{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"STAA Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"53b042ef-38b6-4980-9d79-a2c54febc6a3","symbol":"STAA","name":"PT Sumber Tani Agung Resources Tbk","exchange":"JKT","country":"ID","asset_type":"equity","currency":"IDR","sector":"Consumer Defensive","industry":"Farm Products"},"summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path. Price has not yet responded to the same extent.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Drawdown and recovery pressure, Strength versus the research benchmark, Acceleration, deceleration and rollover, Directional strength and control, Activity pressure and cumulative balance."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-14","observations":229,"displayedObservations":104,"assetType":"Equity","state":"Rotational","stateTone":"caution","summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. 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cautious, Market Dynamics positive","kind":"disagreement","expectedDirection":"higher","episodes":12,"completedEpisodes":12,"activeEpisodes":0,"medianExpectedMove":6.0,"averageExpectedMove":8.8,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":5.5,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":12,"expectedCount":6,"expectedPercent":50.0,"averageReturn":0.4,"medianReturn":0.0,"confidenceLow":25.4,"confidenceHigh":74.6,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":12,"expectedCount":4,"expectedPercent":33.3,"averageReturn":0.6,"medianReturn":-3.4,"confidenceLow":13.8,"confidenceHigh":60.9,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":12,"expectedCount":5,"expectedPercent":41.7,"averageReturn":15.2,"medianReturn":-6.9,"confidenceLow":19.3,"confidenceHigh":68.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":1.1,"sample":12},{"week":2,"averageReturn":1.5,"sample":12},{"week":3,"averageReturn":0.8,"sample":12},{"week":4,"averageReturn":0.4,"sample":12},{"week":5,"averageReturn":0.8,"sample":12},{"week":6,"averageReturn":0.2,"sample":12},{"week":7,"averageReturn":0.6,"sample":12},{"week":8,"averageReturn":0.6,"sample":12},{"week":9,"averageReturn":0.4,"sample":12},{"week":10,"averageReturn":1.1,"sample":12},{"week":11,"averageReturn":1.7,"sample":12},{"week":12,"averageReturn":0.6,"sample":12},{"week":13,"averageReturn":0.5,"sample":12},{"week":14,"averageReturn":1.4,"sample":12},{"week":15,"averageReturn":2.6,"sample":12},{"week":16,"averageReturn":2.2,"sample":12},{"week":17,"averageReturn":4.1,"sample":12},{"week":18,"averageReturn":5.2,"sample":12},{"week":19,"averageReturn":4.7,"sample":12},{"week":20,"averageReturn":5.2,"sample":12},{"week":21,"averageReturn":5.9,"sample":12},{"week":22,"averageReturn":8.7,"sample":12},{"week":23,"averageReturn":12.6,"sample":12},{"week":24,"averageReturn":10.0,"sample":12},{"week":25,"averageReturn":12.4,"sample":12},{"week":26,"averageReturn":15.2,"sample":12}]}},"pricePressureGap":{"label":"Price elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":0,"completedEpisodes":0,"activeEpisodes":0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":12,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"sample":0},{"week":2,"sample":0},{"week":3,"sample":0},{"week":4,"sample":0},{"week":5,"sample":0},{"week":6,"sample":0},{"week":7,"sample":0},{"week":8,"sample":0},{"week":9,"sample":0},{"week":10,"sample":0},{"week":11,"sample":0},{"week":12,"sample":0},{"week":13,"sample":0},{"week":14,"sample":0},{"week":15,"sample":0},{"week":16,"sample":0},{"week":17,"sample":0},{"week":18,"sample":0},{"week":19,"sample":0},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Underlying strength ahead of price","tone":"caution","headline":"Underlying strength is leading price","use":"A positive price response is needed before the early upside case is confirmed.","confirm":"Treat the gap as an early-upside opportunity watch. A continued positive price response would confirm that price is catching up with the stronger foundation.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"positive","direction":"strengthening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Market Dynamics has strengthened across the recent completed path and remains strongly positive, while price has not advanced as far through its range. The gap is an early-upside watch; a positive price response is needed for confirmation.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"higher","percent":33.3,"averageReturn":0.6,"sample":12},"nowContext":{"label":"Stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Strengthened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price is lagging the underlying strength","detail":"Market Dynamics has advanced further through its recent range than price. This is positive divergence and an early-upside watch, but price confirmation is still required."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Early repair watch","title":"Prepare the case before price confirms the recovery","tone":"recovery","approach":"Use the improvement to move the ticker onto a watchlist or define an entry trigger. Commitment should rise only after price responds; fading Market Dynamics cancels the early case.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 33.3% of comparable cases moved higher after 12 weeks, with an average move of 0.6% across 12 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 66.7% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 3 cases. Distinct visits lasted 31.7 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use improving Market Dynamics to prepare, not anticipate","tone":"recovery","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average recovery of 8.8% across 12 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 5.5 weeks on average.","approach":"Define the price level that would confirm the repair. Until that response occurs, keep the idea at watchlist or starter-position size.","watch":"The early repair fails if Market Dynamics fades before price responds."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[{"date":"2024-10-18","price":831.024109},{"date":"2025-05-02","price":849.698792},{"date":"2025-07-25","price":890.0}],"distribution_rollovers":[{"date":"2025-10-24","price":1545.0}],"price_pressure_gaps":[]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-16","2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[723.6446,704.9699,714.3073,789.006,779.6687,798.3434,793.6747,803.0121,821.6868,831.0241,854.3675,845.0302,849.6988,826.3554,779.6687,793.6747,793.6747,770.3314,751.6566,765.6627,765.6627,770.3314,779.6687,779.6687,775.0,756.3253,760.994,793.6747,779.6687,793.6747,817.0181,784.3373,812.3494,793.6747,793.6747,812.3494,849.6988,770.3314,742.3193,779.6687,765.6627,775.0,795.0,770.0,765.0,780.0,800.0,820.0,890.0,950.0,960.0,980.0,1045.0,1000.0,1025.0,1060.0,1110.0,1105.0,1110.0,1445.0,1735.0,1545.0,1390.0,1355.0,1440.0,1390.0,1370.0,1380.0,1305.0,1345.0,1325.0,1320.0,1300.0,1300.0,1330.0,1210.0,1210.0,1160.0,1155.0,1165.0,1220.0,1220.0,1195.0,1225.0,1246.6836,1149.7194,1177.4235,1140.4846,1135.8673,1094.3112,1135.8673,946.5561,923.4694,905.0,975.0,1020.0,1045.0,995.0,1010.0,1020.0,1075.0,1080.0,1075.0,1060.0],"consensus":[10.8978,-18.5003,19.6178,75.0864,21.0067,65.4308,29.1108,35.0289,57.0875,46.669,65.9484,17.7123,31.9595,-10.8449,-50.8241,0.0,-10.5074,-45.1319,-41.7585,0.0,-14.5023,0.0,15.6009,10.3296,0.0,-31.1829,0.0,40.2456,-10.6979,23.7304,41.4576,-28.5697,41.9202,0.0,0.0,35.0307,53.658,-50.2887,-54.248,18.7115,-34.5785,0.0,33.1479,-32.8355,-8.9019,11.36,31.7006,43.0856,68.8503,62.0767,47.118,44.8081,70.7038,0.0,53.9205,54.3951,62.3547,42.6815,48.6037,81.0138,84.2897,0.0,0.0,0.0,33.2606,-12.5884,0.0,21.6157,-25.9499,12.3384,-9.6183,-10.2564,0.0,-13.6948,0.0,-43.5485,-17.3253,-44.2058,-34.0185,-22.9409,9.9539,0.0,-14.1273,11.5947,20.5812,-43.3841,0.0,-35.6856,-23.9398,-39.2776,0.0,-70.1098,-43.8485,-39.6851,-9.9715,0.0,14.1424,-27.9386,0.0,0.0,40.4201,19.886,0.0,1.4503],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[71.898,0.0,54.2851,53.395,67.2545,43.2933,52.7428,75.8568,82.5723,0.0,0.0,0.0,47.5951,-9.1796,0.0,29.0625,-21.8516,21.8427,-8.5601,-7.8551,0.0,-12.773,0.0,-38.3626,-9.0519,-45.8601,-30.6976,-22.0707,14.2062,0.0,-20.9998,11.4067,25.0982,-42.1057,0.0,-31.6777,-19.3072,-43.2595,0.0,-66.0211,-40.5153,-35.4724,-5.5844,0.0,12.725,-49.6649,0.0,0.0,37.494,13.9295,0.0,9.7271],"force":[68.7126,0.0,46.0593,46.5111,54.8602,13.4359,26.1149,96.9156,93.2855,0.0,0.0,0.0,38.5415,-44.753,0.0,14.9594,-43.2004,18.1323,-12.5415,-10.0442,0.0,-9.901,0.0,-54.7684,-0.796,-34.015,-15.2376,-4.7294,33.0444,0.0,-9.5709,23.2077,34.7369,-58.7444,0.0,-44.6333,-15.6817,-36.7432,0.0,-91.7081,-24.7517,-15.249,-21.7788,0.0,23.9919,-23.2812,0.0,0.0,74.2386,15.1579,0.0,12.0903],"direction":[70.7614,0.0,59.1189,61.1696,62.108,62.8722,59.9366,75.5492,79.8268,0.0,0.0,0.0,13.1063,-6.4905,0.0,17.8597,-18.3119,2.662,-8.7395,-13.1524,0.0,-17.4582,0.0,-41.461,-38.5873,-49.5943,-51.2288,-36.9435,11.3991,0.0,-9.5275,3.5145,5.3077,-33.8734,0.0,-33.8748,-35.1329,-36.5372,0.0,-59.3551,-61.2984,-61.954,-50.4285,0.0,8.7269,-6.4353,0.0,0.0,19.6083,30.0707,0.0,15.6089],"intensity":[90.3846,78.8462,84.6154,86.5385,92.3077,13.4615,15.3846,100.0,98.0769,96.1538,96.1538,92.3077,86.5385,80.7692,90.3846,44.2308,86.5385,90.3846,53.8462,15.3846,63.4615,44.2308,80.7692,90.3846,88.4615,57.6923,50.0,42.3077,61.5385,71.1538,78.8462,32.6923,51.9231,76.9231,40.3846,57.6923,57.6923,65.3846,32.6923,92.3077,90.3846,23.0769,61.5385,65.3846,15.3846,38.4615,7.6923,7.6923,50.0,51.9231,15.3846,26.9231],"confirmation":[90.5463,11.3954,85.0094,85.1814,87.6504,80.7575,82.8047,94.4876,95.273,39.5939,38.2065,5.1148,78.5859,51.7785,25.749,74.6007,76.8921,49.8813,71.1831,48.6455,24.8034,72.2808,24.7102,82.3565,50.4998,81.8101,78.3642,52.1327,28.9226,0.8905,72.2771,49.4004,52.2819,82.3705,3.6026,79.7532,75.4797,80.4309,28.9013,91.1557,81.5003,80.0187,8.2978,26.3659,72.8473,53.8007,25.2571,27.2159,82.0097,74.3102,27.3544,26.6588],"persistence":[100.0,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,75.0,62.5,62.5,37.5,25.0,25.0,0.0,12.5,0.0,12.5,25.0,25.0,25.0,50.0,50.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,62.5,50.0,62.5,37.5,12.5,12.5,0.0,0.0,25.0,37.5,25.0,50.0,75.0,75.0,87.5,75.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,37.5,12.5,12.5,25.0,25.0],"assessmentRisk":[14.6466,42.1088,21.3912,22.1255,17.5136,28.5665,25.3217,9.4775,7.8542,49.8708,51.7234,26.9683,65.1202,33.4821,9.7606,2.0924,23.6531,21.2691,10.2672,14.4937,1.1598,21.2631,1.8447,27.0285,38.7553,27.7721,32.9701,28.0689,5.8157,45.7377,45.2095,39.0287,17.7949,23.0763,15.3043,29.1445,37.7376,24.8019,40.4737,14.7204,27.9555,29.9847,44.3396,37.2334,40.4267,57.7934,26.76,3.5994,1.6476,33.4807,37.0642,29.1512],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":1.5,"control":9.7,"force":12.1,"direction":15.6,"confirmation":26.7,"persistence":25.0,"assessmentRisk":29.2,"intensity":26.9,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","headline":"The gauges support the upward view","summary":"The completed evidence gives the upward view the clearer support.","take":"Current assessment: upward pressure has the stronger support.","tone":"positive","supportedView":"Market Dynamics","direction":"upward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Control support is limited","controlPath":"Broadly stable","forceState":"Upward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is strengthening","directionState":"Upward follow-through","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Limited support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Quiet"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"+1.5","detail":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"+9.7","detail":"Control support is limited","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"+12.1","detail":"Upward commitment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM 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