{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"AALI Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"5c258215-63e6-4a59-9240-7552db4abc69","symbol":"AALI","name":"PT Astra Agro Lestari Tbk","exchange":"JKT","country":"ID","asset_type":"equity","currency":"IDR","sector":"Consumer Defensive","industry":"Farm Products"},"summary":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero. Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path. Price has not yet established a clear direction.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Acceleration, deceleration and rollover, Strength versus the research benchmark, Drawdown and recovery pressure, Range pressure and compression, Range position and boundary pressure."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-14","observations":260,"displayedObservations":104,"assetType":"Equity","state":"Rotational","stateTone":"caution","summary":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero. 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evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":1.1,"sample":1},{"week":2,"averageReturn":1.1,"sample":1},{"week":3,"averageReturn":0.5,"sample":1},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-5.2,"sample":1},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-17.6,"sample":1},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-19.2,"sample":1},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-20.4,"sample":1},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-22.9,"sample":1},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-22.9,"sample":1},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-26.7,"sample":1},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-24.8,"sample":1},{"week":12,"averageReturn":-21.4,"sample":1},{"week":13,"averageReturn":-19.5,"sample":1},{"week":14,"averageReturn":-18.6,"sample":1},{"week":15,"averageReturn":-14.2,"sample":1},{"week":16,"averageReturn":-8.6,"sample":1},{"week":17,"averageReturn":-6.7,"sample":1},{"week":18,"sample":0},{"week":19,"sample":0},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Repair in progress","tone":"caution","headline":"Market Dynamics is repairing while price remains rotational","use":"The repair is constructive, but price has not yet established a clear response.","confirm":"Treat the repair as constructive context until price confirms it.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"negative","direction":"strengthening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Market Dynamics remains below zero, but it has improved across the recent completed path. This is an early repair watch until price confirms it.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"sample":0},"nowContext":{"label":"Stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Strengthened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has strengthened across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price has no clear direction","detail":"Price remains rotational while the Market Dynamics condition develops."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 100.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 6 cases. Distinct visits lasted 2.0 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 8.7% across 18 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 7.7 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics 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71.1887,64.4724,61.189,57.0464,58.6964,67.1314,62.5983,52.6368,40.6069,28.8292,0.0,18.8013,-2.1465,5.6029,-12.8787,27.2322,-29.7813,-34.7041,-35.0005,-36.1655,33.7566,0.0,0.0,-15.6989,0.0,-16.7611,-8.1128,-4.1339,-26.3411,-33.8025,-38.1574,12.9015,33.4388,37.96,56.4531,58.5163,55.6136,50.4123,-13.4189,-57.6468,-60.6922,-62.9461,-65.6047,-60.4977,-66.563,-58.8418,0.0,7.0277,8.5797,37.0158,55.012,-58.9759],"intensity":[92.3077,36.5385,30.7692,59.6154,100.0,98.0769,36.5385,90.3846,28.8462,94.2308,67.3077,28.8462,26.9231,17.3077,65.3846,84.6154,92.3077,96.1538,5.7692,28.8462,96.1538,69.2308,61.5385,98.0769,84.6154,63.4615,42.3077,32.6923,67.3077,15.3846,3.8462,53.8462,73.0769,61.5385,84.6154,80.7692,50.0,36.5385,78.8462,98.0769,94.2308,59.6154,51.9231,11.5385,57.6923,30.7692,63.4615,30.7692,48.0769,65.3846,76.9231,48.0769],"confirmation":[93.292,35.503,83.8322,78.6258,87.2599,92.6576,33.8531,31.9609,79.1074,75.0496,5.3212,49.2402,49.4396,50.2345,75.3116,83.3914,84.0465,75.1669,78.8447,26.8005,84.072,3.9228,24.6213,75.4536,28.1061,25.7548,70.9036,49.9149,75.3805,77.4232,76.8975,28.7306,85.5004,78.3588,91.896,83.5443,77.8891,7.6509,81.9425,90.4074,85.2868,82.6306,81.9262,79.5668,88.4365,54.4821,29.0422,52.1391,48.7466,84.3277,90.2501,85.8205],"persistence":[75.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,87.5,87.5,62.5,62.5,37.5,37.5,12.5,12.5,25.0,50.0,25.0,37.5,25.0,50.0,37.5,37.5,37.5,37.5,62.5,75.0,87.5,62.5,50.0,25.0,0.0,25.0,50.0,75.0,75.0,50.0,25.0,0.0,25.0,50.0,75.0,100.0,87.5,62.5,37.5,12.5,12.5,37.5],"assessmentRisk":[11.0969,39.6483,23.503,29.7709,19.1227,12.0122,35.4926,39.4533,15.2436,37.1347,31.2117,6.7441,30.0581,45.8304,28.5744,8.4999,15.3133,35.1466,25.0746,43.6265,23.7381,42.694,41.33,15.6606,44.7986,29.1171,13.1107,25.0532,22.7708,30.0871,33.8761,28.3168,22.0903,33.4295,13.6966,25.3839,33.5169,41.5173,27.7875,16.3768,22.7265,26.232,27.4267,22.1717,14.1918,24.7661,20.8568,27.8504,43.9341,25.09,15.5675,21.4485],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":-56.5,"control":-58.9,"force":-49.2,"direction":-59.0,"confirmation":85.8,"persistence":37.5,"assessmentRisk":21.4,"intensity":48.1,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","headline":"The gauges support the downward view","summary":"The completed evidence gives the downward view the clearer support.","take":"Current assessment: downward pressure has the stronger support.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Market Dynamics","direction":"downward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Seller control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is strengthening","forceState":"Downward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is strengthening","directionState":"Downward follow-through","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Strong support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Normal"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-56.5","detail":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-58.9","detail":"Seller control supports the view","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-49.2","detail":"Downward 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