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elevated relative to Market Dynamics","kind":"structuralDivergence","expectedDirection":"lower","episodes":1,"completedEpisodes":1,"activeEpisodes":0,"medianExpectedMove":33.3,"averageExpectedMove":33.3,"averageWeeksToLargestMove":7.0,"horizons":[{"weeks":4,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-20.3,"medianReturn":-20.3,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":12,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-29.0,"medianReturn":-29.0,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"},{"weeks":26,"sample":1,"expectedCount":1,"expectedPercent":100.0,"averageReturn":-36.2,"medianReturn":-36.2,"confidenceLow":20.7,"confidenceHigh":100.0,"confidence":"Mixed historical record"}],"path":[{"week":0,"sample":0},{"week":1,"averageReturn":-21.7,"sample":1},{"week":2,"averageReturn":-15.9,"sample":1},{"week":3,"averageReturn":-15.9,"sample":1},{"week":4,"averageReturn":-20.3,"sample":1},{"week":5,"averageReturn":-17.4,"sample":1},{"week":6,"averageReturn":-27.5,"sample":1},{"week":7,"averageReturn":-33.3,"sample":1},{"week":8,"averageReturn":-29.0,"sample":1},{"week":9,"averageReturn":-31.9,"sample":1},{"week":10,"averageReturn":-32.6,"sample":1},{"week":11,"averageReturn":-31.9,"sample":1},{"week":12,"averageReturn":-29.0,"sample":1},{"week":13,"averageReturn":-33.3,"sample":1},{"week":14,"averageReturn":-34.1,"sample":1},{"week":15,"averageReturn":-26.1,"sample":1},{"week":16,"averageReturn":-23.2,"sample":1},{"week":17,"averageReturn":-32.6,"sample":1},{"week":18,"averageReturn":-18.8,"sample":1},{"week":19,"averageReturn":-21.7,"sample":1},{"week":20,"averageReturn":-7.2,"sample":1},{"week":21,"averageReturn":-20.3,"sample":1},{"week":22,"averageReturn":-20.3,"sample":1},{"week":23,"averageReturn":-21.7,"sample":1},{"week":24,"averageReturn":-30.4,"sample":1},{"week":25,"averageReturn":-33.3,"sample":1},{"week":26,"averageReturn":-36.2,"sample":1}]},"currentApplication":{"status":"Evidence aligned downward","tone":"negative","headline":"Price and Market Dynamics remain aligned downward","use":"The downside remains supported until Market Dynamics repairs or price structure changes.","confirm":"The downside state remains confirmed until Market Dynamics repairs or price structure changes.","invalidate":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially.","level":"negative","direction":"weakening","zone":"accumulation","zoneContext":"Price is within accumulation conditions, but the completed tape has not yet confirmed a recovery. The zone is a watch area rather than a directional signal.","historical":{"label":"Broad directional cases","weeks":12,"direction":"lower","percent":52.6,"averageReturn":2.4,"sample":19},"nowContext":{"label":"Easier this week","detail":"Market Dynamics weakened this week and remains below zero."},"fourWeekContext":{"label":"Weakened over four weeks","detail":"Underlying support has contracted across the recent completed path."},"priceContext":{"label":"Price structure is downward","detail":"Price is responding in the same broad direction as Market Dynamics."}},"strategyApproach":{"headline":"Strategy observations from this ticker's own record","summary":"The current reading identifies the setup. The observations below show how this ticker's completed history can guide positioning, confirmation and risk control without treating any one reading as a forecast.","observations":[{"eyebrow":"Capital protection","title":"Treat agreement on the downside as a defensive condition","tone":"negative","approach":"Reduce the burden of proof for risk control and raise it for new long exposure. A short position still needs a defined entry, exit and maximum loss.","finding":"In this ticker's completed record, 52.6% of comparable cases moved lower after 12 weeks, with an average move of 2.4% across 19 cases.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."},{"eyebrow":"Zone positioning","title":"Use accumulation to prepare the long case, then wait for confirmation","tone":"positive","finding":"After accumulation, 75.0% of completed 12-week outcomes were higher across 4 cases. Distinct visits lasted 3.8 weeks on average before leaving the zone.","approach":"Build the thesis and entry conditions while price is in accumulation. Increase exposure only when price responds; location alone is not the entry.","watch":"A failed price response or renewed weakness removes the reason to increase long exposure."},{"eyebrow":"Disagreement playbook","title":"Use unsupported price strength to tighten discipline","tone":"caution","finding":"Comparable disagreements produced an average pullback of 13.5% across 19 completed cases, with the largest move arriving after 6.7 weeks on average.","approach":"Avoid adding simply because price is rising. Let improving Market Dynamics confirm the move, or let price reset before reassessing it.","watch":"The warning ends when Market Dynamics catches up or price gives way."},{"eyebrow":"Position management","title":"Size for the path, not only the eventual long reward","tone":"positive","finding":"Across 1 completed accumulation cycles, the average gross long opportunity was 150.9%, while the average adverse move was 9.8%.","approach":"Scale exposure only as confirmation improves, and keep enough risk capacity to survive the ticker's observed adverse path.","watch":"Reassess the reading when either price structure or the Market Dynamics state changes materially."}]},"summary":"This record compares the ticker's completed price path with its published Market Dynamics history."},"events":{"positioning_recoveries":[{"date":"2024-09-20","price":0.365}],"distribution_rollovers":[],"price_pressure_gaps":[{"date":"2024-10-04","price":0.69}]}},"smTape":{"available":true,"dates":["2024-08-23","2024-08-30","2024-09-06","2024-09-13","2024-09-20","2024-09-27","2024-10-04","2024-10-11","2024-10-18","2024-10-25","2024-11-01","2024-11-08","2024-11-15","2024-11-22","2024-11-29","2024-12-06","2024-12-13","2024-12-20","2024-12-27","2025-01-03","2025-01-10","2025-01-17","2025-01-24","2025-01-31","2025-02-07","2025-02-14","2025-02-21","2025-02-28","2025-03-07","2025-03-14","2025-03-21","2025-03-28","2025-04-04","2025-04-11","2025-04-18","2025-04-25","2025-05-02","2025-05-09","2025-05-16","2025-05-23","2025-05-30","2025-06-06","2025-06-13","2025-06-20","2025-06-27","2025-07-04","2025-07-11","2025-07-18","2025-07-25","2025-08-01","2025-08-08","2025-08-15","2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"close":[0.315,0.355,0.335,0.32,0.365,0.375,0.69,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.465,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.455,0.51,0.53,0.465,0.56,0.54,0.64,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.4,0.405,0.395,0.385,0.39,0.385,0.415,0.415,0.425,0.425,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.445,0.485,0.475,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.495,0.53,0.5,0.475,0.46,0.445,0.445,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.455,0.47,0.455,0.435,0.42,0.415,0.415,0.405,0.41,0.38,0.39,0.36,0.365,0.37,0.355,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.41,0.415,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.315,0.315,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.27],"consensus":[38.0346,57.6904,0.0,0.0,58.2559,44.8254,77.5994,0.0,59.3993,26.5204,-12.3194,29.5023,-33.4854,-35.2374,9.7191,-26.992,-16.6726,0.0,8.7592,-26.8388,-12.4124,42.5823,32.6449,-32.3201,55.3435,0.0,62.6712,-19.8459,0.0,0.0,-48.345,-41.086,-37.9945,-38.7694,-43.7013,-27.2319,-28.2425,-35.2603,-20.2067,-18.9659,19.3034,0.0,0.0,0.0,30.4629,0.0,13.8334,23.3641,39.6412,-29.5906,46.3971,0.0,58.8457,10.3703,-28.2061,0.0,43.74,57.3333,54.4714,0.0,-32.4579,20.3782,-33.0743,-35.7277,-37.7544,-42.38,-31.0842,-13.3887,-33.2197,-47.8133,0.0,-12.8231,0.0,23.9028,-9.0356,-33.2768,-36.4012,-35.5142,-22.1422,-38.9844,0.0,-61.1584,-14.2212,-55.2304,-25.1393,-29.5774,-47.3569,45.4342,8.2343,44.9261,-10.1256,20.5833,-24.7493,-54.8196,-42.3536,-26.7764,-58.2905,-31.7628,-8.9713,-70.9406,-43.6809,-47.3732,-35.0953,-30.0692],"supportDates":["2025-08-22","2025-08-29","2025-09-05","2025-09-12","2025-09-19","2025-09-26","2025-10-03","2025-10-10","2025-10-17","2025-10-24","2025-10-31","2025-11-07","2025-11-14","2025-11-21","2025-11-28","2025-12-05","2025-12-12","2025-12-19","2025-12-26","2026-01-02","2026-01-09","2026-01-16","2026-01-23","2026-01-30","2026-02-06","2026-02-13","2026-02-20","2026-02-27","2026-03-06","2026-03-13","2026-03-20","2026-03-27","2026-04-03","2026-04-10","2026-04-17","2026-04-24","2026-05-01","2026-05-08","2026-05-15","2026-05-22","2026-05-29","2026-06-05","2026-06-12","2026-06-19","2026-06-26","2026-07-03","2026-07-10","2026-07-17","2026-07-24","2026-07-31","2026-08-07","2026-08-14"],"control":[55.5755,1.7842,-24.2146,0.0,42.2137,51.2825,42.5645,0.0,-33.4614,31.0751,-34.2346,-35.6399,-44.5375,-44.2671,-30.3329,-6.2166,-38.0633,-57.9998,0.0,-10.1123,0.0,18.8947,-13.6667,-39.0629,-36.2711,-34.2835,-15.3412,-40.6544,0.0,-66.9396,-8.7934,-57.1954,-17.8758,-37.6117,-48.8965,39.105,0.4535,30.4242,-16.3514,20.6195,-26.1467,-62.7886,-44.8306,-19.6224,-68.2285,-27.9589,-3.5575,-70.6691,-41.8199,-46.1176,-30.0013,-28.9003],"force":[81.2849,24.1063,-71.3138,0.0,70.8695,78.4581,66.0536,0.0,-58.2744,27.4866,-43.9447,-36.3152,-30.2036,-32.3234,-14.1627,-3.961,-22.0816,-36.7608,0.0,-0.1414,0.0,33.876,-16.2816,-40.3063,-30.8692,-24.6496,-6.3969,-31.5648,0.0,-66.767,-15.0614,-51.9173,-0.0162,-8.8322,-41.2481,91.1706,4.6564,71.3831,-52.7438,20.8113,-57.9891,-58.9258,-27.9031,-6.1842,-44.5183,-6.9823,-17.5076,-89.7834,-28.3394,-32.3293,-9.9136,-5.802],"direction":[46.555,44.809,-1.9767,0.0,26.1061,49.1591,59.8062,0.0,-12.8706,3.0758,-23.9837,-35.4084,-35.3957,-47.4068,-44.0295,-33.9782,-35.64,-44.0663,0.0,-24.9795,0.0,22.5025,-1.4326,-21.643,-40.5012,-44.6811,-41.1615,-42.3756,0.0,-50.5452,-41.3405,-55.3512,-51.4087,-35.2133,-49.9608,19.9988,19.6825,42.6017,-27.4312,20.3792,-0.5905,-42.7792,-49.8444,-49.6611,-56.7702,-53.8104,-34.0721,-57.7917,-56.7661,-59.5539,-58.9038,-48.7388],"intensity":[61.5385,38.4615,71.1538,57.6923,76.9231,57.6923,88.4615,63.4615,84.6154,51.9231,46.1538,61.5385,11.5385,26.9231,3.8462,3.8462,11.5385,30.7692,32.6923,13.4615,38.4615,19.2308,38.4615,40.3846,42.3077,5.7692,46.1538,9.6154,59.6154,63.4615,19.2308,69.2308,7.6923,65.3846,53.8462,90.3846,76.9231,96.1538,78.8462,67.3077,67.3077,98.0769,67.3077,7.6923,55.7692,9.6154,26.9231,82.6923,82.6923,21.1538,11.5385,13.4615],"confirmation":[87.5643,7.5413,55.7339,24.5548,82.8469,87.0826,85.9653,35.4246,79.158,51.908,78.8974,79.4521,79.7479,81.2264,77.4427,27.3766,78.2171,82.8082,30.0254,49.0915,25.0106,76.0291,48.6806,78.7746,79.4818,79.0522,52.0426,80.2234,5.7605,87.6535,29.6208,85.5428,52.7254,76.7101,82.9446,84.0293,25.3112,83.4036,32.9628,74.5931,54.3708,85.546,81.075,53.3832,86.0818,54.8002,5.8813,91.2794,81.5387,82.7201,78.5407,62.2337],"persistence":[50.0,62.5,37.5,25.0,25.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,25.0,25.0,25.0,12.5,12.5,37.5,62.5,75.0,75.0,100.0,87.5,87.5,75.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,50.0,62.5,62.5,62.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,87.5,62.5,50.0,25.0,25.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,0.0,25.0,50.0,75.0,75.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0,100.0],"assessmentRisk":[18.4515,44.6268,13.4066,7.4715,21.87,18.5393,22.7505,52.7375,12.9709,43.0141,32.964,30.4315,17.9531,28.0657,30.4086,25.0826,10.2158,10.2247,11.2091,13.0717,26.0856,37.5802,41.8384,0.0962,31.1977,32.2164,38.7216,29.497,30.7561,18.5272,39.7177,22.1543,37.1787,15.5723,25.8867,25.7888,43.6306,27.2837,54.5607,20.5387,12.3746,22.3345,28.6113,36.4862,20.8099,32.4917,16.4566,12.9137,25.4265,25.3528,32.3969,27.211],"volumeParticipation":true,"latest":{"consensus":-30.1,"control":-28.9,"force":-5.8,"direction":-48.7,"confirmation":62.2,"persistence":100.0,"assessmentRisk":27.2,"intensity":13.5,"evidenceDepth":100},"analysis":{"status":"Joint downward confirmation","headline":"The gauges support the downward market view","summary":"Price structure and Market Dynamics agree. Control, force and direction support the same downward assessment.","take":"Current assessment: downward pressure has broad support.","tone":"negative","supportedView":"Price structure and Market Dynamics","direction":"downward","disagreement":false},"support":{"window":"Latest 12 months","controlState":"Seller control supports the view","controlPath":"Control support is easing","forceState":"Commitment is limited","forcePath":"Commitment is easing","directionState":"Downward follow-through","persistenceState":"Established","confirmationState":"Qualified support","riskState":"Contained","intensityState":"Quiet"},"cards":[{"label":"SM Consensus Gauge","value":"-30.1","detail":"Joint downward confirmation","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Control Gauge","value":"-28.9","detail":"Seller control supports the view","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Force Gauge","value":"-5.8","detail":"Commitment is limited","tone":"negative"},{"label":"SM Direction Gauge","value":"-48.7","detail":"Downward 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