{"schema_version":"1.0","name":"THO Technical Research Pack","type":"technical_research_pack","method_version":"technical-research-pack-1","as_of":"2026-08-14","ticker":{"uuid":"5ce931b8-e89e-43f2-87de-262cf173920a","symbol":"THO","name":"Thor Industries Inc","exchange":"NYSE","country":"US","asset_type":"equity","currency":"USD","sector":"Consumer Cyclical","industry":"Recreational Vehicles"},"summary":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive. The broader path has not changed enough to establish a new direction. 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cautious, Market Dynamics positive","kind":"disagreement","expectedDirection":"higher","episodes":16,"completedEpisodes":13,"activeEpisodes":3,"medianExpectedMove":11.6,"averageExpectedMove":10.8,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":4.4,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":15,"expectedCount":8,"expectedPercent":53.3,"averageReturn":-1.1,"medianReturn":2.2,"confidenceLow":30.1,"confidenceHigh":75.2,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":13,"expectedCount":4,"expectedPercent":30.8,"averageReturn":-1.9,"medianReturn":-1.6,"confidenceLow":12.7,"confidenceHigh":57.6,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":12,"expectedCount":5,"expectedPercent":41.7,"averageReturn":-3.9,"medianReturn":-6.9,"confidenceLow":19.3,"confidenceHigh":68.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-0.6,"sample":16},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-1.7,"sample":16},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-0.9,"sample":16},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-1.1,"sample":15},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-1.3,"sample":15},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-1.8,"sample":14},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-1.3,"sample":14},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-2.3,"sample":13},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-4.2,"sample":13},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-2.5,"sample":13},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-3.9,"sample":13},{"week":12,"averageReturn":-1.9,"sample":13},{"week":13,"averageReturn":-5.8,"sample":13},{"week":14,"averageReturn":-7.9,"sample":13},{"week":15,"averageReturn":-7.9,"sample":13},{"week":16,"averageReturn":-7.1,"sample":13},{"week":17,"averageReturn":-6.6,"sample":13},{"week":18,"averageReturn":-4.0,"sample":13},{"week":19,"averageReturn":-4.7,"sample":13},{"week":20,"averageReturn":-4.2,"sample":13},{"week":21,"averageReturn":-3.4,"sample":13},{"week":22,"averageReturn":-3.1,"sample":13},{"week":23,"averageReturn":-4.2,"sample":13},{"week":24,"averageReturn":-5.8,"sample":13},{"week":25,"averageReturn":-6.9,"sample":13},{"week":26,"averageReturn":-3.9,"sample":12}]}},"pricePressureGap":{"label":"Price elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":0,"completedEpisodes":0,"activeEpisodes":0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":12,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"sample":0},{"week":2,"sample":0},{"week":3,"sample":0},{"week":4,"sample":0},{"week":5,"sample":0},{"week":6,"sample":0},{"week":7,"sample":0},{"week":8,"sample":0},{"week":9,"sample":0},{"week":10,"sample":0},{"week":11,"sample":0},{"week":12,"sample":0},{"week":13,"sample":0},{"week":14,"sample":0},{"week":15,"sample":0},{"week":16,"sample":0},{"week":17,"sample":0},{"week":18,"sample":0},{"week":19,"sample":0},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Positive support; price rotational","tone":"caution","headline":"Market Dynamics is positive while price remains rotational","use":"Treat the improvement as context until price establishes a clear response.","confirm":"The underlying condition is constructive, but a positive price response is still required.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"positive","direction":"strengthening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Price is between the accumulation and distribution zones. The Market Dynamics bars describe whether the current move is gaining or losing underlying support.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"higher","percent":30.8,"averageReturn":-1.9,"sample":13},"nowContext":{"label":"Stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics strengthened this week and remains positive."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Broadly steady over four weeks","detail":"The broader path has not changed enough to establish a new direction."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price has no clear direction","detail":"Price remains rotational while the Market Dynamics condition develops."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Early repair watch","title":"Prepare the case before price confirms the recovery","tone":"recovery","approach":"Use the improvement to move the ticker onto a watchlist or define an entry trigger. Commitment should rise only after price responds; fading Market Dynamics cancels the early case.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 30.8% of comparable cases moved higher after 12 weeks, with an average move of -1.9% across 13 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 100.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 1 cases. Distinct visits lasted 3.0 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use improving Market Dynamics to prepare, not anticipate","tone":"recovery","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average recovery of 10.8% across 13 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 4.4 weeks on average.","approach":"Define the price level that would confirm the repair. Until that response occurs, keep the idea at watchlist or starter-position size.","watch":"The early repair fails if Market Dynamics fades before price responds."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[{"date":"2025-06-06","price":84.685619}],"distribution_rollovers":[],"price_pressure_gaps":[]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[103.4089,103.1013,97.1129,98.3144,99.4967,105.7062,104.4278,105.5621,111.0891,100.4003,101.0058,105.1299,105.6321,108.3461,107.7859,102.7829,101.0348,93.936,92.1106,93.3179,90.6005,98.7654,97.5324,99.8431,96.4936,100.8916,96.1052,96.4936,83.2025,78.2415,76.7755,74.8337,69.3581,67.4765,67.5841,72.2802,73.4346,74.9119,80.6548,77.8959,79.4319,84.6856,85.028,83.5116,87.7772,91.0936,91.7133,88.2604,93.8087,89.8246,93.3758,105.702,109.8534,107.817,110.5026,103.3017,101.0588,104.6002,107.2957,97.6452,102.9672,109.5075,103.142,102.6379,97.508,99.7122,104.3973,99.6727,101.2739,104.7927,104.941,104.2095,109.2848,114.013,113.6058,111.1225,119.1783,114.023,112.8906,95.4877,85.7233,81.7898,74.6975,78.5913,76.8431,79.23,80.55,79.0,77.6425,76.6692,73.5707,76.4805,78.5363,75.1795,76.6394,71.8823,78.1986,76.5,72.86,76.27,76.66,74.97,79.55,79.0],"consensus":[41.6702,18.8116,-25.1528,13.9058,0.0,48.1406,17.4005,38.0211,60.5735,-41.2405,-9.2591,21.9099,0.0,37.8694,8.6017,-24.74,-24.2694,-55.971,-42.1059,-14.0787,-47.9726,34.8072,-8.1532,17.5397,-10.9618,28.6309,-32.8053,-12.1414,-62.4079,-57.7231,-49.0916,-54.4858,-59.7549,-41.7289,-33.773,0.0,0.0,0.0,35.8642,-8.5633,12.2869,46.2254,15.8665,0.0,47.6197,45.467,35.2568,0.0,51.7278,-8.9644,38.2624,74.282,64.4031,30.8189,54.1479,-18.5091,-15.0524,29.4628,33.3609,-43.9934,31.8802,53.3767,-24.3291,0.0,-38.3948,0.0,27.9664,-32.5247,0.0,31.1177,14.486,12.4134,49.3679,50.0919,25.1999,8.5064,62.0695,0.0,0.0,-65.3899,-76.4634,-60.1157,-77.8094,-31.9431,-46.5067,-19.6379,-9.3418,-31.9348,-29.5075,-26.1814,-48.213,0.0,0.0,-30.7677,0.0,-47.117,24.6774,-8.8071,-32.6982,16.2478,0.0,-20.7088,32.7533,4.6524],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[66.5824,23.9929,53.752,-21.4936,-10.7864,33.3133,45.9446,-43.7308,34.5615,58.0123,-23.9729,0.0,-39.5505,0.0,31.8451,-26.3973,0.0,32.4148,21.0203,11.7974,53.4127,48.4506,19.9631,0.6099,62.8445,0.0,0.0,-57.3169,-78.1008,-58.5443,-77.6762,-32.4402,-45.1677,-18.0849,-14.3749,-38.6702,-36.6118,-24.4172,-49.4519,0.0,0.0,-28.1795,0.0,-50.4299,28.398,-12.031,-33.4054,12.58,0.0,-24.9014,30.3608,1.3178],"force":[56.3315,6.6592,38.43,-72.0876,-44.2401,39.425,29.1403,-75.7653,48.8096,63.8234,-53.0245,0.0,-46.2936,0.0,42.9107,-65.1045,0.0,43.3632,8.8354,7.3797,58.2771,55.7849,6.1776,14.8019,74.0766,0.0,0.0,-94.3491,-91.0813,-52.1779,-87.076,-17.9906,-26.0076,-17.3708,-19.5226,-17.2084,-12.6121,-9.2,-41.9359,0.0,0.0,-38.6791,0.0,-54.4738,58.7172,-9.3294,-38.0948,36.0745,0.0,-27.2918,43.3585,4.7822],"direction":[67.678,65.3901,65.8275,-23.1722,-0.9204,17.9464,21.9941,-21.5993,16.7234,40.6169,-4.2395,0.0,-31.432,0.0,12.8591,-16.2561,0.0,20.8885,11.0544,16.713,38.3814,47.9013,44.7721,34.1798,52.6072,0.0,0.0,-53.9309,-64.1507,-67.5815,-71.3426,-67.042,-62.6793,-47.8475,-24.2071,-34.7562,-33.4563,-40.3273,-51.2806,0.0,0.0,-28.0746,0.0,-38.076,3.889,-4.7497,-28.0354,6.2776,0.0,-11.2153,27.9124,18.2146],"intensity":[88.4615,44.2308,21.1538,80.7692,55.7692,36.5385,17.3077,90.3846,63.4615,71.1538,69.2308,67.3077,57.6923,13.4615,57.6923,88.4615,90.3846,34.6154,25.0,1.9231,59.6154,84.6154,25.0,50.0,84.6154,61.5385,67.3077,98.0769,96.1538,84.6154,75.0,34.6154,13.4615,7.6923,5.7692,13.4615,9.6154,30.7692,26.9231,21.1538,67.3077,75.0,53.8462,51.9231,71.1538,38.4615,36.5385,28.8462,26.9231,21.1538,50.0,3.8462],"confirmation":[88.3298,55.5778,84.8543,35.1204,51.301,77.673,78.3551,83.0502,78.6768,85.3283,53.9986,24.928,80.5095,28.4015,77.3456,79.4942,25.2738,78.3111,72.3637,49.1616,84.0076,84.2279,52.8974,5.2898,88.2164,30.4895,2.841,89.9303,92.8888,87.0191,93.1834,35.1971,82.2778,31.5523,28.8645,77.6677,76.8192,75.8874,83.218,30.7137,3.7283,78.1262,26.361,83.2512,55.0404,48.1184,78.6171,51.1928,1.1902,74.7636,78.8407,25.2602],"persistence":[62.5,62.5,62.5,50.0,25.0,50.0,50.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,0.0,12.5,12.5,0.0,0.0,0.0,12.5,12.5,12.5,25.0,50.0,62.5,62.5,87.5,100.0,87.5,75.0,50.0,25.0,0.0,25.0,50.0,75.0,87.5,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,87.5,75.0,75.0,62.5,62.5,37.5,37.5,37.5,25.0,25.0,25.0,12.5,0.0],"assessmentRisk":[17.7547,34.5666,22.8957,13.5248,39.7515,43.581,45.5392,16.0102,0.2209,7.9247,17.9762,30.8543,20.4846,47.6042,1.9701,9.6165,28.9378,23.2072,1.6335,30.8285,23.3535,23.9118,36.4752,44.272,18.4089,3.897,10.3899,16.7207,11.765,19.9374,11.0946,33.4151,20.3182,9.0598,41.4608,19.2614,21.1606,8.8744,18.8654,20.9948,13.0552,7.2082,39.9256,23.576,18.0179,25.3523,26.1149,36.0209,22.6436,12.1564,31.7302,31.8764],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":4.7,"control":1.3,"force":4.8,"direction":18.2,"confirmation":25.3,"persistence":0.0,"assessmentRisk":31.9,"intensity":3.8,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","headline":"The gauges support the upward view","summary":"The completed evidence gives the upward view the clearer support.","take":"Current assessment: upward pressure has the stronger support.","tone":"positive","supportedView":"Market Dynamics","direction":"upward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Control support is limited","controlPath":"Control support is easing","forceState":"Commitment is limited","forcePath":"Commitment is easing","directionState":"Upward follow-through","persistenceState":"Unsettled","confirmationState":"Limited support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Quiet"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"+4.7","detail":"Market Dynamics has stronger support","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"+1.3","detail":"Control support is limited","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"+4.8","detail":"Commitment is limited","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"+18.2","detail":"Upward follow-through","tone":"positive"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"25/100","detail":"Limited support","tone":"caution"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Rotational","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"caution"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"46.7","detail":"Negative","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"8.9%","detail":"Normal","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"32.2","detail":"Directional","tone":"positive"},{"label":"Range position","value":"21%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price is rotating through its trend 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