that would confirm a rollover. Short exposure should begin only after price weakens and the loss limit is known.","watch":"A sustained repair in price and Market Dynamics invalidates the downside setup."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use improving Market Dynamics to prepare, not anticipate","tone":"recovery","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average recovery of 5.5% across 18 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 5.9 weeks on average.","approach":"Define the price level that would confirm the repair. Until that response occurs, keep the idea at watchlist or starter-position size.","watch":"The early repair fails if Market Dynamics fades before price responds."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"distribution_rollovers":[{"date":"2024-10-25","price":929.310547},{"date":"2024-11-15","price":865.117981}],"price_pressure_gaps":[]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[834.5031,874.9938,869.0683,933.2609,944.1242,942.149,923.3851,933.2609,955.9752,929.3105,921.4099,948.0745,865.118,882.8944,874.0062,861.1677,861.1677,838.4534,847.3416,839.441,832.528,830.5528,834.5031,841.4161,828.5776,843.3913,823.6397,804.8757,814.7515,786.1118,785.1242,815.7391,793.0248,799.9379,809.8137,799.9379,801.913,796.9752,814.7515,836.4783,857.2173,870.0559,829.5652,821.6646,808.0,815.0,804.0,793.0,778.0,823.0,826.0,834.0,859.0,829.0,802.0,838.0,807.0,799.0,804.0,804.0,818.0,859.0,833.0,827.0,874.0,908.0,880.0,903.0,905.0,878.0,872.0,879.0,878.0,900.0,898.0,846.0,837.0,854.0,873.0,876.0,825.0,801.0,783.0,824.0,815.0,905.0,837.0,813.0,788.2353,775.4265,783.3088,804.9853,817.7941,785.2794,814.8382,793.1617,804.0,820.0,813.0,817.0,772.0,802.0,810.0,806.0],"consensus":[0.0,60.7737,17.0608,76.2353,53.7998,28.8163,12.7596,35.1308,55.4621,-10.973,0.0,52.804,-62.2713,0.0,-31.499,-47.4949,-17.0203,-56.5555,-14.1798,-36.9456,-45.9409,-21.7833,-11.0289,0.0,-32.5117,20.1429,-42.9982,-57.8542,0.0,-68.7044,-43.1098,24.4488,-46.5842,8.1655,12.7356,-21.2248,-10.1909,-24.5167,27.3291,49.8452,58.9633,55.7038,-22.8562,-19.0671,-34.9614,0.0,-32.3182,-40.4538,-47.898,30.5699,15.6966,34.6063,57.0489,-17.8206,-42.2443,35.0741,-45.4891,-26.8682,0.0,-17.138,17.6054,63.8032,0.0,0.0,60.6342,66.9323,0.0,56.5127,31.8387,-23.8335,0.0,12.907,0.0,40.5646,26.1426,-53.4848,-31.5066,0.0,13.8466,17.1814,-58.2345,-61.4228,-64.8956,14.9593,-24.2281,66.7785,-28.4961,-35.3092,-43.6029,-50.2934,-21.1887,10.5679,15.3801,-35.146,16.7228,-19.056,0.0,19.2846,0.0,12.3086,-51.0184,11.0845,12.8564,0.5061],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[62.2141,-24.6516,-44.4704,32.8454,-44.4134,-23.2765,0.0,-12.1555,16.749,61.7606,0.0,0.0,52.6854,65.1909,0.0,57.073,28.9403,-23.9623,0.0,23.1432,0.0,40.2259,26.6118,-51.8444,-24.4045,0.0,21.1495,14.1011,-58.6614,-62.015,-61.1004,26.0697,-23.2698,60.4941,-36.0934,-38.7167,-41.8786,-53.7333,-13.999,17.6265,12.8604,-53.183,14.0998,-19.639,0.0,15.3863,0.0,6.4329,-43.9121,16.6054,18.0365,6.555],"force":[54.8718,-48.8111,-56.9932,62.4332,-68.3267,-25.5904,0.0,-11.3847,30.0575,86.0864,0.0,0.0,85.3215,81.7234,0.0,56.0522,12.8149,-62.0511,0.0,12.0639,0.0,48.5209,15.3672,-79.744,-26.4847,0.0,33.5372,18.8083,-86.7213,-67.2444,-74.7299,71.5946,-18.1874,99.0401,-69.3144,-43.2341,-49.5019,-39.7748,-2.9692,38.3638,25.9859,-29.5738,25.4207,-14.8222,0.0,19.1213,0.0,12.7098,-78.4095,34.0146,18.9333,1.5121],"direction":[52.7011,-12.1223,-29.1652,18.0788,-30.4058,-31.8859,0.0,-26.9418,9.69,50.2211,0.0,0.0,52.0849,58.3574,0.0,56.2011,48.7396,-3.6121,0.0,1.8107,0.0,35.2685,33.303,-36.603,-43.2104,0.0,8.5644,19.5398,-37.399,-56.5876,-62.2084,38.1921,-29.6382,50.9166,-9.3424,-25.7543,-41.3598,-53.8755,-46.6612,17.3532,10.6843,-18.5125,13.5078,-21.4139,0.0,23.8565,0.0,18.7373,-39.5748,11.6036,2.5955,4.9654],"intensity":[69.2308,78.8462,84.6154,88.4615,82.6923,82.6923,3.8462,7.6923,34.6154,94.2308,67.3077,50.0,98.0769,88.4615,71.1538,59.6154,30.7692,69.2308,59.6154,17.3077,15.3846,71.1538,15.3846,98.0769,98.0769,38.4615,84.6154,36.5385,94.2308,90.3846,48.0769,88.4615,71.1538,100.0,98.0769,96.1538,76.9231,21.1538,7.6923,40.3846,53.8462,69.2308,57.6923,44.2308,23.0769,34.6154,19.2308,32.6923,96.1538,76.9231,32.6923,9.6154],"confirmation":[86.1106,31.7957,81.9337,80.0915,83.2689,76.6136,2.7316,73.3847,74.0263,89.1273,31.2955,25.3793,88.2765,89.8956,11.2311,86.0615,77.6528,54.8934,48.8082,49.2819,24.4327,81.2283,76.0301,85.9404,78.0373,32.4401,29.4134,73.5946,87.4967,87.8237,89.1241,37.158,75.5835,90.4481,34.9067,79.4885,82.159,83.7209,52.1205,30.49,73.2833,78.8021,73.6563,73.96,24.9022,74.2255,23.9102,49.3739,85.2689,29.3038,49.5536,1.3901],"persistence":[12.5,0.0,0.0,25.0,25.0,0.0,12.5,37.5,37.5,12.5,0.0,12.5,12.5,37.5,37.5,62.5,62.5,37.5,37.5,50.0,37.5,37.5,50.0,25.0,0.0,12.5,25.0,25.0,12.5,12.5,37.5,12.5,12.5,0.0,25.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,25.0,50.0,25.0,25.0,12.5,12.5,25.0,25.0,0.0,25.0,25.0,37.5],"assessmentRisk":[21.4324,22.3832,18.5681,8.6248,26.0309,29.3405,5.9656,36.3198,13.1741,17.2952,45.7636,35.6079,18.1954,13.8206,46.2807,21.4515,26.5166,30.2495,12.6764,44.3047,41.7118,15.4079,27.9098,16.0117,30.1708,51.6361,48.0969,36.5642,5.1754,18.2308,17.5135,55.6008,6.134,16.2812,57.8248,4.4364,8.0414,24.7248,33.5674,15.4792,24.3008,30.386,25.6527,5.4874,17.0805,27.2353,5.6674,36.0204,19.4151,38.6957,13.131,23.1332],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":0.5,"control":6.6,"force":1.5,"direction":5.0,"confirmation":1.4,"persistence":37.5,"assessmentRisk":23.1,"intensity":9.6,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","headline":"The gauges support the upward view","summary":"The completed evidence gives the upward view the clearer support.","take":"Current assessment: upward pressure has the stronger support.","tone":"positive","supportedView":"Market Dynamics","direction":"upward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Control support is limited","controlPath":"Broadly stable","forceState":"Commitment is limited","forcePath":"Commitment is easing","directionState":"Follow-through is limited","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Limited support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Quiet"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"+0.5","detail":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"+6.6","detail":"Control support is limited","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"+1.5","detail":"Commitment is limited","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"+5.0","detail":"Follow-through is limited","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"1/100","detail":"Limited support","tone":"caution"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Rotational","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"48.3","detail":"Negative","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"4.5%","detail":"Elevated","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"12.6","detail":"Range-led","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Range position","value":"39%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price is 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