{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"RI Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"58704b2b-f292-44d7-92b9-ac30010a5407","symbol":"RI","name":"Pernod Ricard SA","exchange":"PAR","country":"FR","asset_type":"equity","currency":"EUR","sector":"Consumer Defensive","industry":"Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries"},"summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path. Price has not yet responded to the same extent.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Drawdown and recovery pressure, Strength versus the research benchmark, Acceleration, deceleration and rollover, Range pressure and compression, Range position and boundary pressure."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-14","observations":260,"displayedObservations":104,"assetType":"Equity","state":"Rotational","stateTone":"caution","summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. 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cautious, Market Dynamics positive","kind":"disagreement","expectedDirection":"higher","episodes":17,"completedEpisodes":15,"activeEpisodes":2,"medianExpectedMove":1.4,"averageExpectedMove":3.6,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":4.8,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":16,"expectedCount":5,"expectedPercent":31.2,"averageReturn":-2.7,"medianReturn":-4.8,"confidenceLow":14.2,"confidenceHigh":55.6,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":15,"expectedCount":3,"expectedPercent":20.0,"averageReturn":-5.0,"medianReturn":-6.4,"confidenceLow":7.0,"confidenceHigh":45.2,"confidence":"Historically adverse"},{"weeks":26,"sample":14,"expectedCount":3,"expectedPercent":21.4,"averageReturn":-10.6,"medianReturn":-14.1,"confidenceLow":7.6,"confidenceHigh":47.6,"confidence":"Historically adverse"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-0.2,"sample":17},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-1.5,"sample":17},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-1.7,"sample":17},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-2.7,"sample":16},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-3.1,"sample":16},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-2.6,"sample":15},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-3.0,"sample":15},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-4.3,"sample":15},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-4.2,"sample":15},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-3.4,"sample":15},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-4.6,"sample":15},{"week":12,"averageReturn":-5.0,"sample":15},{"week":13,"averageReturn":-5.2,"sample":15},{"week":14,"averageReturn":-5.6,"sample":15},{"week":15,"averageReturn":-6.5,"sample":15},{"week":16,"averageReturn":-7.8,"sample":15},{"week":17,"averageReturn":-8.8,"sample":15},{"week":18,"averageReturn":-7.9,"sample":15},{"week":19,"averageReturn":-8.3,"sample":15},{"week":20,"averageReturn":-8.7,"sample":15},{"week":21,"averageReturn":-7.7,"sample":15},{"week":22,"averageReturn":-7.0,"sample":15},{"week":23,"averageReturn":-7.3,"sample":15},{"week":24,"averageReturn":-8.0,"sample":14},{"week":25,"averageReturn":-10.1,"sample":14},{"week":26,"averageReturn":-10.6,"sample":14}]}},"pricePressureGap":{"label":"Price elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":0,"completedEpisodes":0,"activeEpisodes":0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":12,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"sample":0},{"week":2,"sample":0},{"week":3,"sample":0},{"week":4,"sample":0},{"week":5,"sample":0},{"week":6,"sample":0},{"week":7,"sample":0},{"week":8,"sample":0},{"week":9,"sample":0},{"week":10,"sample":0},{"week":11,"sample":0},{"week":12,"sample":0},{"week":13,"sample":0},{"week":14,"sample":0},{"week":15,"sample":0},{"week":16,"sample":0},{"week":17,"sample":0},{"week":18,"sample":0},{"week":19,"sample":0},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Underlying strength ahead of price","tone":"caution","headline":"Underlying strength is leading price","use":"A positive price response is needed before the early upside case is confirmed.","confirm":"Treat the gap as an early-upside opportunity watch. A continued positive price response would confirm that price is catching up with the stronger foundation.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"positive","direction":"strengthening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Market Dynamics has strengthened across the recent completed path and remains strongly positive, while price has not advanced as far through its range. The gap is an early-upside watch; a positive price response is needed for confirmation.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"higher","percent":20.0,"averageReturn":-5.0,"sample":15},"nowContext":{"label":"Stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Strengthened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price is lagging the underlying strength","detail":"Market Dynamics has advanced further through its recent range than price. This is positive divergence and an early-upside watch, but price confirmation is still required."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Early repair watch","title":"Prepare the case before price confirms the recovery","tone":"recovery","approach":"Use the improvement to move the ticker onto a watchlist or define an entry trigger. Commitment should rise only after price responds; fading Market Dynamics cancels the early case.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 20.0% of comparable cases moved higher after 12 weeks, with an average move of -5.0% across 15 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 0.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 1 cases. Distinct visits lasted 20.0 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use improving Market Dynamics to prepare, not anticipate","tone":"recovery","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average recovery of 3.6% across 15 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 4.8 weeks on average.","approach":"Define the price level that would confirm the repair. Until that response occurs, keep the idea at watchlist or starter-position size.","watch":"The early repair fails if Market Dynamics fades before price responds."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[{"date":"2026-07-10","price":61.876778}],"distribution_rollovers":[],"price_pressure_gaps":[]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[117.0924,119.3157,114.0817,116.4902,118.6672,129.413,121.4,116.9071,118.2503,114.267,106.8097,104.3549,101.02,98.7967,100.3123,103.1066,107.9375,102.3488,103.7223,99.6966,99.2229,101.7331,104.6695,104.3854,95.3393,93.5679,93.9658,97.8021,96.9022,91.0104,90.1768,89.1538,83.8872,85.8953,87.373,90.7262,91.484,91.5788,89.8169,86.35,86.2174,83.3567,84.967,82.8452,81.4812,85.0239,89.7411,89.2485,97.1552,86.9687,92.9893,95.4558,98.9031,94.3876,93.3389,87.8038,86.3084,80.9481,81.8415,81.2588,86.6191,85.648,82.5018,80.0353,79.375,78.87,77.58,76.88,76.2,76.2,73.16,72.98,74.54,74.88,75.52,75.08,80.52,84.64,86.84,78.26,73.36,68.52,64.52,64.7,63.02,65.22,67.62,65.6,62.84,63.68,61.76,64.76,63.42,62.1,63.44,61.819,63.5731,61.5684,61.8768,62.8791,62.9,68.0,70.32,69.16],"consensus":[13.071,16.0174,-37.4936,11.7724,20.7955,67.7515,-17.1369,-27.348,8.317,-41.3434,-62.9047,-43.531,-58.6831,-51.3582,-25.2789,0.0,31.3554,-38.978,0.0,-47.9797,-37.0009,9.8908,22.956,0.0,-62.4716,-47.0608,-19.8575,9.4129,-16.108,-54.8354,-42.3952,-36.6999,-65.1317,-10.474,-14.9649,10.8629,16.4864,0.0,-15.4627,-41.8416,-34.5782,-50.3619,-14.9891,-43.7808,-38.8517,19.2745,44.998,21.4891,69.133,-35.5524,46.9026,44.5659,48.3332,0.0,0.0,-46.4962,-42.1607,-63.7856,-16.2285,-35.9666,30.337,-9.9248,-32.3869,-37.9002,-39.8132,-24.8761,-38.8895,-34.5394,-22.0397,-27.2463,-53.4625,-33.2972,0.0,-14.0092,0.0,0.0,53.2575,61.8532,54.3198,-30.3629,-52.9854,-60.5391,-69.684,-23.9247,-53.8844,-9.9265,10.8714,-32.436,-41.0972,-23.2428,-42.4661,9.3003,-29.9063,-25.3739,-11.4909,-17.7238,0.0,-24.1172,0.0,10.1785,0.0,57.7787,56.8775,21.3446],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[52.9902,0.0,0.0,-47.5324,-40.6838,-68.6797,-4.0122,-35.8456,30.8764,-22.3184,-40.2369,-42.5736,-41.2223,-15.6673,-36.9414,-36.5107,-14.4496,-28.536,-60.9478,-33.2022,0.0,-13.734,0.0,0.0,48.5344,59.4047,50.8689,-37.7626,-54.3468,-60.5917,-75.2139,-11.1502,-57.2514,-2.3613,9.7497,-41.5543,-49.7806,-27.5098,-41.7513,16.7078,-39.9908,-28.7398,-23.8315,-8.1278,0.0,-30.6561,0.0,8.3227,0.0,51.6122,55.4883,13.1557],"force":[45.4243,0.0,0.0,-66.8879,-49.2828,-71.9761,-11.3937,-19.959,77.3262,-10.6758,-36.9669,-36.6803,-27.7434,-10.1503,-32.4986,-20.7924,-6.0299,-9.0587,-45.7635,-11.7362,0.0,-3.4358,0.0,0.0,79.1823,73.6791,51.6217,-73.3417,-68.0003,-69.9975,-74.6143,-4.3555,-40.3634,-27.9821,44.7171,-28.7787,-36.1708,-0.034,-33.9194,38.5265,-29.991,-11.4325,-2.5001,-10.6675,0.0,-16.9078,0.0,27.077,0.0,77.9674,56.5142,8.9513],"direction":[45.0886,0.0,0.0,-30.7464,-38.7615,-52.3421,-49.9201,-47.5391,3.8433,-4.7757,-20.1442,-33.4304,-46.8242,-45.9187,-45.6808,-42.1059,-42.1497,-38.7635,-50.4071,-48.8066,0.0,-26.7843,0.0,0.0,40.1375,56.2043,60.191,-8.793,-40.7047,-53.723,-59.8425,-58.7244,-59.6942,-45.6499,12.0223,-24.6275,-34.6921,-34.9927,-49.3879,20.0412,-18.3208,-31.4854,-7.381,-33.731,0.0,-21.7938,0.0,0.2291,0.0,50.4056,58.7249,52.3432],"intensity":[59.6154,61.5385,80.7692,67.3077,55.7692,67.3077,57.6923,3.8462,69.2308,75.0,57.6923,23.0769,9.6154,42.3077,3.8462,1.9231,30.7692,21.1538,44.2308,26.9231,17.3077,28.8462,3.8462,5.7692,78.8462,78.8462,25.0,98.0769,94.2308,80.7692,65.3846,84.6154,53.8462,26.9231,36.5385,19.2308,50.0,9.6154,46.1538,48.0769,19.2308,51.9231,23.0769,40.3846,34.6154,23.0769,1.9231,40.3846,3.8462,75.0,61.5385,11.5385],"confirmation":[83.307,34.1664,27.0372,83.4844,81.731,88.5864,6.9681,79.0233,57.2849,49.3621,78.3838,80.0197,80.3509,75.6519,80.2796,78.6036,52.0138,76.1449,84.7593,77.9995,7.0329,50.0218,25.7676,24.823,85.9045,88.1907,85.3527,35.4557,85.3922,87.66,90.3649,53.2512,84.7796,8.106,29.7588,78.1291,80.8686,52.0039,81.3396,30.696,77.4189,75.6435,26.2627,73.6028,24.8057,75.3982,3.8239,49.1337,1.1977,87.1984,86.2109,30.608],"persistence":[75.0,62.5,50.0,25.0,0.0,0.0,25.0,50.0,50.0,62.5,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,87.5,87.5,75.0,62.5,37.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,0.0,0.0,12.5,25.0,50.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,75.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,75.0,75.0,62.5,62.5,50.0,50.0,37.5,12.5,12.5,37.5],"assessmentRisk":[5.5808,49.6078,5.0564,22.5103,28.3438,17.5938,40.8818,25.8795,12.1022,44.0044,25.0594,0.8253,29.2126,36.819,28.2316,24.3591,32.8149,27.1427,21.9437,31.328,30.9771,31.6402,44.401,51.0724,23.2064,19.0623,22.837,52.7201,21.8274,19.713,15.1571,37.9605,22.6321,29.9206,27.581,27.5314,18.2675,8.8544,26.3297,17.2586,25.9892,16.6446,38.838,36.9448,3.5911,1.0999,31.9957,22.0492,17.3258,20.9346,21.5301,39.1214],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":21.3,"control":13.2,"force":9.0,"direction":52.3,"confirmation":30.6,"persistence":37.5,"assessmentRisk":39.1,"intensity":11.5,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","headline":"The gauges support the upward view","summary":"The completed evidence gives the upward view the clearer support.","take":"Current assessment: upward pressure has the stronger support.","tone":"positive","supportedView":"Market Dynamics","direction":"upward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Buyer control supports the view","controlPath":"Broadly stable","forceState":"Commitment is limited","forcePath":"Commitment is easing","directionState":"Upward follow-through","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Limited support","riskState":"Present","intensityState":"Quiet"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"+21.3","detail":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"+13.2","detail":"Buyer control supports the view","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"+9.0","detail":"Commitment is limited","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"+52.3","detail":"Upward follow-through","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"31/100","detail":"Limited support","tone":"caution"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Rotational","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"52.9","detail":"Positive","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"5.6%","detail":"Contained","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"19.5","detail":"Range-led","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Range position","value":"36%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility 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