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elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":1,"completedEpisodes":1,"activeEpisodes":0,"medianExpectedMove":26.5,"averageExpectedMove":26.5,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":11.0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-14.7,"medianReturn":-14.7,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-24.6,"medianReturn":-24.6,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-30.0,"medianReturn":-30.0,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-1.7,"sample":1},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-2.5,"sample":1},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-10.2,"sample":1},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-14.7,"sample":1},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-19.7,"sample":1},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-20.1,"sample":1},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-22.4,"sample":1},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-24.9,"sample":1},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-23.3,"sample":1},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-26.0,"sample":1},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-26.5,"sample":1},{"week":12,"averageReturn":-24.6,"sample":1},{"week":13,"averageReturn":-20.5,"sample":1},{"week":14,"averageReturn":-20.5,"sample":1},{"week":15,"averageReturn":-18.6,"sample":1},{"week":16,"averageReturn":-21.8,"sample":1},{"week":17,"averageReturn":-19.1,"sample":1},{"week":18,"averageReturn":-28.2,"sample":1},{"week":19,"averageReturn":-28.9,"sample":1},{"week":20,"averageReturn":-27.4,"sample":1},{"week":21,"averageReturn":-27.5,"sample":1},{"week":22,"averageReturn":-28.4,"sample":1},{"week":23,"averageReturn":-29.0,"sample":1},{"week":24,"averageReturn":-31.2,"sample":1},{"week":25,"averageReturn":-26.6,"sample":1},{"week":26,"averageReturn":-30.0,"sample":1}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Evidence aligned downward","tone":"negative","headline":"Price and Market Dynamics remain aligned downward","use":"The downside remains supported until Market Dynamics repairs or price structure changes.","confirm":"The downside state remains confirmed until Market Dynamics repairs or price structure changes.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"negative","direction":"strengthening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Price is between the accumulation and distribution zones. The Market Dynamics bars describe whether the current move is gaining or losing underlying support.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"lower","percent":40.0,"averageReturn":7.7,"sample":15},"nowContext":{"label":"Slightly stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price structure is downward","detail":"Price is responding in the same broad direction as Market Dynamics."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Capital protection","title":"Treat agreement on the downside as a defensive condition","tone":"negative","approach":"Reduce the burden of proof for risk control and raise it for new long exposure. A short position still needs a defined entry, exit and maximum loss.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 40.0% of comparable cases moved lower after 12 weeks, with an average move of 7.7% across 15 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 100.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 3 cases. Distinct visits lasted 8.0 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use improving Market Dynamics to prepare, not anticipate","tone":"recovery","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average recovery of 16.1% across 16 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 7.1 weeks on average.","approach":"Define the price level that would confirm the repair. Until that response occurs, keep the idea at watchlist or starter-position size.","watch":"The early repair fails if Market Dynamics fades before price responds."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"distribution_rollovers":[{"date":"2025-05-09","price":1362.965698},{"date":"2025-06-13","price":1309.541504}],"price_pressure_gaps":[{"date":"2025-05-23","price":1457.875854}]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[1087.2782,1039.0162,1102.7557,1101.7667,1056.0266,1016.8138,915.79,925.3337,901.45,810.761,910.3013,916.2845,850.3694,813.728,861.0063,934.2781,917.8629,872.3478,866.2294,931.6915,903.8353,896.921,895.9261,898.8112,955.9662,930.9454,975.4159,995.8106,1054.9553,1036.3513,1262.4843,1256.6643,1453.0508,1424.8961,1498.2675,1425.2443,1404.6506,1362.9657,1298.6974,1457.8759,1433.4022,1421.1653,1309.5415,1243.1838,1170.9567,1165.4849,1131.0626,1095.0483,1118.5273,1078.2352,1071.868,1098.5304,1159.0183,1158.8193,1187.173,1139.8174,1179.1145,1047.3944,1037.0479,1058.4374,1056.7461,1044.0118,1034.4612,1003.2224,1070.3,1020.3,994.2,977.55,967.9,930.0,980.5,973.5,900.1,862.1,818.85,938.5,885.9,870.5,812.3,772.2,750.2,810.9,814.0,791.75,835.4,927.05,923.35,937.15,965.35,992.6,918.35,918.35,866.6,858.4,878.85,849.5,925.6,919.2,869.95,843.4,835.5,782.45,764.45,779.95],"consensus":[44.6595,-12.5447,44.035,17.966,-10.034,-23.2159,-60.2869,-14.6852,-37.1002,-65.2689,14.343,-14.2565,-42.8708,-38.8201,0.0,26.4322,0.0,-23.464,-10.219,27.2995,-9.2443,0.0,0.0,0.0,38.0398,0.0,37.0491,32.3024,55.5999,12.6375,79.5208,31.3813,80.4566,46.8842,58.283,0.0,0.0,0.0,-26.5255,55.1097,0.0,11.4518,-27.4577,-41.2155,-48.4807,-34.775,-45.4459,-46.9885,-18.3158,-43.3333,-35.3252,-9.8116,23.2765,0.0,20.5053,-22.8915,15.5939,-56.3063,-39.4332,-17.136,-21.8369,-22.4879,-17.5552,-43.1142,25.6698,-36.1055,-27.8535,-29.3684,-24.806,-50.9664,0.0,-11.9254,-56.6635,-53.476,-57.1706,27.5584,-35.9295,-29.902,-54.9803,-62.1449,-33.2143,10.2221,0.0,-24.2127,28.0356,60.6734,25.9734,35.3881,44.6137,40.4938,-22.3443,0.0,-42.8759,-26.7667,-11.1202,-37.3338,33.1359,20.2452,-26.9197,-25.4247,-30.2833,-60.7615,-52.2494,-18.1753],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[25.6123,0.0,18.1599,-35.4263,18.2072,-59.5581,-41.0232,-11.1109,-13.8032,-27.4225,-18.4745,-46.1972,27.3187,-34.58,-22.6447,-34.1596,-17.1872,-54.9257,0.0,-12.2791,-61.0152,-61.1565,-55.9442,33.7071,-37.0262,-37.5183,-65.2426,-58.447,-19.9528,15.0159,0.0,-30.4787,23.9878,54.5698,20.5627,29.973,41.2808,35.1634,-29.7082,0.0,-42.3423,-27.0194,-11.7974,-44.3323,33.289,17.6776,-37.5043,-31.3085,-27.7035,-65.8747,-56.3328,-16.958],"force":[55.6916,0.0,28.3177,-28.6793,25.8038,-64.8122,-22.5995,-4.1076,-7.3484,-9.5372,-4.2309,-39.5424,63.8334,-52.3938,-27.7775,-16.3064,-9.8302,-47.265,0.0,-2.4703,-63.4066,-44.3596,-55.1262,78.8454,-47.4891,-28.4678,-65.9145,-75.7579,-21.0898,66.8454,0.0,-23.266,57.5903,91.6795,9.0412,25.4704,37.5415,31.9874,-58.3198,0.0,-64.7474,-18.1894,-4.6271,-33.3216,32.5833,9.6745,-29.9327,-20.8679,-21.468,-62.8056,-41.3026,-20.5852],"direction":[2.5465,0.0,17.6056,-4.4319,5.3144,-46.5142,-49.64,-39.1958,-41.3673,-26.0989,-26.0219,-42.1422,3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downward confirmation","headline":"The gauges support the downward market view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics agree. Control, force and direction support the same downward assessment.","take":"Current assessment: downward pressure has broad support.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Price structure and Market Dynamics","direction":"downward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Seller control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is easing","forceState":"Downward commitment","forcePath":"Broadly stable","directionState":"Downward follow-through","persistenceState":"Developing","confirmationState":"Qualified support","riskState":"Present","intensityState":"Quiet"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-18.2","detail":"Joint downward confirmation","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-17.0","detail":"Seller control supports the view","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-20.6","detail":"Downward commitment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"-47.3","detail":"Downward 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