{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"COIA Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-21","ticker":{"uuid":"504a7d42-c137-4d86-9b19-44cae5fe46f1","symbol":"COIA","name":"PROSHARES ULTRA COIN","exchange":"NYSEARCA","country":"US","asset_type":"etf","currency":"USD","sector":null,"industry":null},"summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. The broader path has not changed enough to establish a new direction. Price structure remains rotational.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Drawdown and recovery pressure, Activity pressure and cumulative balance, Range pressure and compression, Acceleration, deceleration and rollover, Range position and boundary pressure."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-21","observations":50,"displayedObservations":50,"assetType":"ETF","state":"Rotational","stateTone":"caution","summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. The broader path has not changed enough to establish a new direction. Price structure remains rotational.","evidenceAlignment":{"status":"Positive support; price rotational","headline":"Market Dynamics is positive while price has no clear direction","summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. The broader path has not changed enough to establish a new direction. Price structure remains rotational.","take":"The underlying condition is constructive, but a positive price response is still required.","tone":"caution","conflict":true},"marketDynamics":{"available":true,"readAvailable":true,"dates":["2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"values":[-0.129451,-0.159225,-0.127767,0.002163,0.182364,0.317075,0.490718,0.482556,0.419364,0.408271,0.236059,0.098156,0.008942,-0.138136,-0.011279,0.109497,0.238292,0.34496,0.307091,0.296443,0.184889,0.323179],"opens":[14.404695,9.634956,11.062357,9.456531,13.956808,13.481008,13.381883,13.342233,11.815707,11.201132,10.170518,7.811275,8.961159,8.643949,6.95,7.83,7.23,7.42,7.71,5.88,6.64,6.13],"highs":[15.050557,11.300257,12.529407,15.860009,15.463509,14.115408,14.432609,16.05826,12.549232,11.766145,11.122047,8.50517,9.367583,9.526187,8.91,8.78,8.4136,9.581,8.32,6.79,6.69,9.9499],"lows":[9.069943,8.921255,9.317756,9.456531,12.787133,10.665856,11.121832,12.113082,11.042532,9.248368,6.93895,7.00834,7.979793,6.02,6.2001,7.17,6.949,6.889,5.47,5.68,6.1,5.99],"closes":[9.218631,10.328831,9.833206,14.710159,13.560308,12.311332,13.461183,12.430282,11.082182,11.468769,7.335462,7.945098,8.247438,6.7284,8.23,7.56,7.3,7.3,6.09,6.67,6.19,9.53],"hoverRows":[[{"label":"Open","value":"14.4","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"High","value":"15.1","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Low","value":"9.07","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Close","value":"9.22","className":"is-ohlc","compact":true},{"label":"Market 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week","detail":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive."},"fourWeek":{"label":"Broadly steady over four weeks","detail":"The broader path has not changed enough to establish a new direction."},"price":{"label":"Price and Market Dynamics are broadly aligned","detail":"The current price response is broadly consistent with the underlying Market Dynamics path."}},"diagnosis":{"label":"Positive and broadly steady","detail":"Price is between the accumulation and distribution zones. The Market Dynamics bars describe whether the current move is gaining or losing underlying support.","tone":"positive"},"chartSummary":"Price is between the outer positioning zones. The Market Dynamics bars show whether underlying support is strengthening or weakening.","summary":"Price is between the accumulation and distribution zones. The Market Dynamics bars describe whether the current move is gaining or losing underlying support.","annotations":[{"label":"Current tape relationship","value":"Positive and broadly steady","detail":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive.","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Price location","value":"Between zones","detail":"Price is travelling between the two major positioning zones.","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Latest positioning marker","value":"None in view","detail":"Entering the lower zone alone does not create a positioning confirmation.","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Market Dynamics confirmation","value":"Supported","detail":"The broader path has not changed enough to establish a new direction.","tone":"positive"}],"relationshipEvidence":{"available":false,"observations":22,"summary":"More completed weekly history is needed for a dependable ticker-level record."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"reversal_warnings":[],"reversal_dangers":[]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"close":[55.1374,61.367,50.6762,73.913,64.3679,56.5721,62.0808,58.2085,45.7611,38.1732,26.8442,34.2869,33.1734,32.3619,26.9969,24.9906,24.6921,25.3452,25.2082,20.2175,16.1661,10.9992,10.5099,11.3711,11.6451,14.346,14.0133,14.1894,9.2186,10.3288,9.8332,14.7102,13.5603,12.3113,13.4612,12.4303,11.0822,11.4688,7.3355,7.9451,8.2474,6.7284,8.23,7.56,7.3,7.3,6.09,6.67,6.19,9.53],"consensus":[30.0655,53.3484,-44.8007,52.589,25.9263,-29.8832,34.6145,-30.5703,-62.5922,-62.0354,-77.9612,-13.6122,-33.5284,-38.9354,-48.4383,-50.512,-27.7922,-36.0631,-30.0753,-60.2463,-59.9592,-63.3717,-32.9759,-22.8184,-23.8522,0.0,-22.2104,-16.4894,-59.3268,-16.6854,-34.5146,26.0358,-8.1792,-11.5865,12.4931,-21.2923,-30.0993,0.0,-49.7855,-18.0822,-25.9175,-38.8447,0.0,-21.7325,-20.4317,-14.1567,-34.6333,0.0,-26.3987,48.6126],"supportDates":["2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"control":[null,null,null,null,null,-31.9664,30.9322,-20.3693,-49.6014,-57.3923,-73.2061,-4.0422,-22.5111,-40.1967,-59.3498,-52.525,-21.7742,-40.6823,-36.6484,-64.425,-60.942,-57.755,-22.3839,-15.2555,-19.7981,0.0,-36.4988,-29.4616,-64.4763,-15.6554,-39.9398,27.6193,-19.6495,-20.1786,5.0616,-26.0523,-40.6424,0.0,-58.905,-14.5561,-31.9658,-43.9595,0.0,-30.6531,-27.6073,-23.992,-39.0098,0.0,-36.3372,41.773],"force":[30.0655,53.3484,-44.8007,52.589,32.1706,-35.9038,36.8073,-50.3923,-82.4619,-58.9648,-86.7435,-33.5201,-10.3323,-17.261,-37.596,-27.7168,-4.4322,-13.079,-11.7394,-71.7036,-64.541,-74.7121,-10.3613,-12.0834,-3.4154,0.0,-9.2883,-1.282,-80.8055,-10.9081,-22.5289,56.9828,-14.0371,-12.1442,25.3521,-25.75,-28.0851,0.0,-48.7171,-0.4772,-13.3039,-32.6468,0.0,-16.1808,-12.0821,-6.91,-37.747,0.0,-19.9375,84.9199],"direction":[null,null,null,null,67.4241,-23.2018,37.2565,-28.07,-63.2463,-69.5351,-77.1226,-67.4545,-62.6883,-52.9755,-43.7126,-64.4936,-51.3557,-47.2012,-35.6601,-47.287,-55.5634,-61.6903,-61.2344,-56.3915,-47.9621,0.0,-15.1109,-12.5265,-38.0998,-37.5722,-36.8756,2.1212,-9.1139,-1.3687,11.8011,-12.6682,-19.4887,0.0,-40.1263,-34.6871,-28.0148,-37.4262,0.0,-15.5029,-18.1952,-8.0925,-27.4077,0.0,-19.6556,30.4956],"intensity":[null,null,null,null,50.0,80.0,16.6667,28.5714,75.0,44.4444,70.0,36.3636,8.3333,7.6923,21.4286,20.0,18.75,23.5294,5.5556,52.6316,35.0,57.1429,31.8182,13.0435,8.3333,28.0,23.0769,7.4074,50.0,34.4828,13.3333,51.6129,31.25,21.2121,11.7647,17.1429,38.8889,21.6216,55.2632,33.3333,7.5,24.3902,16.6667,6.9767,2.2727,17.7778,21.7391,25.5319,4.1667,51.0204],"confirmation":[32.2876,39.7381,37.0029,39.4951,15.9351,77.7144,79.1996,78.542,88.833,87.8285,93.2877,11.2018,78.19,79.7795,83.0036,83.4384,53.6066,78.7693,76.9651,87.5643,87.3116,88.7101,78.0245,31.5979,52.9254,7.7408,74.4958,49.9488,87.5607,29.5078,78.5967,54.5838,27.2321,48.9271,49.8362,74.8769,77.4097,2.5885,83.7598,50.6368,75.817,80.1635,26.7366,74.6493,74.1744,49.4927,79.1109,4.386,76.0992,84.7668],"persistence":[null,null,33.3333,50.0,60.0,33.3333,42.8571,25.0,0.0,25.0,25.0,50.0,75.0,75.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,62.5,62.5,75.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,37.5,37.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,75.0,75.0,75.0,87.5,87.5,75.0,75.0,50.0],"assessmentRisk":[null,null,null,null,16.2331,2.7119,19.6503,28.913,15.0528,15.669,10.8792,42.0881,25.4303,7.1345,25.0181,12.8808,30.9345,24.1522,0.5278,6.593,16.6304,18.1673,33.4222,38.1267,36.3573,41.5622,55.1396,50.3474,7.6064,37.3681,29.1331,4.4608,49.9365,38.0462,40.2547,28.1281,25.189,18.3131,24.588,38.8035,28.7883,29.7166,17.8178,1.4596,19.1866,26.4145,28.1963,29.4739,20.6448,19.328],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":48.6,"control":41.8,"force":84.9,"direction":30.5,"confirmation":84.8,"persistence":50.0,"assessmentRisk":19.3,"intensity":51.0,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","headline":"The gauges support the upward view","summary":"The completed evidence gives the upward view the clearer support.","take":"Current assessment: upward pressure has the stronger support.","tone":"positive","supportedView":"Market Dynamics","direction":"upward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Buyer control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is strengthening","forceState":"Upward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is strengthening","directionState":"Upward follow-through","persistenceState":"Developing","confirmationState":"Strong support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Normal"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"+48.6","detail":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"+41.8","detail":"Buyer control supports the view","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"+84.9","detail":"Upward commitment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"+30.5","detail":"Upward follow-through","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"85/100","detail":"Strong support","tone":"positive"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Rotational","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"48.3","detail":"Negative","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"34.7%","detail":"Contained","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"26.0","detail":"Directional","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Range position","value":"36%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility 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tape.","series":[{"label":"Drawdown","values":[0.0,0.0,-17.421,0.0,-12.914,-23.4613,-16.0083,-21.2473,-38.0879,-48.3539,-63.6814,-53.6118,-55.1183,-56.2163,-63.4747,-66.1892,-66.593,-65.7094,-65.8948,-72.647,-78.1282,-85.1187,-85.7807,-84.6156,-84.2449,-80.5907,-81.0409,-80.8026,-87.5277,-86.0257,-86.6962,-80.098,-81.6537,-83.3435,-81.7878,-83.1826,-85.0065,-84.4834,-90.0755,-89.2507,-88.8417,-90.8969,-88.8653,-89.7718,-90.1235,-90.1235,-91.7606,-90.9759,-91.6253,-87.1065],"stroke":"#c13f3f","width":1.9,"fill":"rgba(193,63,63,.10)"},{"label":"Recovery","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,14.8635,0.0,0.0,0.0,27.7256,23.5776,20.5545,0.569,0.0,0.0,2.645,2.0902,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,8.1937,10.8007,36.4991,33.3333,35.0093,0.0,12.043,6.6667,59.5699,47.0968,33.5484,46.0215,34.8387,20.2151,24.4086,0.0,8.3108,12.4324,0.0,22.3173,12.3596,8.4953,8.4953,0.0,9.5238,1.642,56.486],"stroke":"#07865c","width":1.7}],"guides":[{"label":"Prior 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and cumulative balance","description":"Observed activity is compared with its normal backdrop while cumulative balance tracks directional participation.","reason":"Selected because participation is confirming or diverging from the latest price path.","series":[{"label":"Activity versus norm","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,164.0523,183.1968,99.5607,172.1732,79.2612,152.2395,52.1593,69.7362,36.4483,37.8798,113.1939,349.4473,188.2285,182.6912,263.3812,362.4646,334.1266,150.26,174.0766,208.8739,172.3584,158.8303,143.6694,139.8648,125.3046,178.7102,107.5176,138.4561,77.4193,48.5023,69.5051,31.8957,26.0606,14.7305,36.2187,63.8006,86.2928,107.8321,106.7426,129.8376,122.1395,71.0918,172.8075],"stroke":"#1678a7","width":1.8},{"label":"Cumulative 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