{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"TRIS3 Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"51f7afe9-18d3-4a01-8823-5e4ea22b9b72","symbol":"TRIS3","name":"Trisul S.A.","exchange":"SAO","country":"BR","asset_type":"equity","currency":"BRL","sector":"Real Estate","industry":"Real Estate Services"},"summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path. Price has not yet responded to the same extent.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Strength versus the research benchmark, Drawdown and recovery pressure, Range position and boundary pressure, Directional strength and control, Range pressure and compression."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-14","observations":260,"displayedObservations":104,"assetType":"Equity","state":"Aligned downward","stateTone":"negative","summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. 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cautious, Market Dynamics positive","kind":"disagreement","expectedDirection":"higher","episodes":15,"completedEpisodes":15,"activeEpisodes":0,"medianExpectedMove":10.5,"averageExpectedMove":18.9,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":7.5,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":15,"expectedCount":7,"expectedPercent":46.7,"averageReturn":-2.3,"medianReturn":-3.1,"confidenceLow":24.8,"confidenceHigh":69.9,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":15,"expectedCount":8,"expectedPercent":53.3,"averageReturn":4.1,"medianReturn":2.1,"confidenceLow":30.1,"confidenceHigh":75.2,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":14,"expectedCount":8,"expectedPercent":57.1,"averageReturn":9.3,"medianReturn":8.2,"confidenceLow":32.6,"confidenceHigh":78.6,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-1.8,"sample":15},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-2.1,"sample":15},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-2.8,"sample":15},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-2.3,"sample":15},{"week":5,"averageReturn":1.4,"sample":15},{"week":6,"averageReturn":2.4,"sample":15},{"week":7,"averageReturn":3.7,"sample":15},{"week":8,"averageReturn":3.1,"sample":15},{"week":9,"averageReturn":2.9,"sample":15},{"week":10,"averageReturn":1.8,"sample":15},{"week":11,"averageReturn":3.9,"sample":15},{"week":12,"averageReturn":4.1,"sample":15},{"week":13,"averageReturn":5.0,"sample":15},{"week":14,"averageReturn":4.6,"sample":15},{"week":15,"averageReturn":6.1,"sample":15},{"week":16,"averageReturn":4.0,"sample":15},{"week":17,"averageReturn":4.6,"sample":15},{"week":18,"averageReturn":4.4,"sample":15},{"week":19,"averageReturn":5.0,"sample":15},{"week":20,"averageReturn":6.9,"sample":15},{"week":21,"averageReturn":3.3,"sample":15},{"week":22,"averageReturn":2.3,"sample":15},{"week":23,"averageReturn":1.7,"sample":15},{"week":24,"averageReturn":6.8,"sample":14},{"week":25,"averageReturn":9.1,"sample":14},{"week":26,"averageReturn":9.3,"sample":14}]}},"pricePressureGap":{"label":"Price elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":1,"completedEpisodes":1,"activeEpisodes":0,"medianExpectedMove":25.2,"averageExpectedMove":25.2,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":12.0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":1,"expectedCount":0,"expectedPercent":0.0,"averageReturn":4.9,"medianReturn":4.9,"confidenceLow":0.0,"confidenceHigh":79.3,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-25.2,"medianReturn":-25.2,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-39.9,"medianReturn":-39.9,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-0.4,"sample":1},{"week":2,"averageReturn":3.9,"sample":1},{"week":3,"averageReturn":4.5,"sample":1},{"week":4,"averageReturn":4.9,"sample":1},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-4.4,"sample":1},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-16.4,"sample":1},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-23.8,"sample":1},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-21.7,"sample":1},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-17.8,"sample":1},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-18.1,"sample":1},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-18.9,"sample":1},{"week":12,"averageReturn":-25.2,"sample":1},{"week":13,"averageReturn":-31.3,"sample":1},{"week":14,"averageReturn":-34.3,"sample":1},{"week":15,"averageReturn":-41.2,"sample":1},{"week":16,"averageReturn":-38.5,"sample":1},{"week":17,"averageReturn":-38.6,"sample":1},{"week":18,"averageReturn":-42.6,"sample":1},{"week":19,"averageReturn":-43.9,"sample":1},{"week":20,"averageReturn":-42.0,"sample":1},{"week":21,"averageReturn":-38.5,"sample":1},{"week":22,"averageReturn":-38.9,"sample":1},{"week":23,"averageReturn":-37.0,"sample":1},{"week":24,"averageReturn":-42.5,"sample":1},{"week":25,"averageReturn":-42.0,"sample":1},{"week":26,"averageReturn":-39.9,"sample":1}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Underlying strength ahead of price","tone":"caution","headline":"Underlying strength is leading price","use":"A positive price response is needed before the early upside case is confirmed.","confirm":"Treat the gap as an early-upside opportunity watch. A continued positive price response would confirm that price is catching up with the stronger foundation.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"positive","direction":"strengthening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Market Dynamics has strengthened across the recent completed path and remains strongly positive, while price has not advanced as far through its range. The gap is an early-upside watch; a positive price response is needed for confirmation.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"higher","percent":53.3,"averageReturn":4.1,"sample":15},"nowContext":{"label":"Stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Strengthened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price is lagging the underlying strength","detail":"Market Dynamics has advanced further through its recent range than price. This is positive divergence and an early-upside watch, but price confirmation is still required."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Early repair watch","title":"Prepare the case before price confirms the recovery","tone":"recovery","approach":"Use the improvement to move the ticker onto a watchlist or define an entry trigger. Commitment should rise only after price responds; fading Market Dynamics cancels the early case.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 53.3% of comparable cases moved higher after 12 weeks, with an average move of 4.1% across 15 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 66.7% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 6 cases. Distinct visits lasted 9.0 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use improving Market Dynamics to prepare, not anticipate","tone":"recovery","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average recovery of 18.9% across 15 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 7.5 weeks on average.","approach":"Define the price level that would confirm the repair. Until that response occurs, keep the idea at watchlist or starter-position size.","watch":"The early repair fails if Market Dynamics fades before price responds."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[{"date":"2024-10-18","price":3.400997},{"date":"2025-02-21","price":3.76815}],"distribution_rollovers":[{"date":"2026-03-13","price":5.93}],"price_pressure_gaps":[{"date":"2026-01-30","price":7.09}]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[3.0918,2.9759,2.9888,3.1305,3.1562,3.1176,3.182,3.1756,3.401,3.3946,3.3495,3.562,3.6071,3.5556,3.4139,3.2335,3.1369,2.8921,2.8342,2.7182,2.7826,3.1433,3.3237,3.4203,3.3881,3.5363,3.7681,3.5942,3.8454,4.1417,4.1804,4.0322,4.0451,4.0516,4.2835,4.5218,4.6433,4.7039,4.8721,4.825,5.2423,5.249,5.1413,5.2355,4.8452,4.6837,4.5088,4.2396,4.1723,4.3069,4.1925,4.3944,4.2934,4.3405,4.4886,4.7443,4.8452,4.8116,4.9125,4.7106,4.7712,5.0067,5.1413,5.1211,5.8816,5.7912,6.3875,5.9852,6.4666,5.8196,6.0718,6.15,6.07,5.97,6.59,7.09,7.06,7.37,7.41,7.44,6.78,5.93,5.4,5.55,5.83,5.81,5.75,5.3,4.87,4.66,4.17,4.36,4.35,4.07,3.98,4.11,4.36,4.33,4.47,4.08,4.11,4.26,4.12,4.25],"consensus":[0.0,-33.6118,-13.6086,31.5217,8.1226,0.0,23.5988,9.0105,61.0297,32.0757,0.0,62.7023,39.4,19.8441,-10.1594,-42.8833,-44.5986,-66.8088,-43.7923,-61.0985,-31.8266,44.2355,50.6896,45.9345,20.9667,58.2139,71.1225,0.0,65.183,74.4033,44.3313,11.231,31.0042,22.305,61.0301,69.9427,59.7108,49.3176,70.6559,36.8134,82.65,34.784,15.4508,50.3732,-30.0727,-33.7751,-41.352,-64.3426,-45.971,-8.4269,-45.5593,14.5687,-21.9053,0.0,26.8717,47.3074,30.2693,22.0482,44.5902,-20.8196,15.2715,53.2248,51.3786,32.1845,80.096,21.2799,81.0923,0.0,75.0123,-22.2939,25.37,26.9657,0.0,0.0,65.462,65.4604,31.0988,68.1341,43.382,35.8472,-34.9832,-66.033,-73.4986,-33.515,-8.4061,-18.6921,-17.2473,-58.5867,-66.6113,-62.3215,-80.2526,-21.894,-43.3935,-54.4613,-50.3114,-14.1988,0.0,-8.1711,17.2617,-49.9126,-22.8968,0.0,-35.5585,8.9762],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[-26.6993,0.0,25.5987,46.7586,23.1741,17.7758,39.7806,-23.6532,21.4351,58.508,58.179,30.3312,79.7881,9.2842,89.472,0.0,79.6687,-28.8023,36.175,25.7287,0.0,0.0,71.2244,62.0152,23.5616,74.9471,42.5655,34.904,-31.9066,-58.5002,-72.1215,-30.429,-3.0864,-15.398,-25.4888,-68.8012,-68.1812,-63.7133,-81.2535,-10.2848,-43.3429,-57.5135,-60.7556,-1.0285,0.0,-11.1702,16.0044,-55.5288,-20.941,0.0,-34.2836,5.5495],"force":[-19.5556,0.0,47.5205,63.964,22.6408,3.5787,52.2096,-54.0103,15.5004,62.1763,45.9405,10.3983,98.3735,22.0774,79.3796,0.0,77.4117,-80.407,15.2645,9.6172,0.0,0.0,72.1069,75.9706,2.26,63.4341,18.9248,11.727,-88.2375,-97.0977,-90.8158,-0.8384,-30.7067,-3.1353,-3.3401,-53.2554,-64.587,-50.9932,-89.0002,-24.5125,-15.5977,-32.7009,-23.4763,-19.588,0.0,-11.98,44.4832,-61.1769,-0.0671,0.0,-33.9726,30.7652],"direction":[-18.1047,0.0,13.5774,36.0371,43.8271,40.1233,44.6444,-6.1265,8.0639,40.7929,47.4911,49.8641,67.3926,65.9586,72.7389,0.0,67.9768,-26.6537,20.2397,40.7712,0.0,0.0,54.1302,61.8906,60.3119,63.7049,61.7848,54.154,-0.4607,-52.4528,-62.7029,-60.3822,-49.478,-33.5689,-17.7622,-50.721,-66.263,-68.8225,-72.8605,-68.309,-63.3054,-66.5163,-57.5431,-55.7349,0.0,-19.1374,0.7454,-35.4481,-41.439,0.0,-38.1483,2.6711],"intensity":[21.1538,13.4615,40.3846,82.6923,98.0769,30.7692,21.1538,50.0,25.0,67.3077,71.1538,7.6923,100.0,98.0769,96.1538,92.3077,94.2308,96.1538,92.3077,38.4615,42.3077,86.5385,94.2308,100.0,75.0,67.3077,46.1538,9.6154,94.2308,98.0769,98.0769,32.6923,59.6154,1.9231,9.6154,76.9231,80.7692,71.1538,78.8462,46.1538,51.9231,73.0769,11.5385,23.0769,50.0,3.8462,28.8462,63.4615,61.5385,32.6923,26.9231,23.0769],"confirmation":[74.865,25.9376,77.2476,83.6544,77.5618,51.891,82.5744,54.2709,72.7999,85.2242,84.1718,77.6633,94.1924,33.0475,93.7697,37.6389,92.0061,37.1587,75.6458,76.1192,4.1733,3.9025,89.0626,89.3201,54.5209,89.5559,81.1493,78.7504,58.1978,90.1921,92.0683,55.1093,8.8823,50.8909,50.3031,86.4296,89.23,87.5764,93.9322,33.6647,81.0396,84.7179,83.1227,8.1441,31.0963,27.1773,51.8648,84.2297,51.9944,5.2657,79.3498,19.3141],"persistence":[75.0,62.5,37.5,12.5,12.5,37.5,62.5,37.5,62.5,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,87.5,87.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,50.0,37.5,37.5,50.0,50.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,62.5,50.0,25.0,0.0,25.0,50.0,75.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,87.5,87.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,50.0,50.0,25.0],"assessmentRisk":[37.5825,13.9987,33.6846,24.0332,34.5898,38.7376,27.3409,0.3529,33.3491,18.0495,20.9899,33.7415,9.9472,39.2736,9.4481,49.1293,10.256,14.9407,47.0527,7.1969,38.5474,16.8229,10.4172,16.2623,33.6565,15.8764,27.126,20.4585,13.9884,16.8652,13.2444,33.2324,44.7352,4.6042,42.83,0.9615,16.2387,18.6882,9.8664,38.6327,23.7566,20.3324,5.9098,31.2992,0.8588,44.3954,39.6635,19.0538,27.6584,15.0154,28.1755,32.0485],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":9.0,"control":5.5,"force":30.8,"direction":2.7,"confirmation":19.3,"persistence":25.0,"assessmentRisk":32.0,"intensity":23.1,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","headline":"The gauges support the Market Dynamics view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics disagree. The completed evidence gives the upward Market Dynamics view stronger support.","take":"Current assessment: the visible price structure remains vulnerable until Market Dynamics changes.","tone":"positive","supportedView":"Market Dynamics","direction":"upward","disagreement":true},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Control support is limited","controlPath":"Control support is easing","forceState":"Upward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is easing","directionState":"Follow-through is limited","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Limited support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Quiet"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"+9.0","detail":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"+5.5","detail":"Control support is limited","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"+30.8","detail":"Upward commitment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Direction 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