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evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":0.1,"sample":1},{"week":2,"averageReturn":14.5,"sample":1},{"week":3,"averageReturn":31.8,"sample":1},{"week":4,"averageReturn":23.5,"sample":1},{"week":5,"averageReturn":15.0,"sample":1},{"week":6,"averageReturn":21.5,"sample":1},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-13.9,"sample":1},{"week":8,"averageReturn":42.7,"sample":1},{"week":9,"averageReturn":49.0,"sample":1},{"week":10,"averageReturn":6.7,"sample":1},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-24.9,"sample":1},{"week":12,"averageReturn":-23.6,"sample":1},{"week":13,"averageReturn":-43.5,"sample":1},{"week":14,"averageReturn":-39.6,"sample":1},{"week":15,"averageReturn":-50.8,"sample":1},{"week":16,"averageReturn":-56.2,"sample":1},{"week":17,"averageReturn":-49.9,"sample":1},{"week":18,"averageReturn":-41.1,"sample":1},{"week":19,"sample":0},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"dynamicsAhead":{"label":"Price cautious, Market Dynamics positive","kind":"disagreement","expectedDirection":"higher","episodes":2,"completedEpisodes":0,"activeEpisodes":2,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":2,"expectedCount":0,"expectedPercent":0.0,"averageReturn":-28.1,"medianReturn":-28.1,"confidenceLow":0.0,"confidenceHigh":65.8,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":18.0,"sample":2},{"week":2,"averageReturn":22.3,"sample":2},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-11.6,"sample":2},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-28.1,"sample":2},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-32.6,"sample":2},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-46.7,"sample":2},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-41.5,"sample":2},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-43.9,"sample":2},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-49.1,"sample":1},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-41.9,"sample":1},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-31.6,"sample":1},{"week":12,"sample":0},{"week":13,"sample":0},{"week":14,"sample":0},{"week":15,"sample":0},{"week":16,"sample":0},{"week":17,"sample":0},{"week":18,"sample":0},{"week":19,"sample":0},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]}},"pricePressureGap":{"label":"Price elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":0,"completedEpisodes":0,"activeEpisodes":0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":12,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"},{"weeks":26,"sample":0,"expectedCount":0,"confidence":"Not enough evidence"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"sample":0},{"week":2,"sample":0},{"week":3,"sample":0},{"week":4,"sample":0},{"week":5,"sample":0},{"week":6,"sample":0},{"week":7,"sample":0},{"week":8,"sample":0},{"week":9,"sample":0},{"week":10,"sample":0},{"week":11,"sample":0},{"week":12,"sample":0},{"week":13,"sample":0},{"week":14,"sample":0},{"week":15,"sample":0},{"week":16,"sample":0},{"week":17,"sample":0},{"week":18,"sample":0},{"week":19,"sample":0},{"week":20,"sample":0},{"week":21,"sample":0},{"week":22,"sample":0},{"week":23,"sample":0},{"week":24,"sample":0},{"week":25,"sample":0},{"week":26,"sample":0}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Evidence aligned downward","tone":"negative","headline":"Price and Market Dynamics remain aligned downward","use":"The downside remains supported until Market Dynamics repairs or price structure changes.","confirm":"The downside state remains confirmed until Market Dynamics repairs or price structure changes.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"negative","direction":"strengthening","zone":"middle","zoneContext":"Price is between the accumulation and distribution zones. The Market Dynamics bars describe whether the current move is gaining or losing underlying support.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"lower","percent":0.0,"averageReturn":108.2,"sample":1},"nowContext":{"label":"Slightly stronger this week","detail":"Market Dynamics improved this week but remains below zero."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price structure is downward","detail":"Price is responding in the same broad direction as Market Dynamics."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Capital protection","title":"Treat agreement on the downside as a defensive condition","tone":"negative","approach":"Reduce the burden of proof for risk control and raise it for new long exposure. A short position still needs a defined entry, exit and maximum loss.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 0.0% of comparable cases moved lower after 12 weeks, with an average move of 108.2% across 1 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 100.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 1 cases. Distinct visits lasted 2.0 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 24.9% across 1 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 11.0 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[],"reversal_warnings":[],"reversal_dangers":[]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"close":[23.1314,20.0704,18.8837,15.7851,15.5308,24.3746,29.6206,25.9192,34.4993,40.7248,36.8727,39.7358,30.035,24.0732,16.1524,12.6111,16.2937,14.4948,15.6108,12.1779,11.55,12.85,12.9,23.59,20.18,15.57,6.76,7.96,7.61,7.05,6.65,7.77,6.6,4.8899,4.6,6.86,9.63,9.64,11.03,12.69,11.89,11.07,11.7,8.295,13.74,14.35,10.28,7.23,7.36,5.44,5.82,4.74,4.22,4.82,5.67],"consensus":[44.7619,-88.5393,25.2059,-37.3465,-58.1579,52.5325,61.0429,0.0,74.673,57.2276,10.234,42.5428,-39.8522,-49.6548,-65.3081,-57.1894,-12.5005,-38.0815,-20.4075,-39.4161,-40.892,0.0,-29.9533,58.4298,0.0,-26.1154,-62.9876,-13.538,-36.7208,-38.5344,-30.9384,0.0,-33.4924,-42.4788,-26.5888,9.7785,32.5291,11.2618,33.7523,38.0854,0.0,9.031,14.3722,-44.4057,51.0392,25.587,-35.642,-43.5872,-22.1813,-48.099,-31.8371,-35.7139,-33.9003,-9.3042,-0.8087],"supportDates":["2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"],"control":[null,null,51.8867,60.6122,0.0,66.1948,39.2539,5.2871,23.2034,-34.8223,-36.5009,-59.4368,-52.3043,-1.8006,-36.4117,-24.41,-46.3282,-47.9848,0.0,-35.5079,53.0343,0.0,-35.8826,-61.5735,-0.7256,-36.3146,-39.8631,-41.3117,0.0,-39.8778,-51.4424,-28.3255,12.376,28.5659,3.7471,27.3114,31.6988,0.0,7.0566,12.4466,-37.7715,46.5381,20.0097,-33.4455,-51.3473,-18.1651,-50.9468,-35.1766,-36.4613,-34.3509,-6.5366,-2.6071],"force":[-37.3465,-11.6022,52.8384,45.1629,0.0,87.749,57.5022,38.8425,39.928,-86.3513,-70.5556,-72.1635,-46.5879,-18.1504,-23.132,-0.0673,-33.2183,-22.3938,0.0,-14.9122,95.0968,0.0,-39.2599,-85.6962,-16.6102,-17.8381,-22.0313,-14.9238,0.0,-28.4589,-35.0892,-9.7928,46.2053,62.2241,9.1796,44.8611,42.6602,0.0,1.6499,10.127,-81.094,81.2633,12.4449,-78.5881,-58.2739,-8.7462,-46.2981,-15.1602,-30.2395,-21.6499,-10.8576,-21.1266],"direction":[null,-91.4121,53.0521,72.8778,0.0,75.0224,77.5728,63.027,66.5127,-12.3871,-49.7588,-67.1215,-70.3449,-50.7381,-50.6682,-30.4582,-35.9434,-45.9988,0.0,-34.3487,38.4056,0.0,-5.5642,-48.3832,-51.3739,-50.6725,-48.8037,-30.5222,0.0,-29.7901,-37.5132,-36.601,19.2091,15.8479,21.3374,33.1785,42.1167,0.0,18.9166,19.6051,-25.7818,34.5945,41.3482,-7.4765,-24.2278,-36.3676,-46.1307,-39.9326,-38.7701,-42.1356,-26.8683,-15.7592],"intensity":[null,25.0,100.0,83.3333,42.8571,87.5,100.0,50.0,54.5455,91.6667,84.6154,57.1429,73.3333,18.75,11.7647,16.6667,47.3684,20.0,4.7619,27.2727,91.3043,54.1667,52.0,88.4615,62.963,3.5714,3.4483,3.3333,19.3548,12.5,24.2424,32.3529,37.1429,44.4444,40.5405,18.4211,43.5897,10.0,46.3415,16.6667,53.4884,70.4545,57.7778,63.0435,70.2128,27.0833,26.5306,6.0,29.4118,7.6923,3.8462,15.3846],"confirmation":[34.6176,61.8156,84.8296,87.0563,35.0641,92.4231,86.5951,11.43,81.8287,82.2465,84.727,89.197,86.052,7.5402,79.7559,51.1931,80.3189,80.4136,6.1015,77.042,87.8972,4.4982,53.942,88.8697,7.329,79.1814,79.8078,77.2541,5.0355,78.4669,81.2314,75.9701,30.9643,79.3747,48.9882,79.2374,80.4241,6.0905,25.6131,72.4991,83.429,85.3222,75.8723,58.0811,82.2772,74.7497,83.2934,77.6287,79.2502,78.4679,4.7213,12.2126],"persistence":[0.0,20.0,0.0,14.2857,12.5,12.5,37.5,37.5,62.5,62.5,37.5,12.5,0.0,25.0,50.0,75.0,100.0,100.0,87.5,87.5,62.5,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,62.5,62.5,75.0,87.5,87.5,87.5,62.5,37.5,12.5,12.5,25.0,37.5,62.5,87.5,62.5,62.5,62.5,37.5,12.5,0.0,25.0,50.0,50.0,75.0,100.0,87.5],"assessmentRisk":[null,20.9206,11.1798,18.6772,48.4307,12.6154,21.2565,39.7232,28.4249,13.5256,24.9172,17.2538,21.3936,42.7086,26.9059,5.2992,15.6035,15.5667,14.9282,14.9408,19.6027,45.1062,39.649,11.0536,43.132,31.2931,28.8965,14.1819,0.8188,4.9441,2.3683,9.4307,15.436,22.1172,40.6527,32.199,30.9433,45.8506,34.6372,15.9352,27.2843,8.9487,32.7898,8.6876,2.2104,38.3001,25.8869,31.6082,21.1208,26.9084,8.3671,3.5869],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":-0.8,"control":-2.6,"force":-21.1,"direction":-15.8,"confirmation":12.2,"persistence":87.5,"assessmentRisk":3.6,"intensity":15.4,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Joint downward confirmation","headline":"The gauges support the downward market view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics agree. Control, force and direction support the same downward assessment.","take":"Current assessment: downward pressure has broad support.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Price structure and Market Dynamics","direction":"downward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Control support is limited","controlPath":"Control support is easing","forceState":"Downward commitment","forcePath":"Broadly stable","directionState":"Downward follow-through","persistenceState":"Established","confirmationState":"Limited support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Quiet"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-0.8","detail":"Joint downward confirmation","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-2.6","detail":"Control support is limited","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-21.1","detail":"Downward commitment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"-15.8","detail":"Downward follow-through","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Confirmation Gauge","value":"12/100","detail":"Limited support","tone":"caution"}]},"kpis":[{"label":"Price structure","value":"Aligned downward","detail":"completed-week alignment","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Momentum","value":"40.7","detail":"Negative","tone":"negative"},{"label":"Risk pressure","value":"60.6%","detail":"Normal","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Trend quality","value":"14.7","detail":"Range-led","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Range position","value":"17%","detail":"location inside observed range","tone":"neutral"},{"label":"Adaptive set","value":"6 views","detail":"selected for the current tape","tone":"neutral"}],"charts":[{"key":"price","eyebrow":"Price architecture","title":"Trend, acceptance and volatility envelope","description":"Price is shown against fast and slow trend references with its current volatility envelope.","reason":"Selected as the anchor because price and its trend references are aligned downward.","series":[{"label":"Close","values":[23.1314,20.0704,18.8837,15.7851,15.5308,24.3746,29.6206,25.9192,34.4993,40.7248,36.8727,39.7358,30.035,24.0732,16.1524,12.6111,16.2937,14.4948,15.6108,12.1779,11.55,12.85,12.9,23.59,20.18,15.57,6.76,7.96,7.61,7.05,6.65,7.77,6.6,4.8899,4.6,6.86,9.63,9.64,11.03,12.69,11.89,11.07,11.7,8.295,13.74,14.35,10.28,7.23,7.36,5.44,5.82,4.74,4.22,4.82,5.67],"stroke":"#10243b","width":2.1},{"label":"Fast trend","values":[null,null,null,null,19.8348,20.6602,22.2894,22.9493,25.0493,27.8994,29.5309,31.3864,31.1407,29.8557,27.3642,24.6818,23.1567,21.5818,20.4962,18.9837,17.6322,16.7627,16.0604,17.4294,17.9295,17.5005,15.5477,14.1681,12.9757,11.8983,10.9441,10.367,9.6821,8.8108,8.0452,7.8297,8.157,8.4266,8.9,9.5891,10.0074,10.2006,10.4732,10.0772,10.7432,11.3989,11.1955,10.4745,9.9082,9.0958,8.5002,7.8165,7.1626,6.7367,6.5427],"stroke":"#176fa3","width":1.7},{"label":"Slow trend","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,26.9856,26.7698,25.9833,24.9928,24.3484,23.6185,23.0254,22.2219,21.4313,20.7957,20.2108,20.4611,20.4403,20.0795,19.0929,18.2683,17.4788,16.7063,15.9613,15.3546,14.7061,13.979,13.2842,12.8084,12.5729,12.3557,12.2575,12.2895,12.2599,12.1718,12.1368,11.8522,11.9921,12.1667,12.027,11.6717,11.3523,10.9143,10.537,10.1076,9.6714,9.3121,9.0423],"stroke":"#07865c","width":1.8},{"label":"Upper envelope","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,40.3415,42.2503,44.4669,44.0848,43.3295,42.9714,42.9077,42.3934,41.986,41.4966,41.2122,41.3567,41.4641,41.5591,41.7399,41.742,41.5337,41.2069,40.9675,39.2316,35.5121,32.1537,26.6517,23.5343,21.8106,21.5331,21.4149,20.816,20.4348,19.9328,19.981,20.0078,19.8572,19.745,16.7574,14.9288,14.6158,14.7146,14.7204,14.7232,14.8072,14.8472,14.9725,15.1158,15.1209,15.0498],"stroke":"#98a9b8","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]},{"label":"Lower envelope","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,null,9.3664,9.6429,9.7245,10.5587,10.85,9.7498,8.0948,7.5259,6.7705,6.3371,5.4475,4.1448,3.3155,2.6221,3.2218,3.6845,3.0124,1.0532,-0.5033,-1.4564,-1.1044,-0.7682,1.5372,2.3111,2.1165,1.2388,0.7818,0.7143,0.6101,0.654,0.657,0.6642,0.6368,0.629,2.0871,3.2717,3.4627,3.7159,3.637,3.6093,3.3643,3.2413,2.813,2.4317,2.4196,2.5977],"stroke":"#98a9b8","width":1.0,"dash":[6,5]}],"guides":[],"dates":["2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14","2026-08-21"]},{"key":"drawdown","eyebrow":"Path risk","title":"Drawdown and recovery pressure","description":"Capital impairment and recovery are shown together so return is not separated from path difficulty.","reason":"Selected because the current recovery or drawdown path is central to the tape.","series":[{"label":"Drawdown","values":[0.0,-13.2329,-18.3632,-31.759,-32.8583,0.0,0.0,-12.496,0.0,0.0,-9.4588,-2.4283,-26.2488,-40.8881,-60.3376,-69.0333,-59.9908,-64.408,-61.6674,-70.0971,-71.6389,-68.4467,-68.3239,-42.0746,-50.4478,-61.7677,-83.4008,-80.4542,-81.3136,-82.6887,-83.6709,-80.9207,-83.7936,-87.9928,-88.7047,-83.1552,-76.3535,-76.3289,-72.9157,-68.8396,-70.804,-72.8175,-71.2706,-79.6316,-66.2613,-64.7635,-74.7574,-82.2467,-81.9275,-86.642,-85.7089,-88.3609,-89.6378,-88.1645,-86.0773],"stroke":"#c13f3f","width":1.9,"fill":"rgba(193,63,63,.10)"},{"label":"Recovery","values":[null,null,null,null,null,null,null,66.889,122.1346,162.2195,137.4166,155.852,93.3899,55.003,4.0024,0.0,29.2009,14.9365,23.7864,0.0,0.0,11.2554,11.6883,104.2424,74.7186,34.8052,0.0,17.7515,12.574,4.2899,0.0,16.8421,0.0,0.0,0.0,49.1304,109.3478,109.5652,139.7826,175.8696,158.4783,140.6522,154.3478,80.3261,198.6957,211.9565,123.4783,57.1739,60.0,18.2609,26.5217,3.0435,0.0,14.218,34.3602],"stroke":"#07865c","width":1.7}],"guides":[{"label":"Prior 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Market Dynamics construction and private inputs are not disclosed. Historical research is not a forecast or instruction to trade."}