{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"WKL Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"50731efd-0c9a-451d-8506-95bc38ea6fbe","symbol":"WKL","name":"Wolters Kluwer N.V.","exchange":"VIE","country":"AT","asset_type":"equity","currency":"EUR","sector":"Industrials","industry":"Specialty Business Services"},"summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path. 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cautious, Market Dynamics positive","kind":"disagreement","expectedDirection":"higher","episodes":16,"completedEpisodes":15,"activeEpisodes":1,"medianExpectedMove":10.0,"averageExpectedMove":9.1,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":9.3,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":16,"expectedCount":9,"expectedPercent":56.2,"averageReturn":1.1,"medianReturn":1.5,"confidenceLow":33.2,"confidenceHigh":76.9,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":15,"expectedCount":10,"expectedPercent":66.7,"averageReturn":4.3,"medianReturn":5.5,"confidenceLow":41.7,"confidenceHigh":84.8,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":14,"expectedCount":9,"expectedPercent":64.3,"averageReturn":0.5,"medianReturn":2.4,"confidenceLow":38.8,"confidenceHigh":83.7,"confidence":"Mixed historical 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elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":1,"completedEpisodes":1,"activeEpisodes":0,"medianExpectedMove":15.0,"averageExpectedMove":15.0,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":8.0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":1,"expectedCount":0,"expectedPercent":0.0,"averageReturn":6.4,"medianReturn":6.4,"confidenceLow":0.0,"confidenceHigh":79.3,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-13.6,"medianReturn":-13.6,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-15.3,"medianReturn":-15.3,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":3.4,"sample":1},{"week":2,"averageReturn":2.1,"sample":1},{"week":3,"averageReturn":5.8,"sample":1},{"week":4,"averageReturn":6.4,"sample":1},{"week":5,"averageReturn":7.5,"sample":1},{"week":6,"averageReturn":4.6,"sample":1},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-11.7,"sample":1},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-15.0,"sample":1},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-14.9,"sample":1},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-14.7,"sample":1},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-12.7,"sample":1},{"week":12,"averageReturn":-13.6,"sample":1},{"week":13,"averageReturn":-13.4,"sample":1},{"week":14,"averageReturn":-9.1,"sample":1},{"week":15,"averageReturn":-7.7,"sample":1},{"week":16,"averageReturn":-5.9,"sample":1},{"week":17,"averageReturn":-6.0,"sample":1},{"week":18,"averageReturn":-3.8,"sample":1},{"week":19,"averageReturn":-2.8,"sample":1},{"week":20,"averageReturn":-4.8,"sample":1},{"week":21,"averageReturn":-5.4,"sample":1},{"week":22,"averageReturn":-10.4,"sample":1},{"week":23,"averageReturn":-13.6,"sample":1},{"week":24,"averageReturn":-12.5,"sample":1},{"week":25,"averageReturn":-15.5,"sample":1},{"week":26,"averageReturn":-15.3,"sample":1}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Underlying strength ahead of price","tone":"caution","headline":"Underlying strength is leading price","use":"A positive price response is needed before the early upside case is confirmed.","confirm":"Treat the gap as an early-upside opportunity watch. A continued positive price response would confirm that price is catching up with the stronger foundation.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"positive","direction":"strengthening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Market Dynamics has strengthened across the recent completed path and remains strongly positive, while price has not advanced as far through its range. The gap is an early-upside watch; a positive price response is needed for confirmation.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"higher","percent":66.7,"averageReturn":4.3,"sample":15},"nowContext":{"label":"Stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Strengthened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price is lagging the underlying strength","detail":"Market Dynamics has advanced further through its recent range than price. This is positive divergence and an early-upside watch, but price confirmation is still required."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Early repair watch","title":"Prepare the case before price confirms the recovery","tone":"recovery","approach":"Use the improvement to move the ticker onto a watchlist or define an entry trigger. Commitment should rise only after price responds; fading Market Dynamics cancels the early case.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 66.7% of comparable cases moved higher after 12 weeks, with an average move of 4.3% across 15 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 0.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 2 cases. Distinct visits lasted 12.5 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use improving Market Dynamics to prepare, not anticipate","tone":"recovery","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average recovery of 9.1% across 15 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 9.3 weeks on average.","approach":"Define the price level that would confirm the repair. Until that response occurs, keep the idea at watchlist or starter-position size.","watch":"The early repair fails if Market Dynamics fades before price responds."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[{"date":"2026-04-17","price":70.920143},{"date":"2026-08-07","price":70.5}],"distribution_rollovers":[{"date":"2025-02-28","price":140.541977}],"price_pressure_gaps":[{"date":"2025-01-10","price":159.114944}]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[144.2914,147.8658,146.1904,149.4455,149.3019,148.0095,143.8928,147.818,151.8868,150.8337,150.5944,154.7111,147.5308,151.2166,149.8763,155.5727,156.6258,152.4134,153.7537,152.5091,159.1149,164.5241,162.5136,168.3057,169.2631,171.0821,166.4867,140.542,135.2286,135.3722,135.6594,138.8666,137.4305,137.7656,144.5629,146.8128,149.6849,149.5413,153.0835,154.5815,151.5372,150.5225,142.501,137.4273,139.1668,134.528,134.8179,135.8326,129.8407,129.3092,115.1026,108.8691,111.1885,104.7529,105.6299,108.9917,112.11,109.3328,109.3328,106.7505,106.4582,111.1355,103.8272,93.9365,90.6429,90.448,89.0448,87.934,86.8816,87.5637,86.9985,86.063,88.5771,85.0496,80.9764,77.0786,65.2878,61.9747,60.2792,66.2038,67.3147,65.6776,63.9431,61.0588,64.1185,62.1696,70.9201,64.7227,64.4109,59.831,58.837,60.63,61.14,63.5,61.02,58.54,57.2,57.52,60.7,61.4,62.36,67.96,70.5,72.18],"consensus":[0.0,53.7084,0.0,56.9994,15.8726,-8.832,-45.0616,34.9463,47.1771,9.6053,12.1263,57.4376,-48.6494,39.1876,-19.2816,48.3126,49.4051,-19.289,37.0777,-18.114,62.7704,73.865,16.928,75.9285,58.2069,43.5711,0.0,-72.3188,-69.9857,-46.8974,-49.0378,-10.053,-32.6949,0.0,32.0108,35.1004,47.1387,10.7111,50.4851,46.6169,-8.0006,0.0,-63.0652,-68.5848,-13.8674,-64.0387,-31.1556,-9.3244,-74.911,-49.1869,-84.9205,-81.6573,-31.8806,-82.2783,-28.552,0.0,0.0,-43.8954,-25.7859,-55.5151,-37.2321,21.8209,-61.5953,-76.2539,-67.1139,-40.2981,-48.2142,-38.2394,-32.8889,-35.4767,-33.4183,-40.8693,0.0,-51.3514,-58.9211,-64.0598,-73.3384,-58.7007,-60.4866,0.0,-13.9631,-33.8775,-33.5071,-53.7381,0.0,-53.9468,46.2354,-39.418,0.0,-56.9961,-33.5824,-24.4907,-11.4409,0.0,-18.4661,-31.1647,-16.6418,-25.9168,10.9211,13.6772,32.6145,50.8945,57.7145,59.0563],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[-19.487,-85.235,-12.6827,0.0,0.0,-64.6579,-40.3578,-65.1908,-35.8028,21.6795,-62.8758,-78.2663,-70.4733,-32.7137,-44.139,-36.2648,-30.2155,-40.5825,-38.2907,-52.8737,0.0,-66.9506,-73.7547,-79.3586,-89.0677,-64.0224,-56.8035,0.0,-24.9541,-44.5279,-43.1057,-64.3102,0.0,-58.1306,45.7535,-51.1806,0.0,-60.158,-32.5012,-28.1125,-11.1055,0.0,-18.7234,-40.0742,-9.306,-26.2065,13.3358,1.9854,23.9011,46.3828,44.2921,61.4863],"force":[-6.4985,-86.4093,-7.083,0.0,0.0,-34.6533,-4.092,-54.6161,-21.0378,64.012,-78.699,-94.3344,-66.2848,-20.011,-33.462,-12.2527,-6.9777,-8.2729,-9.0689,-17.5074,0.0,-40.1582,-43.188,-47.7541,-56.7603,-35.375,-52.8152,0.0,-25.8486,-30.5964,-32.1312,-37.7659,0.0,-62.956,62.8413,-71.3985,0.0,-83.961,-18.1478,-8.6003,-7.793,0.0,-41.1383,-21.3989,-0.7087,-9.2164,22.2594,23.0119,45.3508,44.7403,68.982,43.2698],"direction":[-73.4583,-75.9485,-72.142,0.0,0.0,-26.7683,-24.6279,-45.0993,-50.433,8.1539,-47.915,-61.0394,-63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Dynamics has stronger support","headline":"The gauges support the upward view","summary":"The completed evidence gives the upward view the clearer support.","take":"Current assessment: upward pressure has the stronger support.","tone":"positive","supportedView":"Market Dynamics","direction":"upward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Buyer control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is strengthening","forceState":"Upward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is strengthening","directionState":"Upward follow-through","persistenceState":"Developing","confirmationState":"Strong support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Quiet"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"+59.1","detail":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"+61.5","detail":"Buyer control supports the view","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"+43.3","detail":"Upward 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