{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"EDED Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-21","ticker":{"uuid":"5c2ba33b-9077-44f3-bf5d-4c7b30d85847","symbol":"EDED","name":"BNP PARIBAS EASY - S&P 500 II UCITS ETF EUR CAPITALISATION","exchange":"GER","country":"DE","asset_type":"etf","currency":"EUR","sector":null,"industry":null},"summary":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. The upward price structure is leading its underlying support.","sections":[{"name":"Executive technical read","description":"Completed-week price state, Market Dynamics alignment, current price and the principal technical KPIs."},{"name":"Market Dynamics","description":"The proprietary relationship between completed price, underlying support, positioning zones and confirmation."},{"name":"Ticker evidence record","description":"Current application, comparable historical conditions, zone outcomes and practical review conditions."},{"name":"Adaptive technical evidence","description":"Six condition-selected views: Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope, Activity pressure and cumulative balance, Directional strength and control, Range position and boundary pressure, Range pressure and compression, Directional pressure and rotation."},{"name":"SM Tape Intelligence","description":"Resolved consensus with Control, Force, Direction and Confirmation gauges against completed price."},{"name":"Research boundary","description":"Dated scope, interpretation limits, methodology version and source references."}],"research":{"available":true,"asOf":"2026-08-21","observations":56,"displayedObservations":56,"assetType":"ETF","state":"Aligned upward","stateTone":"positive","summary":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. The upward price structure is leading its underlying support.","evidenceAlignment":{"status":"Price ahead of underlying support","headline":"The upward price response is leading Market Dynamics","summary":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive. Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path. The upward price structure is leading its underlying support.","take":"Treat the gap as an early-downside risk watch. Stronger Market Dynamics would confirm the price move; a weaker price response would confirm that the gap is closing through 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cautious, Market Dynamics positive","kind":"disagreement","expectedDirection":"higher","episodes":3,"completedEpisodes":0,"activeEpisodes":3,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":2,"expectedCount":2,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":2.1,"medianReturn":2.1,"confidenceLow":34.2,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough 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Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":1,"completedEpisodes":1,"activeEpisodes":0,"medianExpectedMove":1.9,"averageExpectedMove":1.9,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":1.0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":1,"expectedCount":0,"expectedPercent":0.0,"averageReturn":3.5,"medianReturn":3.5,"confidenceLow":0.0,"confidenceHigh":79.3,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":1,"expectedCount":0,"expectedPercent":0.0,"averageReturn":3.2,"medianReturn":3.2,"confidenceLow":0.0,"confidenceHigh":79.3,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":1.9,"sample":1},{"week":2,"averageReturn":3.0,"sample":1},{"week":3,"averageReturn":3.6,"sample":1},{"week":4,"averageReturn":3.5,"sample":1},{"week":5,"averageReturn":2.5,"sample":1},{"week":6,"averageReturn":4.3,"sample":1},{"week":7,"averageReturn":3.2,"sample":1},{"week":8,"averageReturn":4.6,"sample":1},{"week":9,"averageReturn":5.4,"sample":1},{"week":10,"averageReturn":4.3,"sample":1},{"week":11,"averageReturn":4.4,"sample":1},{"week":12,"averageReturn":3.2,"sample":1},{"week":13,"averageReturn":7.1,"sample":1},{"week":14,"averageReturn":7.4,"sample":1},{"week":15,"averageReturn":5.1,"sample":1},{"week":16,"sample":0},{"week":17,"sample":0},{"week":18,"sample":0},{"week":19,"sample":0},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Price ahead of underlying support","tone":"caution","headline":"Price is leading its underlying support","use":"Market Dynamics must catch up or price may correct toward the weaker underlying position.","confirm":"Treat the gap as an early-downside risk watch. Stronger Market Dynamics would confirm the price move; a weaker price response would confirm that the gap is closing through correction.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"positive","direction":"weakening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Price has advanced further through its recent range than Market Dynamics. The gap is an early-downside risk watch; stronger underlying support or a price reset is needed to close it.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"lower","percent":0.0,"averageReturn":12.2,"sample":2},"nowContext":{"label":"Easier this week","detail":"Market Dynamics eased this week but remains positive."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price is ahead of the underlying support","detail":"Price is extended relative to Market Dynamics. The gap is a downside-risk warning until support catches up or price resets."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Divergence control","title":"Do not chase price while the underlying evidence lags","tone":"caution","approach":"Use the gap to review position size, protect gains and wait for either Market Dynamics to catch up or price to correct. The disagreement is a warning condition, not an automatic exit.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 0.0% of comparable cases moved lower after 12 weeks, with an average move of 12.2% across 2 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 100.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 1 cases. Distinct visits lasted 1.0 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 4.0% across 2 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 1.5 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"reversal_warnings":[{"date":"2026-05-08","price":12.8335}],"reversal_dangers":[{"date":"2026-06-26","price":13.246},{"date":"2026-07-03","price":13.43}]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"close":[10.953,11.0885,11.188,11.22,11.205,11.1955,11.4195,11.48,11.5085,11.6765,11.5995,11.5225,11.785,12.0665,11.6845,11.8325,11.6535,12.0065,12.0235,11.829,11.8765,11.9275,11.8775,12.182,12.2225,11.9965,11.91,11.9125,11.783,11.941,11.87,12.0345,11.8875,11.5805,11.3775,11.6305,11.907,12.3515,12.48,12.489,12.8335,13.08,13.219,13.2935,13.279,13.1555,13.3825,13.246,13.43,13.532,13.3805,13.403,13.2405,13.75,13.7785,13.4895],"consensus":[-100.0,23.416,-29.5374,100.0,24.0126,9.6807,54.9831,47.1748,34.3695,61.7584,0.0,0.0,52.2421,63.3175,-18.8331,30.6446,-18.7445,42.6313,40.4652,-13.1129,25.3491,24.0507,-12.2491,56.6746,43.9072,0.0,0.0,0.0,-33.3742,19.6716,-19.4893,42.9469,-10.1368,-55.3796,-65.7828,13.5005,40.5425,62.1545,58.0267,40.5102,78.9073,74.0786,75.4291,55.5039,28.5697,38.8178,60.1377,29.1746,65.742,57.6063,0.0,33.0202,-25.3291,71.7281,36.2177,18.4012],"supportDates":["2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"control":[null,5.3022,56.7304,46.8593,27.5731,58.6523,0.0,0.0,57.2968,60.411,-28.6465,20.9669,-16.7801,61.54,46.2761,-23.7694,27.2023,40.9141,-15.3172,70.1646,49.6832,0.0,0.0,0.0,-32.4392,34.0252,-16.5583,40.8031,-2.8878,-58.7898,-61.781,25.3878,42.9689,69.7982,68.2284,38.7323,82.2378,71.7582,76.0047,56.1074,11.9189,47.8077,72.6692,42.0723,69.61,65.8787,0.0,30.5285,-16.0031,75.8052,28.7886,21.2496],"force":[7.2821,0.7061,62.8394,42.4876,18.9436,62.2251,0.0,0.0,34.1387,57.6002,-67.4744,17.9764,-47.307,35.2445,24.8076,-31.7225,19.3868,13.5867,-25.7463,46.4078,27.1829,0.0,0.0,0.0,-32.4812,27.5029,-36.991,78.025,-37.2767,-57.0001,-80.5662,71.1337,79.5037,62.4928,41.8262,17.8323,91.6541,84.0467,80.2309,30.9754,3.5008,6.2934,40.0545,3.6242,73.9335,36.0969,0.0,19.0955,-76.0834,91.7735,18.6523,75.3475],"direction":[46.366,22.1037,47.3744,50.8834,53.1553,64.9748,0.0,0.0,59.3962,70.7231,-27.126,50.7534,-0.5878,26.2977,45.0081,-12.3586,27.4901,12.2526,-0.8981,48.591,49.2521,0.0,0.0,0.0,-35.0808,2.3263,-10.3377,20.3411,-0.9642,-50.3248,-59.7966,41.2514,9.94,53.1773,57.9393,58.7404,65.9963,69.6103,71.3413,72.3345,70.5067,51.7752,60.1609,37.862,55.4704,63.516,0.0,45.814,-0.2656,52.7503,57.2549,25.53],"intensity":[75.0,20.0,83.3333,14.2857,50.0,66.6667,60.0,45.4545,100.0,100.0,100.0,33.3333,62.5,94.1176,27.7778,68.4211,15.0,57.1429,4.5455,91.3043,8.3333,84.0,15.3846,22.2222,25.0,48.2759,6.6667,58.0645,40.625,93.9394,85.2941,77.1429,86.1111,100.0,100.0,20.5128,90.0,87.8049,30.9524,69.7674,4.5455,66.6667,80.4348,53.1915,66.6667,18.3673,40.0,7.8431,53.8462,100.0,92.3077,86.5385],"confirmation":[31.2504,25.6653,85.8074,82.9579,78.6317,87.8242,8.9116,5.9865,84.0887,88.1317,35.813,77.5677,52.232,81.1288,80.3831,29.904,75.9018,75.1204,49.8092,85.6174,81.4526,3.0806,0.8344,25.2587,78.6668,52.1445,74.8146,82.8447,27.0537,85.7189,89.562,37.3625,82.124,87.7833,85.9193,80.2992,93.5881,92.0443,92.2749,85.0045,54.4988,56.6268,86.441,54.2462,89.2281,85.6524,10.784,78.1801,55.1842,91.5018,79.1676,43.6936],"persistence":[20.0,33.3333,42.8571,50.0,75.0,75.0,87.5,75.0,75.0,75.0,50.0,50.0,25.0,25.0,37.5,25.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,50.0,37.5,25.0,37.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,12.5,25.0,37.5,25.0,0.0,0.0,25.0,25.0,50.0,75.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,87.5,87.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,37.5],"assessmentRisk":[37.9759,42.455,22.0752,26.2736,32.7828,19.1204,45.2652,20.7646,23.332,18.2162,32.6008,32.0843,21.6034,35.9073,26.5588,5.6998,27.2119,30.4568,24.8826,18.147,24.4583,14.7991,8.9283,43.4317,32.7636,25.9531,4.4597,12.91,36.69,21.158,16.8338,55.5087,14.9044,18.8339,20.9839,29.7194,10.5229,12.8351,12.1725,22.1965,34.1746,2.3445,6.0476,28.2,2.9623,20.2218,0.0514,22.5256,28.5603,5.1628,30.6657,29.509],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":18.4,"control":21.2,"force":75.3,"direction":25.5,"confirmation":43.7,"persistence":37.5,"assessmentRisk":29.5,"intensity":86.5,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Joint upward confirmation","headline":"The gauges support the upward market view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics agree. Control, force and direction support the same upward assessment.","take":"Current assessment: upward pressure has broad support.","tone":"positive","supportedView":"Price structure and Market Dynamics","direction":"upward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Buyer control supports the view","controlPath":"Broadly stable","forceState":"Upward commitment","forcePath":"Commitment is strengthening","directionState":"Upward follow-through","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Qualified support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Elevated"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"+18.4","detail":"Joint upward confirmation","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"+21.2","detail":"Buyer control supports the view","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"+75.3","detail":"Upward commitment","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"+25.5","detail":"Upward 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upward.","series":[{"label":"Close","values":[10.953,11.0885,11.188,11.22,11.205,11.1955,11.4195,11.48,11.5085,11.6765,11.5995,11.5225,11.785,12.0665,11.6845,11.8325,11.6535,12.0065,12.0235,11.829,11.8765,11.9275,11.8775,12.182,12.2225,11.9965,11.91,11.9125,11.783,11.941,11.87,12.0345,11.8875,11.5805,11.3775,11.6305,11.907,12.3515,12.48,12.489,12.8335,13.08,13.219,13.2935,13.279,13.1555,13.3825,13.246,13.43,13.532,13.3805,13.403,13.2405,13.75,13.7785,13.4895],"stroke":"#10243b","width":2.1},{"label":"Fast trend","values":[null,null,null,null,11.0806,11.1015,11.1593,11.2176,11.2705,11.3443,11.3907,11.4147,11.482,11.5883,11.6058,11.647,11.6482,11.7133,11.7697,11.7805,11.798,11.8215,11.8317,11.8954,11.9549,11.9624,11.9529,11.9456,11.916,11.9205,11.9114,11.9337,11.9253,11.8626,11.7744,11.7483,11.7771,11.8816,11.9904,12.081,12.2178,12.3746,12.5281,12.6673,12.7785,12.847,12.9444,12.9992,13.0776,13.1602,13.2002,13.2371,13.2377,13.3309,13.4123,13.4263],"stroke":"#176fa3","width":1.7},{"label":"Slow trend","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,11.2587,11.3185,11.3457,11.3817,11.4018,11.4466,11.4894,11.5145,11.5413,11.5699,11.5927,11.6364,11.6798,11.7033,11.7186,11.7329,11.7366,11.7518,11.7605,11.7808,11.7887,11.7733,11.744,11.7356,11.7483,11.793,11.8439,11.8916,11.9614,12.0443,12.1313,12.2174,12.296,12.3597,12.4354,12.4955,12.5647,12.6364,12.6915,12.7442,12.781,12.8527,12.9213,12.9634],"stroke":"#07865c","width":1.8},{"label":"Upper 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pressure and cumulative balance","description":"Observed activity is compared with its normal backdrop while cumulative balance tracks directional participation.","reason":"Selected because participation is confirming or diverging from the latest price path.","series":[{"label":"Activity versus norm","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,126.3845,140.2373,0.0,0.0,0.0,144.6309,231.0392,266.9329,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,1.6313,0.0,0.0,0.0,898.6705,1.2568,1683.0559,207.7793,4.1169,330.3303,0.0,29.2689,65.2769,1.6103,0.0,0.0,36.2967,41.7301,16.6195,35.8705,8.0877,1.6364,0.0,0.0,0.0,53.2726,0.1604,363.5499,634.3185,695.3637,416.8704,868.3509,778.2783],"stroke":"#1678a7","width":1.8},{"label":"Cumulative 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