{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"STUB Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"5016d91e-ec5b-4845-a563-96fbee932167","symbol":"STUB","name":"StubHub Holdings, Inc.","exchange":"NYSE","country":"US","asset_type":"equity","currency":"USD","sector":"Communication Services","industry":"Internet Content & Information"},"summary":"Price structure and the underlying tape currently reinforce the same downside read.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Drawdown and recovery pressure, Activity pressure and cumulative balance, Range position and boundary pressure, Directional strength and control, Range pressure and compression."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-14","observations":48,"displayedObservations":48,"assetType":"Equity","state":"Aligned downward","stateTone":"negative","summary":"Price structure and the underlying tape currently reinforce the same downside read.","evidenceAlignment":{"status":"Evidence aligned downward","headline":"Downward price structure is confirmed by Market Dynamics","summary":"Price structure and the underlying tape currently reinforce the same downside read.","take":"The downside state remains confirmed until Market Dynamics repairs or price structure changes.","tone":"negative","conflict":false},"marketDynamics":{"available":true,"readAvailable":true,"dates":["2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"values":[-1.144988,-1.503291,-1.465944,-1.42191,-1.26611,-1.067948,-0.480666,0.182779,0.659344,0.961093,1.026791,1.028488,1.099168,1.171328,1.096175,0.934536,0.618652,0.350949,0.105388,-0.045785],"opens":[6.35,6.43,6.2,6.84,7.08,7.61,7.6,8.6,10.0,9.82,9.4,11.57,11.62,12.41,12.8,11.15,9.22,8.43,8.5,8.88],"highs":[6.47,6.99,7.24,7.52,7.705,7.88,9.17,10.31,10.42,10.2,11.47,11.92,12.43,13.15,14.02,11.29,9.45,8.7927,9.47,9.085],"lows":[5.85,5.74,6.15,6.71,7.03,7.26,6.895,8.38,9.44,9.15,9.195,11.105,11.04,12.23,10.82,9.12,8.21,8.205,8.49,6.78],"closes":[6.44,6.27,6.92,7.15,7.63,7.71,8.82,9.98,9.86,9.29,11.46,11.68,12.4,12.86,11.1,9.25,8.25,8.44,8.95,8.08],"pressureRange":[-1.713752,1.713752],"priceRange":[6.27,12.86],"zones":{"accumulationBoundary":0.062364,"distributionBoundary":0.937636},"latest":-0.045785,"state":"Negative and weakening","context":{"scenario":"negativeWeakening","latestDirection":"easing","fourWeekDirection":"weakening","now":{"label":"Easier this week","detail":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero."},"fourWeek":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"price":{"label":"Price and Market Dynamics are broadly aligned","detail":"The current price response is broadly consistent with the underlying Market Dynamics path."}},"diagnosis":{"label":"Negative and weakening","detail":"Price is between the accumulation and distribution zones. The Market Dynamics bars describe whether the current move is gaining or losing underlying support.","tone":"negative"},"chartSummary":"Price is between the outer positioning zones. The Market Dynamics bars show whether underlying support is strengthening or weakening.","summary":"Price is between the accumulation and distribution zones. The Market Dynamics bars describe whether the current move is gaining or losing underlying support.","annotations":[{"label":"Current tape relationship","value":"Negative and weakening","detail":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero.","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Price location","value":"Between zones","detail":"Price is travelling between the two major positioning zones.","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Latest positioning marker","value":"22 May 2026","detail":"The green dot marks a confirmed recovery where institutional positioning is most plausible.","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Market Dynamics confirmation","value":"Weakening","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path.","tone":"negative"}],"relationshipEvidence":{"available":false,"observations":20,"summary":"More completed weekly history is needed for a dependable ticker-level record."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[{"date":"2026-05-22","price":9.98}],"distribution_rollovers":[{"date":"2026-07-10","price":11.1}],"price_pressure_gaps":[]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[18.46,16.86,16.95,18.89,17.15,20.13,19.15,19.44,14.87,10.83,11.73,12.42,13.95,13.77,13.28,14.29,12.77,16.0,14.7,14.12,9.92,9.23,9.36,9.57,8.35,7.52,6.68,6.41,6.44,6.27,6.92,7.15,7.63,7.71,8.82,9.98,9.86,9.29,11.46,11.68,12.4,12.86,11.1,9.25,8.25,8.44,8.95,8.08],"consensus":[-100.0,-82.4934,24.4444,17.4317,-17.3072,23.0737,0.0,12.527,-39.0528,-57.015,-24.2006,-10.4344,0.0,0.0,-10.7234,11.768,-25.8417,34.6727,0.0,-10.8577,-54.4817,-34.1935,-18.5551,-15.1736,-42.7648,-42.1262,-45.2156,-42.5122,-15.3236,-27.0633,0.0,0.0,11.1087,0.0,36.3123,47.0254,17.4906,0.0,65.3089,37.1592,57.6224,46.3047,-21.6572,-49.4686,-48.9092,-23.9784,-9.04,-36.8798],"supportDates":["2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[null,null,null,null,null,25.0305,0.0,16.9653,-36.35,-50.0297,-16.2326,-6.6771,0.0,0.0,-18.2777,12.4719,-30.2467,34.7493,0.0,-14.7244,-56.7218,-31.4223,-8.8321,-4.4111,-44.6857,-47.1625,-51.3316,-49.01,-5.3954,-28.3068,0.0,0.0,12.3248,0.0,28.0582,40.7277,10.0834,0.0,61.6022,36.1779,55.7576,43.4752,-24.4657,-46.3154,-53.2996,-21.3489,-3.5077,-29.6202],"force":[-100.0,-82.4934,24.4444,17.4317,-22.7823,21.9153,0.0,12.0505,-58.2094,-67.3944,-0.6064,-10.1218,0.0,0.0,-4.7252,20.899,-30.8454,57.5341,0.0,-14.4726,-75.0532,-21.9057,-0.7827,-2.8327,-49.0513,-38.2215,-34.8026,-25.3319,-5.5538,-10.8233,0.0,0.0,25.7754,0.0,68.0793,66.6778,2.0279,0.0,89.4345,20.787,61.4893,30.7137,-69.3406,-86.4272,-53.5188,-7.3489,-8.6295,-54.2347],"direction":[null,null,null,null,-13.3965,21.6648,0.0,7.7951,-28.4584,-57.5844,-50.1597,-44.6735,0.0,0.0,-6.3745,4.4414,-17.2334,18.2555,0.0,-3.8564,-37.2277,-46.1374,-43.4799,-40.3351,-36.079,-39.1596,-45.6638,-47.3578,-41.5824,-37.2423,0.0,0.0,0.7575,0.0,23.0547,40.1853,37.0008,0.0,52.3124,49.9753,56.9915,60.6748,-15.6119,-26.6731,-40.5989,-38.8617,-27.9837,-32.7802],"intensity":[null,null,null,null,25.0,80.0,16.6667,28.5714,87.5,88.8889,40.0,9.0909,50.0,15.3846,28.5714,26.6667,43.75,82.3529,50.0,5.2632,85.0,80.9524,18.1818,4.3478,41.6667,44.0,50.0,7.4074,17.8571,10.3448,16.6667,12.9032,9.375,3.0303,52.9412,57.1429,44.4444,18.9189,73.6842,69.2308,30.0,48.7805,66.6667,81.3953,65.9091,22.2222,23.913,61.7021],"confirmation":[54.6667,49.0645,30.4889,28.2448,51.1219,75.3185,24.8993,49.2598,81.1219,86.6676,52.4799,6.5571,4.556,24.0951,25.8003,49.3666,76.3547,79.7908,48.4486,48.859,86.027,78.6096,50.9968,27.7417,81.847,81.2847,82.0585,80.9813,28.27,76.1464,4.6882,26.0509,49.4782,24.8016,80.7138,83.743,50.572,29.0313,89.6906,79.4069,86.5854,82.3855,34.3379,85.0043,83.7245,52.5397,4.2796,88.4411],"persistence":[null,null,33.3333,0.0,20.0,0.0,0.0,12.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,37.5,25.0,37.5,50.0,50.0,50.0,25.0,12.5,12.5,25.0,37.5,37.5,62.5,62.5,87.5,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,87.5,75.0,50.0,37.5,12.5,12.5,37.5,50.0,62.5,75.0,75.0,87.5,62.5,37.5,12.5,0.0,25.0,50.0],"assessmentRisk":[null,null,null,null,26.5854,35.468,41.3855,9.7771,19.3391,21.4551,37.7435,44.6013,20.8304,45.9235,36.8565,29.5133,13.0765,20.7361,32.3218,1.307,15.1753,32.791,40.5345,41.9708,15.222,18.3996,24.0121,26.8535,34.5196,20.1618,11.5332,30.8421,32.4009,46.5991,31.629,26.4581,41.0913,50.0074,17.2287,30.5911,21.1259,26.845,8.2592,24.2256,25.4882,37.9769,43.424,20.9299],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":-36.9,"control":-29.6,"force":-54.2,"direction":-32.8,"confirmation":88.4,"persistence":50.0,"assessmentRisk":20.9,"intensity":61.7,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Joint downward confirmation","headline":"The gauges support the downward market view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics agree. Control, force and direction support the same downward assessment.","take":"Current assessment: downward pressure has broad support.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Price structure and Market Dynamics","direction":"downward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Seller control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is easing","forceState":"Downward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is easing","directionState":"Downward follow-through","persistenceState":"Developing","confirmationState":"Strong support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Normal"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-36.9","detail":"Joint downward confirmation","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-29.6","detail":"Seller control supports the view","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-54.2","detail":"Downward commitment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"-32.8","detail":"Downward follow-through","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"88/100","detail":"Strong support","tone":"positive"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Aligned downward","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"38.8","detail":"Negative","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"22.9%","detail":"Contained","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"17.7","detail":"Range-led","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Range position","value":"28%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price and its trend references are aligned 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trend","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,16.6548,16.4411,16.207,16.065,15.8209,15.8342,15.7501,15.6294,15.2065,14.7638,14.3635,14.0084,13.5893,13.1397,12.6612,12.1982,11.7716,11.3641,11.0349,10.7471,10.5162,10.3084,10.1981,10.182,10.1581,10.0938,10.195,10.305,10.4602,10.638,10.6722,10.5668,10.3952,10.2504,10.1541,10.0004],"stroke":"#07865c","width":1.8},{"label":"Upper envelope","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,22.4877,22.6748,22.5508,22.2643,22.0043,21.7806,21.5446,21.3698,21.2331,21.0503,20.8759,20.7824,20.8686,20.8083,20.2954,20.0866,19.1687,18.3622,17.2267,16.9854,17.1167,17.0863,16.9326,16.4981,16.0298,15.5992,14.9823,14.6173,13.292,12.4493,11.7266,12.2275,12.8504,13.0538,13.0299,13.0277,13.0324,13.0141,12.9396],"stroke":"#98a9b8","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]},{"label":"Lower 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risk","title":"Drawdown and recovery pressure","description":"Capital impairment and recovery are shown together so return is not separated from path difficulty.","reason":"Selected because the current recovery or drawdown path is central to the 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Market Dynamics construction and private inputs are not disclosed. Historical research is not a forecast or instruction to trade."}