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elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":1,"completedEpisodes":1,"activeEpisodes":0,"medianExpectedMove":0.0,"averageExpectedMove":0.0,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":1.0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":1,"expectedCount":0,"expectedPercent":0.0,"averageReturn":0.0,"medianReturn":0.0,"confidenceLow":0.0,"confidenceHigh":79.3,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":1,"expectedCount":0,"expectedPercent":0.0,"averageReturn":0.0,"medianReturn":0.0,"confidenceLow":0.0,"confidenceHigh":79.3,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":1,"expectedCount":0,"expectedPercent":0.0,"averageReturn":0.0,"medianReturn":0.0,"confidenceLow":0.0,"confidenceHigh":79.3,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":0.0,"sample":1},{"week":2,"averageReturn":0.0,"sample":1},{"week":3,"averageReturn":0.0,"sample":1},{"week":4,"averageReturn":0.0,"sample":1},{"week":5,"averageReturn":0.0,"sample":1},{"week":6,"averageReturn":0.0,"sample":1},{"week":7,"averageReturn":0.0,"sample":1},{"week":8,"averageReturn":0.0,"sample":1},{"week":9,"averageReturn":0.0,"sample":1},{"week":10,"averageReturn":0.0,"sample":1},{"week":11,"averageReturn":0.0,"sample":1},{"week":12,"averageReturn":0.0,"sample":1},{"week":13,"averageReturn":0.0,"sample":1},{"week":14,"averageReturn":0.0,"sample":1},{"week":15,"averageReturn":0.0,"sample":1},{"week":16,"averageReturn":0.0,"sample":1},{"week":17,"averageReturn":0.0,"sample":1},{"week":18,"averageReturn":0.0,"sample":1},{"week":19,"averageReturn":0.0,"sample":1},{"week":20,"averageReturn":0.0,"sample":1},{"week":21,"averageReturn":0.0,"sample":1},{"week":22,"averageReturn":0.0,"sample":1},{"week":23,"averageReturn":0.0,"sample":1},{"week":24,"averageReturn":0.0,"sample":1},{"week":25,"averageReturn":0.0,"sample":1},{"week":26,"averageReturn":0.0,"sample":1}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Evidence aligned downward","tone":"negative","headline":"Price and Market Dynamics remain aligned downward","use":"The downside remains supported until Market Dynamics repairs or price structure changes.","confirm":"The downside state remains confirmed until Market Dynamics repairs or price structure changes.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"negative","direction":"weakening","zone":"accumulation","zoneContext":"Price is within accumulation conditions, but the completed tape has not yet confirmed a recovery. The zone is a watch area rather than a directional signal.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"lower","percent":61.5,"averageReturn":-5.3,"sample":13},"nowContext":{"label":"Easier this week","detail":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price structure is downward","detail":"Price is responding in the same broad direction as Market Dynamics."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Capital protection","title":"Treat agreement on the downside as a defensive condition","tone":"negative","approach":"Reduce the burden of proof for risk control and raise it for new long exposure. A short position still needs a defined entry, exit and maximum loss.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 61.5% of comparable cases moved lower after 12 weeks, with an average move of -5.3% across 13 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 50.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 2 cases. Distinct visits lasted 24.5 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 22.0% across 13 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 7.4 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."},{"eyebrow":"Position management","title":"Size for the path, not only the eventual long reward","tone":"positive","finding":"Across 1 completed accumulation cycles, the average gross long opportunity was 778.6%, while the average adverse move was 51.4%.","approach":"Scale exposure only as confirmation improves, and keep enough risk capacity to survive the ticker's observed adverse path.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[{"date":"2024-09-06","price":0.00108}],"distribution_rollovers":[{"date":"2025-12-26","price":0.0023}],"price_pressure_gaps":[{"date":"2025-03-28","price":0.00615}]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[0.0005,0.0007,0.0011,0.001,0.0015,0.0022,0.0032,0.0035,0.0034,0.0031,0.0032,0.0033,0.0032,0.0031,0.0031,0.0033,0.0036,0.0043,0.0046,0.0049,0.0047,0.0036,0.0044,0.0044,0.0043,0.0043,0.0049,0.005,0.0049,0.0049,0.005,0.0062,0.0062,0.0062,0.0062,0.0062,0.0062,0.0062,0.0062,0.0062,0.0062,0.0062,0.0062,0.0062,0.0062,0.0062,0.0062,0.0062,0.0062,0.0062,0.0062,0.0062,0.0062,0.0062,0.0062,0.0062,0.0062,0.0062,0.0062,0.0062,0.0062,0.0062,0.0062,0.0062,0.0062,0.0062,0.0062,0.0062,0.0062,0.0062,0.0023,0.0031,0.0034,0.0033,0.0029,0.0027,0.0029,0.0026,0.0022,0.0024,0.0024,0.0021,0.0021,0.0019,0.0018,0.0019,0.0022,0.0019,0.0021,0.0021,0.002,0.0023,0.0022,0.002,0.0019,0.0018,0.0018,0.0017,0.0014,0.0015,0.0014,0.0013,0.001,0.0009],"consensus":[61.4757,76.2714,82.6524,18.9183,85.4774,86.6723,92.4415,83.5592,27.4212,10.4729,42.0053,45.6048,12.9291,24.7164,22.6189,46.0172,62.1035,79.2842,56.2273,71.3191,29.2872,-46.7701,51.236,17.1268,0.0,21.6435,53.8728,37.1871,23.0336,23.2881,27.9043,68.6611,36.9594,36.6423,35.9445,25.6917,24.6395,23.4349,22.1082,20.6897,19.2093,17.6956,16.1748,14.6695,13.1982,11.7755,10.4117,9.1139,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-84.0449,-13.9802,-29.6371,-46.0601,-43.805,-48.8922,-22.3025,-65.6204,-62.3622,-13.9048,-47.8623,-64.3016,-30.4112,-57.1606,-44.702,-10.6513,9.3058,-44.0926,0.0,-19.4148,-21.0645,32.8908,0.0,-29.3482,-11.8037,-31.3989,-30.9741,-18.414,-33.917,-11.926,-41.8557,-43.2273,-55.4776,-54.0193],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-69.9831,-6.8354,-16.5112,-37.3204,-61.1521,-49.2053,-2.5739,-74.5537,-69.3075,-9.5458,-52.7175,-65.1841,-33.7641,-60.6324,-42.0164,-10.9098,7.2056,-55.6945,0.0,-31.1814,-22.9324,27.0425,0.0,-36.3857,-11.8302,-31.9794,-34.5943,-14.1595,-29.2092,-9.6226,-48.4498,-47.5307,-61.0512,-58.3815],"force":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-96.9152,-54.966,-21.6704,-12.2222,-16.6895,-17.0887,-14.1031,-41.899,-37.5499,-47.0557,-19.8615,-68.1718,-2.6292,-48.8449,-29.7555,-34.3367,51.6057,-46.8188,0.0,-11.4277,-12.786,57.0052,0.0,-41.7063,-1.9997,-22.6662,-21.2457,-4.7425,-22.9804,-17.6739,-30.1028,-33.3795,-58.9357,-47.4176],"direction":[0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,-90.9225,-87.0169,-81.2862,-80.2182,-43.3481,-71.2513,-70.8536,-72.3548,-72.1477,-62.4297,-62.3141,-60.5287,-46.4237,-59.1326,-58.4474,-42.4902,18.5082,-28.886,0.0,-11.6722,-24.8431,22.35,0.0,-12.4782,-18.7762,-36.973,-33.7856,-33.0417,-47.1092,-35.7014,-42.7147,-45.3432,-46.6378,-53.7493],"intensity":[38.4615,40.3846,42.3077,44.2308,46.1538,48.0769,50.0,51.9231,53.8462,55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downward confirmation","headline":"The gauges support the downward market view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics agree. Control, force and direction support the same downward assessment.","take":"Current assessment: downward pressure has broad support.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Price structure and Market Dynamics","direction":"downward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Seller control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is strengthening","forceState":"Downward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is strengthening","directionState":"Downward follow-through","persistenceState":"Established","confirmationState":"Strong support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Normal"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-54.0","detail":"Joint downward confirmation","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-58.4","detail":"Seller control supports the view","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-47.4","detail":"Downward commitment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"-53.7","detail":"Downward follow-through","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"93/100","detail":"Strong support","tone":"positive"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Aligned downward","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"23.7","detail":"Stretched negative","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"37.7%","detail":"Elevated","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"45.5","detail":"Directional","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Range position","value":"3%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price 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